KAS

Kaspa · Kaspa · gru_s9

token id: #115
symbol: KAS
variant: –
chain: Kaspa
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-19
predictions: 2,082

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0623

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0097

actual -0.0018

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.03884	0.037857	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-21	oos	0.03856	0.037651	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.03737	0.036499	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.0351	0.034493	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-18	oos	0.035465	0.034838	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-17	oos	0.035295	0.034756	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.036135	0.03553	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.035945	0.035389	-1.55%	0.03884	+8.05%	0.0632	✗	1.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.03702	0.036475	-1.47%	0.03856	+4.16%	0.0203	✗	1.19
2026-10-13	oos	0.038605	0.038072	-1.38%	0.03737	-3.20%	0.0163	✓	1.18
2026-10-12	oos	0.038425	0.037889	-1.40%	0.0351	-8.65%	0.0778	✓	1.18
2026-10-11	oos	0.041375	0.040782	-1.43%	0.035465	-14.28%	0.1175	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.040775	0.040185	-1.45%	0.035295	-13.44%	0.1096	✓	1.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.0414	0.040777	-1.51%	0.036135	-12.72%	0.1070	✓	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.03917	0.038644	-1.34%	0.035945	-8.23%	0.0781	✓	1.08
2026-10-07	oos	0.040535	0.039984	-1.36%	0.03702	-8.67%	0.0549	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.043225	0.042714	-1.18%	0.038605	-10.69%	0.0713	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.04348	0.043065	-0.95%	0.038425	-11.63%	0.0651	✓	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.042675	0.042455	-0.52%	0.041375	-3.05%	0.0088	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.043115	0.042785	-0.77%	0.040775	-5.43%	0.0251	✓	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.042085	0.041822	-0.62%	0.0414	-1.63%	0.0144	✗	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.041435	0.041276	-0.38%	0.03917	-5.47%	0.0125	✓	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.043475	0.043167	-0.71%	0.040535	-6.76%	0.0593	✓	1.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.042925	0.042692	-0.54%	0.043225	+0.70%	0.0114	✓	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.04546	0.044971	-1.08%	0.04348	-4.36%	0.0628	✓	1.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.04692	0.046353	-1.21%	0.042675	-9.05%	0.1083	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.04781	0.046861	-1.98%	0.043115	-9.82%	0.0875	✓	1.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.04216	0.041866	-0.70%	0.042085	-0.18%	0.0001	✓	1.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.0399	0.0398	-0.25%	0.041435	+3.85%	0.0343	✗	1.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.03851	0.038521	+0.03%	0.043475	+12.89%	0.1317	✓	1.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.04158	0.041495	-0.20%	0.042925	+3.23%	0.0657	✗	1.06
2026-09-21	oos	0.043235	0.042863	-0.86%	0.04546	+5.15%	0.0977	✗	1.05
2026-09-20	oos	0.039935	0.039463	-1.18%	0.04692	+17.49%	0.1319	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.03912	0.038594	-1.34%	0.04781	+22.21%	0.1745	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.03804	0.037548	-1.29%	0.04216	+10.83%	0.0755	✗	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0338	0.03347	-0.98%	0.0399	+18.05%	0.0828	✗	0.93
2026-09-16	oos	0.03291	0.032664	-0.75%	0.03851	+17.02%	0.0699	✗	0.92
2026-09-15	oos	0.032925	0.032653	-0.82%	0.04158	+26.29%	0.1176	✗	0.94
2026-09-14	oos	0.034885	0.03471	-0.50%	0.043235	+23.94%	0.1259	✗	0.92
2026-09-13	oos	0.033285	0.033207	-0.23%	0.039935	+19.98%	0.1346	✗	0.90
2026-09-12	oos	0.03521	0.035017	-0.55%	0.03912	+11.10%	0.0660	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.035965	0.035624	-0.95%	0.03804	+5.77%	0.0238	✗	0.90
2026-09-10	oos	0.035345	0.03494	-1.15%	0.0338	-4.37%	0.0310	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.03653	0.036153	-1.03%	0.03291	-9.91%	0.0693	✓	0.89
