ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s9
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +7d
assessed
80
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
58.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4620
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0573
actual -0.1949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.039326 | -7.83% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.038292 | -9.20% | – | pending | – | – | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.019989 | -6.72% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.018129 | -13.05% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.02663 | -3.76% | – | pending | – | – | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.031915 | -3.84% | – | pending | – | – | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.027849 | -5.20% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.032091 | -4.66% | 0.042665 | +26.76% | 0.2500 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.033791 | -6.77% | 0.04217 | +16.35% | 0.2264 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.03353 | -8.22% | 0.02143 | -41.34% | 0.4506 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.049873 | -7.27% | 0.02085 | -61.23% | 0.8333 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.056261 | -8.14% | 0.02767 | -54.82% | 0.6720 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.054709 | -8.51% | 0.033189 | -44.50% | 0.4740 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.036994 | -12.79% | 0.029376 | -30.75% | 0.2404 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.043916 | -12.84% | 0.033658 | -33.20% | 0.2327 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.045313 | -15.14% | 0.036243 | -32.13% | 0.1813 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.059507 | -12.10% | 0.036532 | -46.03% | 0.4240 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.083723 | -10.64% | 0.053783 | -42.60% | 0.4095 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.093156 | -12.18% | 0.061248 | -42.26% | 0.3911 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.069377 | -11.04% | 0.059795 | -23.33% | 0.1183 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.076378 | -11.45% | 0.04242 | -50.82% | 0.5502 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.078971 | -12.21% | 0.050383 | -43.99% | 0.4461 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.059265 | -11.38% | 0.0534 | -20.15% | 0.1267 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.062686 | -11.67% | 0.067695 | -4.61% | 0.0498 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.080147 | -12.76% | 0.093694 | +1.99% | 0.1322 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.064398 | -12.03% | 0.106073 | +44.90% | 0.4952 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.06615 | -12.77% | 0.077989 | +2.84% | 0.1597 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.053825 | -12.18% | 0.086255 | +40.73% | 0.4661 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.057716 | -12.70% | 0.089951 | +36.06% | 0.4535 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.053317 | -12.55% | 0.066876 | +9.69% | 0.2567 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.068555 | -13.88% | 0.070965 | -10.85% | 0.0715 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.04815 | -13.00% | 0.09187 | +65.99% | 0.6062 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.048163 | -13.62% | 0.073202 | +31.29% | 0.3802 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.034504 | -12.54% | 0.075834 | +92.22% | 0.7485 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.043693 | -13.39% | 0.06129 | +21.49% | 0.2383 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.024969 | -12.53% | 0.066113 | +131.59% | 0.8711 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.014626 | -9.03% | 0.06097 | +279.23% | 1.2962 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.012912 | -9.16% | 0.079604 | +460.04% | 1.7166 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.014013 | -8.72% | 0.055348 | +260.55% | 1.3184 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.015694 | -8.94% | 0.055756 | +223.50% | 1.2176 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.01789 | -9.07% | 0.039451 | +100.52% | 0.7444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 9.26e-7 | -43.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 4.71e-7 | -58.28% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 2.86e-7 | -62.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 5.64e-7 | -61.76% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010223 | -2.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009233 | -1.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000009884 | -2.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010264 | -2.71% | 0.000001625 | -84.60% | 1.8416 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010619 | -2.75% | 0.00000113 | -89.65% | 2.2538 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010688 | -2.97% | 7.70e-7 | -93.01% | 2.6104 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000010884 | -2.87% | 0.000001475 | -86.84% | 1.9881 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012335 | -2.76% | 0.000010515 | -17.11% | 0.1523 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011399 | -2.41% | 0.0000094 | -19.52% | 0.1817 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009424 | -1.42% | 0.000010125 | +5.91% | 0.0529 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.00001025 | -1.15% | 0.00001055 | +1.74% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011584 | -1.04% | 0.00001092 | -6.71% | 0.0546 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011674 | -0.18% | 0.000011015 | -5.81% | 0.0799 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012641 | -0.23% | 0.000011205 | -11.56% | 0.1252 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013475 | -0.63% | 0.000012685 | -6.45% | 0.0417 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014569 | -0.69% | 0.00001168 | -20.38% | 0.1996 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.00001521 | -1.23% | 0.00000956 | -37.92% | 0.3945 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015295 | -0.87% | 0.00001037 | -32.79% | 0.3320 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015536 | -0.85% | 0.000011705 | -25.30% | 0.2366 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014997 | +0.18% | 0.000011695 | -21.88% | 0.2105 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015326 | +0.50% | 0.00001267 | -16.92% | 0.1705 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016669 | +0.72% | 0.00001356 | -18.07% | 0.2156 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016748 | +0.95% | 0.00001467 | -11.57% | 0.1411 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.00001748 | +0.17% | 0.0000154 | -11.75% | 0.1307 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017837 | -0.46% | 0.00001543 | -13.90% | 0.1320 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.00001717 | -0.41% | 0.00001567 | -9.11% | 0.1030 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019874 | +0.88% | 0.00001497 | -24.01% | 0.3464 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023753 | -0.70% | 0.00001525 | -36.25% | 0.4435 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027492 | -0.75% | 0.00001655 | -40.25% | 0.4902 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029298 | -0.68% | 0.00001659 | -43.76% | 0.5514 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032819 | -0.73% | 0.00001745 | -47.22% | 0.6401 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031624 | -0.46% | 0.00001792 | -43.59% | 0.6005 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033374 | -0.08% | 0.00001724 | -48.38% | 0.7051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035843 | -0.16% | 0.0000197 | -45.13% | 0.5758 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038181 | -0.05% | 0.00002392 | -37.38% | 0.5078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040335 | +0.09% | 0.0000277 | -31.27% | 0.4458 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040296 | +0.24% | 0.0000295 | -26.62% | 0.3782 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042302 | +0.00% | 0.00003306 | -21.84% | 0.3003 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044049 | -0.79% | 0.00003177 | -28.45% | 0.3159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045627 | -1.24% | 0.0000334 | -27.71% | 0.2499 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042906 | -0.45% | 0.0000359 | -16.71% | 0.1358 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041889 | -0.50% | 0.0000382 | -9.26% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040533 | -0.41% | 0.0000403 | -0.98% | 0.1149 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039533 | +0.08% | 0.0000402 | +1.77% | 0.1219 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040268 | -1.79% | 0.0000423 | +3.17% | 0.1900 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000040796 | -3.33% | 0.0000444 | +5.21% | 0.1902 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000031992 | -13.54% | 0.0000462 | +24.86% | 0.4706 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.00004377 | -6.67% | 0.0000431 | -8.10% | 0.1249 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.00005395 | -3.14% | 0.0000421 | -24.42% | 0.1422 | ✓ | 1.00 |