UPROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s9

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +1d

assessed

62

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

64.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1483

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0160

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.274293	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.274375	-1.16%	0.276795	-0.28%	0.0156	✗	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.247089	-0.71%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0854	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.218925	-0.33%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1330	✗	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.230295	-0.34%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0653	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.279423	-0.94%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1866	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.27719	-0.98%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0353	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.271824	-0.93%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0135	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.291628	-1.93%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0179	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.199123	+0.34%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3654	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.235759	-0.24%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1241	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.209187	+0.34%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1032	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.206741	+0.47%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0006	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.199236	+0.62%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0112	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.230153	+0.42%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1129	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.244346	+0.29%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0113	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.266614	+0.08%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0854	✗	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.28723	-0.20%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0584	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.290034	-0.09%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0477	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.273866	+0.17%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0528	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.299577	-0.10%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0836	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.400681	-1.29%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3210	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.38841	-1.35%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0461	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.291374	+0.06%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.2966	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.314354	-0.23%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0519	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.362257	-0.61%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1407	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.334364	-0.45%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0784	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.337868	-0.62%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0011	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.392221	-0.77%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1432	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.476381	-1.36%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1474	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.545679	-2.05%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1139	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.457537	-0.99%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0934	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.47977	-1.20%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0360	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.570129	-2.50%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1674	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.465301	-1.67%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1558	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.371623	-0.58%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2382	✗	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.318468	-0.15%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1507	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.369157	-0.45%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1109	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.376795	-0.59%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0350	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.351933	-0.58%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0809	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.379051	-0.79%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0692	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.392395	-1.03%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0363	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.413182	-1.35%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0187	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.495337	-1.32%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1657	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.549715	-1.47%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0827	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.665905	-1.96%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1613	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.765174	-3.18%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1255	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.618045	-2.05%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2439	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.746262	-3.04%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1480	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.805464	-3.90%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.0954	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.832398	-4.79%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.860148	-5.93%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.499503	-4.79%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5931	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.314371	-3.08%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.5194	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.236625	-1.92%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.3103	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.257849	-2.58%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0357	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.352058	-5.42%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.3009	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.155048	-1.58%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8694	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.191573	-3.56%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.1898	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.138408	-1.77%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3454	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.078498	-7.76%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.5763	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.105891	-4.34%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2022	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.09813	-6.90%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0503	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.