8=======>

LIGHTER

? · · gru_s9

token id
#154
symbol
LIGHTER
variant
–
chain
address
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-15
predictions
813
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
241
of 271 predictions shown
direction hit
42.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3384
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0371
actual +0.0920

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos3.4223.212-6.14%–pending––1.27
2026-10-20oos3.3823.1727-6.19%–pending––1.30
2026-10-19oos3.0952.9377-5.08%–pending––1.28
2026-10-18oos3.0742.9245-4.86%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.1162.9655-4.83%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.1763.0243-4.78%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02552.9-4.15%–pending––1.31
2026-10-14oos3.0852.9507-4.35%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.35053.1746-5.25%–pending––1.30
2026-10-12oos3.37453.2016-5.12%–pending––1.32
2026-10-11oos3.8383.5859-6.57%–pending––1.32
2026-10-10oos3.6373.4346-5.57%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.6283.4412-5.15%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.6073.4279-4.96%–pending––1.39
2026-10-07oos3.5743.4099-4.59%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.8183.6273-5.00%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.0193.7919-5.65%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.6653.527-3.77%–pending––1.48
2026-10-03oos3.5673.461-2.97%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.5453.4649-2.26%–pending––1.50
2026-10-01oos3.8063.6928-2.97%–pending––1.49
2026-09-30oos3.9483.8096-3.51%–pending––1.51
2026-09-29oos3.9263.7717-3.93%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.4454.1956-5.61%–pending––1.52
2026-09-27oos4.6554.3533-6.48%–pending––1.48
2026-09-26oos4.84454.5008-7.10%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85454.5122-7.05%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.0714.6745-7.82%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.3094.8345-8.94%–pending––1.48
2026-09-22oos5.06754.6565-8.11%–pending––1.55
2026-09-21oos4.74054.4136-6.90%3.422-27.81%0.1883✓1.44
2026-09-20oos4.7784.4694-6.46%3.382-29.22%0.3147✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.81454.5021-6.49%3.095-35.72%0.3870✓1.66
2026-09-18oos4.77254.4766-6.20%3.074-35.59%0.3988✓1.65
2026-09-17oos4.8164.5294-5.95%3.116-35.30%0.4910✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.6054.3527-5.48%3.176-31.03%0.4386✓1.82
2026-09-15oos4.01953.8632-3.89%3.0255-24.73%0.3953✓1.82
2026-09-14oos4.38754.1849-4.62%3.085-29.69%0.3802✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11153.9488-3.96%3.3505-18.51%0.3019✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.2174.0547-3.85%3.3745-19.98%0.2814✓1.74
2026-09-11oos4.3534.2009-3.49%3.838-11.83%0.2295✓1.73
2026-09-10oos4.29054.1554-3.15%3.637-15.23%0.2725✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52754.3907-3.02%3.628-19.87%0.2822✓1.73
2026-09-08oos4.8264.664-3.36%3.607-25.26%0.3283✓1.76
2026-09-07oos4.72254.5845-2.92%3.574-24.32%0.3415✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.5164.4108-2.33%3.818-15.46%0.2540✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.7544.6273-2.66%4.019-15.46%0.2663✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.8234.6746-3.08%3.665-24.01%0.3812✓1.68
2026-09-03oos4.4414.3588-1.85%3.567-19.68%0.2741✓1.76
2026-09-02oos3.7923.7326-1.57%3.545-6.51%0.1884✓1.54
