XCH

Chia · native · gru_s9

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0806

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0106

actual -0.0213

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4497	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.484	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5378	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5414	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5709	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5746	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5694	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5486	-1.74%	1.4765	-6.31%	0.0592	✓	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5953	-2.22%	1.512	-7.32%	0.0520	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5557	-1.91%	1.5675	-1.17%	0.0066	✓	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5577	-2.06%	1.57	-1.29%	0.0242	✗	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.56	-2.10%	1.6035	+0.63%	0.0426	✗	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4869	-2.24%	1.6015	+5.29%	0.0846	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.4422	-1.83%	1.5965	+8.68%	0.0974	✗	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4679	-1.81%	1.576	+5.42%	0.0876	✗	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5429	-1.57%	1.6315	+4.08%	0.0783	✗	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5551	-1.79%	1.586	+0.16%	0.0572	✗	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5564	-1.83%	1.5905	+0.32%	0.0482	✗	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.5425	-2.03%	1.5935	+1.21%	0.0501	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.5007	-2.17%	1.521	-0.85%	0.0321	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.562	-2.31%	1.469	-8.13%	0.0315	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5809	-2.71%	1.495	-8.00%	0.0532	✓	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5555	-2.36%	1.5675	-1.60%	0.0095	✓	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5174	-2.60%	1.5835	+1.64%	0.0218	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5471	-2.05%	1.5855	+0.38%	0.0085	✓	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.6137	-2.14%	1.5745	-4.52%	0.0271	✓	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.6158	-2.28%	1.534	-7.23%	0.0552	✓	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.5956	-2.11%	1.599	-1.90%	0.0015	✓	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5093	-2.25%	1.625	+5.25%	0.0804	✗	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.5972	-1.77%	1.593	-2.03%	0.0165	✓	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.6689	-3.03%	1.558	-9.47%	0.0446	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.5134	-1.70%	1.5795	+2.60%	0.0209	✗	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.5093	-1.71%	1.649	+7.39%	0.0674	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4829	-1.43%	1.6535	+9.90%	0.0879	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3984	-1.62%	1.63	+14.67%	0.1050	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.373	-0.54%	1.544	+11.84%	0.0688	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.3603	-0.49%	1.626	+18.95%	0.1171	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.4627	-0.56%	1.721	+17.00%	0.1203	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4712	-0.53%	1.5395	+4.09%	0.0223	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4882	-0.39%	1.5355	+2.78%	0.0106	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4859	-0.21%	1.5045	+1.04%	0.0063	✓	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4926	-0.03%	1.4215	-4.79%	0.0478	✓	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5679	-0.17%	1.3805	-12.10%	0.1162	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.6122	-0.39%	1.367	-15.54%	0.1499	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6383	-0.41%	1.471	-10.58%	0.1030	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.5085	+1.01%	1.479	-0.97%	0.0029	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4596	+0.70%	1.494	+3.07%	0.0396	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4276	+0.82%	1.489	+5.16%	0.0604	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4535	+0.87%	1.493	+3.61%	0.0623	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4248	+0.41%	1.5705	+10.68%	0.0902	✓	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4533	+0.37%	1.6185	+11.77%	0.1000	✓	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4344	+0.76%	1.645	+15.56%	0.1332	✓	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4299	+1.19%	1.4935	+5.70%	0.0214	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4055	+1.59%	1.4495	+4.77%	0.0187	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.4196	+1.43%	1.416	+1.18%	0.0165	✗	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4367	+1.82%	1.441	+2.13%	0.0044	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.3982	+1.43%	1.419	+2.94%	0.0279	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.4048	+1.28%	1.448	+4.40%	0.0393	