KAIA

Kaia · native · gru_s9

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,139

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0762

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0100

actual -0.0137

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.039243	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.040748	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.039798	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.040376	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.042741	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.04079	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.040861	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.041467	-3.63%	0.04027	-6.41%	0.0522	✓	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.044616	-4.80%	0.041885	-10.63%	0.0600	✓	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.04334	-3.90%	0.040865	-9.39%	0.0607	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.049044	-5.12%	0.041415	-19.88%	0.1394	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.05256	-7.22%	0.044045	-22.25%	0.1490	✓	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.054694	-9.60%	0.04206	-30.48%	0.2437	✓	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.035949	-2.89%	0.04226	+14.15%	0.1544	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.036983	-3.19%	0.04303	+12.64%	0.1804	✗	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.038256	-3.37%	0.046865	+18.38%	0.2434	✗	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.038706	-4.16%	0.0451	+11.68%	0.2195	✗	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.036282	-3.32%	0.05169	+37.73%	0.4009	✗	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.036358	-2.81%	0.05665	+51.43%	0.4745	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.035003	-2.90%	0.0605	+67.82%	0.5805	✗	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.035602	-3.27%	0.03702	+0.58%	0.0927	✗	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.033711	-2.36%	0.0382	+10.64%	0.1298	✗	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.033134	-2.19%	0.03959	+16.87%	0.1465	✗	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.032019	-1.74%	0.040385	+23.94%	0.1951	✗	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.032613	-2.24%	0.03753	+12.50%	0.1086	✗	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.034294	-2.49%	0.03741	+6.37%	0.0818	✗	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.033914	-2.67%	0.03605	+3.46%	0.0546	✗	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.032166	-2.69%	0.036805	+11.34%	0.1274	✗	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.03102	-2.25%	0.034525	+8.79%	0.1202	✗	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.031618	-1.18%	0.033875	+5.88%	0.1096	✗	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.032178	-1.58%	0.032585	-0.34%	0.0636	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.029963	-1.26%	0.03336	+9.94%	0.0522	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.030107	-1.29%	0.03517	+15.31%	0.1020	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.029523	-1.49%	0.034845	+16.27%	0.1118	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.028316	-1.68%	0.033055	+14.77%	0.0110	✓	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.027672	-0.57%	0.031735	+14.03%	0.0101	✓	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.027005	-0.37%	0.031995	+18.04%	0.0174	✓	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.028823	-0.51%	0.032695	+12.86%	0.0164	✓	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.0291	-0.56%	0.030345	+3.69%	0.0354	✓	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.029057	-0.49%	0.0305	+4.45%	0.0218	✓	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.029098	-0.52%	0.02997	+2.46%	0.0359	✓	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.027283	-0.25%	0.0288	+5.30%	0.0576	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.029984	-0.29%	0.02783	-7.45%	0.0371	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.031687	-0.39%	0.027105	-14.79%	0.1054	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.031009	-0.11%	0.02897	-6.68%	0.0519	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.031614	+0.46%	0.029265	-7.01%	0.0136	✗	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.031088	+0.71%	0.0292	-5.41%	0.0168	✗	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.030696	+0.74%	0.02925	-4.00%	0.0060	✓	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.030772	+1.47%	0.02735	-9.81%	0.0355	✗	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.028201	+0.52%	0.03007	+7.18%	0.0472	✓	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.029029	+0.52%	0.03181	+10.15%	0.0731	✓	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.029614	+0.64%	0.031045	+5.51%	0.0384	✓	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027675	+0.42%	0.03147	+14.19%	0.0853	✓	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.029009	+0.62%	0.03087	+7.08%	0.0378	✓	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.029072	+0.44%	0.03047	+5.27%	0.0188	✓	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.031834	+0.39%	0.030325	-4.37%	0.0629	✗	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.032638	-0.29%	0.028055	-14.30%	0.1252	✓	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.03189	-0.50%	0.02888	-9.89%	0.0822	✓	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.030913	-0.23%	0.029425	-5.03%	0.0431	✓	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.031298	-0.80%	0.02756	-12.65%	0.1262	✓	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.031585	-1.19%	0.02883	-9.81%	0.1094	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.029784	-0.75%	0.028945	-3.55%	0.0209	✓	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.02626	-0.19%	0.03171	+20.52%	0.0826	✗	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023862	-0.14%	0.032735	+37.00%	0.1801	✗	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.021381	-0.58%	