2026-09-01oos3.523.4813-1.10%3.806+8.13%0.0557✓1.58
2026-08-31oos3.5653.5245-1.14%3.948+10.74%0.0279✗1.39
2026-08-30oos3.5313.4819-1.39%3.926+11.19%0.0511✗0.93
2026-08-29oos3.5543.5273-0.75%4.445+25.07%0.1707✗0.94
2026-08-28oos3.4973.4741-0.65%4.655+33.11%0.2161✗0.94
2026-08-27oos3.7113.6623-1.31%4.8445+30.54%0.2338✗0.91
2026-08-26oos3.4533.3889-1.86%4.8545+40.59%0.3040✗0.89
2026-08-25oos3.2853.2124-2.21%5.071+54.37%0.3936✗0.88
2026-08-24oos3.4013.2973-3.05%5.309+56.10%0.4175✗0.89
2026-08-23oos3.5783.4034-4.88%5.0675+41.63%0.2958✗0.99
2026-08-22oos3.1873.0729-3.58%4.7405+48.74%0.3199✗0.97
2026-08-21oos3.1283.0191-3.48%4.778+52.75%0.4240✗0.99
2026-08-20oos2.6692.5928-2.86%4.8145+80.39%0.5299✗0.83
2026-08-19oos2.6022.5055-3.71%4.7725+83.42%0.4878✗1.01
2026-08-18oos2.3592.2777-3.44%4.816+104.15%0.5872✗0.97
2026-08-17oos2.3322.2497-3.53%4.605+97.47%0.5477✗1.01
2026-08-16oos2.2762.1942-3.59%4.0195+76.60%0.4159✗1.03
2026-08-15oos2.2662.188-3.44%4.3875+93.62%0.4774✗1.01
2026-08-14oos2.2342.1612-3.26%4.1115+84.04%0.4412✗1.02
2026-08-13oos2.2712.1973-3.24%4.217+85.69%0.4533✗1.01
2026-08-12oos2.3352.2547-3.44%4.353+86.42%0.4507✗1.05
2026-08-11oos2.4182.324-3.89%4.2905+77.44%0.4198✗1.04
2026-08-10oos2.3832.2921-3.82%4.5275+89.99%0.4675✗1.05
2026-08-09oos2.3042.2259-3.39%4.826+109.46%0.5649✗1.10
2026-08-08oos2.2822.2058-3.34%4.7225+106.95%0.5429✗1.10
2026-08-07oos2.29752.2182-3.45%4.516+96.56%0.4788✗1.09
2026-08-06oos2.3712.2717-4.19%4.754+100.51%0.5004✗1.10
2026-08-05oos2.1862.1193-3.05%4.823+120.63%0.5883✗1.12
2026-08-04oos2.0562.0026-2.60%4.441+116.00%0.5397✗1.08
2026-08-03oos2.00351.9551-2.41%3.792+89.27%0.4519✗1.07
2026-08-02oos2.0381.9885-2.43%3.52+72.72%0.3555✗1.09
2026-08-01oos2.0181.9693-2.41%3.565+76.66%0.3541✗1.07
2026-07-31oos2.0682.0161-2.51%3.531+70.74%0.3340✗1.07
2026-07-30oos2.2812.2169-2.81%3.554+55.81%0.2840✗0.99
2026-07-29oos2.1792.1205-2.69%3.497+60.49%0.3095✗0.97
2026-07-28oos2.3012.2258-3.27%3.711+61.28%0.2947✗0.95
2026-07-27oos2.1292.0702-2.76%3.453+62.19%0.3116✗0.93
2026-07-26oos2.1452.0919-2.48%3.285+53.15%0.2830✗0.92
2026-07-25oos2.0642.0054-2.84%3.401+64.78%0.3361✗0.93
2026-07-24oos2.03151.9697-3.04%3.578+76.13%0.4208✗0.91
2026-07-23oos2.15852.091-3.13%3.187+47.65%0.2721✗0.88
2026-07-22oos2.3052.2328-3.13%3.128+35.70%0.1935✗0.85
2026-07-21oos2.3442.2694-3.18%2.669+13.87%0.0834✗0.85
2026-07-20oos2.1792.1078-3.27%2.602+19.41%0.1640✗0.77
2026-07-19oos2.2092.1333-3.43%2.359+6.79%0.1006✗0.77
2026-07-18oos2.2572.1832-3.27%2.332+3.32%0.0697✗0.75
2026-07-17oos2.2882.2059-3.59%2.276-0.52%0.0453✗0.84
2026-07-16oos2.2852.1996-3.74%2.266-0.83%0.0401✗0.87
2026-07-15oos2.4142.3025-4.62%2.234-7.46%0.0076✓0.83
2026-07-14oos2.5952.4308-6.33%2.271-12.49%0.0480✓0.82
2026-07-13oos2.3052.1513-6.67%2.335+1.30%0.0690✓0.71
2026-07-12oos2.632.4329-7.50%2.418-8.06%0.0041✓0.63
2026-07-11oos2.5772.3835-7.51%2.383-7.53%0.0016✓0.63
2026-07-10oos2.6882.4545-8.69%2.304-14.29%0.0712✓0.70
2026-07-09oos2.3962.2194-7.37%2.282-4.76%0.0099✓0.66
2026-07-08oos2.32852.1559-7.41%2.2975-1.33%0.0341✓0.71
2026-07-07oos2.4592.2597-8.11%2.371-3.58%0.0380✓0.68
2026-07-06oos2.5782.3364-9.37%2.186-15.21%0.0730✓0.69
2026-07-05oos2.4622.237-9.14%2.056-16.49%0.0894✓0.69
2026-07-04oos2.1992.0317-7.61%2.0035-8.89%0.0180✓0.67
2026-07-03oos2.1181.9598-7.47%2.038-3.78%0.0289✓0.66
2026-07-02oos2.0671.9081-7.69%2.018-2.37%0.0426✓0.65
2026-07-01oos2.0741.8807-9.32%2.068-0.29%0.0634✓0.68
2026-06-30oos1.851.7122-7.45%2.281+23.30%0.2289✗0.58
2026-06-29oos1.8611.719-7.63%2.179+17.09%0.2024✗0.58
