NOCK
Nockchain · Base · gru_s9
- token id
- #744
- symbol
- NOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-25
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +7d
assessed
103
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
68.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2315
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0282
actual -0.0286
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.021 | 0.020333 | -3.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.58 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.02115 | 0.020451 | -3.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.01957 | 0.019229 | -1.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.018735 | 0.018537 | -1.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01787 | 0.017841 | -0.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.01969 | -1.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.01899 | 0.018896 | -0.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.02035 | 0.020137 | -1.05% | 0.021 | +3.19% | 0.0239 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.02241 | 0.021897 | -2.29% | 0.02115 | -5.62% | 0.0322 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.02193 | 0.021593 | -1.54% | 0.01957 | -10.76% | 0.0999 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.024565 | 0.023767 | -3.25% | 0.018735 | -23.73% | 0.2082 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.027275 | 0.026047 | -4.50% | 0.01787 | -34.48% | 0.3504 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.02348 | 0.02294 | -2.30% | 0.01995 | -15.03% | 0.1216 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.020085 | 0.020042 | -0.21% | 0.01899 | -5.45% | 0.0613 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.023665 | 0.023081 | -2.47% | 0.02035 | -14.01% | 0.0988 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.024845 | 0.023902 | -3.80% | 0.02241 | -9.80% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.025125 | 0.024088 | -4.13% | 0.02193 | -12.72% | 0.0291 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.019701 | -1.25% | 0.024565 | +23.13% | 0.2670 | ✗ | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01937 | 0.019284 | -0.44% | 0.027275 | +40.81% | 0.3768 | ✗ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01954 | 0.019438 | -0.52% | 0.02348 | +20.16% | 0.2209 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.020375 | 0.020044 | -1.63% | 0.020085 | -1.42% | 0.0539 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.022815 | 0.022342 | -2.07% | 0.023665 | +3.73% | 0.0623 | ✗ | 1.41 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.024225 | 0.023724 | -2.07% | 0.024845 | +2.56% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.022935 | 0.022374 | -2.44% | 0.025125 | +9.55% | 0.0764 | ✗ | 1.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.02204 | 0.02029 | -7.94% | 0.01995 | -9.48% | 0.0545 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.030865 | 0.029388 | -4.78% | 0.01937 | -37.24% | 0.4228 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.031395 | 0.029782 | -5.14% | 0.01954 | -37.76% | 0.4291 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.03092 | 0.028923 | -6.46% | 0.020375 | -34.10% | 0.3589 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0308 | 0.028592 | -7.17% | 0.022815 | -25.93% | 0.2103 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.034533 | -6.10% | 0.024225 | -34.13% | 0.3101 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.04147 | 0.038901 | -6.20% | 0.022935 | -44.69% | 0.4749 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.038625 | 0.036403 | -5.75% | 0.02204 | -42.94% | 0.5610 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.043515 | 0.040788 | -6.27% | 0.030865 | -29.07% | 0.3352 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.048125 | 0.044273 | -8.01% | 0.031395 | -34.76% | 0.4011 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0388 | 0.036657 | -5.52% | 0.03092 | -20.31% | 0.2935 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.03942 | 0.0371 | -5.89% | 0.0308 | -21.87% | 0.3126 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.036105 | 0.034204 | -5.27% | 0.036775 | +1.86% | 0.0878 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.03963 | 0.037265 | -5.97% | 0.04147 | +4.64% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.051235 | 0.046627 | -8.99% | 0.038625 | -24.61% | 0.2599 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050925 | 0.045513 | -10.63% | 0.043515 | -14.55% | 0.1101 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03621 | 0.034117 | -5.78% | 0.048125 | +32.91% | 0.2822 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.033195 | 0.031659 | -4.63% | 0.0388 | +16.89% | 0.2066 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.030795 | 0.029633 | -3.77% | 0.03942 | +28.01% | 0.3247 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.038595 | 0.035775 | -7.31% | 0.036105 | -6.45% | 0.0603 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.03316 | 0.031244 | -5.78% | 0.03963 | +19.51% | 0.2546 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.032875 | 0.030411 | -7.49% | 0.051235 | +55.85% | 0.5880 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020793 | -0.51% | 0.050925 | +143.66% | 0.9427 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.02251 | 0.022107 | -1.79% | 0.03621 | +60.86% | 0.5384 | ✗ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.01819 | 0.018648 | +2.52% | 0.033195 | +82.49% | 0.6761 | ✓ | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.017016 | +1.77% | 0.030795 | +84.18% | 0.5728 | ✓ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020407 | -2.36% | 0.038595 | +84.67% | 0.6159 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.016965 | 0.017228 | +1.55% | 0.03316 | +95.46% | 0.6429 | ✓ | 1.78 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01601 | 0.01621 | +1.25% | 0.032875 | +105.34% | 0.6475 | ✓ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01545 | 0.015649 | +1.29% | 0.0209 | +35.28% | 0.2531 | ✓ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014115 | 0.01421 | +0.67% | 0.02251 | +59.48% | 0.4183 | ✓ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016785 | 0.016945 | +0.95% | 0.01819 | +8.37% | 0.0509 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.01661 | 0.016697 | +0.52% | 0.01672 | +0.66% | 0.0373 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.0199 | 0.019562 | -1.70% | 0.0209 | +5.03% | 0.0900 | ✗ | 1.65 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01984 | 0.019486 | -1.78% | 0.016965 | -14.49% | 0.1297 | ✓ | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.02078 | 0.020091 | -3.31% | 0.01601 | -22.95% | 0.2257 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0206 | 0.019731 | -4.22% | 0.01545 | -25.00% | 0.2702 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.02013 | 0.019321 | -4.02% | 0.014115 | -29.88% | 0.3030 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.017805 | 0.016925 | -4.94% | 0.016785 | -5.73% | 0.1687 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.01454 | 0.014102 | -3.01% | 0.01661 | +14.24% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.01529 | 0.014498 | -5.18% | 0.0199 | +30.15% | 0.0747 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.01648 | 0.015311 | -7.09% | 0.01984 | +20.39% | 0.1524 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.00971 | 0.009614 | -0.99% | 0.02078 | +114.01% | 0.5990 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.01037 | 0.010248 | -1.18% | 0.0206 | +98.65% | 0.5390 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.009505 | 0.009415 | -0.95% | 0.02013 | +111.78% | 0.5863 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.00902 | 0.008935 | -0.94% | 0.017805 | +97.39% | 0.5675 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.011985 | 0.011781 | -1.70% | 0.01454 | +21.32% | 0.1359 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.01267 | 0.012361 | -2.44% | 0.01529 | +20.68% | 0.1978 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.01093 | 0.010769 | -1.48% | 0.01648 | +50.78% | 0.4170 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.009845 | 0.009727 | -1.19% | 0.00971 | -1.37% | 0.0362 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.010245 | 0.010116 | -1.26% | 0.01037 | +1.22% | 0.0603 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010383 | -1.35% | 0.009505 | -9.69% | 0.0522 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.01052 | 0.0104 | -1.14% | 0.00902 | -14.26% | 0.1267 | ✓ | 1.19 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.011685 | 0.011539 | -1.25% | 0.011985 | +2.57% | 0.0591 | ✗ | 1.14 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.012185 | -1.29% | 0.01267 | +2.63% | 0.0485 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.011605 | 0.011495 | -0.94% | 0.01093 | -5.82% | 0.0581 | ✓ | 1.10 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.0113 | 0.011205 | -0.84% | 0.009845 | -12.88% | 0.1528 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01103 | 0.01096 | -0.64% | 0.010245 | -7.12% | 0.1033 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.012835 | 0.012705 | -1.01% | 0.010525 | -18.00% | 0.2218 | ✓ | 1.04 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.01223 | 0.012105 | -1.02% | 0.01052 | -13.98% | 0.1301 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.012565 | 0.012451 | -0.90% | 0.011685 | -7.00% | 0.0797 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012874 | -0.97% | 0.012345 | -5.04% | 0.0466 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.01546 | 0.015178 | -1.83% | 0.011605 | -24.94% | 0.2631 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.01542 | 0.015125 | -1.91% | 0.0113 | -26.72% | 0.2420 | ✓ | 1.73 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.015505 | 0.01522 | -1.84% | 0.01103 | -28.86% | 0.2800 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.01597 | 0.015641 | -2.06% | 0.012835 | -19.63% | 0.1779 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.0161 | 0.015709 | -2.43% | 0.01223 | -24.04% | 0.2453 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.014211 | -1.96% | 0.012565 | -13.31% | 0.0894 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.01253 | 0.011949 | -4.64% | 0.013 | +3.75% | 0.1253 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.015555 | 0.015245 | -2.00% | 0.01546 | -0.61% | 0.0376 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.01812 | 0.017767 | -1.95% | 0.01542 | -14.90% | 0.1518 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.01853 | 0.018171 | -1.94% | 0.015505 | -16.32% | 0.1509 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.01878 | 0.018428 | -1.87% | 0.01597 | -14.96% | 0.1461 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.020335 | 0.019898 | -2.15% | 0.0161 | -20.83% | 0.2317 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.022055 | 0.021474 | -2.63% | 0.014495 | -34.28% | 0.4140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.02333 | 0.02258 | -3.22% | 0.01253 | -46.29% | 0.6122 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.01811 | 0.017793 | -1.75% | 0.015555 | -14.11% | 0.1807 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.016905 | 0.016458 | -2.65% | 0.01812 | +7.19% | 0.0816 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.01807 | 0.017627 | -2.45% | 0.01853 | +2.55% | 0.0341 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.020035 | 0.01966 | -1.87% | 0.01878 | -6.26% | 0.0421 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.02064 | 0.020246 | -1.91% | 0.020335 | -1.48% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.02032 | 0.019912 | -2.01% | 0.022055 | +8.54% | 0.0632 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.02279 | 0.022352 | -1.92% | 0.02333 | +2.37% | 0.0169 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.020825 | 0.020395 | -2.06% | 0.01811 | -13.04% | 0.0913 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.02308 | 0.022634 | -1.93% | 0.016905 | -26.75% | 0.2943 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.02652 | 0.025851 | -2.52% | 0.01807 | -31.86% | 0.3689 | ✓ | 1.00 |