2026-09-08	oos	0.035455	0.035069	-1.09%	0.032925	-7.14%	0.0300	✓	0.89
2026-09-07	oos	0.03651	0.035811	-1.92%	0.034885	-4.45%	0.0159	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.0323	0.032388	+0.27%	0.033285	+3.05%	0.0717	✓	0.98
2026-09-05	oos	0.03057	0.030758	+0.62%	0.03521	+15.18%	0.1670	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.02944	0.029669	+0.78%	0.035965	+22.16%	0.2233	✓	0.98
2026-09-03	oos	0.029815	0.030099	+0.95%	0.035345	+18.55%	0.2200	✓	0.99
2026-09-02	oos	0.027975	0.028158	+0.65%	0.03653	+30.58%	0.2498	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.027505	0.027738	+0.85%	0.035455	+28.90%	0.2339	✓	0.85
2026-08-31	oos	0.027895	0.028191	+1.06%	0.03651	+30.88%	0.2541	✓	0.67
2026-08-30	oos	0.02709	0.027374	+1.05%	0.0323	+19.23%	0.1417	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.02766	0.027999	+1.23%	0.03057	+10.52%	0.0739	✓	0.69
2026-08-28	oos	0.02804	0.028377	+1.20%	0.02944	+4.99%	0.0207	✓	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.02955	0.029962	+1.39%	0.029815	+0.90%	0.0131	✓	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.02803	0.028403	+1.33%	0.027975	-0.20%	0.0009	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.02765	0.028018	+1.33%	0.027505	-0.52%	0.0090	✓	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.029135	0.029489	+1.22%	0.027895	-4.26%	0.0521	✗	0.65
2026-08-23	oos	0.0293	0.02958	+0.96%	0.02709	-7.54%	0.0874	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.029095	0.029381	+0.98%	0.02766	-4.93%	0.0704	✗	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.029695	0.029947	+0.85%	0.02804	-5.57%	0.0617	✗	0.66
2026-08-20	oos	0.02801	0.028012	+0.01%	0.02955	+5.50%	0.0060	✗	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.027	0.026871	-0.48%	0.02803	+3.81%	0.0414	✓	0.64
2026-08-18	oos	0.02527	0.025005	-1.05%	0.02765	+9.42%	0.0114	✓	0.58
2026-08-17	oos	0.02566	0.025382	-1.08%	0.029135	+13.54%	0.0177	✗	0.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.02552	0.025238	-1.11%	0.0293	+14.81%	0.0215	✗	0.60
2026-08-15	oos	0.025795	0.025513	-1.09%	0.029095	+12.79%	0.0116	✗	0.60
2026-08-14	oos	0.02542	0.025192	-0.90%	0.029695	+16.82%	0.0348	✗	0.59
2026-08-13	oos	0.0253	0.025102	-0.78%	0.02801	+10.71%	0.0248	✗	0.60
2026-08-12	oos	0.02554	0.025345	-0.77%	0.027	+5.72%	0.0062	✓	0.64
2026-08-11	oos	0.02595	0.02573	-0.85%	0.02527	-2.62%	0.0295	✓	0.64
2026-08-10	oos	0.02587	0.025658	-0.82%	0.02566	-0.81%	0.0056	✓	0.65
2026-08-09	oos	0.02595	0.025723	-0.88%	0.02552	-1.66%	0.0132	✗	0.67
2026-08-08	oos	0.02667	0.026396	-1.03%	0.025795	-3.28%	0.0034	✓	0.67
2026-08-07	oos	0.026445	0.026152	-1.11%	0.02542	-3.88%	0.0079	✓	0.68
2026-08-06	oos	0.02562	0.025367	-0.99%	0.0253	-1.25%	0.0063	✓	0.68
2026-08-05	oos	0.02607	0.025789	-1.08%	0.02554	-2.03%	0.0030	✓	0.68
2026-08-04	oos	0.02641	0.026092	-1.20%	0.02595	-1.74%	0.0002	✓	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.02606	0.025748	-1.20%	0.02587	-0.73%	0.0002	✓	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.02682	0.026451	-1.38%	0.02595	-3.24%	0.0344	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02677	0.026381	-1.45%	0.02667	-0.37%	0.0132	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.027205	0.026791	-1.52%	0.026445	-2.79%	0.0363	✓	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.02764	0.027202	-1.58%	0.02562	-7.31%	0.0548	✓	0.73
2026-07-29	oos	0.02739	0.027032	-1.31%	0.02607	-4.82%	0.0441	✓	0.72
2026-07-28	oos	0.027945	0.02763	-1.13%	0.02641	-5.49%	0.0474	✓	0.72
2026-07-27	oos	0.028125	0.027859	-0.95%	0.02606	-7.34%	0.0642	✓	0.72
2026-07-26	oos	0.02929	0.029098	-0.66%	0.02682	-8.43%	0.0614	✓	0.70
2026-07-25	oos	0.02807	0.027934	-0.48%	0.02677	-4.63%	0.0261	✓	0.68
2026-07-24	oos	0.027735	0.027647	-0.32%	0.027205	-1.91%	0.0026	✓	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02799	0.027972	-0.06%	0.02764	-1.25%	0.0085	✓	0.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.02828	0.028327	+0.16%	0.02739	-3.15%	0.0105	✗	0.69
2026-07-21	oos	0.02861	0.02868	+0.25%	0.027945	-2.32%	0.0021	✓	0.69
2026-07-20	oos	0.028365	0.028394	+0.10%	0.028125	-0.85%	0.0064	✓	0.68
2026-07-19	oos	0.02833	0.028342	+0.04%	0.02929	+3.39%	0.0261	✓	0.67
