LIGHTER

? · · gru_s9

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +7d

assessed

264

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

48.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1227

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0159

actual +0.0181

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	3.422	3.3436	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.303	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	3.0632	-1.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	3.0522	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.1007	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.1595	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	3.0295	+0.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.0852	+0.00%	3.422	+10.92%	0.0856	✓	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.3149	-1.06%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0226	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.3482	-0.78%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0802	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.7505	-2.28%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1724	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.5884	-1.34%	3.116	-14.32%	0.1154	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.5923	-0.98%	3.176	-12.46%	0.1056	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.5835	-0.65%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1766	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.5536	-0.57%	3.085	-13.68%	0.1115	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.7505	-1.77%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0717	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.9227	-2.40%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0820	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.6215	-1.19%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1073	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.5565	-0.29%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0548	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.5438	-0.03%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0586	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.7682	-0.99%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0127	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.9002	-1.21%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0823	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.8673	-1.50%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0461	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.3342	-2.49%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1167	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.515	-3.01%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2440	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.6855	-3.28%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2785	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.6972	-3.24%	3.545	-26.97%	0.2887	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	4.887	-3.63%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2581	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.0825	-4.27%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2381	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	4.8696	-3.91%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1688	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.5829	-3.32%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0225	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.6446	-2.79%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0639	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.6788	-2.82%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0289	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.6456	-2.66%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0203	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.7086	-2.23%	5.071	+5.29%	0.1093	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.5152	-1.95%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0245	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.9878	-0.79%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0006	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.3161	-1.63%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0874	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	4.0651	-1.13%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0652	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.1672	-1.18%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0574	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.3076	-1.04%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0223	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.254	-0.85%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1284	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.486	-0.92%	4.605	+1.71%	0.0740	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.7713	-1.13%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.1060	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.6781	-0.94%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0432	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.4869	-0.64%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0086	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.7107	-0.91%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0534	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.7548	-1.41%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0356	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.4064	-0.78%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.0787	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.7763	-0.41%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1621	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.5139	-0.17%	4.826	+37.10%	0.2961	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.5557	-0.26%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2745	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.5152	-0.45%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2190	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.5453	-0.24%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2744	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4852	-0.34%	4.823	+37.92%	0.3030	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.6783	-0.88%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1773	✗	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.4198	-0.96%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1229	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.2476	-1.14%	3.52	+7.15%	0.0932	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.3437	-1.68%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0688	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.477	-2.82%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0162	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.1199	-2.11%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1155	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.0541	-2.36%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1416	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.6274	-1.56%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2662	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5573	-1.72%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1671	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.3275	-1.33%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1556	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.3002	-1.36%	3.401	+45.84%	0.1853	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.2454	-1.34%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2478	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.2369	-1.28%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1503	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.2069	-1.21%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1268	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.2435	-1.21%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0321	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.3048	-1.29%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0278	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.3815	-1.51%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0281	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.3476	-1.48%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0159	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2735	-1.32%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0357	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.2521	-1.31%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0388	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.2654	-1.40%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0186	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.3283	-1.80%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0104	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1596	-1.21%	2.335	+6.82%	0.0989	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	2.0368	-0.93%	2.418	+17.61%	0.1803	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9879	-0.78%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1738	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	2.022	-0.78%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1076	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	2.0036	-0.71%	2.282	+13.08%	0.0943	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.0519	-0.78%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.0785	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2567	-1.06%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0564	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1583	-0.95%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0021	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2722	-1.25%	2.056	-10.65%	0.1030	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.1084	-0.97%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0477	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.1258	-0.89%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0160	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.0429	-1.02%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0102	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	2.0084	-1.14%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0473	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.1322	-1.22%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0719	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2765	-1.23%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0153	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.3138	-1.29%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0291	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1496	-1.35%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0085	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1779	-1.41%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0231	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.2274	-1.31%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0703	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.2554	-1.42%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.1070	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.2511	-1.49%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0593	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3682	-1.90%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0444	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.5238	-2.74%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0929	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.2389	-2.87%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0600	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.5439	-3.28%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1503	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.4927	-3.27%	2.257	-12.42%	0.1093	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.5814	-3.97%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1181	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.3199	-3.18%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0214	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.255	-3.16%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0405	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.3714	-3.56%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0724	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.4642	-4.42%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0478	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.3572	-4.25%	2.63	+6.82%	0.1078	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.126	-3.32%	2.577	+17.19%	0.1852	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0496	-3.23%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2545	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	1.9981	-3.33%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1639	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	1.9843	-4.33%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1348	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.7923	-3.12%	2.459	+32.92%	0.2709	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.8018	-3.18%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3226	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.6854	-2.64%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3395	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.6722	-2.78%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2443	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7609	-3.51%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1607	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.5688	-2.50%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2593	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.6418	-3.26%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2430	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4687	-2.35%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2798	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.562	-3.04%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2165	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5233	-2.79%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1687	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.5126	-2.91%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1730	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.4991	-2.91%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2355	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.5603	-3.26%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0673	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.6481	-4.18%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0646	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.6563	-4.48%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0667	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6135	-4.41%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0233	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.61	-4.40%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0016	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.5621	-4.11%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0004	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.4807	-3.66%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0425	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.4955	-4.01%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0826	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.3538	-2.74%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2129	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5162	-4.28%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0998	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4148	