KAS

Kaspa · Kaspa · gru_s9

token id: #115
symbol: KAS
variant: –
chain: Kaspa
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-19
predictions: 2,082

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0227

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0002

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.03884	0.038545	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-21	oos	0.03856	0.038296	-0.68%	0.03884	+0.73%	0.0113	✗	1.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.03737	0.037098	-0.73%	0.03856	+3.18%	0.0228	✗	1.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.0351	0.03493	-0.48%	0.03737	+6.47%	0.0515	✗	1.20
2026-10-18	oos	0.035465	0.035289	-0.50%	0.0351	-1.03%	0.0029	✓	1.19
2026-10-17	oos	0.035295	0.035143	-0.43%	0.035465	+0.48%	0.0000	✓	1.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.036135	0.035951	-0.51%	0.035295	-2.32%	0.0167	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.035945	0.035767	-0.49%	0.036135	+0.53%	0.0193	✗	1.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.03702	0.036852	-0.46%	0.035945	-2.90%	0.0330	✓	1.19
2026-10-13	oos	0.038605	0.038426	-0.46%	0.03702	-4.11%	0.0152	✓	1.18
2026-10-12	oos	0.038425	0.038246	-0.47%	0.038605	+0.47%	0.0102	✓	1.18
2026-10-11	oos	0.041375	0.041173	-0.49%	0.038425	-7.13%	0.0433	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.040775	0.040586	-0.46%	0.041375	+1.47%	0.0093	✗	1.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.0414	0.041193	-0.50%	0.040775	-1.51%	0.0150	✓	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.03917	0.03899	-0.46%	0.0414	+5.69%	0.0488	✗	1.08
2026-10-07	oos	0.040535	0.040345	-0.47%	0.03917	-3.37%	0.0091	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.043225	0.043054	-0.40%	0.040535	-6.22%	0.0326	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.04348	0.043318	-0.37%	0.043225	-0.59%	0.0004	✓	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.042675	0.042569	-0.25%	0.04348	+1.89%	0.0303	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.043115	0.042976	-0.32%	0.042675	-1.02%	0.0287	✓	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.042085	0.041965	-0.29%	0.043115	+2.45%	0.0241	✗	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.041435	0.041339	-0.23%	0.042085	+1.57%	0.0222	✗	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.043475	0.043331	-0.33%	0.041435	-4.69%	0.0612	✓	1.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.042925	0.042801	-0.29%	0.043475	+1.28%	0.0167	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.04546	0.045198	-0.58%	0.042925	-5.58%	0.0539	✓	1.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.04692	0.046595	-0.69%	0.04546	-3.11%	0.0118	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.04781	0.047248	-1.18%	0.04692	-1.86%	0.0075	✓	1.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.04216	0.041978	-0.43%	0.04781	+13.40%	0.1259	✗	1.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.0399	0.039795	-0.26%	0.04216	+5.66%	0.0615	✗	1.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.03851	0.03844	-0.18%	0.0399	+3.61%	0.0372	✗	1.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.04158	0.04142	-0.38%	0.03851	-7.38%	0.0503	✓	1.06
2026-09-21	oos	0.043235	0.042894	-0.79%	0.04158	-3.83%	0.0263	✓	1.05
2026-09-20	oos	0.039935	0.039684	-0.63%	0.043235	+8.26%	0.0188	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.03912	0.038825	-0.75%	0.039935	+2.08%	0.0291	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.03804	0.037764	-0.73%	0.03912	+2.84%	0.0307	✗	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0338	0.033667	-0.39%	0.03804	+12.54%	0.0686	✗	0.93
2026-09-16	oos	0.03291	0.032804	-0.32%	0.0338	+2.70%	0.0275	✗	0.92
2026-09-15	oos	0.032925	0.032802	-0.37%	0.03291	-0.05%	0.0037	✓	0.94
2026-09-14	oos	0.034885	0.034757	-0.37%	0.032925	-5.62%	0.0233	✓	0.92
2026-09-13	oos	0.033285	0.033212	-0.22%	0.034885	+4.81%	0.0331	✗	0.90
2026-09-12	oos	0.03521	0.035087	-0.35%	0.033285	-5.47%	0.0474	✓	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.035965	0.035759	-0.57%	0.03521	-2.10%	0.0161	✓	0.90
2026-09-10	oos	0.035345	0.035095	-0.71%	0.035965	+1.75%	0.0166	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.03653	0.036278	-0.69%	0.035345	-3.24%	0.0060	✓	0.89