2026-07-18	oos	0.027785	0.027805	+0.07%	0.02807	+1.03%	0.0147	✓	0.67
2026-07-17	oos	0.02788	0.027839	-0.15%	0.027735	-0.52%	0.0057	✓	0.67
2026-07-16	oos	0.02816	0.028133	-0.10%	0.02799	-0.60%	0.0188	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	0.0289	0.028883	-0.06%	0.02828	-2.15%	0.0361	✓	0.72
2026-07-14	oos	0.028605	0.028592	-0.04%	0.02861	+0.02%	0.0162	✓	0.72
2026-07-13	oos	0.0284	0.02829	-0.39%	0.028365	-0.12%	0.0328	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.02847	0.028403	-0.24%	0.02833	-0.49%	0.0140	✓	0.78
2026-07-11	oos	0.029295	0.029195	-0.34%	0.027785	-5.15%	0.0622	✓	0.80
2026-07-10	oos	0.02949	0.029382	-0.37%	0.02788	-5.46%	0.0495	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.02951	0.029374	-0.46%	0.02816	-4.57%	0.0499	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.02925	0.02909	-0.55%	0.0289	-1.20%	0.0392	✓	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.02924	0.029094	-0.50%	0.028605	-2.17%	0.0388	✓	0.84
2026-07-06	oos	0.0302	0.030015	-0.61%	0.0284	-5.96%	0.0322	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.03094	0.030715	-0.73%	0.02847	-7.98%	0.0780	✓	0.86
2026-07-04	oos	0.03184	0.031554	-0.90%	0.029295	-7.99%	0.0837	✓	0.87
2026-07-03	oos	0.03138	0.031083	-0.95%	0.02949	-6.02%	0.0744	✓	0.86
2026-07-02	oos	0.03096	0.030639	-1.04%	0.02951	-4.68%	0.0609	✓	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.03083	0.030436	-1.28%	0.02925	-5.12%	0.0723	✓	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.029245	0.028866	-1.30%	0.02924	-0.02%	0.0545	✓	0.85
2026-06-29	oos	0.03032	0.029896	-1.40%	0.0302	-0.40%	0.0421	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.02775	0.027485	-0.95%	0.03094	+11.50%	0.0638	✗	0.82
2026-06-27	oos	0.027795	0.027523	-0.98%	0.03184	+14.55%	0.1045	✗	0.80
2026-06-26	oos	0.02811	0.02781	-1.07%	0.03138	+11.63%	0.0875	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.02756	0.027269	-1.06%	0.03096	+12.34%	0.1032	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.02795	0.027593	-1.28%	0.03083	+10.30%	0.1248	✗	0.82
2026-06-23	oos	0.02886	0.028467	-1.36%	0.029245	+1.33%	0.0850	✗	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.02934	0.028927	-1.41%	0.03032	+3.34%	0.1004	✗	0.87
2026-06-21	oos	0.02916	0.028755	-1.39%	0.02775	-4.84%	0.0178	✗	0.87
2026-06-20	oos	0.029775	0.029332	-1.49%	0.027795	-6.65%	0.0004	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.02992	0.029457	-1.55%	0.02811	-6.05%	0.0038	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.03041	0.029902	-1.67%	0.02756	-9.37%	0.0403	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03193	0.031316	-1.92%	0.02795	-12.46%	0.0705	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.03249	0.031848	-1.97%	0.02886	-11.17%	0.0614	✓	0.80
2026-06-15	oos	0.03302	0.032326	-2.10%	0.02934	-11.14%	0.0723	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	0.0324	0.031717	-2.11%	0.02916	-10.00%	0.0587	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.031385	0.030751	-2.02%	0.029775	-5.13%	0.0300	✓	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	0.03099	0.03035	-2.07%	0.02992	-3.45%	0.0136	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.03109	0.030424	-2.14%	0.03041	-2.19%	0.0071	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.030365	0.029744	-2.04%	0.03193	+5.15%	0.0377	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.03018	0.029607	-1.90%	0.03249	+7.65%	0.0498	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.03205	0.031294	-2.36%	0.03302	+3.03%	0.0203	✓	0.67
2026-06-07	oos	0.03126	0.030609	-2.08%	0.0324	+3.65%	0.0320	✗	0.67
2026-06-06	oos	0.02999	0.029574	-1.39%	0.031385	+4.65%	0.0226	✗	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0309	0.030318	-1.88%	0.03099	+0.29%	0.0037	✓	0.64
2026-06-04	oos	0.02955	0.029168	-1.29%	0.03109	+5.21%	0.0666	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	0.03196	0.031332	-1.96%	0.030365	-4.99%	0.0023	✓	0.70
2026-06-02	oos	0.02844	0.028223	-0.76%	0.03018	+6.12%	0.1333	✗	0.85
2026-06-01	oos	0.03044	0.029935	-1.66%	0.03205	+5.29%	0.1612	✗	0.76
2026-05-31	oos	0.0307	0.030136	-1.84%	0.03126	+1.82%	0.1520	✗	0.77
2026-05-30	oos	0.03084	0.030292	-1.78%	0.02999	-2.76%	0.1365	✗	0.76