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.4078	+1.43%	1.4235	+2.56%	0.0144	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.5055	+0.71%	1.413	-5.48%	0.0629	✗	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5138	+0.51%	1.3835	-8.13%	0.1007	✗	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.5289	+0.49%	1.3995	-8.02%	0.0841	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4423	+0.13%	1.411	-2.05%	0.0862	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4372	-0.61%	1.3785	-4.67%	0.1487	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3622	-1.22%	1.387	+0.58%	0.1388	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3666	-1.19%	1.388	+0.36%	0.1550	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3552	-1.55%	1.495	+8.61%	0.0824	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.3069	-1.59%	1.506	+13.40%	0.0271	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2829	-1.66%	1.5215	+16.63%	0.0106	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2924	-1.72%	1.4405	+9.54%	0.0034	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2793	-1.67%	1.446	+11.15%	0.0494	✗	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.3276	-1.18%	1.379	+2.64%	0.0233	✗	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3561	-1.23%	1.383	+0.73%	0.0130	✗	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.3176	-1.16%	1.3765	+3.26%	0.0685	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3934	-0.86%	1.328	-5.51%	0.0247	✓	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.3013	-0.78%	1.3045	-0.53%	0.0267	✗	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3555	-0.62%	1.315	-3.59%	0.0196	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4457	-0.95%	1.301	-10.86%	0.0901	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4935	-1.26%	1.3435	-11.17%	0.0992	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.5145	-1.62%	1.373	-10.82%	0.1039	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6717	-3.37%	1.333	-22.95%	0.2438	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.4333	-1.56%	1.4055	-3.47%	0.0443	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3925	-1.66%	1.3115	-7.38%	0.0836	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.4062	-2.04%	1.364	-4.98%	0.0252	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3441	-1.78%	1.4595	+6.65%	0.0750	✗	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.3112	-1.71%	1.5125	+13.38%	0.1407	✗	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.248	-1.07%	1.5395	+22.04%	0.2123	✗	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.3041	-1.20%	1.73	+31.06%	0.3007	✗	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.262	-1.29%	1.456	+13.88%	0.1582	✗	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1459	-0.87%	1.416	+22.49%	0.2238	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1493	-0.80%	1.4355	+23.91%	0.2255	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2317	-0.63%	1.3685	+10.41%	0.1256	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.1984	-0.59%	1.334	+10.66%	0.1318	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.1966	-0.78%	1.2615	+4.60%	0.0684	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.269	-0.90%	1.32	+3.08%	0.0324	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3107	-0.97%	1.2785	-3.40%	0.0193	✓	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.352	-1.09%	1.156	-15.44%	0.1588	✓	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.3761	-1.11%	1.1585	-16.74%	0.1858	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4628	-1.26%	1.2395	-16.33%	0.1792	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3878	-1.19%	1.2055	-14.17%	0.1563	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.3859	-1.01%	1.206	-13.86%	0.1715	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.4118	-1.06%	1.2805	-10.27%	0.1080	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4362	-0.99%	1.3235	-8.76%	0.0922	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4712	-1.03%	1.367	-8.04%	0.0710	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.5205	-1.07%	1.3915	-9.47%	0.0951	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.5059	-0.50%	1.4815	-2.11%	0.0417	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5495	-0.45%	1.4045	-9.77%	0.1152	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.6105	-0.56%	1.4	-13.55%	0.1221	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.5927	-0.52%	1.427	-10.87%	0.1114	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6493	-0.41%	1.4505	-12.41%	0.1356	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6723	-0.43%	1.4865	-11.49%	0.1348	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7223	-0.47%	1.537	-11.18%	0.1324	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.7421	-0.62%	1.5135	-13.66%	0.1670	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.7096	-0.75%	1.5565	-9.64%	0.1501	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5609	-0.23%	1.6195	+3.52%	0.0132	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.6129	