2026-06-28oos1.7311.6166-6.61%2.301+32.93%0.3110✗0.59
2026-06-27oos1.721.6014-6.90%2.129+23.78%0.2497✗0.58
2026-06-26oos1.8251.675-8.22%2.145+17.53%0.1977✗0.58
2026-06-25oos1.6091.5072-6.33%2.064+28.28%0.2728✗0.56
2026-06-24oos1.6971.5671-7.66%2.0315+19.71%0.2322✗0.55
2026-06-23oos1.5041.4154-5.89%2.1585+43.52%0.3949✗0.72
2026-06-22oos1.6111.494-7.26%2.305+43.08%0.4114✗0.68
2026-06-21oos1.5671.4601-6.82%2.344+49.59%0.4396✗0.67
2026-06-20oos1.5581.4481-7.05%2.179+39.86%0.3987✗0.64
2026-06-19oos1.5441.434-7.12%2.209+43.07%0.4191✗0.69
2026-06-18oos1.6131.4854-7.91%2.257+39.93%0.3972✗0.71
2026-06-17oos1.721.5541-9.65%2.288+33.02%0.3923✗0.64
2026-06-16oos1.7341.5579-10.16%2.285+31.78%0.4014✗0.64
2026-06-15oos1.6881.5193-10.00%2.414+43.01%0.4796✗0.69
2026-06-14oos1.6841.5159-9.98%2.595+54.10%0.5449✗0.66
2026-06-13oos1.6291.4743-9.50%2.305+41.50%0.4705✗0.69
2026-06-12oos1.5371.4041-8.65%2.63+71.11%0.6256✗0.65
2026-06-11oos1.5581.4137-9.26%2.577+65.40%0.5983✗0.65
2026-06-10oos1.3921.2943-7.02%2.688+93.10%0.7071✗0.56
2026-06-09oos1.5841.4302-9.71%2.396+51.26%0.5027✗0.56
2026-06-08oos1.4671.3433-8.43%2.3285+58.73%0.5581✗0.61
2026-06-07oos1.4331.3166-8.12%2.459+71.60%0.6245✗0.62
2026-06-06oos1.4251.3216-7.26%2.578+80.91%0.6370✗0.62
2026-06-05oos1.5031.37-8.85%2.462+63.81%0.5591✗0.66
2026-06-04oos1.4661.3426-8.42%2.199+50.00%0.5017✗0.73
2026-06-03oos1.7811.5588-12.48%2.118+18.92%0.3245✗0.75
2026-06-02oos1.6061.4173-11.75%2.067+28.70%0.4550✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.3361.233-7.71%2.074+55.24%0.7661✗1.42
2026-05-31oos1.3771.2668-8.00%1.85+34.35%0.7082✗1.44
2026-05-30oos1.36951.2574-8.19%1.861+35.89%0.6695✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.2621.1621-7.92%1.731+37.16%0.6810✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.1741.0986-6.42%1.72+46.51%0.7241✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.1281.0632-5.74%1.825+61.79%0.8354✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.1841.1102-6.23%1.609+35.90%0.6987✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.3841.2593-9.01%1.697+22.62%0.5867✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.2951.1874-8.31%1.504+16.14%0.4847✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22651.1392-7.11%1.611+31.35%0.5612✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.1861.1088-6.51%1.567+32.12%0.5550✗1.18
2026-05-21oos1.4311.284-10.27%1.558+8.87%0.3969✗1.08
2026-05-20oos1.2781.1625-9.04%1.544+20.81%0.5008✗1.09
2026-05-19oos1.1341.051-7.32%1.613+42.24%0.6420✗1.07
2026-05-18oos0.9540.910153-4.60%1.72+80.29%0.8345✗1.12
2026-05-17oos0.86350.840776-2.63%1.734+100.81%0.9142✗1.15
2026-05-16oos0.87750.854933-2.57%1.688+92.36%0.8695✗1.15
2026-05-15oos0.8570.837877-2.23%1.684+96.50%0.9107✗1.15
2026-05-14oos0.9150.895826-2.10%1.629+78.03%0.8596✗1.14
2026-05-13oos0.8980.87788-2.24%1.537+71.16%0.8268✗1.20
2026-05-12oos0.92650.907842-2.01%1.558+68.16%0.8217✗1.19
2026-05-11oos0.99950.972456-2.71%1.392+39.27%0.6929✗1.17
2026-05-10oos1.0591.0197-3.71%1.584+49.58%0.7776✗1.17
2026-05-09oos1.0531.0153-3.58%1.467+39.32%0.6588✗1.18
2026-05-08oos1.0771.0349-3.91%1.433+33.05%0.6042✗1.18
2026-05-07oos0.9890.961905-2.74%1.425+44.08%0.7142✗1.17
2026-05-06oos0.9540.937285-1.75%1.503+57.55%0.8283✗1.23
2026-05-05oos0.9660.945301-2.14%1.466+51.76%0.6864✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.9060.894371-1.28%1.781+96.58%0.9064✗0.99
2026-05-03oos0.9230.906343-1.80%1.606+74.00%0.7372✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.89299-1.65%1.336+47.14%0.5027✗1.02
