PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s9

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

65.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3700

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0550

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.096758	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.096517	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.09351	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.084844	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.087491	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.09025	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.093557	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.095661	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.099356	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.102755	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.104202	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.107257	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.107156	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.10712	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.106569	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.106703	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.107813	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.108622	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.108959	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.109331	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.109065	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.11015	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.108771	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.108013	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.107221	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.113808	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.114062	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.112275	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.110569	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.105944	-6.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.114712	-5.06%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.1486	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.112727	-4.56%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.1378	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.107271	-7.12%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.1023	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.109019	-6.72%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.2287	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.107739	-5.68%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.1808	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.10352	-4.94%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0771	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.104183	-4.68%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0402	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.103159	-3.98%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0007	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.108615	-4.13%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0273	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.106696	-3.53%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0461	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.112952	-3.77%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0046	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.110865	-3.17%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0630	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.107093	-2.34%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.0968	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.114761	-2.64%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0172	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.122244	-2.75%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0638	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.1295	-2.30%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.1117	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.125584	-1.60%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0665	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.124606	-1.21%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0451	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.121794	-1.71%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0219	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.127472	-1.27%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0725	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.133118	-2.51%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.1114	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.144703	-2.73%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1829	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.154599	-2.53%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2600	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.168703	-3.01%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3542	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.176898	-2.98%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.4112	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.181127	-3.23%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3723	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.199564	-1.57%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4712	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.198707	-2.59%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4784	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.206557	-2.64%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5281	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.214331	-2.53%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.6114	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.2237	-3.24%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.5890	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.220302	-3.97%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.5923	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.246325	-2.37%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7463	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.239378	-6.79%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6839	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.291828	-7.84%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9453	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.407564	-9.05%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4740	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.358396	-8.17%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3373	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.364701	-8.28%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3979	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.325561	-8.19%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2602	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.324015	-7.62%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2642	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.280688	-6.50%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0703	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.301438	-6.91%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1852	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.306368	-7.19%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.2257	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.284163	-6.76%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0968	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.257543	-6.28%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9348	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.280161	-6.85%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9749	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.264347	-6.93%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9578	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.26073	-6.78%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9599	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.25303	-6.92%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9416	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.239437	-6.86%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8669	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.239966	-7.15%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7676	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.245539	-7.52%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.7113	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.225756	-6.66%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5874	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.228324	-7.23%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4934	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.228392	-7.60%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4291	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.198915	-6.08%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2359	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.172692	-4.72%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0313	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.172297	-4.70%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0160	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.181512	-5.25%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0105	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.173335	-4.05%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1226	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.172839	-3.86%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1775	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.166029	-3.44%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2196	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.164599	-3.39%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3227	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.170657	-3.52%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3531	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.167773	-3.51%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.5983	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.166127	-3.57%	0.44811	+160.12%	0.9923	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.166298	-3.71%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8567	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.163696	-3.78%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.8988	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.162532	-3.75%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7900	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.163046	-3.78%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7843	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.168138	-3.97%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5982	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.158378	-4.17%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.7020	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.163653	-4.29%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.7040	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.16198	-4.27%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6308	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.166272	-4.44%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4971	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.161975	-4.51%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.6061	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.164079	-4.71%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5296	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.179797	-5.19%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4360	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.180162	-5.18%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.4077	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.164284	-4.76%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4452	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.174037	-5.47%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3932	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.169943	-5.16%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4388	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.159636	-4.96%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.4059	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.157456	-5.11%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4248	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.15111	-5.00%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4453	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.154763	-5.20%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2865	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.146711	-4.84%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1887	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.143704	-4.73%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.2149	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.137697	-4.45%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.3103	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.137584	-4.57%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2550	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.13278	-4.27%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2790	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.135577	-4.42%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2277	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.132523	-4.42%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2421	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.136079	-4.52%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2476	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.138166	-4.58%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2255	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.137864	-4.56%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.2174	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.144101	-4.67%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1720	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.149907	-4.78%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1289	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.156612	-4.95%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0827	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.1744	-5.33%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0234	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.179567	-5.57%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0227	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.184408	-5.88%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.1006	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.180238	-5.96%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0534	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.185801	-6.54%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0944	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.16604	-5.55%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0415	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.169667	-5.73%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0032	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.177197	-6.18%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0274	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.167359	-5.98%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1249	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.163787	-5.56%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1451	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.165244	-5.53%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0403	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.176263	-6.39%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0430	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.192718	-7.06%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0741	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.18072	-7.22%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0707	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.181958	-8.04%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0957	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.185329	-8.84%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1684	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.18521	-8.74%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1401	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.167821	-7.65%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.1049	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.164673	-7.76%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.1069	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.144927	-5.81%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0075	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.149968	-6.42%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0517	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.160703	-6.94%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1781	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.167512	-6.75%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1923	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.17912	-6.54%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2770	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.177383	-6.06%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2412	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.185489	-6.03%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2869	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.189138	-5.68%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.3111	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.190069	-5.25%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2705	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.196616	-4.95%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2603	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.190347	-4.65%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1777	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.194255	-4.59%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0888	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.208692	-5.14%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1459	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.237633	-5.40%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.3144	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.239638	-6.07%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3368	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.240163	-5.80%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.3142	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.258849	-5.54%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5682	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.257184	-5.22%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5405	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.271894	-6.20%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.5044	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.265895	-6.32%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5364	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.2574	-6.19%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5510	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.253696	-5.15%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5355	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.267272	-5.77%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4813	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.250341	-5.71%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.3192	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.236575	-6.25%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2990	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.246226	-6.26%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2828	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.236759	-6.35%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1927	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.259217	-7.62%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2614	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.286538	-8.66%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4696	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.319072	-10.03%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.6010	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.294743	-9.34%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6691	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.21041	-4.67%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2702	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.197513	-4.98%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1343	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.195347	-4.92%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0838	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.193359	-4.26%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.22251	-4.74%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1282	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.213446	-5.58%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0938	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.2075	-5.78%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0552	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.177858	-6.42%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0812	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.17049	-5.31%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1776	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.233001	-6.17%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1586	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.267842	-9.89%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.3126	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.171444	-5.16%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.1945	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.169757	-5.38%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.3029	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.16655	-5.22%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3635	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.173295	-6.42%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2573	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.162681	-5.64%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4097	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.152683	-5.61%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4563	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.159055	-5.76%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.4838	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.164428	-5.90%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4254	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.161819	-5.66%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4214	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.160717	-6.10%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3415	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.180087	-6.63%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.2951	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.155248	-6.12%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3654	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.135975	-5.74%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4586	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.