XCH

Chia · native · gru_s9

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

77.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1468

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0230

actual -0.0875

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4109	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4475	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.4946	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.499	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.523	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5308	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5274	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5058	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5486	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5096	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5132	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5112	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4388	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.3969	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4227	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5014	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5084	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5104	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.4912	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.4496	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5053	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5162	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.4974	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.4619	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.4987	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.5607	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.5626	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.5527	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.4769	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.5714	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.6378	-4.83%	1.4765	-14.21%	0.0735	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.4803	-3.85%	1.512	-1.79%	0.0093	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.4789	-3.69%	1.5675	+2.08%	0.0541	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4558	-3.24%	1.57	+4.35%	0.0680	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3608	-4.27%	1.6035	+12.80%	0.1334	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3426	-2.75%	1.6015	+16.01%	0.1442	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.329	-2.78%	1.5965	+16.79%	0.1446	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.4338	-2.53%	1.576	+7.14%	0.0770	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4405	-2.60%	1.6315	+10.31%	0.0915	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4612	-2.19%	1.586	+6.16%	0.0587	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4604	-1.92%	1.5905	+6.82%	0.0528	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4695	-1.57%	1.5935	+6.73%	0.0467	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5439	-1.69%	1.521	-3.15%	0.0362	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.5856	-2.03%	1.469	-9.24%	0.0928	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6139	-1.89%	1.495	-9.12%	0.0974	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.5001	+0.44%	1.5675	+4.95%	0.0125	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4509	+0.10%	1.5835	+9.24%	0.0517	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4214	+0.38%	1.5855	+11.97%	0.0615	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.4514	+0.72%	1.5745	+9.26%	0.0566	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4148	-0.29%	1.534	+8.10%	0.0300	✗	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4463	-0.11%	1.599	+10.43%	0.0481	✗	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4308	+0.51%	1.625	+14.16%	0.0919	✓	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4389	+1.84%	1.593	+12.74%	0.0532	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4306	+3.40%	1.558	+12.61%	0.0467	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.4468	+3.38%	1.5795	+12.86%	0.0389	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.4847	+5.22%	1.649	+16.87%	0.0744	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.4413	+4.55%	1.6535	+19.95%	0.1004	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.4524	+4.72%	1.63	+17.52%	0.0705	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.472	+6.05%	1.544	+11.24%	0.0057	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.5605	+4.38%	1.626	+8.76%	0.0311	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.5819	+5.04%	1.721	+14.28%	0.0018	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.64	+7.79%	1.5395	+1.18%	0.0883	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.4897	+3.42%	1.5355	+6.59%	0.0421	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4355	-0.72%	1.5045	+4.05%	0.0789	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3348	-3.20%	1.4215	+3.08%	0.0712	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3415	-3.00%	1.3805	-0.18%	0.1112	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3183	-4.23%	1.367	-0.69%	0.1206	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.2701	-4.36%	1.471	+10.77%	0.0342	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2453	-4.54%	1.479	+13.38%	0.0071	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.254	-4.64%	1.494	+13.61%	0.0183	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2429	-4.47%	1.489	+14.45%	0.0188	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.3019	-3.09%	1.493	+11.13%	0.0155	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3294	-3.18%	1.5705	+14.38%	0.0137	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.2947	