XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s9

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +1d

assessed

314

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

57.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0388

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0069

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.079085	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.077775	-0.58%	0.07959	+1.74%	0.0279	✗	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.075966	-0.48%	0.078225	+2.48%	0.0076	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.076369	-0.46%	0.076335	-0.50%	0.0029	✓	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.078284	-0.48%	0.07672	-2.47%	0.0325	✓	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.082174	-0.67%	0.078665	-4.91%	0.0413	✓	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.084904	-0.92%	0.08273	-3.45%	0.0138	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.079861	-0.50%	0.08569	+6.77%	0.0597	✗	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.082207	-0.55%	0.08026	-2.90%	0.0059	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.080089	-0.50%	0.08266	+2.70%	0.0052	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.087779	-0.71%	0.08049	-8.95%	0.0507	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.086673	-0.74%	0.088405	+1.24%	0.0059	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.084024	-0.70%	0.08732	+3.20%	0.0318	✗	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.083172	-0.68%	0.084615	+1.04%	0.0016	✓	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.086828	-0.88%	0.08374	-4.40%	0.0078	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.088933	-0.97%	0.087595	-2.46%	0.0253	✗	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.093683	-1.19%	0.0898	-5.28%	0.0386	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.095067	-1.30%	0.09481	-1.56%	0.0110	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.094342	-1.37%	0.096315	+0.69%	0.0117	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.092023	-1.39%	0.095655	+2.50%	0.0343	✗	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.094812	-1.39%	0.09332	-2.94%	0.0095	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.093699	-1.22%	0.09615	+1.36%	0.0012	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.094565	-1.25%	0.09486	-0.95%	0.0047	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.097017	-1.28%	0.095765	-2.56%	0.0165	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.104397	-1.60%	0.09828	-7.36%	0.0399	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.109386	-1.87%	0.10609	-4.82%	0.0315	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.111672	-2.58%	0.111465	-2.76%	0.0085	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.108248	-2.35%	0.11463	+3.41%	0.0633	✗	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.089237	-0.85%	0.11085	+23.17%	0.2167	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.095278	-1.14%	0.09	-6.61%	0.0221	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.096514	-1.51%	0.096375	-1.65%	0.0058	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.088657	-0.65%	0.09799	+9.81%	0.0017	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.091488	-0.76%	0.089235	-3.20%	0.0236	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.092982	-0.89%	0.092185	-1.74%	0.0153	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.087009	-0.47%	0.093815	+7.32%	0.0118	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080901	-0.09%	0.08742	+7.96%	0.0734	✗	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081785	-0.12%	0.080975	-1.11%	0.0218	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083871	-0.05%	0.08188	-2.43%	0.0260	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077851	+0.07%	0.083915	+7.87%	0.0493	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080144	+0.10%	0.077795	-2.83%	0.0211	✗	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082607	+0.15%	0.08006	-2.93%	0.0323	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084155	+0.08%	0.08248	-1.91%	0.0329	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089307	+0.14%	0.08409	-5.71%	0.0277	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098207	-0.14%	0.089185	-9.31%	0.0931	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.093019	+0.08%	0.09834	+5.81%	0.0688	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089823	+0.27%	0.09294	+3.75%	0.0601	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093295	+0.19%	0.08958	-3.80%	0.0512	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093367	+0.18%	0.09312	-0.09%	0.0059	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.096593	+0.13%	0.0932	-3.39%	0.0030	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083321	+0.05%	0.09647	+15.84%	0.0577	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082661	+0.03%	0.08328	+0.77%	0.0096	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.083925	+0.07%	0.08264	-1.47%	0.0087	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.084066	-0.03%	0.08387	-0.26%	0.0202	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086804	-0.08%	0.08409	-3.20%	0.0210	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084486	-0.09%	0.08687	+2.73%	0.0203	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.089944	-0.29%	0.084565	-6.26%	0.0164	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.087503	-0.25%	0.09021	+2.84%	0.0074	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090097	-0.41%	0.08772	-3.04%	0.0359	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.096604	-0.79%	0.09047	-7.09%	0.0573	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.100219	-1.40%	0.09737	-4.20%	0.0518	