TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

52.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1084

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.009398	-0.23%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.00916	-0.22%	0.00942	+2.61%	0.0373	✗	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009157	-0.25%	0.00918	+0.00%	0.0396	✓	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008927	-0.20%	0.00918	+2.63%	0.0344	✗	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008366	-0.11%	0.008945	+6.81%	0.0430	✗	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007979	-0.08%	0.008375	+4.88%	0.0530	✗	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007942	-0.10%	0.007985	+0.44%	0.0296	✗	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008689	-0.01%	0.00795	-8.52%	0.1107	✓	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010364	-0.11%	0.00869	-16.24%	0.1177	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.0104	-0.10%	0.010375	-0.34%	0.0540	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.012503	-0.69%	0.01041	-17.32%	0.1120	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.011023	-0.20%	0.01259	+13.99%	0.1056	✗	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010626	-0.08%	0.011045	+3.86%	0.0256	✗	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010678	-0.07%	0.010635	-0.47%	0.0345	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.01231	-0.49%	0.010685	-13.62%	0.0858	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012557	-0.62%	0.01237	-2.10%	0.0688	✗	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.014099	-1.44%	0.012635	-11.67%	0.1020	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.015176	-2.97%	0.014305	-8.54%	0.0317	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.011516	-0.51%	0.01564	+35.12%	0.2496	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.011135	-0.58%	0.011575	+3.35%	0.0311	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014928	-2.75%	0.0112	-27.04%	0.2766	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008809	+0.33%	0.01535	+74.83%	0.5229	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.008898	+0.15%	0.00878	-1.18%	0.0113	✗	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.00875	-0.62%	0.008885	+0.91%	0.0107	✗	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.010821	+0.38%	0.008805	-18.32%	0.1817	✗	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.0122	+0.37%	0.01078	-11.31%	0.1248	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.011732	+0.06%	0.012155	+3.67%	0.0277	✓	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.015692	-0.12%	0.011725	-25.37%	0.2847	✓	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018615	-0.35%	0.01571	-15.90%	0.1697	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.020961	-0.71%	0.01868	-11.51%	0.0939	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.020741	-0.66%	0.02111	+1.10%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.021177	-0.20%	0.02088	-1.60%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.020445	-0.17%	0.02122	+3.61%	0.0381	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.020987	-0.16%	0.02048	-2.57%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.022264	+0.13%	0.02102	-5.46%	0.1151	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.0238	+0.04%	0.022235	-6.54%	0.0707	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.026702	-0.09%	0.02379	-10.98%	0.1229	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.032574	-0.55%	0.026725	-18.41%	0.1642	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.029324	-0.83%	0.032755	+10.77%	0.0929	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.032685	-1.07%	0.02957	-10.50%	0.0942	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.028594	-4.69%	0.03304	+10.13%	0.1438	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.028746	-6.81%	0.03	-2.74%	0.0340	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.033879	-6.60%	0.030845	-14.97%	0.0713	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.046256	-3.29%	0.036275	-24.16%	0.2410	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.054228	-2.34%	0.04783	-13.86%	0.1174	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.078623	-0.12%	0.055525	-29.46%	0.3322	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.094967	+0.11%	0.078715	-17.02%	0.1940	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.094828	+0.13%	0.094865	+0.17%	0.0016	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.114734	+0.21%	0.0947	-17.29%	0.1722	✗	1.00