-2.88%	1.6185	+21.42%	0.0736	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3778	-1.97%	1.645	+17.04%	0.0205	✗	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.2905	-1.60%	1.4935	+13.88%	0.0261	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.349	-1.10%	1.4495	+6.27%	0.1052	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4316	-1.91%	1.416	-2.98%	0.1842	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.472	-2.68%	1.441	-4.73%	0.2155	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.4836	-3.63%	1.419	-7.83%	0.2068	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6114	-6.86%	1.448	-16.30%	0.2706	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.4019	-3.71%	1.4235	-2.23%	0.1499	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3626	-3.77%	1.413	-0.21%	0.1193	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.3812	-3.78%	1.3835	-3.62%	0.1388	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3197	-3.57%	1.3995	+2.27%	0.0739	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.2888	-3.39%	1.411	+5.77%	0.0623	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.232	-2.34%	1.3785	+9.27%	0.0293	✓	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.2925	-2.08%	1.387	+5.08%	0.0460	✓	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.249	-2.31%	1.388	+8.56%	0.0241	✓	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1381	-1.55%	1.495	+29.33%	0.1546	✗	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1452	-1.15%	1.506	+30.00%	0.1702	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2332	-0.51%	1.5215	+22.75%	0.1079	✗	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.197	-0.70%	1.4405	+19.49%	0.1291	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.1888	-1.42%	1.446	+19.90%	0.1555	✗	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2553	-1.97%	1.379	+7.69%	0.0940	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.2949	-2.16%	1.383	+4.50%	0.0693	✗	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3315	-2.60%	1.3765	+0.69%	0.0454	✗	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.3532	-2.76%	1.328	-4.56%	0.0106	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4366	-3.03%	1.3045	-11.95%	0.0788	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.366	-2.74%	1.315	-6.37%	0.0219	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.3605	-2.82%	1.301	-7.07%	0.0575	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.3865	-2.83%	1.3435	-5.85%	0.0292	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4106	-2.75%	1.373	-5.34%	0.0285	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4442	-2.85%	1.333	-10.33%	0.0876	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.4898	-3.07%	1.4055	-8.56%	0.0769	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.4922	-1.41%	1.3115	-13.35%	0.1562	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5387	-1.14%	1.364	-12.37%	0.1302	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.5965	-1.42%	1.4595	-9.88%	0.0958	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.5803	-1.29%	1.5125	-5.53%	0.0487	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.641	-0.91%	1.5395	-7.04%	0.0678	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6637	-0.94%	1.73	+3.01%	0.0287	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7147	-0.91%	1.456	-15.86%	0.1777	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.728	-1.42%	1.416	-19.22%	0.2321	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.6921	-1.77%	1.4355	-16.66%	0.2363	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5493	-0.97%	1.3685	-12.53%	0.1728	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.5988	-1.12%	1.334	-17.50%	0.2388	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.6072	-0.23%	1.2615	-21.69%	0.2916	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6919	-0.00%	1.32	-21.99%	0.3174	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.7054	+0.02%	1.2785	-25.01%	0.3484	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.7124	+0.38%	1.156	-32.24%	0.4362	✗	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.8186	+0.31%	1.1585	-36.10%	0.4819	✗	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.904	+0.11%	1.2395	-34.83%	0.4558	✗	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8946	-0.31%	1.2055	-36.57%	0.4928	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.8776	-0.60%	1.206	-36.16%	0.4553	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.9062	-1.00%	1.2805	-33.50%	0.4135	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.968	-1.55%	1.3235	-33.79%	0.4220	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.9888	-1.64%	1.367	-32.39%	0.3677	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0222	-2.05%	1.3915	-32.60%	0.3495	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0358	-2.50%	1.4815	-29.05%	0.2960	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.074	-2.79%	1.4045	-34.17%	0.3799	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.0965	-3.12%	1.4	-35.30%	0.3711	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.9712	-2.51%	1.427	-29.43%	0.3260	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	1.9792	-2.84%	1.4505	-28.79%	0.3139	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.9536	-2.40%	1.4865	-25.73%	0.3139	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	2.0055	-2.57%	1.537	-25.33%	0.2888	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.1173	-3.45%	1.5135	-30.98%	0.3234	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.1293	-3.91%	1.5565	-29.76%	0.3137	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	1.9811	-2.22%	1.6195	-20.06%	0.2427	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.1059	-3.36%	1.601	-26.53%	0.3066	