-0.26%	1.601	-0.99%	0.0618	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.6104	-0.04%	1.656	+2.79%	0.0137	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6918	-0.01%	1.6795	-0.74%	0.0407	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.7061	+0.06%	1.7305	+1.50%	0.0097	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.7081	+0.12%	1.753	+2.75%	0.0407	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.8136	+0.03%	1.7225	-4.99%	0.0043	✓	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.9005	-0.08%	1.5645	-17.74%	0.1453	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8967	-0.20%	1.617	-14.92%	0.1102	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.884	-0.26%	1.611	-14.72%	0.0995	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.9179	-0.40%	1.692	-12.13%	0.0785	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9866	-0.62%	1.705	-14.71%	0.1093	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	2.0093	-0.63%	1.706	-15.63%	0.1171	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0486	-0.77%	1.813	-12.18%	0.0827	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0694	-0.89%	1.902	-8.91%	0.0515	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.1139	-0.92%	1.9005	-10.92%	0.0717	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.1425	-1.00%	1.889	-12.71%	0.1228	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	2.008	-0.69%	1.9255	-4.77%	0.0410	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	2.0212	-0.77%	1.999	-1.87%	0.0009	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.9923	-0.46%	2.022	+1.02%	0.0306	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	2.0476	-0.53%	2.0645	+0.29%	0.0506	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.1726	-0.93%	2.088	-4.79%	0.0860	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.1912	-1.12%	2.1335	-3.72%	0.0608	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	2.0258	-0.01%	2.164	+6.81%	0.0194	✗	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.1678	-0.52%	2.022	-7.21%	0.1015	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.1835	-0.80%	2.037	-7.45%	0.0663	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.1833	-0.89%	2.0015	-9.15%	0.0518	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.2213	-1.27%	2.0585	-8.51%	0.0076	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.4169	-2.11%	2.193	-11.18%	0.0065	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.2959	-1.78%	2.216	-5.20%	0.1022	✗	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.3141	-1.78%	2.026	-14.01%	0.0371	✗	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.3987	-1.97%	2.179	-10.95%	0.0696	✗	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.2892	-1.75%	2.201	-5.54%	0.0889	✗	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.5367	-2.11%	2.203	-14.99%	0.0147	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.6433	-2.35%	2.25	-16.88%	0.0541	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.8681	-3.12%	2.469	-16.60%	0.0818	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.6815	-2.67%	2.3375	-15.15%	0.0981	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.8321	-3.87%	2.356	-20.03%	0.1502	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.8461	-3.16%	2.447	-16.74%	0.1264	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.1904	-5.34%	2.33	-30.87%	0.2713	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.3882	-6.80%	2.5915	-28.72%	0.2346	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.1291	-6.58%	2.707	-19.18%	0.1353	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.7227	-3.81%	2.9605	+4.59%	0.0805	✗	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.5995	-2.18%	2.755	+3.67%	0.0627	✗	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.56	-2.06%	2.946	+12.70%	0.1561	✗	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3575	-1.38%	2.939	+22.94%	0.2615	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.4801	-2.49%	3.3705	+32.51%	0.3455	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4537	-2.79%	3.6355	+44.04%	0.4134	✗	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.1993	-0.66%	3.3495	+51.29%	0.4656	✗	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.2913	-1.24%	2.8305	+22.00%	0.2677	✗	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4145	-0.76%	2.6575	+9.23%	0.1511	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3224	-0.75%	2.614	+11.71%	0.1476	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.3612	-1.78%	2.3905	-0.56%	0.0251	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.1777	-0.22%	2.5435	+16.54%	0.1436	✗	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.1197	+0.39%	2.524	+19.54%	0.1977	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.1231	+0.07%	2.214	+4.36%	0.0459	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.1251	+0.48%	2.32	+9.69%	0.0703	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1396	+0.08%	2.433	+13.80%	0.0945	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.148	-0.00%	2.34	