-3.56%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1464	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.3842	-3.41%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1730	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.385	-2.81%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1270	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.445	-3.86%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0351	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4137	-3.57%	1.558	+6.28%	0.1000	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.6677	-6.36%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1499	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.5099	-5.99%	1.584	-1.37%	0.1224	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.2904	-3.42%	1.467	+9.81%	0.3028	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.3248	-3.79%	1.433	+4.07%	0.2950	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.315	-3.98%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3423	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.2136	-3.83%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4616	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1413	-2.78%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4416	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.1008	-2.42%	1.781	+57.89%	0.6864	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1515	-2.75%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5094	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3207	-4.57%	1.336	-3.47%	0.1090	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2396	-4.28%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1596	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.1835	-3.50%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.1913	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1488	-3.14%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1270	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.346	-5.94%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0791	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2127	-5.11%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0271	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.0901	-3.88%	1.184	+4.41%	0.0959	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.933671	-2.13%	1.384	+45.07%	0.3892	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.855517	-0.92%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4210	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.869279	-0.94%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3659	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.849802	-0.84%	1.186	+38.39%	0.3871	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.907079	-0.87%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5066	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.890265	-0.86%	1.278	+42.32%	0.3894	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.919104	-0.80%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2665	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.988213	-1.13%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0354	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.0417	-1.63%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.1171	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0367	-1.55%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1287	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.0587	-1.70%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1946	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.97704	-1.21%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0813	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.946403	-0.80%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0195	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.955957	-1.04%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0258	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.90184	-0.46%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.0799	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.916888	-0.66%	1.059	+14.73%	0.0986	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.902458	-0.61%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1291	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.897862	-0.57%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1568	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.876729	-0.88%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0716	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.936228	-1.19%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0562	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.88779	-1.03%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0186	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.855931	-0.88%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0209	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.908514	-0.49%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0175	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.922512	-0.81%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0312	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.941061	-0.68%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0531	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.921419	-0.33%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0103	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.877652	-0.32%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1147	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.891796	-0.64%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0063	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.893766	-0.75%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0582	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.880707	-1.04%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0403	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.972274	-0.38%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0742	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0476	-0.18%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.1061	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.0379	-0.49%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1642	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0364	-0.59%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.2157	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0171	-0.62%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1595	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.131	-1.09%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2504	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0786	-1.40%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2432	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1824	-1.95%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2340	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.1156	-1.79%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1255	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	1.0057	-1.01%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0166	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.988878	-1.01%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0066	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0574	-1.45%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0684	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	1.0107	-1.35%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0336	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.997172	-1.22%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0639	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.973693	-1.25%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1189	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.97449	-1.47%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0539	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.935095	-1.47%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0017	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.882592	-0.72%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0742	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.866315	-0.54%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1527	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.805147	-0.29%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2052	✗	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.824219	-0.28%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1508	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.854934	-0.30%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1259	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.879717	-0.32%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1066	✗	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.909125	-0.32%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0749	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.991668	-0.28%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0571	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	1.0052	-0.32%	0.871	-13.63%	0.1052	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.951757	-0.24%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0955	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.937477	-0.32%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0931	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0486	-0.32%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1570	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0618	-0.21%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.1148	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1887	-0.48%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2455	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.2078	-0.43%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1953	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.2867	-0.72%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1885	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1652	+0.06%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1347	✗	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0886	+0.14%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0634	✗	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.108	+0.09%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0127	✗	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.1009	+0.12%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0266	✗	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1529	+0.04%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0458	✓	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.0726	+0.11%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1057	✓	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.0558	+0.08%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1399	✓	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.0202	-0.08%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0265	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.017	-0.20%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0519	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1284	-0.14%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0870	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.1388	-0.11%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0834	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.2086	+0.00%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0416	✗	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3711	-0.14%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.2067	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2999	-0.08%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2363	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3554	-0.12%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2765	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.356	-0.22%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2895	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3767	-0.24%	1.13	-18.12%	0.2028	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3552	-0.21%	1.14	-16.05%	0.2140	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.4254	-0.28%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2249	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4501	-0.41%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1359	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.4261	-0.31%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1752	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3826	-0.25%	1.357	-2.09%	0.1001	✓	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4423	-0.29%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0235	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.5083	-0.38%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0698	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.5255	-0.42%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0749	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4712	-0.33%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0388	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4414	-0.25%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0203	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5827	-0.52%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0344	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.6738	-0.78%	1.386	-17.84%	0.1073	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.6654	-0.87%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.1188	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.6321	-0.78%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0409	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5884	-0.63%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0240	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.4244	-0.11%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0241	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.4168	-0.09%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0288	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.4671	-0.27%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1007	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5399	-0.46%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1091	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.6105	-0.59%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0636	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.6225	-0.46%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0060	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6528	-0.67%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.4548	+1.31%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0730	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5678	-0.52%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4748	-0.49%	1.471	-0.74%	0.0924	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5775	-0.97%	1.547	-2.89%	0.0957	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.5042	-0.52%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1642	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5524	-0.74%	1.63	+4.22%	0.1761	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6981	-1.45%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1559	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.5905	-1.34%	1.436	-10.92%	0.1949	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.9397	-2.53%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.8942	-2.31%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0817	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6813	-1.56%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0610	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5579	-1.24%	1.512	-4.15%	0.0885	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7766	-1.63%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0029	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.