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.1145	-3.93%	1.656	-24.76%	0.2350	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.1079	-4.32%	1.6795	-23.76%	0.2068	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.1365	-5.04%	1.7305	-23.09%	0.1394	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.3184	-6.10%	1.753	-29.00%	0.1333	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.2189	-5.08%	1.7225	-26.31%	0.0438	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.2377	-5.02%	1.5645	-33.60%	0.1778	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.314	-5.43%	1.617	-33.92%	0.1695	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.2141	-4.97%	1.611	-30.86%	0.1332	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.4456	-5.63%	1.692	-34.71%	0.1868	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.5452	-5.98%	1.705	-37.02%	0.2021	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.7387	-7.49%	1.706	-42.37%	0.2721	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.5772	-6.45%	1.813	-34.19%	0.1730	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.6939	-8.56%	1.902	-35.44%	0.1881	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.715	-7.62%	1.9005	-35.34%	0.2009	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	2.9966	-11.09%	1.889	-43.95%	0.3099	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.1582	-13.13%	1.9255	-47.04%	0.3347	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	2.934	-12.41%	1.999	-40.32%	0.2276	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.6108	-7.76%	2.022	-28.56%	0.1098	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.5346	-4.62%	2.0645	-22.31%	0.0686	✓	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.509	-4.02%	2.088	-20.12%	0.0469	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3506	-1.67%	2.1335	-10.75%	0.0651	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.4802	-2.49%	2.164	-14.92%	0.0633	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4376	-3.42%	2.022	-19.89%	0.0068	✓	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.235	+0.95%	2.037	-7.99%	0.1314	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.3167	-0.14%	2.0015	-13.73%	0.1205	✗	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4278	-0.21%	2.0585	-15.39%	0.0988	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3432	+0.14%	2.193	-6.28%	0.1585	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.374	-1.25%	2.216	-7.82%	0.1435	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.2113	+1.32%	2.026	-7.17%	0.1516	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.1783	+3.16%	2.179	+3.20%	0.2492	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.1773	+2.63%	2.201	+3.75%	0.1923	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.1565	+1.96%	2.203	+4.16%	0.1871	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1598	+1.02%	2.25	+5.24%	0.1643	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.1645	+0.77%	2.469	+14.94%	0.2054	✓	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.1798	+0.27%	2.3375	+7.52%	0.1161	✓	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.2234	-1.60%	2.356	+4.27%	0.0839	✗	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2253	-1.93%	2.447	+7.84%	0.1196	✗	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2372	-1.10%	2.33	+3.01%	0.0692	✗	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.2699	-0.03%	2.5915	+14.14%	0.1632	✗	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.384	+0.76%	2.707	+14.41%	0.1551	✓	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.3847	+1.30%	2.9605	+25.76%	0.2203	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.5157	+2.43%	2.755	+12.17%	0.0958	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.6733	+2.88%	2.946	+13.37%	0.1134	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.822	+1.48%	2.939	+5.68%	0.0685	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.6249	+1.52%	3.3705	+30.36%	0.2383	✓	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.485	+0.38%	3.6355	+46.86%	0.3646	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.3814	-0.48%	3.3495	+39.97%	0.3123	✗	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.4566	+0.49%	2.8305	+15.79%	0.1299	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.3594	+3.12%	2.6575	+16.15%	0.1159	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.3531	+1.64%	2.614	+12.92%	0.0758	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.2466	+2.37%	2.3905	+8.93%	0.0204	✓	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.2012	+2.10%	2.5435	+17.97%	0.0767	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2847	+1.93%	2.524	+12.60%	0.0517	✓	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.2084	-1.17%	2.214	-0.92%	0.0989	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.305	-0.54%	2.32	+0.11%	0.0809	✓	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2762	-0.08%	2.433	+6.80%	0.0271	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3568	-1.74%	2.34	-2.44%	0.1004	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.2801	-1.70%	2.404	+3.64%	0.0429	✓	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3267	-2.54%	2.1825	-8.59%	0.1487	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2139	-4.41%	2.1115	-8.83%	0.1793	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.2604	-4.61%	2.1215	-10.47%	0.1884	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.2286	-4.98%	2.115	-9.83%	0.1916	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.2814	-4.58%	2.138	-10.58%	0.1952	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3414	-2.91%	2.148	-10.93%	0.2182	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4442	-2.39%	2.174	-13.18%	0.2297	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5331	-2.80%	2.2595	-13.30%	0.2060	