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MSFTX

Microsoft xStock · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id
#605
symbol
MSFTX
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x5621737f42dae558b81269fcb9e9e70c19aa6b35
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2025-11-25
predictions
786
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
188
of 262 predictions shown
direction hit
46.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0850
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0437
actual +0.0248

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos531.055499.8545-5.88%–pending––0.07
2026-10-21oos530.886503.2501-5.21%–pending––0.07
2026-10-20oos529.0269499.5035-5.58%–pending––0.08
2026-10-19oos532.8345498.426-6.46%–pending––0.09
2026-10-18oos526.7454498.2971-5.40%–pending––0.09
2026-10-17oos527.6699499.1671-5.40%–pending––0.10
2026-10-16oos527.6898499.7141-5.30%–pending––0.10
2026-10-15oos536.9949506.488-5.68%–pending––0.09
2026-10-14oos531.9497500.5498-5.90%–pending––0.09
2026-10-13oos541.0907513.1625-5.16%–pending––0.08
2026-10-12oos541.1951509.5041-5.86%–pending––0.07
2026-10-11oos536.13514.2856-4.07%–pending––0.06
2026-10-10oos534.8327511.5909-4.35%–pending––0.08
2026-10-09oos534.9768511.1004-4.46%–pending––0.08
2026-10-08oos522.4756496.2734-5.02%–pending––0.07
2026-10-07oos529.6532513.5185-3.05%–pending––0.06
2026-10-06oos529.4942516.2032-2.51%–pending––0.05
2026-10-05oos525.0852512.7851-2.34%–pending––0.07
2026-10-04oos517.8778510.6948-1.39%–pending––0.06
2026-10-03oos518.4096508.5442-1.90%–pending––0.06
2026-10-02oos518.3699509.1335-1.78%–pending––0.06
2026-10-01oos514.8357506.1265-1.69%–pending––0.06
2026-09-30oos514.4331502.919-2.24%–pending––0.06
2026-09-29oos509.4575497.9146-2.27%–pending––0.08
2026-09-28oos514.1746503.4385-2.09%–pending––0.09
2026-09-27oos516.9532508.1569-1.70%–pending––0.07
2026-09-26oos517.4155509.656-1.50%–pending––0.07
2026-09-25oos517.4155510.4384-1.35%–pending––0.07
2026-09-24oos495.992492.1165-0.78%–pending––0.07
2026-09-23oos499.9088494.3921-1.10%–pending––0.07
2026-09-22oos500.0928493.8081-1.26%531.055+6.19%0.0746✗0.08
2026-09-21oos500.5451496.5555-0.80%530.886+6.06%0.0698✗0.10
2026-09-20oos501.7629489.622-2.42%529.0269+5.43%0.0747✗0.12
2026-09-19oos497.3092487.4666-1.98%532.8345+7.14%0.0881✗0.12
2026-09-18oos496.4343487.3507-1.83%526.7454+6.11%0.0761✗0.12
2026-09-17oos491.6874474.4002-3.52%527.6699+7.32%0.0988✗0.12
2026-09-16oos489.714471.6477-3.69%527.6898+7.75%0.1042✗0.12