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.092646	-1.15%	0.10164	+8.45%	0.0802	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.09951	-2.06%	0.09372	-7.76%	0.0371	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.087898	-1.09%	0.1016	+14.32%	0.0515	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.079879	-0.66%	0.08887	+10.52%	0.0376	✗	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.075321	-0.75%	0.08041	+5.96%	0.0319	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.075591	-0.64%	0.07589	-0.25%	0.0006	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.074333	-0.66%	0.07608	+1.68%	0.0142	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.075377	-0.61%	0.074825	-1.34%	0.0032	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.075834	-0.69%	0.07584	-0.68%	0.0009	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.074885	-0.62%	0.07636	+1.33%	0.0300	✗	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.073476	-0.60%	0.075355	+1.94%	0.0249	✗	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.077912	-0.78%	0.07392	-5.86%	0.0498	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.077961	-0.91%	0.078525	-0.20%	0.0161	✗	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.076032	-0.75%	0.07868	+2.70%	0.0565	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.075551	-0.70%	0.07661	+0.69%	0.0153	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.075182	-0.76%	0.076085	+0.44%	0.0115	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.074542	-0.72%	0.075755	+0.90%	0.0016	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.074459	-0.68%	0.07508	+0.15%	0.0162	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.077396	-0.64%	0.07497	-3.76%	0.0446	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.077166	-0.53%	0.077895	+0.41%	0.0044	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.075642	-0.47%	0.07758	+2.08%	0.0261	✗	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.074843	-0.41%	0.076	+1.13%	0.0021	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.073293	-0.35%	0.07515	+2.18%	0.0265	✗	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077648	-0.51%	0.07355	-5.77%	0.0102	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.076793	-0.46%	0.07805	+1.17%	0.0024	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.083052	-0.60%	0.07715	-7.66%	0.0748	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.078459	-0.50%	0.08355	+5.96%	0.0594	✗	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.084788	-0.54%	0.07885	-7.51%	0.0366	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.082815	-0.52%	0.08525	+2.40%	0.0062	✗	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.084201	-0.53%	0.08325	-1.65%	0.0160	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080817	-0.41%	0.08465	+4.31%	0.0679	✗	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.084606	-0.35%	0.08115	-4.42%	0.0192	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.08338	-0.32%	0.0849	+1.49%	0.0273	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084758	-0.34%	0.08365	-1.65%	0.0413	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.080135	-0.33%	0.08505	+5.78%	0.0481	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.08245	-0.30%	0.0804	-2.78%	0.0228	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084969	-0.27%	0.0827	-2.93%	0.0468	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.086163	-0.27%	0.0852	-1.39%	0.0141	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.091712	-0.31%	0.0864	-6.09%	0.0399	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092872	-0.35%	0.092	-1.29%	0.0038	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.089208	-0.33%	0.0932	+4.13%	0.0147	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088567	-0.32%	0.0895	+0.73%	0.0432	✗	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090597	-0.33%	0.08885	-2.26%	0.0187	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.09153	-0.35%	0.0909	-1.03%	0.0016	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.095018	-0.40%	0.09185	-3.72%	0.0572	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090587	-0.34%	0.0954	+4.95%	0.0284	✗	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.098304	-0.50%	0.0909	-8.00%	0.0519	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.108133	-0.98%	0.0988	-9.52%	0.0742	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.105782	-0.81%	0.1092	+2.39%	0.0218	✗	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.105627	-0.91%	0.10665	+0.05%	0.0024	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.105535	-1.09%	0.1066	-0.09%	0.0038	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094569	-0.56%	0.1067	+12.20%	0.0957	✗	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.090434	-0.40%	0.0951	+4.74%	0.0131	✗	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.08633	-0.31%	0.0908	+4.85%	0.0164	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.10392	-0.93%	0.0866	-17.45%	0.1469	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.095263	-0.56%	0.1049	+9.50%	0.0818	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.099983	-0.86%	0.0958	-5.01%	0.0330	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.102436	-1.22%	0.10085	-2.75%	0.0142	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.103185	-1.64%	0.1037	-1.14%	0.0014	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.091355	-0.70%	0.1049	+14.02%	0.1672	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.08827	-0.60%	0.092	+3.60%	0.0800	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.084399	-0.53%	0.0888	+4.66%	0.0814	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.088512	-0.77%	0.08485	-4.88%	0.0592	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.093303	-1.06%	0.0892	-5.41%	