UPROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s9

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4559

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0688

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.265368	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.264709	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.239924	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.213241	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.224415	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.269698	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.267212	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.262797	-4.22%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0198	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.278696	-6.28%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0006	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.198338	-0.05%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2244	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.23135	-2.10%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0103	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.208499	+0.01%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1408	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.206876	+0.53%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3361	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.200408	+1.21%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3235	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.229617	+0.19%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2187	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.242514	-0.46%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2607	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.262988	-1.28%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1885	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.281091	-2.33%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1096	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.284786	-1.90%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2695	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.270415	-1.10%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2275	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.29299	-2.30%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3190	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.383548	-5.51%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5081	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.372642	-5.36%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4709	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.287124	-1.39%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1314	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.306498	-2.72%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1121	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.349495	-4.11%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.1934	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.322548	-3.96%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1752	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.322861	-5.03%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.0850	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.373835	-5.43%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.1019	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.450394	-6.74%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.0790	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.514352	-7.67%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5034	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.438286	-5.16%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.3937	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.458943	-5.49%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.2912	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.540212	-7.62%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5363	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.447082	-5.52%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4003	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.363995	-2.62%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0499	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.313817	-1.61%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2641	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.361834	-2.43%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3244	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.367891	-2.94%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1687	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.340686	-3.76%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2982	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.363545	-4.85%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4243	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.371949	-6.18%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2435	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.385589	-7.93%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.465428	-7.28%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3407	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.515486	-7.60%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3177	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.623674	-8.18%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4530	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.711668	-9.95%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.6657	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.578117	-8.38%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.3827	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.695032	-9.70%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5014	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.743437	-11.30%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.5864	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.76727	-12.24%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4378	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.792027	-13.38%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3571	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.466507	-11.08%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3418	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.299184	-7.76%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9511	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.22628	-6.21%	0.63101	+161.55%	1.0022	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.247918	-6.34%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.1206	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.332493	-10.68%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9465	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.150023	-4.77%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7771	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.184743	-7.00%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.6046	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.134539	-4.51%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3616	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.055212	-35.12%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.7554	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.088067	-20.45%	0.24126	+117.94%	1.0140	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.07203	-31.66%	0.26469	+151.13%	1.2066	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.