2026-09-08	oos	0.035455	0.035166	-0.82%	0.03653	+3.03%	0.0399	✗	0.89
2026-09-07	oos	0.03651	0.035998	-1.40%	0.035455	-2.89%	0.0080	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.0323	0.032225	-0.23%	0.03651	+13.03%	0.1402	✗	0.98
2026-09-05	oos	0.03057	0.030544	-0.09%	0.0323	+5.66%	0.0497	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.02944	0.029426	-0.05%	0.03057	+3.84%	0.0362	✗	0.98
2026-09-03	oos	0.029815	0.029792	-0.08%	0.02944	-1.26%	0.0077	✗	0.99
2026-09-02	oos	0.027975	0.027977	+0.01%	0.029815	+6.58%	0.0217	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.027505	0.027522	+0.06%	0.027975	+1.71%	0.0173	✓	0.85
2026-08-31	oos	0.027895	0.027922	+0.10%	0.027505	-1.40%	0.0050	✗	0.67
2026-08-30	oos	0.02709	0.027121	+0.12%	0.027895	+2.97%	0.0201	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.02766	0.027707	+0.17%	0.02709	-2.06%	0.0175	✗	0.69
2026-08-28	oos	0.02804	0.028083	+0.15%	0.02766	-1.36%	0.0187	✗	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.02955	0.029583	+0.11%	0.02804	-5.11%	0.0330	✗	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.02803	0.028071	+0.15%	0.02955	+5.42%	0.0412	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.02765	0.027704	+0.20%	0.02803	+1.37%	0.0075	✓	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.029135	0.029178	+0.15%	0.02765	-5.10%	0.0500	✗	0.65
2026-08-23	oos	0.0293	0.029327	+0.09%	0.029135	-0.56%	0.0172	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.029095	0.029121	+0.09%	0.0293	+0.70%	0.0004	✓	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.029695	0.029669	-0.09%	0.029095	-2.02%	0.0088	✓	0.66
2026-08-20	oos	0.02801	0.027962	-0.17%	0.029695	+6.02%	0.0161	✗	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.027	0.026954	-0.17%	0.02801	+3.74%	0.0052	✗	0.64
2026-08-18	oos	0.02527	0.025207	-0.25%	0.027	+6.85%	0.0289	✗	0.58
2026-08-17	oos	0.02566	0.025592	-0.26%	0.02527	-1.52%	0.0145	✓	0.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.02552	0.025443	-0.30%	0.02566	+0.55%	0.0070	✓	0.60
2026-08-15	oos	0.025795	0.02571	-0.33%	0.02552	-1.07%	0.0057	✓	0.60
2026-08-14	oos	0.02542	0.025354	-0.26%	0.025795	+1.48%	0.0168	✗	0.59
2026-08-13	oos	0.0253	0.025245	-0.22%	0.02542	+0.47%	0.0112	✗	0.60
2026-08-12	oos	0.02554	0.025484	-0.22%	0.0253	-0.94%	0.0074	✓	0.64
2026-08-11	oos	0.02595	0.025886	-0.25%	0.02554	-1.58%	0.0122	✓	0.64
2026-08-10	oos	0.02587	0.025813	-0.22%	0.02595	+0.31%	0.0091	✗	0.65
2026-08-09	oos	0.02595	0.025897	-0.20%	0.02587	-0.31%	0.0087	✗	0.67
2026-08-08	oos	0.02667	0.026604	-0.25%	0.02595	-2.70%	0.0243	✓	0.67
2026-08-07	oos	0.026445	0.026369	-0.29%	0.02667	+0.85%	0.0112	✗	0.68
2026-08-06	oos	0.02562	0.025557	-0.25%	0.026445	+3.22%	0.0276	✗	0.68
2026-08-05	oos	0.02607	0.026009	-0.24%	0.02562	-1.73%	0.0115	✓	0.68
2026-08-04	oos	0.02641	0.026333	-0.29%	0.02607	-1.29%	0.0161	✓	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.02606	0.025979	-0.31%	0.02641	+1.34%	0.0099	✗	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.02682	0.026731	-0.33%	0.02606	-2.83%	0.0250	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02677	0.02667	-0.37%	0.02682	+0.19%	0.0027	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.027205	0.027105	-0.37%	0.02677	-1.60%	0.0117	✓	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.02764	0.027541	-0.36%	0.027205	-1.57%	0.0094	✗	0.73
2026-07-29	oos	0.02739	0.02731	-0.29%	0.02764	+0.91%	0.0028	✓	0.72
2026-07-28	oos	0.027945	0.02787	-0.27%	0.02739	-1.99%	0.0179	✓	0.72
2026-07-27	oos	0.028125	0.028053	-0.26%	0.027945	-0.64%	0.0056	✓	0.72
2026-07-26	oos	0.02929	0.029227	-0.21%	0.028125	-3.98%	0.0205	✓	0.70
2026-07-25	oos	0.02807	0.028027	-0.15%	0.02929	+4.35%	0.0330	✗	0.68
2026-07-24	oos	0.027735	0.027704	-0.11%	0.02807	+1.21%	0.0109	✗	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02799	0.027972	-0.06%	0.027735	-0.91%	0.0017	✗	0.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.02828	0.02828	+0.00%	0.02799	-1.03%	0.0005	✓	0.69
2026-07-21	oos	0.02861	0.028612	+0.01%	0.02828	-1.15%	0.0072	✗	0.69
2026-07-20	oos	0.028365	0.028359	-0.02%	0.02861	+0.86%	0.0046	✓	0.68