2026-05-29	oos	0.03102	0.030481	-1.74%	0.0309	-0.39%	0.1549	✗	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.031095	0.030553	-1.74%	0.02955	-4.97%	0.0743	✗	0.76
2026-05-27	oos	0.03209	0.031554	-1.67%	0.03196	-0.41%	0.1265	✗	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.032615	0.032178	-1.34%	0.02844	-12.80%	0.0257	✓	0.76
2026-05-25	oos	0.03365	0.033286	-1.08%	0.03044	-9.54%	0.0276	✓	0.77
2026-05-24	oos	0.03334	0.032999	-1.02%	0.0307	-7.92%	0.0371	✓	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.0338	0.03337	-1.27%	0.03084	-8.76%	0.0496	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.03374	0.033234	-1.50%	0.03102	-8.06%	0.0474	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.03525	0.034762	-1.38%	0.031095	-11.79%	0.0711	✓	0.76
2026-05-20	oos	0.034845	0.034403	-1.27%	0.03209	-7.91%	0.0378	✓	0.76
2026-05-19	oos	0.03364	0.03324	-1.19%	0.032615	-3.05%	0.0097	✓	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.03485	0.034382	-1.34%	0.03365	-3.44%	0.0245	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.03396	0.033577	-1.13%	0.03334	-1.83%	0.0028	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.034185	0.033761	-1.24%	0.0338	-1.13%	0.0154	✗	0.76
2026-05-15	oos	0.035135	0.034673	-1.31%	0.03374	-3.97%	0.0085	✓	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.03758	0.037115	-1.24%	0.03525	-6.20%	0.0185	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.03724	0.036647	-1.59%	0.034845	-6.43%	0.0333	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.03807	0.037546	-1.38%	0.03364	-11.64%	0.0751	✓	0.73
2026-05-11	oos	0.04041	0.039744	-1.65%	0.03485	-13.76%	0.0896	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.03867	0.038176	-1.28%	0.03396	-12.18%	0.0748	✓	0.70
2026-05-09	oos	0.03729	0.03675	-1.45%	0.034185	-8.33%	0.0498	✓	0.70
2026-05-08	oos	0.03648	0.035951	-1.45%	0.035135	-3.69%	0.0128	✓	0.72
2026-05-07	oos	0.03538	0.034924	-1.29%	0.03758	+6.22%	0.0637	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0366	0.03612	-1.31%	0.03724	+1.75%	0.0541	✗	0.88
2026-05-05	oos	0.034435	0.034118	-0.92%	0.03807	+10.56%	0.1142	✗	0.88
2026-05-04	oos	0.03338	0.033002	-1.13%	0.04041	+21.06%	0.1820	✗	0.88
2026-05-03	oos	0.03365	0.033118	-1.58%	0.03867	+14.92%	0.1148	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.0332	0.032686	-1.55%	0.03729	+12.32%	0.1094	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.03264	0.032162	-1.47%	0.03648	+11.76%	0.1034	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.0325	0.031938	-1.73%	0.03538	+8.86%	0.0566	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.032555	0.031999	-1.71%	0.0366	+12.43%	0.0643	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.0328	0.032283	-1.58%	0.034435	+4.98%	0.0086	✓	0.96
2026-04-27	oos	0.0334	0.032957	-1.32%	0.03338	-0.06%	0.0175	✓	0.96
2026-04-26	oos	0.03391	0.033581	-0.97%	0.03365	-0.77%	0.0034	✓	0.96
2026-04-25	oos	0.03364	0.033262	-1.12%	0.0332	-1.31%	0.0144	✓	0.95
2026-04-24	oos	0.03369	0.033391	-0.89%	0.03264	-3.12%	0.0323	✓	0.96
2026-04-23	oos	0.034295	0.034094	-0.59%	0.0325	-5.23%	0.0234	✓	0.96
2026-04-22	oos	0.034285	0.034081	-0.60%	0.032555	-5.05%	0.0152	✓	0.96
2026-04-21	oos	0.034245	0.033892	-1.03%	0.0328	-4.22%	0.0324	✓	0.96
2026-04-20	oos	0.03484	0.034404	-1.25%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0486	✓	0.97
2026-04-19	oos	0.03421	0.033649	-1.64%	0.03391	-0.88%	0.0545	✓	0.98
2026-04-18	oos	0.0343	0.033879	-1.23%	0.03364	-1.92%	0.0316	✓	0.98
2026-04-17	oos	0.03616	0.035698	-1.28%	0.03369	-6.83%	0.0625	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.03409	0.033626	-1.36%	0.034295	+0.60%	0.0197	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.03319	0.032731	-1.38%	0.034285	+3.30%	0.0038	✓	0.97
2026-04-14	oos	0.032345	0.031858	-1.51%	0.034245	+5.87%	0.0443	✗	0.97
