META2

META2 · · gru_s9

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +7d

assessed

70

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

48.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.5199

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1006

actual -0.0593

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	15.9074	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.5826	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.3429	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.2353	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.2513	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.3833	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.2225	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.2441	-2.83%	16.221	-8.59%	0.0905	✓	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.158	-3.23%	17.9865	+1.45%	0.0127	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.2277	-3.59%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0321	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.2702	-3.81%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0196	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.5397	-3.14%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0332	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.5312	-3.23%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0400	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.2891	-3.34%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0386	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.2658	-3.38%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0209	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.4447	-3.72%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0430	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.3426	-4.27%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0702	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.3434	-4.62%	17.954	-1.26%	0.1018	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	18.7695	-3.76%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0110	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.568	-3.91%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0056	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.5173	-4.12%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0021	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.5902	-4.24%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0137	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.4693	-4.50%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0144	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	17.8649	-4.77%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0177	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.4058	-5.69%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0055	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.2865	-4.73%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1442	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	15.7304	-5.18%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.1999	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	15.9732	-5.34%	19.312	+14.45%	0.1824	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.1826	-5.56%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.1736	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	15.6573	-6.07%	19.34	+16.03%	0.2265	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	15.6436	-6.35%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.2318	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.1361	-7.02%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.2613	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	13.8044	-7.90%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.1514	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	12.1233	-9.79%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.2518	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	17.9053	-7.01%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.1221	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.0042	-6.33%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.2118	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	17.9621	-6.64%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.2416	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	17.9245	-6.79%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.2824	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	17.6226	-8.48%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.2710	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	17.6337	-8.40%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.2638	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	17.476	-9.24%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3572	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	16.6738	-9.96%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0553	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	16.5079	-10.35%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.1568	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	16.1453	-12.44%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.2333	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	16.4728	-11.02%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.2340	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	2.4235	-30.92%	19.2555	+448.82%	2.1121	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	2.3756	-32.58%	19.2505	+446.35%	2.2557	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	16.3999	-10.77%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.2804	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	2.6924	-33.00%	18.5185	+360.83%	2.0546	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	2.6284	-34.55%	18.4135	+358.50%	2.2095	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	2.5966	-35.46%	18.4385	+358.33%	1.9039	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	2.5689	-36.10%	18.5135	+360.53%	1.9135	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	4.1642	-31.77%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.2005	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	39.8206	-2.36%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.5929	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.199	-2.29%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8858	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.1959	-2.50%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.4221	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	39.7765	-2.27%	4.016	-90.13%	2.3052	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.0694	-1.57%	4.023	-85.37%	1.8844	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.2229	-3.56%	4.02	-90.12%	2.2635	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	37.909	-2.49%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.8210	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	39.2018	-3.35%	40.783	+0.55%	0.0404	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	49.4055	-5.76%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.1982	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	29.9357	-2.28%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.3263	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	29.5191	-4.06%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.2264	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	28.8968	-5.91%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.1809	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	28.2345	-7.58%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.1710	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	27.8419	-9.04%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.1310	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	27.7675	-9.11%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.1663	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	27.6084	-9.70%	52.426	+71.47%	0.4402	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	27.4703	-10.34%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.1091	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	3.6459	-29.40%	30.768	+495.82%	1.9921	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	28.4968	-7.16%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	28.3175	-7.87%	30.549	-0.61%	0.0579	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	28.4203	-8.05%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.0654	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	28.1693	-8.53%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.1127	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	28.0452	-9.15%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.1159	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	28.1163	-9.00%	30.638	-0.84%	0.1159	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.