MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s9

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

72.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0857

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0066

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042301	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042802	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043418	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043209	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044568	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045969	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044655	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044845	-1.89%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0659	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043614	-1.79%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0028	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042774	-2.03%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0275	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045491	-2.65%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0057	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042091	-2.18%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.1009	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.04053	-2.27%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1636	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040045	-2.37%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1196	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.04324	-2.49%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0857	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045042	-2.59%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0280	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048462	-3.15%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0343	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047599	-3.17%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0302	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048179	-3.59%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0807	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.044719	-3.46%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0408	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.047502	-5.25%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.0913	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040597	-2.81%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0931	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.040768	-2.89%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0933	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.040953	-2.97%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1615	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042507	-3.17%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.1109	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043359	-3.28%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1364	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.044759	-3.80%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0272	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043349	-3.48%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1374	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042198	-3.28%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0041	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.044638	-4.10%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0169	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.043453	-4.02%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0270	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.041781	-2.81%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0130	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041191	-2.82%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0245	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039871	-2.47%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0946	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035311	+0.06%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1002	✓	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034735	+0.62%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.0862	✓	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034432	+1.03%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1336	✓	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.036056	+0.97%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.0981	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035957	+1.37%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1079	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037588	+1.38%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0568	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.038232	+1.61%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0087	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.037564	+1.90%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0591	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.039393	+1.93%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0947	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042583	+1.04%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1717	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040944	+1.93%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1203	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.040602	+2.58%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0696	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.041156	+2.51%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0571	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039714	+2.91%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0074	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.041318	+3.12%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0251	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.037383	+1.89%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0146	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.038004	+1.51%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0833	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038563	+1.64%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0312	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037042	+0.94%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0195	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038765	+0.92%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0076	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037716	+0.82%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0088	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039694	+1.44%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0073	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039904	+1.00%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0537	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.03925	+0.90%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0271	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040443	+0.63%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0566	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042637	-0.52%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1489	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.04014	-0.25%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0654	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.041981	-1.18%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1066	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037394	-1.10%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0814	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034486	-1.16%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0393	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031727	-1.01%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0558	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031843	-1.11%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0389	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031252	-0.94%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0296	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030966	-0.84%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0095	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030899	-0.80%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0235	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032339	-0.97%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0358	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032868	-1.06%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0620	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032792	-1.05%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0474	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035851	-1.51%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1195	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.03539	-1.64%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0704	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035569	-1.65%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0883	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.03475	-1.50%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0672	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.035052	-1.40%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0521	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035535	-1.48%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0409	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035387	-1.26%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0540	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036219	-1.28%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0050	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.036082	-1.17%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0330	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.036136	-1.00%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0475	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036199	-0.93%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0721	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036621	-1.02%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0196	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036097	-0.82%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0158	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039133	-1.10%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0923	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039324	-1.00%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0644	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042839	-0.95%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1214	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042159	-0.86%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1119	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.043124	-0.84%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1391	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042913	-0.58%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1413	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.04354	-0.34%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1330	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043253	-0.25%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0326	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042667	-0.26%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0392	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043912	-0.31%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0292	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.04439	-0.20%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0322	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043237	-0.14%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0018	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.046025	-0.16%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0916	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047966	-0.12%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1222	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048969	-0.14%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1537	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.047152	-0.23%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1617	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.046068	-0.06%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0661	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046693	+0.03%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0717	✗	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.04749	+0.13%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0870	✗	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.048038	+0.16%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0549	✗	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.04742	+0.19%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0444	✗	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050357	+0.07%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0641	✗	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049486	+0.15%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0057	✗	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051307	-0.03%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.1108	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052294	-0.24%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1296	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050957	-0.14%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.1091	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049524	-0.09%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0716	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045229	+0.20%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0055	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045295	+0.14%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0044	✗	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.048112	+0.05%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0589	✗	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045768	+0.17%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0247	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047321	+0.15%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0335	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046817	+0.23%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0311	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046652	+0.31%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0215	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050757	+0.13%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0953	✗	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.05536	-0.27%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1168	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055625	-0.36%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0671	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056239	-0.43%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1285	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054531	-0.31%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0511	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056674	-0.64%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1165	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061224	-1.52%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.2011	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056657	-0.79%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0242	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056881	-1.06%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0501	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059254	-1.70%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0024	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.061246	-2.58%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0186	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.06103	-2.68%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.1042	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046846	+0.42%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.1982	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046345	+0.55%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3082	✓	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.043057	+1.26%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2260	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047663	+0.96%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1138	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050409	+0.62%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1200	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048964	+1.00%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2060	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045497	+2.01%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2658	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.047053	+2.04%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0474	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.051265	+1.37%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.1030	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054915	+1.15%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2184	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.055075	+0.94%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0685	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059126	-0.01%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0013	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060744	-0.37%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0075	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062799	-0.41%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0437	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061627	+0.00%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1060	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063406	+0.01%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0846	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067336	-0.29%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0665	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067446	-0.38%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0832	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073123	-1.07%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1325	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.076531	-1.10%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1821	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079296	-1.07%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1908	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079808	-0.64%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2306	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.085452	-1.78%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2451	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.080967	-0.78%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1398	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080805	-0.39%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1646	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085457	-0.63%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1491	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089104	-0.93%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1355	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.091705	-1.10%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1159	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098716	-1.54%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1594	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103539	-1.75%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1295	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.101376	-1.93%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1938	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.107671	-1.91%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2359	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.116626	-1.64%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2443	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.124913	-1.58%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2684	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.123078	-1.94%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2510	✓	1.00