2026-07-19	oos	0.02833	0.028321	-0.03%	0.028365	+0.12%	0.0039	✓	0.67
2026-07-18	oos	0.027785	0.027778	-0.03%	0.02833	+1.96%	0.0209	✗	0.67
2026-07-17	oos	0.02788	0.027852	-0.10%	0.027785	-0.34%	0.0118	✓	0.67
2026-07-16	oos	0.02816	0.028146	-0.05%	0.02788	-0.99%	0.0108	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	0.0289	0.028887	-0.04%	0.02816	-2.56%	0.0149	✓	0.72
2026-07-14	oos	0.028605	0.028599	-0.02%	0.0289	+1.03%	0.0135	✗	0.72
2026-07-13	oos	0.0284	0.028366	-0.12%	0.028605	+0.72%	0.0244	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.02847	0.028452	-0.06%	0.0284	-0.25%	0.0164	✗	0.78
2026-07-11	oos	0.029295	0.029265	-0.10%	0.02847	-2.82%	0.0271	✓	0.80
2026-07-10	oos	0.02949	0.029461	-0.10%	0.029295	-0.66%	0.0011	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.02951	0.029473	-0.12%	0.02949	-0.07%	0.0117	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.02925	0.029204	-0.16%	0.02951	+0.89%	0.0021	✓	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.02924	0.029203	-0.13%	0.02925	+0.03%	0.0162	✗	0.84
2026-07-06	oos	0.0302	0.030148	-0.17%	0.02924	-3.18%	0.0216	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.03094	0.030876	-0.21%	0.0302	-2.39%	0.0278	✓	0.86
2026-07-04	oos	0.03184	0.031751	-0.28%	0.03094	-2.83%	0.0327	✓	0.87
2026-07-03	oos	0.03138	0.031287	-0.30%	0.03184	+1.47%	0.0098	✗	0.86
2026-07-02	oos	0.03096	0.030852	-0.35%	0.03138	+1.36%	0.0026	✓	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.03083	0.030682	-0.48%	0.03096	+0.42%	0.0129	✓	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.029245	0.029101	-0.49%	0.03083	+5.42%	0.0370	✗	0.85
2026-06-29	oos	0.03032	0.03016	-0.53%	0.029245	-3.55%	0.0075	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.02775	0.027673	-0.28%	0.03032	+9.26%	0.0819	✗	0.82
2026-06-27	oos	0.027795	0.02772	-0.27%	0.02775	-0.16%	0.0073	✗	0.80
2026-06-26	oos	0.02811	0.028025	-0.30%	0.027795	-1.12%	0.0073	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.02756	0.027478	-0.30%	0.02811	+2.00%	0.0187	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.02795	0.027842	-0.39%	0.02756	-1.40%	0.0073	✗	0.82
2026-06-23	oos	0.02886	0.028758	-0.35%	0.02795	-3.15%	0.0055	✓	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.02934	0.029244	-0.33%	0.02886	-1.64%	0.0048	✗	0.87
2026-06-21	oos	0.02916	0.029069	-0.31%	0.02934	+0.62%	0.0005	✓	0.87
2026-06-20	oos	0.029775	0.029675	-0.34%	0.02916	-2.07%	0.0055	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.02992	0.029807	-0.38%	0.029775	-0.48%	0.0100	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.03041	0.030273	-0.45%	0.02992	-1.61%	0.0192	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03193	0.031755	-0.55%	0.03041	-4.76%	0.0240	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.03249	0.032311	-0.55%	0.03193	-1.72%	0.0026	✓	0.80
2026-06-15	oos	0.03302	0.032821	-0.60%	0.03249	-1.61%	0.0032	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	0.0324	0.032202	-0.61%	0.03302	+1.91%	0.0194	✗	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.031385	0.031206	-0.57%	0.0324	+3.23%	0.0238	✗	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	0.03099	0.030799	-0.62%	0.031385	+1.27%	0.0091	✗	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.03109	0.030886	-0.66%	0.03099	-0.32%	0.0036	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.030365	0.030158	-0.68%	0.03109	+2.39%	0.0068	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.03018	0.029995	-0.61%	0.030365	+0.61%	0.0150	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.03205	0.031799	-0.78%	0.03018	-5.83%	0.0374	✓	0.67
2026-06-07	oos	0.03126	0.031052	-0.67%	0.03205	+2.53%	0.0342	✗	0.67
2026-06-06	oos	0.02999	0.029824	-0.55%	0.03126	+4.23%	0.0216	✗	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0309	0.030621	-0.90%	0.02999	-2.94%	0.0189	✓	0.64
2026-06-04	oos	0.02955	0.0294	-0.51%	0.0309	+4.57%	0.0822	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	0.03196	0.031698	-0.82%	0.02955	-7.54%	0.0676	✓	0.70
2026-06-02	oos	0.02844	0.028364	-0.27%	0.03196	+12.38%	0.1536	✗	0.85
2026-06-01	oos	0.03044	0.030302	-0.45%	0.02844	-6.57%	0.0124	✓	0.76
2026-05-31	oos	0.0307	0.030556	-0.47%	0.03044	-0.85%	0.0201	✗	0.77