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5329	-2.82%	2.269	-12.95%	0.2143	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.5603	-2.71%	2.262	-14.04%	0.2440	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6017	-2.67%	2.2705	-15.06%	0.2631	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.544	-2.34%	2.366	-9.17%	0.2124	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.7436	-2.66%	2.354	-16.48%	0.2519	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.7912	-1.79%	2.456	-13.58%	0.1960	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.7665	-1.83%	2.5985	-7.79%	0.1482	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.6956	-1.39%	2.781	+1.74%	0.0499	✓	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.558	-2.39%	2.5855	-1.34%	0.0857	✓	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.5941	-2.24%	2.4755	-6.71%	0.1254	✓	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6463	-1.68%	2.393	-11.09%	0.1384	✓	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.6803	-1.86%	2.4445	-10.49%	0.1577	✓	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.7896	-1.67%	2.288	-19.35%	0.2647	✓	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.0639	-2.75%	2.315	-26.52%	0.2937	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.9587	-0.78%	2.1945	-26.41%	0.2982	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7718	-0.26%	2.156	-22.42%	0.2660	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7208	-0.48%	2.2415	-18.01%	0.2294	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6455	-0.36%	2.2345	-15.84%	0.1667	✓	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.5979	-0.08%	2.3175	-10.87%	0.1429	✓	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.5643	-0.18%	2.278	-11.33%	0.1498	✓	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5257	-0.03%	2.3985	-5.07%	0.0725	✓	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5243	-0.52%	2.3195	-8.59%	0.1153	✓	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5265	-1.23%	2.3875	-6.67%	0.1285	✓	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.4918	-0.55%	2.316	-7.56%	0.0929	✓	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.5786	-0.88%	2.3695	-8.92%	0.0955	✓	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7135	-0.97%	2.3455	-14.40%	0.1024	✓	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.8183	-1.90%	2.391	-16.78%	0.0965	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.6542	-1.48%	2.4115	-10.49%	0.0785	✓	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6286	-1.05%	2.504	-5.74%	0.0402	✓	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.591	-1.13%	2.606	-0.55%	0.0257	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.6882	-1.55%	2.6065	-4.54%	0.0279	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.6723	-0.71%	2.6315	-2.23%	0.0166	✓	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.6439	-0.36%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0263	✗	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6177	-0.51%	2.605	-0.99%	0.0166	✗	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.3996	-0.24%	2.8185	+17.17%	0.1016	✗	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.5904	-0.56%	2.842	+9.10%	0.0120	✗	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7118	-1.01%	2.818	+2.87%	0.0039	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.6618	-0.12%	2.7335	+2.57%	0.0078	✓	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.6552	-0.03%	2.6205	-1.34%	0.0115	✓	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6197	+0.24%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0103	✗	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7191	+0.08%	2.6915	-0.94%	0.0592	✗	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.9124	-0.22%	2.731	-6.44%	0.0926	✓	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9174	-0.33%	2.837	-3.07%	0.0553	✓	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.9487	-0.60%	3.1505	+6.20%	0.0085	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.0633	-1.09%	2.982	-3.71%	0.0832	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.8844	-0.78%	2.779	-4.40%	0.0818	✓	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.8019	-0.43%	2.734	-2.84%	0.0812	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.963	-1.00%	2.655	-11.29%	0.1519	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.0234	-1.45%	2.6	-15.25%	0.1692	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.0388	-1.06%	2.569	-16.36%	0.1691	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.2072	-1.47%	2.5265	-22.38%	0.2351	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.357	-1.94%	2.5375	-25.88%	0.2709	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.2795	-1.54%	2.558	-23.21%	0.1934	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.0691	-0.16%	2.5055	-18.49%	0.2610	✓	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.282	-1.91%	2.6015	-22.25%	0.1524	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.2977	-1.85%	2.74	-18.45%	0.1112	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.3799	-2.13%	2.873	-16.81%	0.0709	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.3605	-2.00%	2.694	-21.43%	0.0793	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.4506	-2.72%	2.6565	-25.11%	0.0989	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.6315	-3.19%	2.6205	-30.14%	0.0147	✓	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.7836	-3.58%	2.7305	-30.42%	0.0289	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	3.9146	-3.26%	2.6915	-33.49%	0.0257	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.0648	-3.76%	2.6535	-37.17%	0.0552	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.0444	-3.68%	2.631	-37.34%	0.0878	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.8571	