TMX
TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #846
- symbol
- TMX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +7d
assessed
42
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
81.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3654
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0514
actual -0.3422
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00942 | 0.00935 | -0.74% | – | pending | – | – | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009117 | -0.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.00911 | -0.76% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.008945 | 0.008885 | -0.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008375 | 0.008326 | -0.59% | – | pending | – | – | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007985 | 0.007932 | -0.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00795 | 0.007886 | -0.80% | – | pending | – | – | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.00867 | -0.23% | 0.00942 | +8.40% | 0.0390 | ✗ | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.010375 | 0.010337 | -0.37% | 0.00918 | -11.52% | 0.1125 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01041 | 0.010375 | -0.34% | 0.00918 | -11.82% | 0.1260 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01259 | 0.012318 | -2.16% | 0.008945 | -28.95% | 0.2585 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.011045 | 0.010968 | -0.69% | 0.008375 | -24.17% | 0.2145 | ✓ | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010635 | 0.010599 | -0.34% | 0.007985 | -24.92% | 0.2456 | ✓ | 2.95 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.010685 | 0.010659 | -0.24% | 0.00795 | -25.60% | 0.3087 | ✓ | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.012165 | -1.66% | 0.00869 | -29.75% | 0.2762 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012635 | 0.012366 | -2.13% | 0.010375 | -17.89% | 0.0854 | ✓ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.014305 | 0.013667 | -4.46% | 0.01041 | -27.23% | 0.1236 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01564 | 0.014426 | -7.76% | 0.01259 | -19.50% | 0.0329 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.011575 | 0.011433 | -1.23% | 0.011045 | -4.58% | 0.0254 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0112 | 0.011075 | -1.12% | 0.010635 | -5.04% | 0.0237 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.01535 | 0.01431 | -6.77% | 0.010685 | -30.39% | 0.1920 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00878 | 0.008888 | +1.23% | 0.01237 | +40.89% | 0.3377 | ✓ | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008885 | 0.008919 | +0.38% | 0.012635 | +42.21% | 0.3004 | ✓ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.008805 | 0.00849 | -3.57% | 0.014305 | +62.46% | 0.4640 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01078 | 0.010961 | +1.68% | 0.01564 | +45.08% | 0.3066 | ✓ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.012155 | 0.012301 | +1.20% | 0.011575 | -4.77% | 0.0686 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.011725 | 0.011657 | -0.58% | 0.0112 | -4.48% | 0.0499 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01571 | 0.015382 | -2.09% | 0.01535 | -2.29% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01868 | 0.018004 | -3.62% | 0.00878 | -53.00% | 0.7083 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.02111 | 0.020022 | -5.16% | 0.008885 | -57.91% | 0.7823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02088 | 0.019746 | -5.43% | 0.008805 | -57.83% | 0.7707 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02122 | 0.020504 | -3.37% | 0.01078 | -49.20% | 0.6828 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.02048 | 0.019788 | -3.38% | 0.012155 | -40.65% | 0.5258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02102 | 0.020346 | -3.21% | 0.011725 | -44.22% | 0.5902 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.022235 | 0.021916 | -1.44% | 0.01571 | -29.35% | 0.4330 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.02379 | 0.02336 | -1.81% | 0.01868 | -21.48% | 0.3262 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.026725 | 0.026073 | -2.44% | 0.02111 | -21.01% | 0.3426 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.032755 | 0.031337 | -4.33% | 0.02088 | -36.25% | 0.5083 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.02957 | 0.02757 | -6.77% | 0.02122 | -28.24% | 0.3170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03304 | 0.030389 | -8.02% | 0.02048 | -38.01% | 0.4448 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03 | 0.022671 | -24.43% | 0.02102 | -29.93% | 0.1220 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.030845 | 0.020796 | -32.58% | 0.022235 | -27.91% | 0.0693 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.036275 | 0.024992 | -31.10% | 0.02379 | -34.42% | 0.0216 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.04783 | 0.039811 | -16.77% | 0.026725 | -44.13% | 0.3613 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.055525 | 0.049074 | -11.62% | 0.032755 | -41.01% | 0.3926 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.078715 | 0.078105 | -0.78% | 0.02957 | -62.43% | 0.9262 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.094865 | 0.095238 | +0.39% | 0.03304 | -65.17% | 1.0260 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.0947 | 0.095476 | +0.82% | 0.03 | -68.32% | 1.1262 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.11449 | 0.115994 | +1.31% | 0.030845 | -73.06% | 1.2646 | ✗ | 1.00 |