2026-09-15oos496.9414478.8872-3.63%536.9949+8.06%0.1028✗0.14
2026-09-14oos499.8194485.172-2.93%531.9497+6.43%0.0857✗0.15
2026-09-13oos492.2739479.8609-2.52%541.0907+9.92%0.1082✗0.15
2026-09-11oos492.4031483.1369-1.88%536.13+8.88%0.0935✗0.13
2026-09-10oos492.2739481.4654-2.20%534.8327+8.65%0.0924✗0.16
2026-09-09oos492.4479481.0539-2.31%534.9768+8.64%0.0978✗0.16
2026-09-08oos494.6449478.2424-3.32%522.4756+5.63%0.0832✗0.13
2026-09-07oos497.2893488.4361-1.78%529.6532+6.51%0.0742✗0.13
2026-09-06oos497.334492.3773-1.00%529.4942+6.47%0.0639✗0.14
2026-09-05oos497.339493.679-0.74%525.0852+5.58%0.0516✗0.14
2026-09-04oos494.6896493.5641-0.23%517.8778+4.69%0.0365✗0.14
2026-09-03oos509.5122509.3138-0.04%518.4096+1.75%0.0127✗0.12
2026-09-02oos497.8908491.172-1.35%518.3699+4.11%0.0421✗0.13
2026-09-01oos501.0123491.7301-1.85%514.8357+2.76%0.0338✗0.13
2026-08-31oos507.9514498.0637-1.95%514.4331+1.28%0.0223✗0.16
2026-08-30oos510.72503.2248-1.47%509.4575-0.25%0.0042✓0.22
2026-08-29oos510.5759507.5808-0.59%514.1746+0.70%0.0008✓0.21
2026-08-28oos509.88508.7587-0.22%516.9532+1.39%0.0014✓0.21
2026-08-27oos503.0404506.7648+0.74%517.4155+2.86%0.0094✓0.23
2026-08-26oos496.0466498.8164+0.56%517.4155+4.31%0.0228✓0.22
2026-08-25oos489.8234486.9707-0.58%495.992+1.26%0.0031✓0.21
2026-08-24oos487.4474486.8167-0.13%499.9088+2.56%0.0128✗0.21
2026-08-23oos478.7388479.4418+0.15%500.0928+4.46%0.0198✓0.22
2026-08-22oos478.7239480.3685+0.34%500.5451+4.56%0.0158✓0.22
2026-08-21oos478.7935486.4004+1.59%501.7629+4.80%0.0234✓0.22
2026-08-20oos481.4528474.3029-1.49%497.3092+3.29%0.0184✗0.27
2026-08-19oos483.9431468.4342-3.20%496.4343+2.58%0.0105✓0.31
2026-08-18oos481.3295453.1245-5.86%491.6874+2.15%0.0207✓0.37
2026-08-17oos476.0188447.8759-5.91%489.714+2.88%0.0289✓0.36
2026-08-14oos494.1408463.2091-6.26%492.2739-0.38%0.0110✓0.36
2026-08-13oos495.7335461.8877-6.83%–pending––0.36
2026-08-12oos488.631456.7606-6.52%492.4031+0.77%0.0067✓0.35
2026-08-11oos495.0118459.4493-7.18%492.2739-0.55%0.0048✓0.34
2026-08-10oos505.2897466.7172-7.63%492.4479-2.54%0.0172✓0.35
2026-08-09oos497.5054462.5156-7.03%494.6449-0.57%0.0009✓0.36
2026-08-08oos500.8899464.4247-7.28%497.2893-0.72%0.0026✓0.36
2026-08-07oos495.0018458.2897-7.42%497.334+0.47%0.0054✓0.36
2026-08-06oos498.6103459.6097-7.82%497.339-0.25%0.0004✓0.37
2026-08-05oos485.4855448.1273-7.70%494.6896+1.90%0.0225✓0.36
2026-08-04oos490.0645450.2017-8.13%509.5122+3.97%0.0368✓0.37
2026-08-03oos484.0869443.4651-8.39%497.8908+2.85%0.0433✓0.37
2026-08-02oos457.4987423.3985-7.45%501.0123+9.51%0.0995✗0.35
