META2

META2 · · gru_s9

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +1d

assessed

76

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

51.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2005

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0228

actual -0.0128

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	16.165	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.8935	-0.52%	16.221	-9.82%	0.1008	✓	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6547	-0.52%	17.9865	+1.35%	0.0037	✓	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5425	-0.53%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0036	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.5786	-0.56%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0057	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.7208	-0.59%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0112	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.5775	-0.61%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0157	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.6225	-0.70%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0124	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.5363	-1.09%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0040	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6473	-1.25%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0272	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.6885	-1.48%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0095	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.9876	-0.66%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0276	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.9909	-0.69%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0050	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.7628	-0.69%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0142	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.744	-0.70%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0048	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.977	-0.79%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0188	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.913	-1.12%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0488	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.9123	-1.49%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0147	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.3474	-0.80%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0496	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.1564	-0.87%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0106	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.1332	-0.93%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0061	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.2259	-0.97%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0102	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.1295	-1.09%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0066	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.5259	-1.25%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0444	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.0696	-2.09%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0344	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.9235	-1.01%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1047	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.4121	-1.08%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0400	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.6797	-1.15%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0112	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.9247	-1.23%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0023	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.4495	-1.31%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0407	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.4724	-1.38%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0473	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.0324	-1.51%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0488	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.7494	-1.60%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0028	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.2	-1.77%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1285	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.9232	-1.73%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3494	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.9122	-1.60%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0754	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.9064	-1.74%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0121	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.8798	-1.82%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0070	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.7958	-2.39%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0860	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.7773	-2.46%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0074	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.6991	-2.89%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0404	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.9165	-3.25%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0707	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.7274	-3.73%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0271	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.4907	-5.14%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.0986	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	17.785	-3.93%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0405	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.291	-6.20%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.7550	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.2997	-6.35%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.1181	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.667	-3.87%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6355	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.7473	-6.75%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5823	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.7346	-7.01%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.1599	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.7375	-7.10%	4.016	-0.17%	0.1523	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.7359	-7.07%	4.023	+0.07%	0.0794	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.7402	-5.95%	4.02	-34.14%	0.2912	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.4273	-0.87%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9477	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.774	-0.90%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0375	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.7969	-1.05%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0174	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.2658	-1.07%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0544	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.401	-0.36%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3800	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.8668	-1.98%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3777	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.4471	-1.11%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0620	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	39.8859	-1.67%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0416	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	50.614	-3.46%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2301	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.3998	-0.76%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5613	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.3764	-1.27%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0618	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.1623	-1.79%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0323	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	29.8439	-2.31%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0403	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.5223	-3.56%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0310	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	29.5255	-3.36%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	29.4062	-3.82%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0411	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.2756	-4.45%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0427	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.9041	-5.03%	30.638	+493.30%	1.8393	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.0915	-1.97%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7627	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	29.9424	-2.58%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0267	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.0802	-2.68%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0275	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	29.8609	-3.04%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0490	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	29.8203	-3.40%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0332	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.1563	-2.39%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0231	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.