0.03205	+49.04%	0.2229	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022735	-0.65%	0.030985	+35.39%	0.1147	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.022656	-0.91%	0.03155	+37.98%	0.1232	✗	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.023592	-1.17%	0.031965	+33.91%	0.1075	✗	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.024278	-1.43%	0.03001	+21.84%	0.0049	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.025403	-1.63%	0.02631	+1.88%	0.0974	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.025727	-1.77%	0.023895	-8.76%	0.1577	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.026348	-1.87%	0.021505	-19.91%	0.2199	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.026157	-2.00%	0.022885	-14.26%	0.1418	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.026462	-2.07%	0.022865	-15.38%	0.1165	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.026657	-2.11%	0.02387	-12.34%	0.0827	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.026523	-2.09%	0.02463	-9.08%	0.0455	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.026119	-2.17%	0.025825	-3.28%	0.0011	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.026325	-2.10%	0.02619	-2.60%	0.0125	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.026284	-2.05%	0.02685	+0.06%	0.0289	✗	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.025837	-1.87%	0.02669	+1.37%	0.0260	✗	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.025871	-1.63%	0.02702	+2.74%	0.0238	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.025199	-1.49%	0.02723	+6.45%	0.0463	✗	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.024823	-1.48%	0.02709	+7.52%	0.0574	✗	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.02583	-1.62%	0.0267	+1.69%	0.0396	✗	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.025462	-1.77%	0.02689	+3.74%	0.0446	✗	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.025578	-1.96%	0.026835	+2.86%	0.0451	✗	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.02536	-1.76%	0.02633	+1.99%	0.0408	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.029728	-1.78%	0.0263	-13.10%	0.0999	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.029327	-1.65%	0.02558	-14.22%	0.1177	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.030834	-1.58%	0.025195	-19.58%	0.1863	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.030862	-1.39%	0.026255	-16.10%	0.1576	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.031737	-1.06%	0.02592	-19.19%	0.1758	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.032494	-1.02%	0.02609	-20.53%	0.1872	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.031928	-1.14%	0.025815	-20.07%	0.1946	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.031884	-1.16%	0.030265	-6.18%	0.0598	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.032555	-1.14%	0.02982	-9.44%	0.0817	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.032608	-1.20%	0.03133	-5.07%	0.0423	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.033447	-1.28%	0.031295	-7.63%	0.0827	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.033412	-1.22%	0.032075	-5.17%	0.0589	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.033713	-1.13%	0.03283	-3.72%	0.0466	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.033453	-1.39%	0.032295	-4.80%	0.0773	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.03444	-1.61%	0.03226	-7.84%	0.0787	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.034271	-1.45%	0.03293	-5.31%	0.0540	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.03432	-1.66%	0.033005	-5.43%	0.0359	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.033045	-1.68%	0.03388	+0.80%	0.0169	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.032711	-1.55%	0.033825	+1.81%	0.0000	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.033244	-1.82%	0.0341	+0.71%	0.0032	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.03333	-1.56%	0.033925	+0.19%	0.0414	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.034775	-1.40%	0.035005	-0.75%	0.0045	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.034738	-1.51%	0.034775	-1.40%	0.0082	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.034746	-1.90%	0.0349	-1.47%	0.0168	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.034017	-1.26%	0.03361	-2.44%	0.0343	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.03327	-1.13%	0.033225	-1.26%	0.0318	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.034563	-1.00%	0.03386	-3.01%	0.0865	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.034645	-0.97%	0.03386	-3.22%	0.0758	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.033939	-0.78%	0.03527	+3.11%	0.0194	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.033509	-0.69%	0.03527	+4.53%	0.0069	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.033803	-0.68%	0.03542	+4.07%	0.0112	✗	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.032673	-0.60%	0.03445	+4.81%	0.0277	✗	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.03343	-0.55%	0.03365	+0.10%	0.0215	✗	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.036334	-0.77%	0.03491	-4.66%	0.0172	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.036789	-0.88%	0.034985	-5.74%	0.0007	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.035498	-0.61%	0.034205	-4.23%	0.0133	✗	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.035905	-0.57%	0.03374	-6.56%	0.0069	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.036045	-0.62%	0.034035	-6.16%	0.0123	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.036173	-0.36%	0.03287	-9.46%	0.0543	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.037231	-0.77%	0.033615	-10.41%	0.0584	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.037396	-0.89%	0.036615	-2.96%	0.0164	✗	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.037307	-0.99%	0.037115	-1.50%	0.0239	✗	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.037277	-0.87%	0.035715	-5.03%	0.0116	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.036138	