+8.94%	0.0670	✗	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.1721	-0.09%	2.404	+10.58%	0.0828	✗	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.2437	-0.70%	2.1825	-3.41%	0.0641	✓	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2496	-0.85%	2.1115	-6.94%	0.1192	✓	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2481	-0.61%	2.1215	-6.21%	0.1025	✓	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.2625	-0.35%	2.115	-6.85%	0.0916	✓	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.3611	-0.21%	2.138	-9.64%	0.0981	✓	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.3512	-0.12%	2.148	-8.75%	0.1005	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.4564	+0.02%	2.174	-11.48%	0.1299	✗	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.5916	-0.27%	2.2595	-13.05%	0.1174	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.7453	-1.28%	2.269	-18.41%	0.1659	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.5477	-1.46%	2.262	-12.51%	0.1186	✓	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.4457	-1.20%	2.2705	-8.28%	0.0891	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.3662	-1.12%	2.366	-1.13%	0.0470	✓	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.423	-0.88%	2.354	-3.70%	0.0474	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.2861	-0.08%	2.456	+7.34%	0.0681	✗	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.2963	-0.81%	2.5985	+12.25%	0.0926	✗	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.1965	+0.09%	2.781	+26.73%	0.2025	✓	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.1553	-0.03%	2.5855	+19.92%	0.1600	✗	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2361	-0.24%	2.4755	+10.44%	0.0874	✗	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.2148	-0.88%	2.393	+7.09%	0.0440	✗	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.2939	-1.02%	2.4445	+5.48%	0.0357	✗	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.267	-0.48%	2.288	+0.44%	0.0339	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3729	-1.07%	2.315	-3.48%	0.0614	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.2968	-0.98%	2.1945	-5.39%	0.0864	✓	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3577	-1.25%	2.156	-9.70%	0.1141	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2759	-1.73%	2.2415	-3.22%	0.0766	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3249	-1.88%	2.2345	-5.70%	0.0594	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.3013	-1.88%	2.3175	-1.19%	0.0602	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3513	-1.66%	2.278	-4.73%	0.1021	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3855	-1.08%	2.3985	-0.54%	0.0521	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.48	-0.96%	2.3195	-7.37%	0.1016	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.576	-1.15%	2.3875	-8.38%	0.1191	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5747	-1.22%	2.316	-11.15%	0.1316	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.6045	-1.03%	2.3695	-9.96%	0.1317	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6445	-1.07%	2.3455	-12.25%	0.1320	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.5796	-0.98%	2.391	-8.21%	0.0834	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.7813	-1.32%	2.4115	-14.44%	0.1202	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.8102	-1.12%	2.504	-11.89%	0.0778	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.7909	-0.96%	2.606	-7.52%	0.0412	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.7119	-0.79%	2.6065	-4.65%	0.0099	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.5917	-1.10%	2.6315	+0.42%	0.0383	✗	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.6262	-1.03%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0490	✗	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6716	-0.74%	2.605	-3.21%	0.0244	✗	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.7104	-0.75%	2.8185	+3.20%	0.0527	✗	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.8152	-0.77%	2.842	+0.18%	0.0088	✗	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.1018	-1.55%	2.818	-10.55%	0.0577	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.9607	-0.72%	2.7335	-8.33%	0.0342	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7689	-0.36%	2.6205	-5.70%	0.0020	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7238	-0.37%	2.6535	-2.94%	0.0006	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6464	-0.33%	2.6915	+1.37%	0.0220	✗	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.5931	-0.27%	2.731	+5.04%	0.0589	✗	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.5605	-0.33%	2.837	+10.43%	0.0907	✗	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5185	-0.32%	3.1505	+24.70%	0.1796	✗	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5251	-0.49%	2.982	+17.52%	0.0935	✗	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5385	-0.76%	2.779	+8.64%	0.0080	✗	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.4954	-0.40%	2.734	+9.12%	0.0429	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.5854	