ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s9
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +1d
assessed
92
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
56.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1554
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0174
actual -0.0290
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.04171 | -2.24% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.040752 | -3.36% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0539 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021235 | -0.91% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6551 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020425 | -2.04% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0528 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027541 | -0.47% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.2971 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.032862 | -0.98% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1685 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029157 | -0.75% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1484 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033451 | -0.61% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1471 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.035882 | -1.00% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036093 | -1.20% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0376 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.052974 | -1.50% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3265 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.05994 | -2.14% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1270 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.058423 | -2.29% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0382 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.041495 | -2.18% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3459 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049237 | -2.27% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1182 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.051941 | -2.73% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066139 | -2.30% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2107 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.091162 | -2.70% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.2889 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.101814 | -4.02% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1098 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.075962 | -2.60% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3303 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.083537 | -3.15% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0647 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.08651 | -3.83% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065128 | -2.61% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3239 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069004 | -2.76% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0335 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.088094 | -4.11% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.070777 | -3.31% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2603 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.072835 | -3.96% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.059311 | -3.23% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2492 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.06366 | -3.71% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0380 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.05885 | -3.48% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1377 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.075712 | -4.89% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2120 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053153 | -3.97% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3391 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.053195 | -4.59% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0406 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038029 | -3.60% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3782 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.047986 | -4.88% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2534 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027334 | -4.25% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.6102 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015722 | -2.21% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5891 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.013973 | -1.70% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1740 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015103 | -1.62% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0784 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016931 | -1.77% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0919 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019274 | -2.03% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1125 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001477 | -9.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 9.71e-7 | -14.09% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.5286 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 6.47e-7 | -15.91% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.5419 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001246 | -15.54% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.4731 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010493 | -0.21% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9630 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.00000941 | +0.10% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1041 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010118 | -0.07% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0753 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010531 | -0.18% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0333 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010894 | -0.24% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0346 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010984 | -0.28% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011173 | -0.29% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.00001263 | -0.43% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1242 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011653 | -0.24% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0817 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009577 | +0.18% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1697 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010385 | +0.15% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0745 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011711 | +0.05% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1045 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011719 | +0.20% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0158 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012687 | +0.13% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013563 | +0.02% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0479 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014664 | -0.04% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0780 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015373 | -0.17% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0251 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015418 | -0.08% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015661 | -0.06% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000015001 | +0.21% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015292 | +0.28% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016597 | +0.28% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0952 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.00001665 | +0.36% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017493 | +0.24% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0275 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017949 | +0.16% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017273 | +0.19% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019775 | +0.38% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2094 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023932 | +0.05% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1474 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027696 | -0.01% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1415 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029498 | -0.01% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0621 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000033039 | -0.06% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1088 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031783 | +0.04% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0301 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033438 | +0.11% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0865 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035934 | +0.09% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0624 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038242 | +0.11% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0798 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040353 | +0.13% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0796 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040271 | +0.18% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.00004235 | +0.12% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0350 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.00004437 | -0.07% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000046105 | -0.21% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0219 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000043109 | +0.02% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0605 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000042112 | +0.03% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0456 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.00004073 | +0.07% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0474 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039575 | +0.19% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040938 | -0.15% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0169 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000042016 | -0.44% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036121 | -2.38% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1689 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046379 | -1.11% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.1975 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055424 | -0.50% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1792 | ✓ | 1.00 |