NOCK

Nockchain · Base · gru_s9

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 330

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

109

of 110 predictions shown

direction hit

60.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0961

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0078

actual -0.0059

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021	0.020884	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.021004	-0.69%	0.021	-0.71%	0.0042	✓	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.019535	-0.18%	0.02115	+8.07%	0.0600	✗	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018733	-0.01%	0.01957	+4.46%	0.0465	✗	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017906	+0.20%	0.018735	+4.84%	0.0352	✓	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.019924	-0.13%	0.01787	-10.43%	0.1069	✓	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.01902	+0.16%	0.01995	+5.06%	0.0577	✓	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.020359	+0.04%	0.01899	-6.68%	0.0786	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.022352	-0.26%	0.02035	-9.19%	0.0695	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021912	-0.08%	0.02241	+2.19%	0.0009	✗	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.024414	-0.61%	0.02193	-10.73%	0.0728	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.026951	-1.19%	0.024565	-9.94%	0.1058	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.023368	-0.48%	0.027275	+16.16%	0.1483	✗	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.020111	+0.13%	0.02348	+16.90%	0.1403	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.023556	-0.46%	0.020085	-15.13%	0.1343	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.024613	-0.93%	0.023665	-4.75%	0.0044	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.024834	-1.16%	0.024845	-1.11%	0.0037	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.019909	-0.21%	0.025125	+25.94%	0.2450	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.019366	-0.02%	0.01995	+2.99%	0.0012	✗	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.019528	-0.06%	0.01937	-0.87%	0.0120	✓	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.020331	-0.21%	0.01954	-4.10%	0.0341	✓	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.022745	-0.31%	0.020375	-10.69%	0.1317	✓	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.024131	-0.39%	0.022815	-5.82%	0.0546	✓	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.022841	-0.41%	0.024225	+5.62%	0.0557	✗	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.021719	-1.46%	0.022935	+4.06%	0.0733	✗	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.030554	-1.01%	0.02204	-28.59%	0.3275	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.031057	-1.08%	0.030865	-1.69%	0.0123	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.030539	-1.23%	0.031395	+1.54%	0.0331	✗	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.030387	-1.34%	0.03092	+0.39%	0.0173	✗	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.036292	-1.31%	0.0308	-16.25%	0.1326	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.04078	-1.66%	0.036775	-11.32%	0.0967	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.038141	-1.25%	0.04147	+7.37%	0.0125	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.042747	-1.76%	0.038625	-11.24%	0.1001	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.04673	-2.90%	0.043515	-9.58%	0.0778	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.038254	-1.41%	0.048125	+24.03%	0.1586	✗	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.038793	-1.59%	0.0388	-1.57%	0.0031	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.035704	-1.11%	0.03942	+9.18%	0.0900	✗	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.039057	-1.44%	0.036105	-8.89%	0.0396	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.049494	-3.40%	0.03963	-22.65%	0.2453	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.048537	-4.69%	0.051235	+0.61%	0.0619	✗	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.035487	-2.00%	0.050925	+40.64%	0.3603	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.032723	-1.42%	0.03621	+9.08%	0.0898	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.030487	-1.00%	0.033195	+7.79%	0.1171	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.037431	-3.02%	0.030795	-20.21%	0.1923	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.032353	-2.43%	0.038595	+16.39%	0.1882	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.031662	-3.69%	0.03316	+0.87%	0.0693	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020821	-0.38%	0.032875	+57.30%	0.4477	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.022314	-0.87%	0.0209	-7.15%	0.0683	✓	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018239	+0.27%	0.02251	+23.75%	0.2432	✓	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.01675	+0.18%	0.01819	+8.79%	0.0013	✓	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020611	-1.38%	0.01672	-20.00%	0.2073	✓	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.016974	+0.05%	0.0209	+23.19%	0.2346	✓	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.016018	+0.05%	0.016965	+5.97%	0.0372	✓	