2026-05-30	oos	0.03084	0.030699	-0.46%	0.0307	-0.45%	0.0020	✓	0.76
2026-05-29	oos	0.03102	0.030881	-0.45%	0.03084	-0.58%	0.0055	✓	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.031095	0.030948	-0.47%	0.03102	-0.24%	0.0038	✓	0.76
2026-05-27	oos	0.03209	0.03195	-0.44%	0.031095	-3.10%	0.0188	✓	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.032615	0.032485	-0.40%	0.03209	-1.61%	0.0030	✓	0.76
2026-05-25	oos	0.03365	0.033529	-0.36%	0.032615	-3.08%	0.0133	✓	0.77
2026-05-24	oos	0.03334	0.033238	-0.30%	0.03365	+0.93%	0.0096	✗	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.0338	0.033674	-0.37%	0.03334	-1.36%	0.0132	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.03374	0.033599	-0.42%	0.0338	+0.18%	0.0063	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.03525	0.035096	-0.44%	0.03374	-4.28%	0.0186	✓	0.76
2026-05-20	oos	0.034845	0.034708	-0.39%	0.03525	+1.16%	0.0148	✗	0.76
2026-05-19	oos	0.03364	0.033523	-0.35%	0.034845	+3.58%	0.0318	✗	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.03485	0.034704	-0.42%	0.03364	-3.47%	0.0294	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.03396	0.033846	-0.34%	0.03485	+2.62%	0.0338	✗	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.034185	0.034077	-0.32%	0.03396	-0.66%	0.0034	✗	0.76
2026-05-15	oos	0.035135	0.035014	-0.34%	0.034185	-2.70%	0.0147	✓	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.03758	0.037442	-0.37%	0.035135	-6.51%	0.0449	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.03724	0.037077	-0.44%	0.03758	+0.91%	0.0031	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.03807	0.037904	-0.44%	0.03724	-2.18%	0.0067	✓	0.73
2026-05-11	oos	0.04041	0.040152	-0.64%	0.03807	-5.79%	0.0426	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.03867	0.038502	-0.44%	0.04041	+4.50%	0.0524	✗	0.70
2026-05-09	oos	0.03729	0.037127	-0.44%	0.03867	+3.70%	0.0274	✗	0.70
2026-05-08	oos	0.03648	0.036326	-0.42%	0.03729	+2.22%	0.0220	✗	0.72
2026-05-07	oos	0.03538	0.035245	-0.38%	0.03648	+3.11%	0.0328	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0366	0.03642	-0.49%	0.03538	-3.33%	0.0133	✓	0.88
2026-05-05	oos	0.034435	0.034344	-0.26%	0.0366	+6.29%	0.0578	✗	0.88
2026-05-04	oos	0.03338	0.033265	-0.35%	0.034435	+3.16%	0.0230	✗	0.88
2026-05-03	oos	0.03365	0.0335	-0.45%	0.03338	-0.80%	0.0181	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.0332	0.033072	-0.39%	0.03365	+1.36%	0.0187	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.03264	0.032529	-0.34%	0.0332	+1.72%	0.0152	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.0325	0.032369	-0.40%	0.03264	+0.43%	0.0158	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.032555	0.032422	-0.41%	0.0325	-0.17%	0.0046	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.0328	0.032677	-0.38%	0.032555	-0.75%	0.0034	✓	0.96
2026-04-27	oos	0.0334	0.033289	-0.33%	0.0328	-1.80%	0.0018	✓	0.96
2026-04-26	oos	0.03391	0.03383	-0.24%	0.0334	-1.50%	0.0032	✗	0.96
2026-04-25	oos	0.03364	0.03355	-0.27%	0.03391	+0.80%	0.0018	✓	0.95
2026-04-24	oos	0.03369	0.033618	-0.21%	0.03364	-0.15%	0.0017	✓	0.96
2026-04-23	oos	0.034295	0.034242	-0.15%	0.03369	-1.76%	0.0062	✓	0.96
2026-04-22	oos	0.034285	0.034231	-0.16%	0.034295	+0.03%	0.0010	✓	0.96
2026-04-21	oos	0.034245	0.034161	-0.25%	0.034285	+0.12%	0.0196	✓	0.96
2026-04-20	oos	0.03484	0.034736	-0.30%	0.034245	-1.71%	0.0204	✓	0.97
2026-04-19	oos	0.03421	0.034074	-0.40%	0.03484	+1.84%	0.0044	✓	0.98
2026-04-18	oos	0.0343	0.034197	-0.30%	0.03421	-0.26%	0.0255	✗	0.98
2026-04-17	oos	0.03616	0.036029	-0.36%	0.0343	-5.14%	0.0317	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.03409	0.03398	-0.32%	0.03616	+6.07%	0.0376	✗	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.03319	0.033086	-0.31%	0.03409	+2.71%	0.0257	✗	0.97
2026-04-14	oos	0.032345	0.032239	-0.33%	0.03319	+2.61%	0.0205	✗	0.97
