PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s9

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

55.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1636

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0164

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.098875	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.098443	-0.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.095336	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.086194	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.089096	-0.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.092132	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.095752	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.098075	-0.83%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0293	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.102183	-1.00%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0146	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.105883	-1.14%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.0995	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.10754	-1.31%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.2176	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.111081	-1.58%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.2264	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.110974	-1.63%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1894	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.11106	-1.70%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1472	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.110478	-1.75%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.1085	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.110709	-1.90%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0788	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.112034	-1.98%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0577	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.112942	-2.05%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0540	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.113064	-1.89%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0144	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.113863	-2.19%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0174	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.11365	-2.28%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0148	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.1149	-2.37%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0358	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.113666	-2.54%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0083	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.113007	-2.64%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0189	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.112273	-2.70%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0350	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.119082	-2.66%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0254	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.119371	-2.71%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0240	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.117536	-2.75%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0091	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.115637	-2.73%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0193	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.110728	-2.76%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0490	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.118507	-1.91%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0317	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.116015	-1.78%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0178	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.112397	-2.68%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.1016	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.113776	-2.65%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.0920	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.111948	-2.00%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.0931	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.107914	-0.91%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1514	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.108606	-0.63%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.1042	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.107417	-0.02%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.1855	✗	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.112755	-0.48%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.1036	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.11098	+0.34%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.0695	✓	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.117518	+0.12%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0223	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.11541	+0.79%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0158	✓	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.111734	+1.89%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0271	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.11899	+0.95%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.1021	✗	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.126318	+0.50%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.1801	✗	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.13232	-0.17%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1611	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.128255	+0.49%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.1679	✗	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.127068	+0.74%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.0942	✗	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.124513	+0.49%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.0966	✗	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.129086	-0.02%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.1892	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.136262	-0.21%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.1416	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.147614	-0.77%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.1573	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.157402	-0.77%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.1695	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.172229	-0.98%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.2907	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.18065	-0.93%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3542	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.185243	-1.03%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.3964	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.202337	-0.20%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4456	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.202673	-0.64%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.4016	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.210788	-0.65%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3534	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.218636	-0.57%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3226	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.229323	-0.81%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.2767	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.226829	-1.12%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.2143	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.251226	-0.43%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.2963	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.250984	-2.27%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1840	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.307924	-2.76%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.4181	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.430221	-3.99%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.8874	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.377799	-3.20%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7239	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.384082	-3.40%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.7100	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.34202	-3.54%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5904	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.340228	-3.00%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.5071	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.293872	-2.11%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2763	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.31593	-2.44%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.0956	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.321186	-2.70%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3139	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.297546	-2.37%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2619	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.269269	-2.01%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4258	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.29366	-2.36%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2224	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.277041	-2.46%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2681	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.27327	-2.30%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1082	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.26534	-2.39%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2194	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.250897	-2.41%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.2829	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.251489	-2.69%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.1849	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.25753	-3.00%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0426	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.236151	-2.36%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2068	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.23906	-2.87%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1386	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.239318	-3.18%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1635	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.207305	-2.12%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2613	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.178926	-1.28%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3598	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.178324	-1.37%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3741	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.187882	-1.92%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3684	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.179037	-0.90%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3143	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.178268	-0.84%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3342	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.170922	-0.59%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3720	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.169404	-0.57%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2441	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.175794	-0.61%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0549	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.172789	-0.62%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0596	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.171131	-0.66%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1066	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.171448	-0.72%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0580	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.168807	-0.77%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0609	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.167552	-0.78%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0092	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.168169	-0.76%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0010	✓	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.173628	-0.83%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0008	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.163701	-0.95%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0267	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.169331	-0.97%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0068	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.167564	-0.97%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0212	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.172213	-1.02%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0105	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.167802	-1.07%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0019	✓	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.170129	-1.20%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0218	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.186972	-1.40%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0761	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.187396	-1.37%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.1148	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.170401	-1.21%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0026	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.181018	-1.68%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0715	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.176674	-1.40%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0273	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.165703	-1.35%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0107	✓	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.163458	-1.49%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0346	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.156704	-1.49%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1540	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.160592	-1.63%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1401	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.15199	-1.42%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.1052	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.148698	-1.42%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.2012	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.142265	-1.28%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.2212	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.142184	-1.38%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1597	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.136975	-1.24%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.1999	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.139962	-1.32%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1458	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.136952	-1.22%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.1927	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.140742	-1.25%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.1089	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.142985	-1.25%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0732	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.142627	-1.26%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0264	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.149218	-1.28%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0188	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.155336	-1.34%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.0979	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.162509	-1.37%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1241	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.181609	-1.41%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2618	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.18721	-1.55%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2637	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.192516	-1.74%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2841	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.188132	-1.84%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2640	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.194297	-2.27%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2483	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.173077	-1.54%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.1007	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.17704	-1.63%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0795	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.185376	-1.85%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0109	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.174979	-1.70%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0796	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.171189	-1.29%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1313	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.172902	-1.15%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.1004	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.185014	-1.74%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0717	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.202829	-2.18%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1454	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.190497	-2.20%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0544	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.192762	-2.58%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0228	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.196738	-3.23%	0.178	-12.45%	0.1103	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.196532	-3.16%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1382	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.178112	-1.98%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0357	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.174659	-2.16%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0619	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.154415	+0.35%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.2935	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.160358	+0.06%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.1878	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.171206	-0.85%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1342	✗	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.178106	-0.85%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1267	✗	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.189541	-1.10%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0639	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.187998	-0.44%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0375	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.194899	-1.26%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.0989	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.198157	-1.18%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2616	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.198943	-0.83%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2188	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.204737	-1.03%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1694	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.197923	-0.86%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.0981	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.201184	-1.19%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0526	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.216165	-1.74%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1486	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.246617	-1.82%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2462	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.249519	-2.20%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2304	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.249861	-2.00%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2447	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.269147	-1.78%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.3015	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.267007	-1.60%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.3292	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.283694	-2.13%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3500	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.277579	-2.20%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.2406	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.268483	-2.15%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0589	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.263076	-1.64%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0459	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.277303	-2.23%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0869	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.260465	-1.89%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.0645	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.246881	-2.17%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1234	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.256981	-2.16%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1366	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.247325	-2.17%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1539	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.272499	-2.89%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0302	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.302113	-3.69%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.0897	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.336187	-5.20%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.1383	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.307581	-5.39%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.1321	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.217597	-1.41%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1483	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.204587	-1.57%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2497	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.202286	-1.55%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2228	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.199488	-1.23%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3668	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.229696	-1.66%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3435	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.221574	-1.98%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.4707	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.215523	-2.14%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.3915	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.185671	-2.30%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1093	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.176941	-1.73%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1361	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.241063	-2.92%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1645	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.279672	-5.91%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.3661	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.177927	-1.58%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2281	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.176363	-1.70%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2194	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.172856	-1.63%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2234	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.180875	-2.33%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.169206	-1.86%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0265	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.158786	-1.84%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.3925	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.16553	-1.93%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5396	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.171198	-2.02%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.168273	-1.90%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0330	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.1674	-2.19%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0296	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.187867	-2.59%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0394	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.161692	-2.22%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.141507	-1.90%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0474	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.