MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s9

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

137

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

83.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1779

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0250

actual -0.1607

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.043316	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.043261	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.040908	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.041488	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.041229	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.04248	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.043807	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.042682	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.042898	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.042268	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.041381	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.044736	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.041328	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.039895	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.039377	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.042833	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.044893	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048295	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.04777	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048227	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045042	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048301	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040986	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041281	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041523	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043275	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044185	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045767	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044471	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043369	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046276	-0.58%	0.04613	-0.89%	0.0312	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045275	+0.00%	0.04599	+1.58%	0.0615	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042286	-1.64%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0090	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041781	-1.42%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0413	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040398	-1.18%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0604	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034797	-1.40%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1739	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034179	-0.99%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2211	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033734	-1.02%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.1930	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035611	-0.28%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.1959	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.0352	-0.76%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1314	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036807	-0.72%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.0995	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037334	-0.77%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1234	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036606	-0.70%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0532	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038578	-0.17%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0009	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041609	-1.27%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0700	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040049	-0.30%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0291	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039851	+0.69%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0575	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040309	+0.40%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1128	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038999	+1.06%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1095	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040718	+1.62%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1426	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036806	+0.32%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.0979	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037497	+0.15%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1533	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038262	+0.85%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0002	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.03695	+0.70%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0252	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038776	+0.95%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0033	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037931	+1.39%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0350	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040227	+2.80%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0396	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040421	+2.31%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0551	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039865	+2.48%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0194	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.041304	+2.77%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0356	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.043488	+1.47%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0794	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.04101	+1.91%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0655	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.043431	+2.24%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0598	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037568	-0.64%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0220	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.033887	-2.88%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0185	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030497	-4.85%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0760	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.03078	-4.41%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.1081	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030363	-3.76%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1331	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030188	-3.34%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1230	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030275	-2.81%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.1098	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.03182	-2.56%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.1165	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032476	-2.24%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.1227	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032471	-2.02%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.1279	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035336	-2.92%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1889	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.034832	-3.19%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0778	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.03485	-3.63%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1375	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.03403	-3.54%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1495	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034292	-3.54%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1502	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.0346	-4.07%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1893	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034343	-4.18%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1852	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035026	-4.54%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2360	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.034735	-4.86%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.2090	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.034688	-4.96%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2331	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034614	-5.27%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2457	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.034931	-5.59%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1772	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034493	-5.23%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1889	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.037624	-4.92%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2755	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.037922	-4.53%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2553	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.041616	-3.78%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3146	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041021	-3.54%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2959	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042072	-3.26%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2404	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042131	-2.40%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2762	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042958	-1.68%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2442	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042857	-1.16%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2535	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042217	-1.32%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2743	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043439	-1.39%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.3041	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044015	-1.05%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.3057	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042826	-1.09%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2827	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045473	-1.36%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3594	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047443	-1.21%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3831	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048413	-1.28%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3602	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046307	-2.02%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3576	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045544	-1.20%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.3132	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046167	-1.10%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2408	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047023	-0.86%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2839	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047503	-0.95%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.3124	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046877	-0.96%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3453	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049781	-1.07%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3581	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049123	-0.58%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.3226	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050774	-1.06%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3591	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051739	-1.30%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3526	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050492	-1.05%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3471	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049145	-0.86%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3275	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044932	-0.46%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2704	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044757	-1.04%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3303	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047683	-0.85%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3534	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045452	-0.52%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2340	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047037	-0.45%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2508	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046645	-0.14%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1897	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046492	-0.04%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1879	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050366	-0.64%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.2112	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054514	-1.80%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2806	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054645	-2.11%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2659	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055156	-2.34%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.3060	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053521	-2.16%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2444	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055457	-2.78%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2560	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.059589	-4.15%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3352	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055316	-3.14%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2314	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055468	-3.52%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1391	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.057599	-4.45%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1436	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.059412	-5.50%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1740	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059159	-5.66%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1683	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046363	-0.61%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0101	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045807	-0.61%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0145	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042821	+0.71%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0516	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046867	-0.73%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0054	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049116	-1.96%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0215	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.047722	-1.56%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0526	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044569	-0.07%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0544	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.045825	-0.62%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0738	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.049435	-2.24%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0688	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.052605	-3.10%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0087	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.052613	-3.57%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0296	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.05557	-6.02%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0239	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.056489	-7.35%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1324	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.058266	-7.60%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1241	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.057424	-6.82%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0187	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.05903	-6.89%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.062412	-7.58%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0759	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.062563	-7.59%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0575	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.067638	-8.49%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0520	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.070908	-8.36%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0388	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.073673	-8.08%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0963	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.074308	-7.49%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.0978	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.080114	-7.91%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1931	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.075804	-7.11%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0851	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.075688	-6.70%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.080515	-6.38%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1662	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.084407	-6.15%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2188	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.087363	-5.79%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.2069	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.094706	-5.54%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2247	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.100126	-4.99%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2381	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.097614	-5.57%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5169	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.10435	-4.94%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5811	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.113586	-4.20%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6974	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.122004	-3.87%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6624	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.119887	-4.48%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6265	✓	1.00