2026-04-13	oos	0.03311	0.03257	-1.63%	0.03484	+5.23%	0.0492	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.03149	0.030954	-1.70%	0.03421	+8.64%	0.0592	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.032925	0.032312	-1.86%	0.0343	+4.18%	0.0256	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.03341	0.032715	-2.08%	0.03616	+8.23%	0.0477	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.03219	0.031557	-1.97%	0.03409	+5.90%	0.0335	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.031945	0.031304	-2.01%	0.03319	+3.90%	0.0095	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03278	0.032042	-2.25%	0.032345	-1.33%	0.0202	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.031225	0.030645	-1.86%	0.03311	+6.04%	0.0029	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.03142	0.030771	-2.07%	0.03149	+0.22%	0.0008	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.031165	0.030599	-1.82%	0.032925	+5.65%	0.0061	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.03098	0.030468	-1.65%	0.03341	+7.84%	0.0083	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.03126	0.030782	-1.53%	0.03219	+2.98%	0.0239	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.03208	0.031536	-1.70%	0.031945	-0.42%	0.0287	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.03262	0.032159	-1.41%	0.03278	+0.49%	0.0324	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.03189	0.031514	-1.18%	0.031225	-2.09%	0.0398	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.03288	0.032482	-1.21%	0.03142	-4.44%	0.0777	✓	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.03477	0.03436	-1.18%	0.031165	-10.37%	0.1119	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.03448	0.034113	-1.07%	0.03098	-10.15%	0.1053	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.03602	0.035756	-0.73%	0.03126	-13.21%	0.1073	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.03857	0.038331	-0.62%	0.03208	-16.83%	0.1337	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.03626	0.036133	-0.35%	0.03262	-10.04%	0.0702	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.034985	0.034966	-0.05%	0.03189	-8.85%	0.0342	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.03642	0.036157	-0.72%	0.03288	-9.72%	0.0665	✓	1.01
2026-03-21	oos	0.03576	0.035615	-0.41%	0.03477	-2.77%	0.0149	✗	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.03804	0.037844	-0.52%	0.03448	-9.36%	0.0320	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.03729	0.036988	-0.81%	0.03602	-3.41%	0.0098	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.03946	0.038878	-1.48%	0.03857	-2.26%	0.0087	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.03628	0.036158	-0.34%	0.03626	-0.06%	0.0532	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.03374	0.033795	+0.16%	0.034985	+3.69%	0.0947	✓	1.09
2026-03-15	oos	0.031	0.031189	+0.61%	0.03642	+17.48%	0.2314	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.03066	0.030819	+0.52%	0.03576	+16.63%	0.1845	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.03049	0.030648	+0.52%	0.03804	+24.76%	0.2230	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.03054	0.030682	+0.47%	0.03729	+22.10%	0.2045	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.03036	0.030489	+0.42%	0.03946	+29.97%	0.2420	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.03025	0.030373	+0.41%	0.03628	+19.93%	0.1176	✓	1.09
2026-03-09	oos	0.03006	0.030142	+0.27%	0.03374	+12.24%	0.0142	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.02957	0.029588	+0.06%	0.031	+4.84%	0.0605	✗	1.08
2026-03-07	oos	0.02957	0.029641	+0.24%	0.03066	+3.69%	0.0287	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.03016	0.030241	+0.27%	0.03049	+1.09%	0.0362	✗	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.03043	0.030544	+0.38%	0.03054	+0.36%	0.0054	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.03075	0.030829	+0.26%	0.03036	-1.27%	0.0233	✓	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.03054	0.030608	+0.22%	0.03025	-0.95%	0.0392	✗	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	0.03032	0.0304	+0.26%	0.03006	-0.86%	0.0044	✗	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	0.02943	0.029478	+0.16%	0.02957	+0.48%	0.0005	✓	1.18
2026-02-28	oos	0.03014	0.030175	+0.12%	0.02957	-1.89%	0.0255	✗	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.03027	0.03025	-0.06%	0.03016	-0.36%	0.0434	✓	1.20
2026-02-26	oos	0.03135	0.031277	-0.23%	0.03043	-2.93%	0.0864	✓	1.20
2026-02-25	oos	0.030915	0.030836	-0.26%	0.03075	-0.53%	0.0830	✓	1.20
2026-02-24	oos	0.02909	0.02907	-0.07%	0.03054	+4.98%	0.0286	✓	1.21