2026-04-13	oos	0.03311	0.03299	-0.36%	0.032345	-2.31%	0.0163	✓	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.03149	0.03137	-0.38%	0.03311	+5.14%	0.0050	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.032925	0.032789	-0.41%	0.03149	-4.36%	0.0094	✓	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.03341	0.033238	-0.51%	0.032925	-1.45%	0.0106	✓	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.03219	0.032053	-0.42%	0.03341	+3.79%	0.0257	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.031945	0.031803	-0.44%	0.03219	+0.77%	0.0026	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03278	0.032609	-0.52%	0.031945	-2.55%	0.0096	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.031225	0.031087	-0.44%	0.03278	+4.98%	0.0116	✗	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.03142	0.031268	-0.48%	0.031225	-0.62%	0.0007	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.031165	0.03102	-0.47%	0.03142	+0.82%	0.0113	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.03098	0.030853	-0.41%	0.031165	+0.60%	0.0053	✗	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.03126	0.031136	-0.40%	0.03098	-0.90%	0.0060	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.03208	0.031927	-0.48%	0.03126	-2.56%	0.0036	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.03262	0.032501	-0.37%	0.03208	-1.66%	0.0115	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.03189	0.031787	-0.32%	0.03262	+2.29%	0.0043	✗	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.03288	0.032756	-0.38%	0.03189	-3.01%	0.0384	✓	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.03477	0.03464	-0.37%	0.03288	-5.44%	0.0467	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.03448	0.034357	-0.36%	0.03477	+0.84%	0.0124	✗	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.03602	0.035907	-0.31%	0.03448	-4.28%	0.0055	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.03857	0.038411	-0.41%	0.03602	-6.61%	0.0292	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.03626	0.036166	-0.26%	0.03857	+6.37%	0.0539	✗	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.034985	0.034936	-0.14%	0.03626	+3.64%	0.0418	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.03642	0.036297	-0.34%	0.034985	-3.94%	0.0810	✓	1.01
2026-03-21	oos	0.03576	0.035669	-0.26%	0.03642	+1.85%	0.0367	✗	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.03804	0.037887	-0.40%	0.03576	-5.99%	0.0348	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.03729	0.037068	-0.60%	0.03804	+2.01%	0.0176	✗	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.03946	0.039025	-1.10%	0.03729	-5.50%	0.0264	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.03628	0.036091	-0.52%	0.03946	+8.77%	0.1289	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.03374	0.033649	-0.27%	0.03628	+7.53%	0.0893	✗	1.09
2026-03-15	oos	0.031	0.031011	+0.04%	0.03374	+8.84%	0.0544	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.03066	0.030667	+0.02%	0.031	+1.11%	0.0132	✗	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.03049	0.030494	+0.01%	0.03066	+0.56%	0.0010	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.03054	0.03054	-0.00%	0.03049	-0.16%	0.0080	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.03036	0.030354	-0.02%	0.03054	+0.59%	0.0011	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.03025	0.030246	-0.01%	0.03036	+0.36%	0.0001	✓	1.09
2026-03-09	oos	0.03006	0.030045	-0.05%	0.03025	+0.63%	0.0174	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.02957	0.029541	-0.10%	0.03006	+1.66%	0.0223	✓	1.08
2026-03-07	oos	0.02957	0.029555	-0.05%	0.02957	+0.00%	0.0216	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.03016	0.030141	-0.06%	0.02957	-1.96%	0.0055	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.03043	0.030423	-0.02%	0.03016	-0.89%	0.0355	✗	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.03075	0.030735	-0.05%	0.03043	-1.04%	0.0179	✗	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.03054	0.030512	-0.09%	0.03075	+0.69%	0.0643	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	0.03032	0.030301	-0.06%	0.03054	+0.73%	0.0163	✗	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	0.02943	0.029401	-0.10%	0.03032	+3.02%	0.0227	✓	1.18
2026-02-28	oos	0.03014	0.0301	-0.13%	0.02943	-2.36%	0.0009	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.03027	0.030202	-0.23%	0.03014	-0.43%	0.0221	✓	1.20
2026-02-26	oos	0.03135	0.031256	-0.30%	0.03027	-3.44%	0.0027	✓	1.20
2026-02-25	oos	0.030915	0.030821	-0.30%	0.03135	+1.41%	0.0259	✗	1.20
2026-02-24	oos	0.02909	0.029032	-0.20%	0.030915	+6.27%	0.0090	✓	1.21