0.0220	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.099163	-1.62%	0.0943	-6.45%	0.0680	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.096253	-1.58%	0.1008	+3.07%	0.0320	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.108707	-3.46%	0.0978	-13.14%	0.0710	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.089787	-1.66%	0.1126	+23.33%	0.2544	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.088534	-1.79%	0.0913	+1.28%	0.0467	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.088187	-1.58%	0.09015	+0.61%	0.0082	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.085629	-1.58%	0.0896	+2.99%	0.0125	✓	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.081187	-1.71%	0.087	+5.33%	0.0465	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.074725	-0.90%	0.0826	+9.55%	0.1008	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061111	-0.14%	0.0754	+23.20%	0.1600	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.065982	-0.18%	0.0612	-7.41%	0.0695	✓	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069799	-0.29%	0.0661	-5.57%	0.0219	✓	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.069116	-0.27%	0.07	+1.01%	0.0184	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065425	-0.12%	0.0693	+5.80%	0.0010	✓	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066929	-0.11%	0.0655	-2.24%	0.0173	✓	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.08394	-0.55%	0.067	-20.62%	0.1708	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.092752	-1.22%	0.0844	-10.12%	0.0894	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.085739	-0.53%	0.0939	+8.93%	0.1498	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.092052	-1.02%	0.0862	-7.31%	0.0248	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.088456	-0.72%	0.093	+4.38%	0.0936	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.090131	-0.95%	0.0891	-2.09%	0.0078	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.087923	-0.88%	0.091	+2.59%	0.0267	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.094118	-1.45%	0.0887	-7.12%	0.0564	✓	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.08466	-0.52%	0.0955	+12.22%	0.1365	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.087534	-0.64%	0.0851	-3.41%	0.0018	✓	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.085519	-0.62%	0.0881	+2.38%	0.0603	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.080912	-0.48%	0.08605	+5.84%	0.0558	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.083777	-0.62%	0.0813	-3.56%	0.0367	✓	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.081869	-0.40%	0.0843	+2.55%	0.0040	✓	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.088998	-0.78%	0.0822	-8.36%	0.0364	✓	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.086606	-0.68%	0.0897	+2.87%	0.0337	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.081353	-0.36%	0.0872	+6.80%	0.0551	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.083421	-0.39%	0.08165	-2.51%	0.0179	✓	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.083271	-0.39%	0.08375	+0.18%	0.0152	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.086296	-0.47%	0.0836	-3.58%	0.0177	✓	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.088538	-0.52%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0018	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.095728	-0.65%	0.089	-7.63%	0.0333	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.093613	-0.62%	0.09635	+2.28%	0.0063	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.095431	-0.64%	0.0942	-1.93%	0.0099	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.101635	-0.75%	0.09605	-6.20%	0.0339	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.106374	-0.91%	0.1024	-4.61%	0.0296	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.105146	-0.99%	0.10735	+1.08%	0.0073	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.108571	-1.48%	0.1062	-3.63%	0.0306	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.105383	-1.14%	0.1102	+3.38%	0.0414	✗	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.099242	-0.81%	0.1066	+6.55%	0.0941	✗	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.091999	-0.60%	0.10005	+8.10%	0.0757	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.087887	-0.58%	0.09255	+4.69%	0.0356	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.08911	-0.66%	0.0884	-1.45%	0.0284	✓	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.090018	-0.64%	0.0897	-0.99%	0.0016	✓	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.090482	-0.68%	0.0906	-0.55%	0.0059	✓	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.090521	-0.74%	0.0911	-0.11%	0.0263	✓	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.092329	-0.77%	0.0912	-1.99%	0.0219	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.095359	-0.77%	0.09305	-3.17%	0.0145	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.097643	-0.77%	0.0961	-2.34%	0.0025	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.099929	-0.77%	0.0984	-2.28%	0.0075	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.099293	-0.86%	0.1007	+0.55%	0.0039	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.099175	-0.87%	0.10015	+0.10%	0.0064	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.100155	-0.89%	0.10005	-0.99%	0.0135	✗	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.100831	-0.90%	0.10105	-0.69%	0.0009	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.101606	-0.97%	0.10175	-0.83%	0.0322	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.103582	-0.97%	0.1026	-1.91%	0.0184	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.102751	-1.06%	0.1046	+0.72%	0.0213	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.108259	-1.00%	0.10385	-5.03%	0.0051	