2026-02-23	oos	0.02971	0.029653	-0.19%	0.03032	+2.05%	0.0571	✓	1.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.03041	0.030389	-0.07%	0.02943	-3.22%	0.0030	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.031105	0.031036	-0.22%	0.03014	-3.10%	0.0104	✓	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.031165	0.031068	-0.31%	0.03027	-2.87%	0.0152	✗	1.30
2026-02-19	oos	0.03012	0.03008	-0.13%	0.03135	+4.08%	0.0314	✗	1.29
2026-02-18	oos	0.031045	0.030935	-0.36%	0.030915	-0.42%	0.0312	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	0.03191	0.03175	-0.50%	0.02909	-8.84%	0.0208	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.03225	0.032047	-0.63%	0.02971	-7.88%	0.0064	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.03206	0.031849	-0.66%	0.03041	-5.15%	0.0240	✓	1.30
2026-02-14	oos	0.033445	0.033096	-1.04%	0.031105	-7.00%	0.0278	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	0.03214	0.031889	-0.78%	0.031165	-3.03%	0.0074	✓	1.29
2026-02-12	oos	0.031395	0.031241	-0.49%	0.03012	-4.06%	0.0515	✓	1.30
2026-02-11	oos	0.03148	0.031309	-0.54%	0.031045	-1.38%	0.0034	✓	1.31
2026-02-10	oos	0.03105	0.030925	-0.40%	0.03191	+2.77%	0.0574	✗	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.031485	0.031334	-0.48%	0.03225	+2.43%	0.0526	✗	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.03386	0.033501	-1.06%	0.03206	-5.32%	0.0154	✓	1.34
2026-02-07	oos	0.03134	0.031353	+0.04%	0.033445	+6.72%	0.0543	✓	1.32
2026-02-06	oos	0.03199	0.031879	-0.35%	0.03214	+0.47%	0.0404	✗	1.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.02706	0.028431	+5.06%	0.031395	+16.02%	0.0313	✓	1.28
2026-02-04	oos	0.030985	0.031134	+0.48%	0.03148	+1.60%	0.1373	✓	1.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.03206	0.032086	+0.08%	0.03105	-3.15%	0.1030	✓	1.43
2026-02-02	oos	0.03312	0.033025	-0.29%	0.031485	-4.94%	0.1212	✗	1.47
2026-02-01	oos	0.03069	0.031012	+1.05%	0.03386	+10.33%	0.2163	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.03316	0.03326	+0.30%	0.03134	-5.49%	0.1255	✓	1.45
2026-01-30	oos	0.03736	0.037002	-0.96%	0.03199	-14.37%	0.1030	✗	1.41
2026-01-29	oos	0.03846	0.037999	-1.20%	0.02706	-29.64%	0.0794	✗	1.41
2026-01-28	oos	0.03977	0.039198	-1.44%	0.030985	-22.09%	0.0561	✗	1.46
2026-01-27	oos	0.03979	0.039199	-1.49%	0.03206	-19.43%	0.0410	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	0.03979	0.039239	-1.38%	0.03312	-16.76%	0.0042	✓	1.44
2026-01-25	oos	0.03958	0.039092	-1.23%	0.03069	-22.46%	0.0701	✓	1.45
2026-01-24	oos	0.04162	0.040914	-1.70%	0.03316	-20.33%	0.0300	✓	1.45
2026-01-23	oos	0.04022	0.039529	-1.72%	0.03736	-7.11%	0.0308	✗	1.41
2026-01-22	oos	0.03987	0.039154	-1.80%	0.03846	-3.54%	0.0636	✗	1.43
2026-01-21	oos	0.04105	0.040221	-2.02%	0.03977	-3.12%	0.0080	✓	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.04018	0.039423	-1.88%	0.03979	-0.97%	0.0039	✓	1.44
2026-01-19	oos	0.04267	0.041482	-2.78%	0.03979	-6.75%	0.0279	✓	1.46
2026-01-18	oos	0.04269	0.041419	-2.98%	0.03958	-7.29%	0.0708	✗	1.48
2026-01-17	oos	0.04421	0.043035	-2.66%	0.04162	-5.86%	0.0637	✗	1.48
2026-01-16	oos	0.04515	0.044093	-2.34%	0.04022	-10.92%	0.0053	✓	1.49
2026-01-15	oos	0.04555	0.044551	-2.19%	0.03987	-12.47%	0.0128	✓	1.48
2026-01-14	oos	0.04799	0.046985	-2.09%	0.04105	-14.46%	0.0148	✓	1.47
2026-01-13	oos	0.04827	0.047166	-2.29%	0.04018	-16.76%	0.0442	✓	1.51
2026-01-12	oos	0.04629	0.045293	-2.15%	0.04267	-7.82%	0.0829	✓	1.56
2026-01-11	oos	0.04672	0.045782	-2.01%	0.04269	-8.63%	0.1172	✓	1.58
2026-01-10	oos	0.04649	0.045653	-1.80%	0.04421	-4.90%	0.1132	✓	1.59
2026-01-09	oos	0.04702	0.046274	-1.59%	0.04515	-3.98%	0.1106	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.04699	0.046365	-1.33%	0.04555	-3.06%	0.0947	✓	1.57
2026-01-07	oos	0.04884	0.048258	-1.19%	0.04799	-1.74%	0.1182	✓	1.87
2026-01-06	oos	0.05147	0.050917	-1.07%	0.04827	-6.22%	0.0861	✓	1.86
2026-01-05	oos	0.05092	0.050423	-0.98%	0.04629	-9.09%	0.0319	✓	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.04943	0.048808	-1.26%	0.04672	-5.48%	0.0310	✓	1.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.04572	0.045434	-0.63%	0.04649	+1.68%	0.0275	✗	1.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.04603	0.045715	-0.69%	0.04702	+2.15%	0.0168	✗	1.84
