PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s9

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

65.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2845

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0226

actual -0.2077

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.001203	0.000959776	-20.18%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.001207	0.000944172	-21.74%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.002083	+4.80%	–	pending	–	–	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003282	+0.48%	–	pending	–	–	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003623	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003932	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004707	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.004923	-2.93%	0.001203	-76.29%	1.5063	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.00478	-1.53%	0.001207	-75.14%	1.4906	✓	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004335	+0.18%	0.001988	-54.06%	0.7715	✗	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004909	-0.52%	0.003266	-33.82%	0.4125	✓	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005512	-3.38%	0.003638	-36.25%	0.3311	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.00485	+0.33%	0.003952	-18.24%	0.1278	✗	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.005002	+0.55%	0.004829	-2.92%	0.0175	✓	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005428	-0.18%	0.005071	-6.74%	0.0901	✓	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005394	-1.12%	0.004854	-11.03%	0.0160	✓	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005753	-3.18%	0.004327	-27.17%	0.1573	✓	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005533	-3.28%	0.004935	-13.74%	0.0977	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005732	-3.84%	0.005705	-4.29%	0.1430	✗	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005736	-3.74%	0.004834	-18.89%	0.0720	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006701	-3.51%	0.004975	-28.36%	0.1912	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.00726	-3.32%	0.005437	-27.59%	0.1178	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.007808	-3.40%	0.005456	-32.51%	0.3429	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.006958	-3.74%	0.005941	-17.80%	0.2630	✓	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008016	-3.07%	0.005721	-30.82%	0.3644	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008306	-2.52%	0.005961	-30.03%	0.3555	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008736	-2.18%	0.005959	-33.27%	0.3864	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010667	-2.52%	0.006944	-36.54%	0.4341	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012597	-3.54%	0.007509	-42.50%	0.5229	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010822	-2.45%	0.008083	-27.13%	0.2820	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010013	-1.45%	0.007228	-28.86%	0.2957	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.010045	-1.39%	0.00827	-18.82%	0.1575	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008766	-2.54%	0.00852	-5.27%	0.0683	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008653	-2.35%	0.00893	+0.78%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009674	-3.06%	0.010942	+9.64%	0.0841	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.007826	-3.22%	0.01306	+61.51%	0.4120	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007341	-2.47%	0.011093	+47.38%	0.3102	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007317	-2.05%	0.010161	+36.02%	0.1970	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.008953	-2.78%	0.010187	+10.62%	0.0269	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007766	-2.13%	0.008994	+13.35%	0.0916	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.00821	-2.21%	0.008861	+5.54%	0.0262	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008014	-2.08%	0.00998	+21.94%	0.1730	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006634	-1.58%	0.008086	+19.97%	0.2004	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.00694	-1.16%	0.007527	+7.20%	0.1089	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009105	-1.24%	0.00747	-18.97%	0.1607	✓	1.00