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.126003	-1.10%	0.10935	-14.17%	0.1166	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.138451	-1.67%	0.1274	-9.52%	0.1202	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.129619	-1.09%	0.1408	+7.44%	0.0764	✗	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.132287	-1.28%	0.13105	-2.20%	0.0223	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.137569	-1.74%	0.134	-4.29%	0.0210	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.122974	-1.03%	0.14	+12.68%	0.0570	✗	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.134543	-1.58%	0.12425	-9.11%	0.0340	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.128331	-1.55%	0.1367	+4.87%	0.0615	✗	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.121675	-1.20%	0.13035	+5.85%	0.0457	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.123085	-1.29%	0.12315	-1.24%	0.0134	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.128044	-1.73%	0.1247	-4.30%	0.0103	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.118291	-1.51%	0.1303	+8.49%	0.0351	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.119831	-1.50%	0.1201	-1.27%	0.0054	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.115685	-1.42%	0.12165	+3.66%	0.0150	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.108864	-1.30%	0.11735	+6.39%	0.0682	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.11604	-2.57%	0.1103	-7.39%	0.0521	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.104947	-0.99%	0.1191	+12.36%	0.1526	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.092386	-0.50%	0.106	+14.16%	0.1398	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.087978	-0.42%	0.09285	+5.09%	0.0221	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.086071	-0.38%	0.08835	+2.26%	0.0091	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.088289	-0.41%	0.0864	-2.54%	0.0137	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.088902	-0.39%	0.08865	-0.67%	0.0021	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.093231	-0.45%	0.08925	-4.70%	0.0084	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.100016	-0.48%	0.09365	-6.82%	0.0133	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.097276	-0.43%	0.1005	+2.87%	0.0169	✗	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.096168	-0.40%	0.0977	+1.19%	0.0228	✗	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090722	-0.36%	0.09655	+6.04%	0.0010	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.092392	-0.33%	0.09105	-1.78%	0.0080	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.094006	-0.26%	0.0927	-1.64%	0.0189	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098833	-0.17%	0.09425	-4.80%	0.0595	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.108253	-0.18%	0.099	-8.71%	0.0618	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.118092	-0.39%	0.10845	-8.52%	0.0314	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.122928	-0.70%	0.11855	-4.24%	0.0176	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.107271	-0.17%	0.1238	+15.22%	0.1040	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.109926	-0.29%	0.10745	-2.54%	0.0549	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.107994	-0.33%	0.11025	+1.75%	0.0148	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.106161	-0.32%	0.10835	+1.74%	0.0120	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099409	-0.19%	0.1065	+6.93%	0.0622	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098939	-0.21%	0.0996	+0.45%	0.0015	✓	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.0909	-0.11%	0.09915	+8.96%	0.0552	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092918	-0.14%	0.091	-2.20%	0.0754	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094662	-0.15%	0.09305	-1.85%	0.0116	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098502	-0.20%	0.0948	-3.95%	0.0199	✓	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.117852	-0.92%	0.0987	-17.02%	0.1210	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.113271	-0.81%	0.11895	+4.16%	0.0852	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.11429	-1.22%	0.1142	-1.30%	0.0952	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.104099	-0.48%	0.1157	+10.61%	0.1167	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097374	-0.23%	0.1046	+7.17%	0.0022	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.10147	-0.42%	0.0976	-4.22%	0.0114	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.09157	-0.14%	0.1019	+11.12%	0.0819	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.09438	-0.23%	0.0917	-3.07%	0.0079	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.102716	-0.66%	0.0946	-8.51%	0.0712	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.087077	-0.03%	0.1034	+18.71%	0.0876	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086972	-0.03%	0.0871	+0.11%	0.0138	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089505	-0.05%	0.087	-2.85%	0.0369	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.096529	-0.18%	0.08955	-7.39%	0.0679	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.095001	-0.16%	0.0967	+1.63%	0.0183	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093522	-0.14%	0.09515	+1.60%	0.0043	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.092258	-0.10%	0.09365	+1.41%	0.0030	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.0964	-0.21%	0.09235	-4.40%	0.0205	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.10174	-0.45%	0.0966	-5.48%	0.0227	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.095982	-0.23%	0.1022	+6.24%	0.0614	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.101693	-0.50%	0.0962	-5.87%	0.0352	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.096981	-0.33%	0.1022	+5.04%	0.0326	