2026-02-23	oos	0.02971	0.029628	-0.28%	0.02909	-2.09%	0.0074	✓	1.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.03041	0.030362	-0.16%	0.02971	-2.30%	0.0356	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.031105	0.031038	-0.21%	0.03041	-2.23%	0.0140	✓	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.031165	0.031084	-0.26%	0.031105	-0.19%	0.0012	✓	1.30
2026-02-19	oos	0.03012	0.030057	-0.21%	0.031165	+3.47%	0.0168	✗	1.29
2026-02-18	oos	0.031045	0.030942	-0.33%	0.03012	-2.98%	0.0377	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	0.03191	0.0318	-0.35%	0.031045	-2.71%	0.0038	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.03225	0.03214	-0.34%	0.03191	-1.05%	0.0193	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.03206	0.031945	-0.36%	0.03225	+0.59%	0.0082	✗	1.30
2026-02-14	oos	0.033445	0.033279	-0.50%	0.03206	-4.14%	0.0188	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	0.03214	0.032005	-0.42%	0.033445	+4.06%	0.0259	✗	1.29
2026-02-12	oos	0.031395	0.031257	-0.44%	0.03214	+2.37%	0.0224	✓	1.30
2026-02-11	oos	0.03148	0.031339	-0.45%	0.031395	-0.27%	0.0179	✗	1.31
2026-02-10	oos	0.03105	0.030954	-0.31%	0.03148	+1.38%	0.0516	✗	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.031485	0.031388	-0.31%	0.03105	-1.38%	0.0139	✗	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.03386	0.033662	-0.58%	0.031485	-7.01%	0.0635	✓	1.34
2026-02-07	oos	0.03134	0.031267	-0.23%	0.03386	+8.04%	0.0601	✗	1.32
2026-02-06	oos	0.03199	0.031853	-0.43%	0.03134	-2.03%	0.0078	✗	1.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.02706	0.027257	+0.73%	0.03199	+18.22%	0.0113	✓	1.28
2026-02-04	oos	0.030985	0.030969	-0.05%	0.02706	-12.67%	0.0878	✗	1.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.03206	0.032011	-0.15%	0.030985	-3.35%	0.0186	✗	1.43
2026-02-02	oos	0.03312	0.033036	-0.25%	0.03206	-3.20%	0.0271	✗	1.47
2026-02-01	oos	0.03069	0.030734	+0.14%	0.03312	+7.92%	0.0423	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.03316	0.033132	-0.08%	0.03069	-7.45%	0.0438	✓	1.45
2026-01-30	oos	0.03736	0.037206	-0.41%	0.03316	-11.24%	0.0204	✓	1.41
2026-01-29	oos	0.03846	0.038259	-0.52%	0.03736	-2.86%	0.0170	✓	1.41
2026-01-28	oos	0.03977	0.039619	-0.38%	0.03846	-3.29%	0.0483	✗	1.46
2026-01-27	oos	0.03979	0.039636	-0.39%	0.03977	-0.05%	0.0026	✓	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	0.03979	0.039638	-0.38%	0.03979	+0.00%	0.0102	✓	1.44
2026-01-25	oos	0.03958	0.03943	-0.38%	0.03979	+0.53%	0.0190	✓	1.45
2026-01-24	oos	0.04162	0.041439	-0.43%	0.03958	-4.90%	0.0044	✓	1.45
2026-01-23	oos	0.04022	0.040062	-0.39%	0.04162	+3.48%	0.0444	✗	1.41
2026-01-22	oos	0.03987	0.039714	-0.39%	0.04022	+0.88%	0.0125	✗	1.43
2026-01-21	oos	0.04105	0.040852	-0.48%	0.03987	-2.87%	0.0259	✓	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.04018	0.040007	-0.43%	0.04105	+2.17%	0.0086	✗	1.44
2026-01-19	oos	0.04267	0.04242	-0.59%	0.04018	-5.84%	0.0143	✗	1.46
2026-01-18	oos	0.04269	0.042446	-0.57%	0.04267	-0.05%	0.0223	✗	1.48
2026-01-17	oos	0.04421	0.04398	-0.52%	0.04269	-3.44%	0.0066	✓	1.48
2026-01-16	oos	0.04515	0.04494	-0.47%	0.04421	-2.08%	0.0102	✓	1.49
2026-01-15	oos	0.04555	0.045353	-0.43%	0.04515	-0.88%	0.0032	✓	1.48
2026-01-14	oos	0.04799	0.047774	-0.45%	0.04555	-5.08%	0.0267	✓	1.47
2026-01-13	oos	0.04827	0.047997	-0.56%	0.04799	-0.58%	0.0247	✓	1.51
2026-01-12	oos	0.04629	0.046062	-0.49%	0.04827	+4.28%	0.0233	✓	1.56
2026-01-11	oos	0.04672	0.0465	-0.47%	0.04629	-0.92%	0.0100	✓	1.58
2026-01-10	oos	0.04649	0.046301	-0.41%	0.04672	+0.49%	0.0003	✓	1.59
2026-01-09	oos	0.04702	0.046847	-0.37%	0.04649	-1.13%	0.0051	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.04699	0.04683	-0.34%	0.04702	+0.06%	0.0129	✗	1.57
2026-01-07	oos	0.04884	0.048689	-0.31%	0.04699	-3.79%	0.0303	✓	1.87
2026-01-06	oos	0.05147	0.05128	-0.37%	0.04884	-5.11%	0.0004	✓	1.86
2026-01-05	oos	0.05092	0.050716	-0.40%	0.05147	+1.08%	0.0177	✗	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.04943	0.049154	-0.56%	0.05092	+3.01%	0.0124	✓	1.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.04572	0.045628	-0.20%	0.04943	+8.11%	0.0619	✗	1.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.04603	0.045915	-0.25%	0.04572	-0.67%	0.0173	✓	1.84
