PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s9

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

47.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1178

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0050

actual -0.0481

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.001203	0.001167	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.001207	0.001169	-3.14%	0.001203	-0.33%	0.0213	✓	3.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.002017	+1.45%	0.001207	-39.31%	0.5592	✗	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003282	+0.48%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5527	✗	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003648	+0.29%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.1027	✗	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003961	+0.24%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1150	✗	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.00481	-0.41%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1908	✓	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005044	-0.54%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0140	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004846	-0.17%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0193	✗	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004343	+0.37%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1872	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.00494	+0.09%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.2024	✗	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005656	-0.87%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0382	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004847	+0.29%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1250	✓	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.00499	+0.30%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0501	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005439	+0.02%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1327	✗	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005445	-0.20%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0815	✗	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005896	-0.77%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0407	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.00568	-0.72%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0559	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005911	-0.85%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0065	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005913	-0.78%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0854	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006889	-0.79%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1578	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007453	-0.74%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0524	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.008019	-0.79%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1370	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007173	-0.76%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1240	✗	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008217	-0.64%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1303	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008478	-0.50%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008893	-0.42%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0434	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010871	-0.65%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.2005	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012891	-1.29%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1605	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.011005	-0.79%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1711	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010114	-0.46%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1137	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.010135	-0.51%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0071	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008932	-0.69%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0667	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008804	-0.64%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009872	-1.08%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1125	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.008015	-0.88%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1616	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007481	-0.61%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0751	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007433	-0.49%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0052	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.009123	-0.93%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1662	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007886	-0.62%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1373	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008335	-0.72%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0432	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008125	-0.72%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0321	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006714	-0.39%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1892	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.007002	-0.27%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009175	-0.48%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2654	✓	1.00