2026-08-01oos457.4987422.2935-7.70%507.9514+11.03%0.1056✗0.35
2026-07-31oos459.7086423.1207-7.96%510.72+11.10%0.1133✗0.35
2026-07-30oos446.0312412.0362-7.62%510.5759+14.47%0.1402✗0.39
2026-07-29oos425.5053397.5118-6.58%509.88+19.83%0.1726✗0.39
2026-07-28oos395.3485375.2206-5.09%503.0404+27.24%0.2123✗0.35
2026-07-27oos381.4024360.9692-5.36%496.0466+30.06%0.2434✗0.35
2026-07-26oos388.475372.5442-4.10%489.8234+26.09%0.2126✗0.33
2026-07-25oos384.0005368.7371-3.97%487.4474+26.94%0.2130✗0.32
2026-07-24oos381.6662367.7912-3.64%478.7388+25.43%0.2019✗0.32
2026-07-23oos385.9266372.8543-3.39%478.7239+24.05%0.1962✗0.32
2026-07-22oos391.5658377.3271-3.64%478.7935+22.28%0.1859✗0.31
2026-07-21oos399.5144384.5059-3.76%481.4528+20.51%0.1968✗0.30
2026-07-20oos399.0863381.7248-4.35%483.9431+21.26%0.2189✗0.30
2026-07-19oos385.3692372.0422-3.46%481.3295+24.90%0.2575✗0.29
2026-07-17oos394.4327377.4136-4.31%–pending––0.29
2026-07-16oos400.3705382.9148-4.36%–pending––0.30
2026-07-15oos396.9262380.7643-4.07%494.1408+24.49%0.2691✗0.31
2026-07-14oos386.7578369.2473-4.53%495.7335+28.18%0.3022✗0.31
2026-07-13oos389.8288368.9658-5.35%488.631+25.35%0.2739✗0.38
2026-07-12oos396.4982378.0102-4.66%495.0118+24.85%0.2709✗0.37
2026-07-11oos395.5028377.1396-4.64%505.2897+27.76%0.2917✗0.37
2026-07-10oos387.0565370.0688-4.39%497.5054+28.54%0.2917✗0.38
2026-07-09oos384.1996365.1744-4.95%500.8899+30.37%0.3058✗0.38
2026-07-08oos386.8325366.2988-5.31%495.0018+27.96%0.2848✗0.39
2026-07-07oos395.9656374.2335-5.49%498.6103+25.92%0.2814✗0.38
2026-07-06oos386.285366.3843-5.15%485.4855+25.68%0.2778✗0.39
2026-07-05oos416.0984394.8923-5.10%490.0645+17.78%0.2130✗0.41
2026-07-02oos398.6235378.2503-5.11%457.4987+14.77%0.1819✗0.41
2026-07-01oos384.3041364.2508-5.22%459.7086+19.62%0.2152✗0.38
2026-06-30oos377.3061357.2128-5.33%446.0312+18.21%0.1847✗0.37
2026-06-29oos371.3086351.1545-5.43%425.5053+14.60%0.1682✗0.40
2026-06-27oos400.4003376.4521-5.98%381.4024-4.74%0.0124✓0.42
2026-06-26oos372.7968352.576-5.42%388.475+4.21%0.0618✗0.41
2026-06-25oos360.8665341.6505-5.32%384.0005+6.41%0.0870✗0.40
2026-06-24oos365.8735346.2339-5.37%381.6662+4.32%0.0768✗0.42
2026-06-23oos373.6131353.838-5.29%385.9266+3.30%0.0718✗0.40
2026-06-22oos372.8565350.7171-5.94%391.5658+5.02%0.0966✗0.41
2026-06-21oos382.5023362.308-5.28%399.5144+4.45%0.0758✗0.43
2026-06-19oos382.5023360.5026-5.75%385.3692+0.75%0.0585✓0.43
2026-06-18oos380.7305358.6026-5.81%–pending––0.43
2026-06-17oos389.1668366.7803-5.75%394.4327+1.35%0.0763✗0.42
2026-06-16oos396.7122371.4802-6.36%400.3705+0.92%0.0864✗0.40