-0.62%	2.655	+2.06%	0.0076	✓	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7203	-0.72%	2.6	-5.11%	0.0410	✓	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.8337	-1.37%	2.569	-10.58%	0.0693	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.6712	-0.84%	2.5265	-6.22%	0.0748	✓	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6413	-0.57%	2.5375	-4.48%	0.0355	✓	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.6059	-0.56%	2.558	-2.39%	0.0212	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.7009	-1.08%	2.5055	-8.24%	0.0789	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.6802	-0.42%	2.6015	-3.34%	0.0589	✓	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.6417	-0.44%	2.74	+3.26%	0.0066	✓	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6157	-0.58%	2.873	+9.20%	0.0352	✗	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4042	-0.05%	2.694	+11.99%	0.0598	✗	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.6003	-0.18%	2.6565	+1.98%	0.0303	✓	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7229	-0.61%	2.6205	-4.34%	0.0157	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.6652	+0.01%	2.7305	+2.46%	0.0362	✓	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.6578	+0.07%	2.6915	+1.34%	0.0384	✓	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6192	+0.22%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0068	✓	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7246	+0.28%	2.631	-3.17%	0.0542	✗	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.9224	+0.12%	2.4055	-17.59%	0.1536	✗	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9286	+0.05%	2.605	-11.00%	0.0663	✗	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.9657	-0.03%	2.7395	-7.65%	0.0656	✓	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.0916	-0.17%	2.665	-13.95%	0.1273	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.9103	+0.11%	2.656	-8.63%	0.0819	✗	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.8304	+0.58%	2.6135	-7.13%	0.0886	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	3.0006	+0.25%	2.717	-9.22%	0.0926	✗	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.0657	-0.07%	2.919	-4.86%	0.0345	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.0778	+0.21%	2.927	-4.70%	0.0370	✗	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.2564	+0.04%	2.9665	-8.86%	0.0770	✗	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.4194	-0.12%	3.097	-9.54%	0.1049	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.3348	+0.11%	2.907	-12.73%	0.1170	✗	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.1214	+1.54%	2.814	-8.46%	0.1485	✗	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.348	+0.06%	2.993	-10.55%	0.0137	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.3615	+0.04%	3.068	-8.69%	0.0166	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.4485	-0.15%	3.0715	-11.06%	0.0177	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.4309	+0.05%	3.255	-5.07%	0.0554	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.5343	-0.36%	3.4235	-3.48%	0.1234	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.7219	-0.78%	3.331	-11.20%	0.1122	✗	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.8846	-1.00%	3.074	-21.66%	0.1456	✗	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	4.0046	-1.04%	3.346	-17.31%	0.0847	✗	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.1712	-1.24%	3.36	-20.45%	0.0024	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.1487	-1.20%	3.4535	-17.75%	0.0326	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.962	-1.14%	3.429	-14.44%	0.0096	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.1575	-1.27%	3.547	-15.77%	0.0023	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.1213	-1.47%	3.751	-10.33%	0.0137	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.2811	-1.18%	3.924	-9.42%	0.0133	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.5324	-1.31%	4.0465	-11.89%	0.1105	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.4601	-1.32%	4.2235	-6.56%	0.0661	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.5627	-1.14%	4.199	-9.02%	0.0197	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.8394	-1.24%	4.0075	-18.21%	0.0851	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.9138	-1.19%	4.211	-15.32%	0.0689	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.9157	-1.20%	4.183	-15.93%	0.0761	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	5.041	-1.26%	4.332	-15.15%	0.0651	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.3431	-1.54%	4.5925	-15.37%	0.0451	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.3556	-2.00%	4.52	-17.29%	0.0698	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	5.0851	-2.48%	4.6155	-11.49%	0.1163	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.3248	-4.05%	4.9	-11.70%	0.1225	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.8919	-3.68%	4.973	-2.09%	0.0496	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.0667	-2.89%	4.9755	-4.64%	0.0905	