-0.23%	0.03611	-0.30%	0.0018	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.035921	-0.07%	0.03627	+0.90%	0.0105	✗	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.036203	+0.01%	0.036305	+0.29%	0.0115	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.034171	+0.65%	0.03752	+10.52%	0.0574	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.035509	+0.59%	0.03773	+6.88%	0.0141	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.037636	+0.28%	0.03768	+0.40%	0.0352	✗	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.036681	+0.63%	0.037605	+3.17%	0.0041	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.037039	+1.06%	0.03622	-1.17%	0.0686	✗	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.038182	+0.93%	0.035945	-4.98%	0.0940	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.040617	+0.12%	0.0362	-10.77%	0.1121	✗	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.043537	-0.40%	0.03395	-22.33%	0.2168	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.044152	-0.76%	0.0353	-20.66%	0.1628	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.047644	-1.38%	0.03753	-22.31%	0.1543	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.046006	-1.12%	0.03645	-21.66%	0.1206	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.047868	-1.44%	0.03665	-24.53%	0.1289	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.048164	-1.30%	0.03783	-22.48%	0.1092	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.048134	-1.36%	0.04057	-16.86%	0.0698	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.046982	-0.99%	0.04371	-7.88%	0.0356	✗	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.04825	-1.01%	0.04449	-8.73%	0.0115	✗	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.049793	-0.91%	0.04831	-3.86%	0.0304	✗	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.050692	-1.01%	0.046525	-9.15%	0.0515	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.051506	-1.50%	0.048565	-7.12%	0.0296	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.051419	-1.89%	0.0488	-6.89%	0.0308	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.052839	-1.80%	0.048795	-9.32%	0.0387	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.050774	-1.54%	0.04745	-7.99%	0.0358	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.049137	-1.53%	0.048745	-2.31%	0.0014	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.050155	-1.73%	0.05025	-1.54%	0.0011	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.049976	-2.41%	0.05121	+0.00%	0.0286	✗	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.045637	-0.55%	0.05229	+13.95%	0.1509	✗	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.045979	-0.76%	0.05241	+13.12%	0.1685	✗	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.047471	-0.67%	0.05381	+12.60%	0.1616	✗	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.046971	-0.73%	0.05157	+8.99%	0.1121	✗	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.04713	-0.42%	0.0499	+5.43%	0.0950	✗	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.04863	+0.22%	0.051035	+5.17%	0.0945	✓	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.049564	+0.22%	0.05121	+3.55%	0.0786	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.047885	+0.05%	0.04589	-4.12%	0.0182	✗	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.048756	-0.38%	0.04633	-5.33%	0.0403	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.047105	+0.01%	0.04779	+1.46%	0.0043	✓	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.047212	+0.37%	0.047315	+0.58%	0.0254	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.047257	+0.25%	0.04733	+0.40%	0.0063	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.046484	+0.53%	0.048525	+4.94%	0.0221	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.045709	+0.30%	0.049455	+8.53%	0.0374	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.045778	+0.28%	0.04786	+4.84%	0.0209	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.045672	+0.40%	0.04894	+7.58%	0.0456	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.045444	+0.03%	0.0471	+3.68%	0.0087	✗	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.045894	-0.12%	0.04704	+2.37%	0.0434	✓	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.047239	+0.03%	0.04714	-0.18%	0.0595	✗	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.047944	+0.27%	0.04624	-3.29%	0.0672	✗	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.048681	+0.44%	0.04557	-5.97%	0.0646	✗	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.048882	+0.12%	0.04565	-6.50%	0.0812	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.048522	+0.16%	0.04549	-6.10%	0.0746	✗	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.04869	+0.24%	0.04543	-6.47%	0.0435	✗	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.047872	+0.20%	0.04595	-3.82%	0.0086	✗	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.04812	-0.50%	0.047225	-2.35%	0.0184	✓	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.048479	-0.41%	0.047815	-1.78%	0.0340	✓	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.046863	-0.55%	0.048465	+2.85%	0.0328	✓	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.049119	-0.11%	0.048825	-0.71%	0.0320	✓	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.051291	-0.42%	0.048445	-5.94%	0.0620	✓	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.048216	-0.09%	0.048575	+0.65%	0.0345	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.047428	+0.13%	0.047775	+0.87%	0.0381	✗	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.047017	+0.04%	0.04836	+2.89%	0.0017	✗	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.048016	-0.02%	0.04868	+1.36%	0.0057	✓	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.046366	-0.41%	0.04712	+1.21%	0.0284	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.047388	-0.17%	0.049175	+3.59%	0.0004	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.04744	-0.25%	0.051505	+8.29%	0.0249	✗	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.046952	