2026-06-15oos403.093377.2842-6.40%396.9262-1.53%0.0608✓0.42
2026-06-14oos416.3522390.3094-6.26%386.7578-7.11%0.0042✓0.45
2026-06-13oos421.3493394.3613-6.41%389.8288-7.48%0.0046✓0.47
2026-06-12oos391.7251369.9537-5.56%396.4982+1.22%0.0680✗0.42
2026-06-11oos392.8201370.4587-5.69%395.5028+0.68%0.0640✗0.42
2026-06-10oos400.0669377.3613-5.68%387.0565-3.25%0.0059✓0.46
2026-06-09oos405.8056381.3762-6.02%384.1996-5.32%0.0041✓0.48
2026-06-08oos410.4991383.9086-6.48%386.8325-5.77%0.0135✓0.45
2026-06-05oos417.9947391.0917-6.44%416.0984-0.45%0.0442✓0.43
2026-06-04oos428.4369401.7225-6.24%–pending––0.42
2026-06-03oos427.7002399.9798-6.48%–pending––0.41
2026-06-02oos441.8255409.1532-7.39%398.6235-9.78%0.0030✓0.36
2026-06-01oos459.4547422.2699-8.09%384.3041-16.36%0.0477✓0.27
2026-05-31oos455.1246425.2804-6.56%377.3061-17.10%0.0536✓0.29
2026-05-29oos440.3224411.066-6.64%–pending––0.29
2026-05-28oos431.6969406.1429-5.92%400.4003-7.25%0.0449✓0.29
2026-05-27oos418.0295393.8425-5.79%372.7968-10.82%0.0073✓0.29
2026-05-26oos415.1428392.9293-5.35%360.8665-13.07%0.0124✓0.30
2026-05-25oos426.6948409.2252-4.09%365.8735-14.25%0.0355✓0.32
2026-05-24oos426.6899409.3215-4.07%373.6131-12.44%0.0254✓0.32
2026-05-23oos426.6749409.1627-4.10%372.8565-12.61%0.0350✓0.32
2026-05-22oos422.6036404.2373-4.35%382.5023-9.49%0.0007✓0.32
2026-05-21oos421.21406.6677-3.45%–pending––0.33
2026-05-20oos417.7398402.3729-3.68%382.5023-8.44%0.0142✓0.33
2026-05-19oos417.0968401.1616-3.82%380.7305-8.72%0.0131✓0.33
2026-05-18oos422.9837407.0007-3.78%389.1668-7.99%0.0120✓0.32
2026-05-17oos423.871409.0579-3.49%396.7122-6.41%0.0223✓0.32
2026-05-15oos412.0971401.1641-2.65%416.3522+1.03%0.0964✗0.32
2026-05-14oos408.4034401.4668-1.70%421.3493+3.17%0.1260✗0.34
2026-05-13oos405.3378393.3845-2.95%391.7251-3.36%0.0659✗0.32
2026-05-12oos411.8528402.2299-2.34%392.8201-4.62%0.0495✗0.31
2026-05-11oos413.8268407.6099-1.50%400.0669-3.33%0.0792✗0.34
2026-05-08oos418.2183412.2247-1.43%–pending––0.33
2026-05-07oos420.7157414.912-1.38%–pending––0.33
2026-05-06oos416.3092413.3256-0.72%417.9947+0.40%0.0697✗0.20
2026-05-05oos409.5798405.4349-1.01%428.4369+4.60%0.0959✗0.17
2026-05-04oos413.0442407.8204-1.26%427.7002+3.55%0.0852✗0.17
2026-05-01oos421.7674411.8881-2.34%455.1246+7.91%0.1120✗0.20
2026-04-30oos408.6427395.6491-3.18%–pending––0.19
2026-04-29oos425.6157407.0273-4.37%440.3224+3.46%0.0848✗0.19
2026-04-28oos428.437413.0584-3.59%431.6969+0.76%0.0515✗0.20
2026-04-27oos425.4163413.0496-2.91%418.0295-1.74%0.0198✓0.19
2026-04-26oos422.1662414.3021-1.86%415.1428-1.66%0.0096✓0.21