-3.75%	2.4055	-39.98%	0.0805	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.0508	-3.80%	2.605	-38.14%	0.0264	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.0033	-4.29%	2.7395	-34.51%	0.0150	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.1848	-3.40%	2.665	-38.48%	0.0947	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.4208	-3.74%	2.656	-42.17%	0.1559	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.3473	-3.82%	2.6135	-42.18%	0.1558	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.475	-3.04%	2.717	-41.13%	0.0579	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.7413	-3.24%	2.919	-40.43%	0.0531	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.8241	-2.99%	2.927	-41.14%	0.0780	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.8313	-2.90%	2.9665	-40.38%	0.0585	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	4.9541	-2.97%	3.097	-39.34%	0.0589	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.2437	-3.37%	2.907	-46.43%	0.1431	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.2251	-4.39%	2.814	-48.51%	0.1458	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	4.9124	-5.79%	2.993	-42.60%	0.0948	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.0784	-8.49%	3.068	-44.72%	0.1387	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.6677	-8.10%	3.0715	-39.53%	0.0898	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	4.8787	-6.49%	3.255	-37.61%	0.0633	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.6099	-7.47%	3.4235	-31.28%	0.0587	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.6599	-8.13%	3.331	-34.33%	0.0831	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.6769	-7.86%	3.074	-39.44%	0.2406	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	4.7992	-8.03%	3.346	-35.88%	0.0532	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.4094	-7.11%	3.36	-29.22%	0.0314	✓	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.4421	-6.09%	3.4535	-26.99%	0.0248	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.5179	-6.42%	3.429	-28.98%	0.0226	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.4416	-6.14%	3.547	-25.04%	0.0304	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.378	-4.19%	3.751	-17.91%	0.0916	✓	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.452	-4.10%	3.924	-15.48%	0.0548	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.4972	-3.61%	4.0465	-13.27%	0.1427	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.6216	-3.72%	4.2235	-12.01%	0.1124	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.7444	-5.14%	4.199	-16.05%	0.1300	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.4279	-3.17%	4.0075	-12.37%	0.0868	✓	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.5921	-4.08%	4.211	-12.04%	0.1201	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.7823	-3.52%	4.183	-15.61%	0.1665	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.655	-3.41%	4.332	-10.12%	0.1074	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.6695	-3.44%	4.5925	-5.04%	0.0306	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.6425	-3.70%	4.52	-6.24%	0.0210	✓	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.6844	-4.05%	4.6155	-5.46%	0.0875	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.7176	-3.87%	4.9	-0.15%	0.0567	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.3668	-3.16%	4.973	+10.28%	0.0327	✓	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.4393	-3.31%	4.9755	+8.36%	0.0418	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.6897	-2.88%	5.1055	+5.74%	0.0429	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.722	-3.08%	5.4265	+11.38%	0.0368	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	4.9177	-2.54%	5.465	+8.30%	0.0137	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.1044	-2.57%	5.2145	-0.47%	0.0057	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.155	-2.65%	5.5495	+4.80%	0.0638	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.3178	-3.08%	5.079	-7.44%	0.0099	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.4265	-3.99%	5.2175	-7.69%	0.0137	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.565	-3.23%	4.982	-13.37%	0.0830	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.322	-3.09%	5.072	-7.64%	0.0586	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.3338	-3.32%	5.076	-7.99%	0.1042	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.4228	-2.97%	5.218	-6.64%	0.1150	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.3654	-2.97%	4.747	-14.15%	0.1586	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.5715	-3.14%	4.73	-17.77%	0.1387	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.7134	-3.01%	4.828	-18.04%	0.1101	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	5.8975	-3.31%	4.732	-22.42%	0.1755	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.3977	-1.94%	4.5695	-16.99%	0.1881	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.7861	-1.91%	4.6425	-21.30%	0.1864	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.8652	-1.75%	4.6655	-21.84%	0.1651	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.7871	-1.69%	4.8	-18.46%	0.1354	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.8704	-1.55%	5.0015	-16.12%	0.1007	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	5.9933	-1.82%	4.573	-25.09%	0.2185	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	5.98	-2.07%	4.7875	-21.60%	0.2197	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.1239	-2.16%	4.957	-20.80%	0.2001	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.1031	-2.15%	4.8195	-22.73%	0.2471	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.0947	-2.44%	4.836	-22.59%	0.3023	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.2543	-2.83%	4.821	-25.10%	0.3254	