2026-01-01	oos	0.04474	0.044638	-0.23%	0.04603	+2.88%	0.0057	✗	1.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.04288	0.042774	-0.25%	0.04474	+4.34%	0.0194	✗	1.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.04387	0.043762	-0.25%	0.04288	-2.26%	0.0019	✓	1.81
2025-12-29	oos	0.04348	0.043368	-0.26%	0.04387	+0.90%	0.0149	✓	1.80
2025-12-28	oos	0.04453	0.044419	-0.25%	0.04348	-2.36%	0.0056	✓	1.80
2025-12-27	oos	0.04555	0.045425	-0.28%	0.04453	-2.24%	0.0213	✓	1.78
2025-12-26	oos	0.0449	0.044776	-0.28%	0.04555	+1.45%	0.0068	✗	1.77
2025-12-25	oos	0.04362	0.043515	-0.24%	0.0449	+2.93%	0.0288	✗	1.77
2025-12-24	oos	0.04453	0.044417	-0.25%	0.04362	-2.04%	0.0092	✓	1.77
2025-12-23	oos	0.04512	0.044989	-0.29%	0.04453	-1.31%	0.0138	✓	1.75
2025-12-22	oos	0.04661	0.046445	-0.35%	0.04512	-3.20%	0.0066	✓	1.74
2025-12-21	oos	0.04686	0.04667	-0.41%	0.04661	-0.53%	0.0003	✓	1.74
2025-12-20	oos	0.04493	0.044769	-0.36%	0.04686	+4.30%	0.0395	✗	1.74
2025-12-19	oos	0.04325	0.043108	-0.33%	0.04493	+3.88%	0.0369	✗	1.73
2025-12-18	oos	0.04057	0.040454	-0.29%	0.04325	+6.61%	0.0146	✗	1.72
2025-12-17	oos	0.04197	0.041833	-0.33%	0.04057	-3.34%	0.0156	✓	1.72
2025-12-16	oos	0.04481	0.044624	-0.41%	0.04197	-6.34%	0.0290	✓	1.71
2025-12-15	oos	0.04296	0.042802	-0.37%	0.04481	+4.31%	0.0178	✗	1.70
2025-12-14	oos	0.04428	0.044113	-0.38%	0.04296	-2.98%	0.0079	✗	1.71
2025-12-13	oos	0.04682	0.046648	-0.37%	0.04428	-5.43%	0.0123	✓	1.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.04629	0.046137	-0.33%	0.04682	+1.14%	0.0151	✗	1.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.04775	0.047603	-0.31%	0.04629	-3.06%	0.0144	✗	1.71
2025-12-10	oos	0.0486	0.048438	-0.33%	0.04775	-1.75%	0.0237	✓	1.72
2025-12-09	oos	0.04996	0.049763	-0.39%	0.0486	-2.72%	0.0114	✓	1.73
2025-12-08	oos	0.05214	0.051894	-0.47%	0.04996	-4.18%	0.0772	✓	1.77
2025-12-07	oos	0.05151	0.051262	-0.48%	0.05214	+1.22%	0.0121	✗	1.76
2025-12-06	oos	0.05103	0.050796	-0.46%	0.05151	+0.94%	0.0084	✓	1.77
2025-12-05	oos	0.05251	0.052242	-0.51%	0.05103	-2.82%	0.0219	✓	1.77
2025-12-04	oos	0.05509	0.054778	-0.57%	0.05251	-4.68%	0.0116	✗	1.78
2025-12-03	oos	0.05674	0.056336	-0.71%	0.05509	-2.91%	0.0037	✓	1.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.0545	0.054121	-0.70%	0.05674	+4.11%	0.0059	✓	1.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.05196	0.051529	-0.83%	0.0545	+4.89%	0.0491	✓	1.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.057285	0.056767	-0.90%	0.05196	-9.30%	0.0035	✓	1.84
2025-11-29	oos	0.056335	0.055851	-0.86%	0.057285	+1.69%	0.0346	✗	1.83
2025-11-28	oos	0.057835	0.057128	-1.22%	0.056335	-2.59%	0.0125	✓	1.83
2025-11-27	oos	0.05831	0.057509	-1.37%	0.057835	-0.81%	0.0140	✗	1.83
2025-11-26	oos	0.05813	0.05708	-1.81%	0.05831	+0.31%	0.0043	✓	1.82
2025-11-25	oos	0.0506	0.049855	-1.47%	0.05813	+14.88%	0.0916	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.04514	0.044781	-0.79%	0.0506	+12.10%	0.1413	✗	1.78
2025-11-23	oos	0.040015	0.039853	-0.40%	0.04514	+12.81%	0.0955	✗	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.03809	0.037977	-0.30%	0.040015	+5.05%	0.0091	✗	1.74
2025-11-21	oos	0.038595	0.038452	-0.37%	0.03809	-1.31%	0.0016	✓	1.73
2025-11-20	oos	0.04001	0.039882	-0.32%	0.038595	-3.54%	0.0032	✓	1.73
2025-11-19	oos	0.042245	0.042098	-0.35%	0.04001	-5.29%	0.0499	✗	1.82
2025-11-18	oos	0.04326	0.043102	-0.36%	0.042245	-2.35%	0.0086	✗	1.82
2025-11-17	oos	0.042685	0.042539	-0.34%	0.04326	+1.35%	0.0007	✓	1.83
2025-11-16	oos	0.04344	0.04332	-0.28%	0.042685	-1.74%	0.0266	✗	1.85
2025-11-15	oos	0.045145	0.045014	-0.29%	0.04344	-3.78%	0.0091	✓	1.85
2025-11-14	oos	0.04449	0.044357	-0.30%	0.045145	+1.47%	0.0027	✓	1.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.04827	0.048118	-0.31%	0.04449	-7.83%	0.0206	✗	1.88
2025-11-12	oos	0.04948	0.049337	-0.29%	0.04827	-2.45%	0.0161	✗	1.89
2025-11-11	oos	0.04936	0.049242	-0.24%	0.04948	+0.24%	0.0304	✗	1.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.052515	0.052357	-0.30%	0.04936	-6.01%	0.0052	✓	1.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.05211	0.051962	-0.28%	0.052515	+0.78%	0.0128	✓	1.92
2025-11-08	oos	0.05182	0.051641	-0.34%	0.05211	+0.56%	0.0362	✓	1.94