2026-01-01	oos	0.04474	0.044456	-0.64%	0.04699	+5.03%	0.0087	✗	1.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.04288	0.0426	-0.65%	0.04884	+13.90%	0.0600	✗	1.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.04387	0.0436	-0.62%	0.05147	+17.32%	0.0602	✗	1.81
2025-12-29	oos	0.04348	0.043179	-0.69%	0.05092	+17.11%	0.0301	✗	1.80
2025-12-28	oos	0.04453	0.044223	-0.69%	0.04943	+11.00%	0.0386	✗	1.80
2025-12-27	oos	0.04555	0.045193	-0.78%	0.04572	+0.37%	0.0442	✓	1.78
2025-12-26	oos	0.0449	0.044533	-0.82%	0.04603	+2.52%	0.0201	✓	1.77
2025-12-25	oos	0.04362	0.043289	-0.76%	0.04474	+2.57%	0.0015	✓	1.77
2025-12-24	oos	0.04453	0.044171	-0.81%	0.04288	-3.71%	0.0274	✓	1.77
2025-12-23	oos	0.04512	0.044701	-0.93%	0.04387	-2.77%	0.0380	✓	1.75
2025-12-22	oos	0.04661	0.046076	-1.15%	0.04348	-6.72%	0.0293	✓	1.74
2025-12-21	oos	0.04686	0.046247	-1.31%	0.04453	-4.97%	0.0228	✓	1.74
2025-12-20	oos	0.04493	0.044358	-1.27%	0.04555	+1.38%	0.0367	✗	1.74
2025-12-19	oos	0.04325	0.04269	-1.29%	0.0449	+3.82%	0.0662	✗	1.73
2025-12-18	oos	0.04057	0.040121	-1.11%	0.04362	+7.52%	0.0495	✗	1.72
2025-12-17	oos	0.04197	0.041414	-1.32%	0.04453	+6.10%	0.0448	✗	1.72
2025-12-16	oos	0.04481	0.04407	-1.65%	0.04512	+0.69%	0.0318	✗	1.71
2025-12-15	oos	0.04296	0.042284	-1.57%	0.04661	+8.50%	0.0557	✗	1.70
2025-12-14	oos	0.04428	0.043512	-1.73%	0.04686	+5.83%	0.0650	✗	1.71
2025-12-13	oos	0.04682	0.046006	-1.74%	0.04493	-4.04%	0.0132	✓	1.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.04629	0.045513	-1.68%	0.04325	-6.57%	0.0092	✓	1.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.04775	0.047016	-1.54%	0.04057	-15.04%	0.0111	✓	1.71
2025-12-10	oos	0.0486	0.047824	-1.60%	0.04197	-13.64%	0.0181	✓	1.72
2025-12-09	oos	0.04996	0.049121	-1.68%	0.04481	-10.31%	0.0007	✓	1.73
2025-12-08	oos	0.05214	0.051139	-1.92%	0.04296	-17.61%	0.0898	✓	1.77
2025-12-07	oos	0.05151	0.050506	-1.95%	0.04428	-14.04%	0.0875	✓	1.76
2025-12-06	oos	0.05103	0.050033	-1.95%	0.04682	-8.25%	0.0858	✓	1.77
2025-12-05	oos	0.05251	0.051433	-2.05%	0.04629	-11.85%	0.1237	✓	1.77
2025-12-04	oos	0.05509	0.053916	-2.13%	0.04775	-13.32%	0.1301	✓	1.78
2025-12-03	oos	0.05674	0.055411	-2.34%	0.0486	-14.35%	0.1040	✓	1.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.0545	0.053252	-2.29%	0.04996	-8.33%	0.0905	✓	1.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.05196	0.050647	-2.53%	0.05214	+0.35%	0.0628	✓	1.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.057285	0.055726	-2.72%	0.05151	-10.08%	0.0793	✓	1.84
2025-11-29	oos	0.056335	0.054859	-2.62%	0.05103	-9.42%	0.0407	✓	1.83
2025-11-28	oos	0.057835	0.055985	-3.20%	0.05251	-9.21%	0.0324	✓	1.83
2025-11-27	oos	0.05831	0.056317	-3.42%	0.05509	-5.52%	0.0375	✓	1.83
2025-11-26	oos	0.05813	0.055774	-4.05%	0.05674	-2.39%	0.0421	✓	1.82
2025-11-25	oos	0.0506	0.048919	-3.32%	0.0545	+7.71%	0.0299	✓	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.04514	0.044216	-2.05%	0.05196	+15.11%	0.2019	✗	1.78
2025-11-23	oos	0.040015	0.039533	-1.21%	0.057285	+43.16%	0.3009	✗	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.03809	0.037759	-0.87%	0.056335	+47.90%	0.2781	✗	1.74
2025-11-21	oos	0.038595	0.038228	-0.95%	0.057835	+49.85%	0.2990	✗	1.73
2025-11-20	oos	0.04001	0.039637	-0.93%	0.05831	+45.74%	0.2928	✗	1.73
2025-11-19	oos	0.042245	0.041799	-1.06%	0.05813	+37.60%	0.3497	✗	1.82
2025-11-18	oos	0.04326	0.042799	-1.06%	0.0506	+16.97%	0.2803	✗	1.82
2025-11-17	oos	0.042685	0.042263	-0.99%	0.04514	+5.75%	0.1438	✗	1.83
2025-11-16	oos	0.04344	0.043061	-0.87%	0.040015	-7.88%	0.0773	✗	1.85
2025-11-15	oos	0.045145	0.044724	-0.93%	0.03809	-15.63%	0.0626	✗	1.85
2025-11-14	oos	0.04449	0.044096	-0.89%	0.038595	-13.25%	0.0615	✗	1.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.04827	0.04779	-0.99%	0.04001	-17.11%	0.0870	✗	1.88
2025-11-12	oos	0.04948	0.049011	-0.95%	0.042245	-14.62%	0.0506	✗	1.89
2025-11-11	oos	0.04936	0.048956	-0.82%	0.04326	-12.36%	0.0734	✗	1.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.052515	0.052043	-0.90%	0.042685	-18.72%	0.0670	✗	1.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.05211	0.051653	-0.88%	0.04344	-16.64%	0.0295	✗	1.92
2025-11-08	oos	0.05182	0.051308	-0.99%	0.045145	-12.88%	0.0046	✓	1.94