2026-05-01oos0.9030.88917-1.53%1.377+52.49%0.4998✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.88450.864058-2.31%1.3695+54.83%0.4955✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.94750.919286-2.98%1.262+33.19%0.3500✗1.04
2026-04-28oos0.8970.874124-2.55%1.174+30.88%0.3372✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.846375-1.98%1.128+30.63%0.3329✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.9130.902978-1.10%1.184+29.68%0.3132✗1.15
2026-04-25oos0.930.913124-1.81%1.384+48.82%0.4219✗1.17
2026-04-24oos0.94750.933373-1.49%1.295+36.68%0.3350✗1.20
2026-04-23oos0.92450.9204-0.44%1.2265+32.67%0.3123✗1.20
2026-04-22oos0.88050.879886-0.07%1.186+34.70%0.3416✗1.20
2026-04-21oos0.89750.888662-0.98%1.431+59.44%0.4576✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.90050.889286-1.25%1.278+41.92%0.3371✗1.22
2026-04-19oos0.890.870677-2.17%1.134+27.42%0.2173✗1.20
2026-04-18oos0.9760.970931-0.52%0.954-2.25%0.0364✓1.19
2026-04-17oos1.04951.0516+0.20%0.8635-17.72%0.2018✗1.19
2026-04-16oos1.0431.034-0.86%0.8775-15.87%0.2100✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04251.0315-1.06%0.857-17.79%0.2509✓1.19
2026-04-14oos1.02351.0111-1.21%0.915-10.60%0.2061✓1.19
2026-04-13oos1.14351.1187-2.17%0.898-21.47%0.2949✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.0941.0587-3.23%0.9265-15.31%0.2882✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.2061.1589-3.90%0.9995-17.12%0.2801✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.1361.0986-3.29%1.059-6.78%0.1767✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.0160.996026-1.97%1.053+3.64%0.0790✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.9990.979715-1.93%1.077+7.81%0.0445✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.0731.0461-2.50%0.989-7.83%0.1789✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02450.994466-2.93%0.954-6.88%0.2347✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.00950.982003-2.72%0.966-4.31%0.1995✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.9860.957872-2.85%0.906-8.11%0.2527✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.9890.957812-3.15%0.923-6.67%0.2210✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.9490.920686-2.98%0.908-4.32%0.2003✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.8890.873923-1.70%0.903+1.57%0.1285✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.8710.859092-1.37%0.8845+1.55%0.1011✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80750.79871-1.09%0.9475+17.34%0.0258✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.82650.817664-1.07%0.897+8.53%0.0753✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.85750.849018-0.99%0.8635+0.70%0.1603✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.873988-0.96%0.913+3.46%0.1525✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.9120.906123-0.64%0.93+1.97%0.1145✓1.16
2026-03-25oos0.99450.992071-0.24%0.9475-4.73%0.1405✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.00851.0042-0.43%0.9245-8.33%0.2020✓1.15
2026-03-23oos0.9540.953658-0.04%0.8805-7.70%0.1926✓1.15
2026-03-22oos0.94050.93462-0.63%0.8975-4.57%0.1781✓1.17
2026-03-21oos1.0521.046-0.57%0.9005-14.40%0.2606✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.0641.0635-0.05%0.89-16.35%0.2314✓1.16
2026-03-19oos1.19451.1868-0.65%0.976-18.29%0.2897✓1.18
2026-03-18oos1.2131.2114-0.13%1.0495-13.48%0.2366✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.2961.2955-0.04%1.043-19.52%0.2361✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16451.1829+1.58%1.0425-10.48%0.1256✗1.19