-0.43%	0.04826	+2.34%	0.0206	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.046632	-0.45%	0.047365	+1.11%	0.0385	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.047686	-0.52%	0.047	-1.95%	0.0471	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.046571	-0.82%	0.048025	+2.28%	0.0526	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.046655	-0.81%	0.046555	-1.02%	0.0289	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.047106	-1.08%	0.04747	-0.31%	0.0829	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.048384	-1.37%	0.04756	-3.05%	0.1128	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.048342	-1.63%	0.047155	-4.05%	0.1032	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.04737	-1.21%	0.046845	-2.30%	0.0589	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.04606	-1.21%	0.047935	+2.81%	0.0190	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.044274	-1.09%	0.046955	+4.90%	0.0240	✗	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.044484	-1.03%	0.047035	+4.65%	0.0054	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.044361	-1.00%	0.04762	+6.27%	0.0547	✗	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.045703	-1.03%	0.049055	+6.23%	0.0606	✗	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.048502	-1.08%	0.049145	+0.23%	0.0439	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.050171	-1.10%	0.04795	-5.48%	0.0057	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.051006	-1.22%	0.046625	-9.70%	0.0525	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.050439	-1.13%	0.04476	-12.26%	0.0521	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.049751	-1.06%	0.044945	-10.62%	0.0694	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.050129	-1.04%	0.04481	-11.54%	0.0684	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.051058	-1.00%	0.04618	-10.46%	0.0312	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.051072	-0.93%	0.04903	-4.89%	0.0218	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.053162	-0.90%	0.05073	-5.43%	0.0478	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.055106	-0.78%	0.051635	-7.03%	0.0099	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.055614	-0.73%	0.051015	-8.94%	0.0206	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.054221	-0.98%	0.050285	-8.16%	0.0092	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.053932	-0.79%	0.050655	-6.82%	0.0229	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.053757	-0.60%	0.051575	-4.63%	0.0338	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.054421	-0.65%	0.05155	-5.89%	0.0437	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.054712	-0.70%	0.053645	-2.64%	0.0373	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.054629	-0.77%	0.05554	+0.88%	0.0499	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.050341	-0.53%	0.056025	+10.70%	0.0001	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.049222	-0.65%	0.054755	+10.52%	0.0114	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.052901	-0.73%	0.05436	+2.01%	0.0406	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.052461	-0.71%	0.05408	+2.36%	0.0178	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.053555	-0.64%	0.054775	+1.62%	0.0285	✗	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.054533	-0.76%	0.0551	+0.27%	0.0520	✗	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.053575	-0.60%	0.055055	+2.14%	0.0020	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.05497	-0.59%	0.05061	-8.47%	0.0754	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.054445	-0.41%	0.049545	-9.37%	0.0982	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.055357	-0.35%	0.05329	-4.07%	0.0435	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.055453	-0.33%	0.052835	-5.03%	0.0903	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.056417	-0.30%	0.0539	-4.75%	0.1072	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.05692	-0.25%	0.05495	-3.70%	0.1189	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.052921	-0.23%	0.0539	+1.61%	0.0624	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.053269	-0.23%	0.055295	+3.57%	0.0403	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.055324	-0.20%	0.05467	-1.38%	0.0225	✗	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.056779	-0.23%	0.05555	-2.39%	0.0037	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.05637	-0.19%	0.055635	-1.50%	0.0262	✗	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.055798	-0.17%	0.056585	+1.23%	0.0044	✗	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.056435	-0.21%	0.05706	+0.89%	0.0182	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.057297	-0.28%	0.053045	-7.68%	0.0135	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.057983	-0.29%	0.05339	-8.19%	0.0041	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.056998	-0.26%	0.055435	-2.99%	0.0065	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.060461	-0.66%	0.05691	-6.49%	0.0278	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.057274	-0.46%	0.05648	-1.84%	0.0008	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.056428	-0.37%	0.055895	-1.31%	0.0237	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.055268	-0.36%	0.056555	+1.96%	0.0343	✗	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.054088	-0.35%	0.05746	+5.86%	0.0853	✗	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.054925	-0.54%	0.058155	+5.31%	0.0798	✗	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.055204	-0.58%	0.057145	+2.92%	0.0618	✗	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.054951	-0.41%	0.06086	+10.30%	0.0922	✗	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.056431	-0.84%	0.05754	+1.11%	0.0507	✗	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.050371	+1.22%	0.056635	+13.80%	0.0490	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.057485	-1.04%	0.05547	-4.51%	0.0893	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.058225	-1.43%	0.05428	-8.11%	0.0704	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.061941	