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.091736	-0.12%	0.0973	+5.93%	0.0047	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081782	+0.22%	0.09185	+12.56%	0.1336	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081246	+0.24%	0.0816	+0.68%	0.0421	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083832	+0.22%	0.08105	-3.11%	0.0068	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.082825	+0.27%	0.08365	+1.27%	0.0135	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.084078	+0.33%	0.0826	-1.43%	0.0392	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.084056	+0.37%	0.0838	+0.06%	0.0237	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.07941	+0.65%	0.08375	+6.15%	0.1476	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095092	+0.25%	0.0789	-16.82%	0.1434	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.095327	+0.24%	0.09485	-0.26%	0.0774	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.104009	+0.06%	0.0951	-8.51%	0.0003	✓	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.101516	+0.21%	0.10395	+2.62%	0.0294	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106418	+0.11%	0.1013	-4.70%	0.0034	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.122274	-0.47%	0.1063	-13.47%	0.0211	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.124997	-0.56%	0.12285	-2.27%	0.0059	✓	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.143254	-1.20%	0.1257	-13.31%	0.0044	✓	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.136813	-1.15%	0.145	+4.77%	0.0569	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.124188	-0.53%	0.1384	+10.85%	0.0859	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.118193	-0.34%	0.12485	+5.27%	0.0108	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.128405	-0.54%	0.1186	-8.13%	0.0149	✓	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.12379	-0.49%	0.1291	+3.78%	0.0520	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.122257	-0.48%	0.1244	+1.26%	0.0171	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.125347	-0.52%	0.12285	-2.50%	0.0226	✓	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.119978	-0.52%	0.126	+4.48%	0.0224	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.132823	-0.73%	0.1206	-9.87%	0.0107	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.130178	-0.93%	0.1338	+1.83%	0.0544	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.139165	-0.88%	0.1314	-6.41%	0.0213	✓	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.143501	-0.83%	0.1404	-2.97%	0.0123	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.141518	-0.90%	0.1447	+1.33%	0.0243	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.160499	-0.80%	0.1428	-11.74%	0.0859	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.160328	-0.85%	0.1618	+0.06%	0.0272	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.1521	-0.78%	0.1617	+5.48%	0.0489	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.163138	-0.83%	0.1533	-6.81%	0.0708	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.159699	-0.81%	0.1645	+2.17%	0.0160	✗	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.16768	-0.90%	0.161	-4.85%	0.0368	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.163655	-0.88%	0.1692	+2.48%	0.0473	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.176805	-1.06%	0.1651	-7.61%	0.0616	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.204748	-2.13%	0.1787	-14.58%	0.0797	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.187053	-1.45%	0.2092	+10.22%	0.1153	✗	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.189377	-1.67%	0.1898	-1.45%	0.0600	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.194815	-2.00%	0.1926	-3.12%	0.0362	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.190767	-2.47%	0.1988	+1.64%	0.0234	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.168421	-1.51%	0.1956	+14.39%	0.1183	✗	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.159148	-1.27%	0.171	+6.08%	0.0578	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.161767	-1.24%	0.1612	-1.59%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.155992	-1.40%	0.1638	+3.54%	0.0342	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.153136	-1.46%	0.1582	+1.80%	0.0413	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.151133	-1.29%	0.1554	+1.50%	0.0271	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.138597	-0.83%	0.1531	+9.55%	0.0937	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.132273	-0.70%	0.13975	+4.92%	0.0536	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.131959	-0.78%	0.1332	+0.15%	0.0144	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.129162	-0.57%	0.133	+2.39%	0.0272	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.127655	-0.58%	0.1299	+1.17%	0.0302	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.128526	-0.60%	0.1284	-0.70%	0.0000	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.135937	-0.78%	0.1293	-5.62%	0.0536	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.130366	-0.64%	0.137	+4.42%	0.0470	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.118917	-0.32%	0.1312	+9.97%	0.0680	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.124694	-0.44%	0.1193	-4.75%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.132671	-0.58%	0.12525	-6.14%	0.0387	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.134594	-0.48%	0.13345	-1.33%	0.0250	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.150727	-0.54%	0.13525	-10.76%	0.0883	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.155261	-0.60%	0.15155	-2.98%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.147403	-0.67%	0.1562	+5.26%	0.0582	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.162273	-0.60%	0.1484	-9.10%	0.0646	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.