2026-03-15oos1.0871.1017+1.36%1.0235-5.84%0.0951✗1.17
2026-03-14oos1.1071.1195+1.13%1.1435+3.30%0.0310✗1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09951.114+1.32%1.094-0.50%0.0150✗1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15251.1653+1.11%1.206+4.64%0.0080✓1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07151.085+1.26%1.136+6.02%0.0000✓1.18
2026-03-10oos1.0551.0676+1.20%1.016-3.70%0.0801✗1.18
2026-03-09oos1.0211.0267+0.56%0.999-2.15%0.0720✗1.17
2026-03-08oos1.0191.0179-0.11%1.073+5.30%0.0505✓1.20
2026-03-07oos1.131.131+0.09%1.0245-9.34%0.1266✗1.18
2026-03-06oos1.141.1437+0.32%1.0095-11.45%0.1403✗1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20851.2187+0.84%0.986-18.41%0.1505✗1.18
2026-03-04oos1.3731.3838+0.78%0.989-27.97%0.2414✗1.15
2026-03-03oos1.3011.3042+0.24%0.949-27.06%0.2930✗1.17
2026-03-02oos1.3571.3599+0.21%0.889-34.49%0.4128✗1.17
2026-03-01oos1.3591.3551-0.29%0.871-35.91%0.4867✓1.22
2026-02-28oos1.381.3768-0.23%0.8075-41.49%0.5294✓1.22
2026-02-27oos1.3581.3533-0.35%0.8265-39.14%0.4949✓1.22
2026-02-26oos1.42951.424-0.39%0.8575-40.01%0.4859✓1.22
2026-02-25oos1.4561.4478-0.56%0.8825-39.39%0.4653✓1.22
2026-02-24oos1.43051.4182-0.86%0.912-36.25%0.5330✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3861.3757-0.74%0.9945-28.25%0.4515✓1.29
2026-02-22oos1.44651.4364-0.70%1.0085-30.28%0.4085✓1.30
2026-02-21oos1.5141.5008-0.87%0.954-36.99%0.5079✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.5321.5174-0.95%0.9405-38.61%0.4757✓1.31
2026-02-19oos1.4761.4631-0.87%1.052-28.73%0.3670✓1.30
2026-02-18oos1.4451.433-0.83%1.064-26.37%0.3751✓1.30
2026-02-17oos1.5911.5697-1.34%1.1945-24.92%0.3192✓1.29
2026-02-16oos1.6871.6557-1.85%1.213-28.10%0.3549✓1.28
2026-02-15oos1.681.6457-2.04%1.296-22.86%0.3315✓1.28
2026-02-14oos1.6451.6127-1.96%1.1645-29.21%0.4164✓1.29
2026-02-13oos1.59851.5688-1.86%1.087-32.00%0.4237✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.4261.4089-1.20%1.107-22.37%0.3143✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4181.3999-1.27%1.0995-22.46%0.2984✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.4711.447-1.63%1.1525-21.65%0.2524✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.5471.5155-2.04%1.0715-30.74%0.3482✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.621.5814-2.39%1.055-34.88%0.4002✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.631.5912-2.38%1.021-37.36%0.4319✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.6641.6177-2.78%1.019-38.76%0.3954✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.4361.4244-0.81%1.13-21.31%0.3003✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.5761.5298-2.93%1.14-27.66%0.2248✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4821.4367-3.06%1.2085-18.45%0.1078✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.5931.5353-3.62%1.373-13.81%0.0326✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.5121.4625-3.27%1.301-13.96%0.0010✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.5641.5087-3.54%1.357-13.24%0.0273✓1.00
2026-01-30oos1.7231.6481-4.35%1.359-21.13%0.0531✗1.00
2026-01-29oos1.6121.5439-4.23%1.38-14.39%0.1205✗1.00
2026-01-28oos1.991.8692-6.07%1.358-31.76%0.0166✓1.00
2026-01-27oos1.9391.8285-5.70%1.4295-26.28%0.0318✓1.00
2026-01-26oos1.7081.6318-4.46%1.456-14.75%0.1468✗1.00
2026-01-25oos1.57751.5111-4.21%1.4305-9.32%0.2461✗1.00
2026-01-24oos1.8061.723-4.60%1.386-23.26%0.1033✗1.00