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.5577	-3.43%	4.882	-28.11%	0.3271	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.6674	-4.10%	4.9075	-29.41%	0.2451	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	6.8726	-4.77%	4.5095	-37.51%	0.2853	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	6.8962	-5.06%	4.5915	-36.79%	0.2990	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.132	-4.65%	4.8285	-35.45%	0.2780	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.3361	-4.84%	4.872	-36.80%	0.2478	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.4836	-5.52%	5.046	-36.29%	0.2814	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.5248	-5.26%	5.239	-34.04%	0.1898	✓	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.5499	-5.89%	5.2955	-33.99%	0.1455	✓	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.6864	-4.45%	5.487	-31.79%	0.1528	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.1608	-6.04%	5.652	-34.93%	0.1311	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.4336	-9.41%	5.751	-38.23%	0.1732	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.3699	-5.22%	5.4915	-29.38%	0.0980	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.5944	-8.08%	5.517	-33.22%	0.1072	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.1926	-2.59%	5.589	-12.09%	0.0812	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.8808	-1.77%	5.5295	-7.63%	0.1665	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.7107	-1.57%	5.752	-0.85%	0.1548	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.2101	-2.22%	5.891	-7.24%	0.1440	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.6779	-2.29%	6.0995	-10.75%	0.1933	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.627	-2.52%	5.5045	-19.03%	0.1786	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.2021	-2.08%	5.899	-6.86%	0.2356	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.3073	-2.03%	5.9695	-7.28%	0.2075	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.645	-2.17%	5.8865	-13.34%	0.1580	✗	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.6908	-1.04%	5.9625	-11.81%	0.2030	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.8779	-1.45%	6.1045	-12.53%	0.2278	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.7572	-1.33%	6.1065	-10.83%	0.3055	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.4904	-1.34%	6.259	-4.86%	0.3196	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.6208	-1.91%	6.237	-7.59%	0.3147	✗	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.7338	-2.38%	6.247	-9.44%	0.3271	✗	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.6936	-2.46%	6.4365	-6.21%	0.3247	✗	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.8622	-1.67%	6.7905	-2.70%	0.3386	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.0651	-1.70%	6.9525	-3.27%	0.2819	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.106	-2.02%	7.2165	-0.50%	0.2583	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	6.9505	-2.09%	7.2635	+2.32%	0.2789	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	6.986	-2.04%	7.48	+4.89%	0.2572	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.3062	-2.66%	7.709	+2.70%	0.2439	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.3088	-2.56%	7.9205	+5.60%	0.3245	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.4229	-2.25%	7.9425	+4.59%	0.2640	✗	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.631	-2.14%	8.0225	+2.88%	0.2477	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.575	-2.87%	8.044	+3.14%	0.2314	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	6.8806	-2.70%	8.6855	+22.82%	0.2977	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.3967	-1.79%	9.31	+42.93%	0.4965	✗	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.5908	-1.03%	7.776	-10.42%	0.0755	✗	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.8601	-0.52%	8.262	-7.23%	0.1133	✗	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.7115	-0.45%	6.3575	-27.35%	0.1412	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.9765	+0.27%	5.9865	-33.13%	0.2198	✗	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.6531	+0.39%	5.8015	-32.69%	0.2031	✗	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.5449	+0.03%	6.351	-25.65%	0.1576	✗	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.7376	+0.13%	6.8345	-21.68%	0.1443	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.7955	+0.10%	6.798	-22.64%	0.1649	✗	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.6017	-0.39%	6.3335	-26.66%	0.2247	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.1163	-0.98%	6.438	-21.45%	0.1805	✓	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.3339	-1.43%	6.7925	-19.66%	0.1651	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.5107	-2.15%	6.761	-22.27%	0.2370	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.3479	-2.53%	6.979	-18.52%	0.2219	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.517	-2.75%	6.848	-21.80%	0.2650	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.2833	-2.93%	6.5785	-22.91%	0.2562	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.7783	-3.34%	6.7495	-25.68%	0.2414	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.7151	-3.81%	6.898	-23.87%	0.2159	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.765	-3.87%	6.8625	-24.73%	0.1966	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.291	-3.50%	6.979	-27.51%	0.2236	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.1859	-3.63%	7.1875	-24.60%	0.1983	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.2506	-3.60%	7.2525	-24.42%	0.1775	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.4868	-3.82%	7.099	-28.03%	0.1961	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.4351	-3.89%	7.1315	-27.36%	0.1851	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.