2025-11-07	oos	0.05215	0.051945	-0.39%	0.05182	-0.63%	0.0161	✗	1.90
2025-11-06	oos	0.05107	0.050865	-0.40%	0.05215	+2.11%	0.0123	✓	1.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.04678	0.046712	-0.15%	0.05107	+9.17%	0.1395	✗	2.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.04401	0.043963	-0.11%	0.04678	+6.29%	0.0158	✗	1.98
2025-11-03	oos	0.04672	0.046708	-0.02%	0.04401	-5.80%	0.0406	✗	2.05
2025-11-02	oos	0.05215	0.052122	-0.05%	0.04672	-10.41%	0.0355	✓	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.05323	0.053186	-0.08%	0.05215	-2.03%	0.0286	✓	2.04
2025-10-31	oos	0.05282	0.052778	-0.08%	0.05323	+0.78%	0.0007	✓	2.04
2025-10-30	oos	0.05363	0.053558	-0.13%	0.05282	-1.51%	0.0374	✓	2.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.05846	0.058286	-0.30%	0.05363	-8.26%	0.0513	✓	2.02
2025-10-28	oos	0.056465	0.056384	-0.14%	0.05846	+3.53%	0.0906	✗	2.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.05729	0.057179	-0.19%	0.056465	-1.44%	0.0094	✗	2.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.05812	0.057928	-0.33%	0.05729	-1.43%	0.0026	✓	2.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.05877	0.058556	-0.36%	0.05812	-1.11%	0.0631	✓	2.18
2025-10-24	oos	0.053045	0.052977	-0.13%	0.05877	+10.79%	0.0915	✗	2.19
2025-10-23	oos	0.05144	0.05139	-0.10%	0.053045	+3.12%	0.0135	✗	2.18
2025-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.049237	-0.03%	0.05144	+4.45%	0.0067	✓	2.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.0517	0.051653	-0.09%	0.04925	-4.74%	0.0320	✓	2.17
2025-10-20	oos	0.05496	0.054836	-0.23%	0.0517	-5.93%	0.0150	✓	2.18
2025-10-19	oos	0.05275	0.052687	-0.12%	0.05496	+4.19%	0.0055	✗	2.13
2025-10-18	oos	0.05055	0.050557	+0.01%	0.05275	+4.35%	0.0135	✓	2.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.05184	0.051819	-0.04%	0.05055	-2.49%	0.0397	✓	2.13
2025-10-16	oos	0.05353	0.053503	-0.05%	0.05184	-3.16%	0.0030	✗	2.14
2025-10-15	oos	0.056935	0.056844	-0.16%	0.05353	-5.98%	0.0094	✓	2.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.060645	0.060508	-0.23%	0.056935	-6.12%	0.0181	✓	2.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.06486	0.064677	-0.28%	0.060645	-6.50%	0.0235	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.06167	0.06155	-0.19%	0.06486	+5.17%	0.0487	✗	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	0.05713	0.057059	-0.12%	0.06167	+7.95%	0.0011	✓	2.07
2025-10-10	oos	0.05531	0.055255	-0.10%	0.05713	+3.29%	0.0756	✗	2.13
2025-10-09	oos	0.07384	0.073716	-0.17%	0.05531	-25.09%	0.1625	✓	1.68
2025-10-08	oos	0.07499	0.074853	-0.18%	0.07384	-1.53%	0.0084	✗	1.66
2025-10-07	oos	0.07491	0.074775	-0.18%	0.07499	+0.11%	0.0236	✓	1.66
2025-10-06	oos	0.07812	0.077898	-0.28%	0.07491	-4.11%	0.0065	✗	1.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.07493	0.074715	-0.29%	0.07812	+4.26%	0.0283	✗	1.68
2025-10-04	oos	0.07636	0.07614	-0.29%	0.07493	-1.87%	0.0307	✓	1.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.08047	0.080212	-0.32%	0.07636	-5.11%	0.0512	✓	1.70
2025-10-02	oos	0.081495	0.081192	-0.37%	0.08047	-1.26%	0.0330	✓	1.72
2025-10-01	oos	0.07985	0.079545	-0.38%	0.081495	+2.06%	0.0042	✓	1.73
2025-09-30	oos	0.0752	0.074967	-0.31%	0.07985	+6.18%	0.0058	✓	1.75
2025-09-29	oos	0.07694	0.076652	-0.37%	0.0752	-2.26%	0.0146	✓	1.75
2025-09-28	oos	0.077705	0.077287	-0.54%	0.07694	-0.98%	0.0386	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	0.07633	0.076013	-0.41%	0.077705	+1.80%	0.0193	✓	1.82
2025-09-26	oos	0.07817	0.077753	-0.53%	0.07633	-2.35%	0.0182	✓	1.82
2025-09-25	oos	0.07547	0.075147	-0.43%	0.07817	+3.58%	0.0285	✗	1.81
2025-09-24	oos	0.078745	0.078421	-0.41%	0.07547	-4.16%	0.0343	✗	1.87
2025-09-23	oos	0.07816	0.077802	-0.46%	0.078745	+0.75%	0.0103	✓	1.89
2025-09-22	oos	0.078845	0.078296	-0.70%	0.07816	-0.87%	0.0104	✗	1.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.08139	0.081117	-0.34%	0.078845	-3.13%	0.0143	✗	1.91
2025-09-20	oos	0.08414	0.083862	-0.33%	0.08139	-3.27%	0.0217	✓	2.02
2025-09-19	oos	0.08403	0.083763	-0.32%	0.08414	+0.13%	0.0034	✗	2.02
2025-09-18	oos	0.088075	0.087761	-0.36%	0.08403	-4.59%	0.0187	✓	2.01

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.