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.8039	-3.57%	5.1055	+2.48%	0.0028	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.8773	-3.84%	5.4265	+6.99%	0.0088	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.8869	-3.73%	5.465	+7.66%	0.0828	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.0239	-3.72%	5.2145	-0.07%	0.0849	✗	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.6011	-3.07%	5.5495	+16.91%	0.1983	✗	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.6075	-2.59%	5.079	+7.38%	0.1014	✗	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.6983	-2.69%	5.2175	+8.07%	0.0948	✗	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.6147	-2.48%	4.982	+5.28%	0.0356	✗	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.5021	-1.48%	5.072	+11.00%	0.0518	✗	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.5736	-1.48%	5.076	+9.34%	0.0112	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.6035	-1.33%	5.218	+11.84%	0.0063	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.7306	-1.45%	4.747	-1.10%	0.0607	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.8867	-2.30%	4.73	-5.43%	0.0816	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.5216	-1.12%	4.828	+5.58%	0.0193	✗	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.7112	-1.59%	4.732	-1.16%	0.0231	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.8956	-1.24%	4.5695	-7.82%	0.0670	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.7617	-1.20%	4.6425	-3.67%	0.0423	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.7755	-1.25%	4.6655	-3.53%	0.0021	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.7554	-1.36%	4.8	-0.44%	0.0227	✗	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.8098	-1.48%	5.0015	+2.45%	0.0482	✗	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.836	-1.46%	4.573	-6.82%	0.0418	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.462	-1.05%	4.7875	+6.16%	0.0402	✗	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.5372	-1.18%	4.957	+7.96%	0.0640	✗	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.7798	-1.01%	4.8195	-0.19%	0.0156	✗	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.8201	-1.07%	4.836	-0.74%	0.0341	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	5.0052	-0.81%	4.821	-4.46%	0.0455	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.1936	-0.87%	4.882	-6.81%	0.0291	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.2477	-0.90%	4.9075	-7.33%	0.0298	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.4271	-1.09%	4.5095	-17.81%	0.0641	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.5665	-1.51%	4.5915	-18.76%	0.0924	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.6881	-1.09%	4.8285	-16.04%	0.0820	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.4372	-0.99%	4.872	-11.28%	0.0371	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.4584	-1.06%	5.046	-8.54%	0.0407	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.5361	-0.95%	5.239	-6.26%	0.0719	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.4776	-0.94%	5.2955	-4.23%	0.0496	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.6902	-1.07%	5.487	-4.61%	0.0438	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.8273	-1.08%	5.652	-4.06%	0.0072	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	6.0292	-1.15%	5.751	-5.71%	0.0708	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.4786	-0.47%	5.4915	-0.24%	0.0738	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.866	-0.56%	5.517	-6.48%	0.0619	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.9386	-0.52%	5.589	-6.37%	0.0343	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.858	-0.48%	5.5295	-6.06%	0.0314	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.9355	-0.45%	5.752	-3.53%	0.0443	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	6.072	-0.53%	5.891	-3.50%	0.0775	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	6.0737	-0.54%	6.0995	-0.11%	0.0632	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.2242	-0.56%	5.5045	-12.05%	0.0885	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.2072	-0.48%	5.899	-5.42%	0.1130	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.2193	-0.44%	5.9695	-4.44%	0.1522	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.3984	-0.59%	5.8865	-8.55%	0.1885	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.7315	-0.87%	5.9625	-12.19%	0.2054	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.8644	-1.27%	6.1045	-12.20%	0.0995	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	7.1045	-1.55%	6.1065	-15.38%	0.0504	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	7.1445	-1.64%	6.259	-13.83%	0.0630	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.3598	-1.61%	6.237	-16.62%	0.0342	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.5727	-1.77%	6.247	-18.96%	0.0016	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.7485	-2.17%	6.4365	-18.74%	0.0146	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.765	-2.23%	6.7905	-14.50%	0.1116	✗	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.7992	