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015465	+0.10%	0.01601	+3.62%	0.0477	✓	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014112	-0.02%	0.01545	+9.46%	0.0815	✗	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.016785	+0.00%	0.014115	-15.91%	0.1228	✗	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016599	-0.07%	0.016785	+1.05%	0.0145	✓	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.019699	-1.01%	0.01661	-16.53%	0.1810	✓	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.019624	-1.09%	0.0199	+0.30%	0.0236	✗	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.020402	-1.82%	0.01984	-4.52%	0.0550	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.020106	-2.40%	0.02078	+0.87%	0.0183	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.019637	-2.45%	0.0206	+2.33%	0.0766	✗	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.017323	-2.70%	0.02013	+13.06%	0.0313	✗	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.014374	-1.14%	0.017805	+22.46%	0.1483	✗	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014954	-2.20%	0.01454	-4.91%	0.1673	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.015933	-3.32%	0.01529	-7.22%	0.0476	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.009698	-0.12%	0.01648	+69.72%	0.5094	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010349	-0.20%	0.00971	-6.36%	0.0614	✓	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.009496	-0.10%	0.01037	+9.10%	0.0875	✗	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.009014	-0.06%	0.009505	+5.38%	0.0592	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011937	-0.40%	0.00902	-24.74%	0.2804	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012574	-0.76%	0.011985	-5.41%	0.0464	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.010893	-0.34%	0.01267	+15.92%	0.1568	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009827	-0.18%	0.01093	+11.02%	0.1239	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.010224	-0.20%	0.009845	-3.90%	0.0367	✓	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.010497	-0.26%	0.010245	-2.66%	0.0246	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010505	-0.14%	0.010525	+0.05%	0.0096	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011661	-0.20%	0.01052	-9.97%	0.0971	✓	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.012316	-0.24%	0.011685	-5.35%	0.0626	✓	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.01159	-0.13%	0.012345	+6.38%	0.0530	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.011292	-0.07%	0.011605	+2.70%	0.0279	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.011029	-0.01%	0.0113	+2.45%	0.0118	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012818	-0.13%	0.01103	-14.06%	0.1492	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.012218	-0.10%	0.012835	+4.95%	0.0924	✗	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012555	-0.08%	0.01223	-2.67%	0.0451	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012988	-0.09%	0.012565	-3.35%	0.0343	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.015402	-0.38%	0.013	-15.91%	0.1731	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.015364	-0.36%	0.01546	+0.26%	0.0505	✗	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.01545	-0.36%	0.01542	-0.55%	0.0300	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015893	-0.48%	0.015505	-2.91%	0.0280	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.01599	-0.68%	0.01597	-0.81%	0.0137	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.014438	-0.39%	0.0161	+11.07%	0.1247	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.012431	-0.79%	0.014495	+15.68%	0.1600	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.015511	-0.28%	0.01253	-19.45%	0.2332	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.01806	-0.33%	0.015555	-14.16%	0.1575	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.018466	-0.35%	0.01812	-2.21%	0.0171	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.018712	-0.36%	0.01853	-1.33%	0.0238	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.020238	-0.48%	0.01878	-7.65%	0.0767	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.021893	-0.73%	0.020335	-7.80%	0.0591	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.023087	-1.04%	0.022055	-5.47%	0.0416	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.018048	-0.34%	0.02333	+28.82%	0.2139	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.016832	-0.43%	0.01811	+7.13%	0.0966	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.017996	-0.41%	0.016905	-6.45%	0.0620	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.01997	-0.32%	0.01807	-9.81%	0.0944	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.020573	-0.33%	0.020035	-2.93%	0.0415	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.020254	-0.32%	0.02064	+1.57%	0.0039	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022703	-0.38%	0.02032	-10.84%	0.0936	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020751	-0.36%	0.02279	+9.44%	0.1044	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.022997	-0.36%	0.020825	-9.77%	0.1058	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.02635	-0.64%	0.02308	-12.97%	0.1403	✓	1.00