2025-11-07	oos	0.05215	0.051621	-1.01%	0.04449	-14.69%	0.0204	✗	1.90
2025-11-06	oos	0.05107	0.050559	-1.00%	0.04827	-5.48%	0.0145	✓	1.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.04678	0.04661	-0.36%	0.04948	+5.77%	0.1031	✗	2.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.04401	0.043909	-0.23%	0.04936	+12.16%	0.0871	✗	1.98
2025-11-03	oos	0.04672	0.046706	-0.03%	0.052515	+12.40%	0.1284	✗	2.05
2025-11-02	oos	0.05215	0.052124	-0.05%	0.05211	-0.08%	0.1093	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.05323	0.053167	-0.12%	0.05182	-2.65%	0.1233	✗	2.04
2025-10-31	oos	0.05282	0.052773	-0.09%	0.05215	-1.27%	0.1083	✗	2.04
2025-10-30	oos	0.05363	0.05351	-0.22%	0.05107	-4.77%	0.0908	✗	2.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.05846	0.058099	-0.62%	0.04678	-19.98%	0.1000	✓	2.02
2025-10-28	oos	0.056465	0.056349	-0.21%	0.04401	-22.06%	0.0218	✓	2.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.05729	0.057087	-0.35%	0.04672	-18.45%	0.0561	✓	2.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.05812	0.057756	-0.63%	0.05215	-10.27%	0.0267	✓	2.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.05877	0.058316	-0.77%	0.05323	-9.43%	0.0595	✓	2.18
2025-10-24	oos	0.053045	0.052963	-0.15%	0.05282	-0.42%	0.0268	✗	2.19
2025-10-23	oos	0.05144	0.051394	-0.09%	0.05363	+4.26%	0.0786	✗	2.18
2025-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.049363	+0.23%	0.05846	+18.70%	0.1203	✓	2.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.0517	0.051677	-0.04%	0.056465	+9.22%	0.0006	✓	2.17
2025-10-20	oos	0.05496	0.054593	-0.67%	0.05729	+4.24%	0.0200	✓	2.18
2025-10-19	oos	0.05275	0.052636	-0.22%	0.05812	+10.18%	0.0128	✓	2.13
2025-10-18	oos	0.05055	0.050724	+0.34%	0.05877	+16.26%	0.0605	✓	2.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.05184	0.051992	+0.29%	0.053045	+2.32%	0.0698	✗	2.13
2025-10-16	oos	0.05353	0.053524	-0.01%	0.05144	-3.90%	0.0773	✓	2.14
2025-10-15	oos	0.056935	0.056585	-0.62%	0.04925	-13.50%	0.0761	✓	2.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.060645	0.060067	-0.95%	0.0517	-14.75%	0.0601	✓	2.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.06486	0.064127	-1.13%	0.05496	-15.26%	0.0661	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.06167	0.06114	-0.86%	0.05275	-14.46%	0.0290	✓	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	0.05713	0.056903	-0.40%	0.05055	-11.52%	0.0507	✓	2.07
2025-10-10	oos	0.05531	0.055051	-0.47%	0.05184	-6.27%	0.0664	✗	2.13
2025-10-09	oos	0.07384	0.073156	-0.93%	0.05353	-27.51%	0.1150	✓	1.68
2025-10-08	oos	0.07499	0.074177	-1.08%	0.056935	-24.08%	0.0867	✓	1.66
2025-10-07	oos	0.07491	0.074121	-1.05%	0.060645	-19.04%	0.0825	✓	1.66
2025-10-06	oos	0.07812	0.077009	-1.42%	0.06486	-16.97%	0.0388	✓	1.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.07493	0.073873	-1.41%	0.06167	-17.70%	0.0613	✓	1.68
2025-10-04	oos	0.07636	0.075243	-1.46%	0.05713	-25.18%	0.1051	✓	1.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.08047	0.079148	-1.64%	0.05531	-31.27%	0.2232	✓	1.70
2025-10-02	oos	0.081495	0.080094	-1.72%	0.07384	-9.39%	0.0968	✓	1.72
2025-10-01	oos	0.07985	0.078476	-1.72%	0.07499	-6.09%	0.1126	✓	1.73
2025-09-30	oos	0.0752	0.074119	-1.44%	0.07491	-0.39%	0.0981	✓	1.75
2025-09-29	oos	0.07694	0.075667	-1.65%	0.07812	+1.53%	0.1197	✓	1.75
2025-09-28	oos	0.077705	0.076231	-1.90%	0.07493	-3.57%	0.1887	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	0.07633	0.075057	-1.67%	0.07636	+0.04%	0.1833	✓	1.82
2025-09-26	oos	0.07817	0.076668	-1.92%	0.08047	+2.94%	0.1496	✓	1.82
2025-09-25	oos	0.07547	0.07417	-1.72%	0.081495	+7.98%	0.0891	✓	1.81
2025-09-24	oos	0.078745	0.077372	-1.74%	0.07985	+1.40%	0.0542	✓	1.87
2025-09-23	oos	0.07816	0.076764	-1.79%	0.0752	-3.79%	0.0548	✓	1.89
2025-09-22	oos	0.078845	0.077203	-2.08%	0.07694	-2.42%	0.0307	✓	1.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.08139	0.080118	-1.56%	0.077705	-4.53%	0.0213	✗	1.91
2025-09-20	oos	0.08414	0.08284	-1.55%	0.07633	-9.28%	0.0267	✗	2.02
2025-09-19	oos	0.08403	0.082819	-1.44%	0.07817	-6.97%	0.0496	✗	2.02
2025-09-18	oos	0.088075	0.086786	-1.46%	0.07547	-14.31%	0.0043	✓	2.01

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.