-2.78%	6.9525	-13.34%	0.0713	✗	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.8884	-1.93%	7.2165	-10.29%	0.0884	✗	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.4255	-2.99%	7.2635	-16.37%	0.0867	✗	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.8241	-5.22%	7.48	-19.66%	0.0169	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.5536	-2.86%	7.709	-0.86%	0.1311	✗	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.8827	-4.59%	7.9205	-4.13%	0.1464	✗	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.2919	-1.03%	7.9425	+24.93%	0.2572	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.9469	-0.66%	8.0225	+34.01%	0.3323	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.7704	-0.54%	8.044	+38.65%	0.3092	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.2921	-0.93%	8.6855	+36.76%	0.3305	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.768	-0.97%	9.31	+36.22%	0.3995	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.7251	-1.07%	7.776	+14.39%	0.2547	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.2794	-0.85%	8.262	+30.45%	0.3619	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.3823	-0.87%	6.3575	-1.25%	0.0960	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.7225	-1.03%	5.9865	-11.87%	0.0317	✓	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.7143	-0.69%	5.8015	-14.19%	0.0141	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.9151	-0.92%	6.351	-9.00%	0.0171	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.7865	-0.90%	6.8345	-0.20%	0.0605	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.5332	-0.69%	6.798	+3.34%	0.0618	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.6898	-0.88%	6.3335	-6.16%	0.0342	✓	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.8228	-1.09%	6.438	-6.67%	0.0327	✓	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.7921	-1.03%	6.7925	-1.02%	0.0348	✓	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.9375	-0.60%	6.761	-3.12%	0.0895	✓	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.1384	-0.68%	6.979	-2.90%	0.0718	✓	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.1953	-0.79%	6.848	-5.58%	0.1310	✓	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	7.0451	-0.76%	6.5785	-7.33%	0.1315	✓	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	7.0774	-0.76%	6.7495	-5.36%	0.1124	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.4163	-1.20%	6.898	-8.10%	0.0993	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.4131	-1.17%	6.8625	-8.51%	0.0319	✓	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.5135	-1.06%	6.979	-8.10%	0.0079	✓	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.7181	-1.02%	7.1875	-7.83%	0.0058	✓	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.695	-1.33%	7.2525	-7.01%	0.0292	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	6.9973	-1.05%	7.099	+0.39%	0.0623	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.4696	-0.67%	7.1315	+9.49%	0.1919	✗	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.621	-0.68%	7.506	-13.53%	0.0200	✓	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.8639	-0.47%	7.5005	-15.78%	0.0564	✓	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.7081	-0.49%	7.594	-13.22%	0.0687	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.9176	-0.38%	7.798	-12.89%	0.0544	✓	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.597	-0.26%	7.799	-9.52%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.5041	-0.45%	7.0715	-17.22%	0.0841	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.7074	-0.22%	6.5135	-25.36%	0.2109	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.7667	-0.23%	8.6805	-1.21%	0.0190	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.6074	-0.33%	8.906	+3.13%	0.0054	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.1601	-0.44%	8.751	+6.77%	0.0084	✗	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.4038	-0.60%	8.952	+5.88%	0.0253	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.6268	-0.82%	8.6195	-0.90%	0.1048	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.4869	-0.91%	8.5425	-0.26%	0.1131	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.6693	-1.01%	8.7265	-0.35%	0.1115	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.4439	-1.04%	8.787	+2.98%	0.0691	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.9671	-1.27%	8.6355	-4.92%	0.0853	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.9324	-1.41%	8.1965	-9.54%	0.1050	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.9831	-1.47%	8.4545	-7.27%	0.0754	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.5037	-1.29%	8.698	-9.66%	0.0612	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.4023	-1.36%	8.565	-10.14%	0.0380	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.4689	-1.33%	8.7575	-8.74%	0.0221	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.7223	-1.44%	8.533	-13.49%	0.0545	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.6732	-1.46%	9.082	-7.49%	0.0343	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.