2026-04-24oos425.7353419.1251-1.55%426.6899+0.22%0.0192✗0.21
2026-04-23oos418.7816415.3939-0.81%426.6749+1.88%0.0312✗0.21
2026-04-22oos427.6743422.2484-1.27%422.6036-1.19%0.0084✓0.21
2026-04-21oos425.9746417.7524-1.93%421.21-1.12%0.0050✓0.21
2026-04-20oos417.9691409.6686-1.99%417.7398-0.05%0.0153✓0.20
2026-04-17oos426.2487418.0446-1.92%423.871-0.56%0.0130✓0.20
2026-04-16oos420.0627405.9861-3.35%–pending––0.19
2026-04-15oos416.0649398.3979-4.25%412.0971-0.95%0.0232✓0.19
2026-04-14oos394.6206379.7919-3.76%408.4034+3.49%0.0564✗0.18
2026-04-13oos386.8644372.4921-3.72%405.3378+4.78%0.0734✗0.18
2026-04-10oos377.6526361.5664-4.26%–pending––0.15
2026-04-09oos373.1265357.1518-4.28%–pending––0.14
2026-04-08oos373.939356.7775-4.59%418.2183+11.84%0.1421✗0.14
2026-04-07oos382.6075364.4901-4.74%420.7157+9.96%0.1289✗0.14
2026-04-06oos378.6047359.8899-4.94%416.3092+9.96%0.1260✗0.12
2026-04-03oos379.7363359.5726-5.31%–pending––0.12
2026-04-02oos379.7562360.8106-4.99%–pending––0.12
2026-04-01oos382.6374364.3394-4.78%421.7674+10.23%0.1303✗0.12
2026-03-31oos384.0829366.8149-4.50%408.6427+6.39%0.0950✗0.12
2026-03-30oos371.5713356.1019-4.16%425.6157+14.54%0.1656✗0.10
2026-03-27oos368.7998354.078-3.99%422.1662+14.47%0.1584✗0.10
2026-03-26oos378.9487364.7605-3.74%–pending––0.09
2026-03-25oos382.2785369.6933-3.29%425.7353+11.37%0.1334✗0.09
2026-03-24oos375.0008363.1965-3.15%418.7816+11.67%0.1332✗0.09
2026-03-23oos390.1344377.9346-3.13%427.6743+9.62%0.1151✗0.09
2026-03-20oos388.5193375.3025-3.40%–pending––0.09
2026-03-19oos389.6758375.9269-3.53%–pending––0.09
2026-03-18oos387.652374.5221-3.39%426.2487+9.96%0.1222✗0.09
2026-03-17oos398.6084389.2307-2.35%420.0627+5.38%0.0750✗0.08
2026-03-16oos413.5925403.072-2.54%416.0649+0.60%0.0318✗0.07
2026-03-13oos396.3753383.1277-3.34%–pending––0.07
2026-03-12oos416.1547400.5306-3.75%–pending––0.08
2026-03-11oos389.9988375.7865-3.64%377.6526-3.17%0.0023✓0.07
2026-03-10oos420.004402.7781-4.10%373.1265-11.16%0.0785✓0.08
2026-03-09oos422.5885403.8349-4.44%373.939-11.51%0.0800✓0.08
2026-03-06oos407.8403389.5278-4.49%–pending––0.08
2026-03-05oos410.1653393.2307-4.13%–pending––0.08
2026-03-04oos406.124389.22-4.16%379.7363-6.50%0.0195✓0.06
2026-03-03oos403.0805384.6729-4.57%379.7562-5.79%0.0113✓0.07
2026-03-02oos398.4006380.7266-4.44%382.6374-3.96%0.0059✓0.08
2026-02-27oos399.6529378.7947-5.22%–pending––0.06
2026-02-26oos397.1134376.9277-5.08%–pending––0.07
2026-02-25oos401.2545380.5504-5.16%368.7998-8.09%0.0297✓0.07
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