-2.24%	0.055225	-12.84%	0.0568	✗	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.053306	-1.39%	0.055525	+2.71%	0.1690	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.054316	-1.83%	0.055175	-0.28%	0.2038	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.05633	-2.35%	0.05691	-1.34%	0.2869	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.056264	-2.46%	0.049765	-13.73%	0.3445	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.063731	-2.91%	0.05809	-11.50%	0.2099	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.071256	-3.97%	0.05907	-20.39%	0.0630	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.069425	-3.90%	0.06336	-12.30%	0.0819	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.073979	-5.02%	0.05406	-30.59%	0.1276	✓	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.087381	-8.35%	0.05533	-41.97%	0.2752	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.068065	-5.70%	0.057685	-20.08%	0.0749	✓	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.051543	-1.47%	0.057685	+10.28%	0.1945	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.05163	-1.42%	0.06564	+25.33%	0.2433	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.049782	-1.42%	0.0742	+46.93%	0.3861	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.053701	-1.54%	0.072245	+32.46%	0.3647	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.054421	-1.66%	0.07789	+40.75%	0.4701	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.058257	-1.66%	0.09534	+60.94%	0.5842	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.058626	-1.77%	0.07218	+20.95%	0.2997	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.059332	-1.85%	0.05231	-13.47%	0.0328	✓	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.062393	-1.76%	0.052375	-17.53%	0.0606	✓	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.063386	-1.85%	0.0505	-21.80%	0.1179	✓	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.059455	-2.04%	0.05454	-10.14%	0.1074	✓	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.062193	-2.25%	0.05534	-13.02%	0.1596	✓	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.062452	-2.28%	0.05924	-7.31%	0.1265	✓	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.064095	-2.49%	0.05968	-9.21%	0.1489	✓	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.064797	-3.15%	0.06045	-9.65%	0.1389	✓	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.065415	-2.70%	0.06351	-5.53%	0.1348	✓	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.067556	-3.71%	0.06458	-7.95%	0.0758	✓	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.065646	-2.21%	0.060695	-9.59%	0.0280	✓	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.060619	-2.73%	0.063625	+2.09%	0.0601	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.057851	-1.73%	0.06391	+8.56%	0.1038	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.057624	-1.70%	0.065735	+12.14%	0.1212	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.05583	-1.26%	0.066905	+18.33%	0.1379	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.054629	-1.19%	0.06723	+21.61%	0.1365	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.055274	-1.24%	0.07016	+25.35%	0.1407	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.054907	-1.05%	0.06713	+20.98%	0.0780	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.05593	-1.04%	0.06232	+10.26%	0.0418	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.057243	-1.17%	0.05887	+1.64%	0.0230	✓	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.055312	-0.60%	0.05862	+5.35%	0.0095	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.055233	-0.54%	0.05654	+1.82%	0.0054	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.057587	-0.39%	0.055285	-4.38%	0.0387	✓	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.058174	-0.40%	0.05597	-4.17%	0.0560	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.059564	-0.40%	0.05549	-7.22%	0.0450	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.059162	-0.35%	0.05652	-4.80%	0.0321	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.059836	-0.41%	0.05792	-3.60%	0.0233	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.059922	-0.39%	0.055645	-7.50%	0.0597	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.055056	-0.49%	0.05553	+0.37%	0.0222	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.062669	-0.33%	0.057815	-8.06%	0.1054	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.070892	-0.34%	0.058405	-17.90%	0.1865	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.070991	-0.40%	0.059805	-16.10%	0.2085	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.073517	-0.46%	0.05937	-19.62%	0.2218	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.075643	-0.44%	0.060085	-20.92%	0.1974	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.074455	-0.37%	0.060155	-19.50%	0.1760	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.076257	-0.28%	0.055325	-27.65%	0.1990	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.075959	-0.22%	0.06288	-17.40%	0.0888	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.07875	-0.30%	0.071135	-9.94%	0.0200	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.077762	-0.33%	0.07128	-8.64%	0.0143	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.077894	-0.51%	0.07386	-5.66%	0.0152	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.077825	-0.29%	0.07598	-2.66%	0.0409	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.07677	-0.26%	0.07473	-2.91%	0.0429	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.080061	-0.28%	0.07647	-4.75%	0.0534	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.080762	-0.26%	0.07613	-5.98%	0.0354	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.079184	-0.22%	0.07899	-0.47%	0.0258	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.075397	-0.14%	0.07802	+3.34%	0.0454	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.07814	-0.14%	0.07829	+0.05%	0.0013	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.078666	-0.14%	0.078055	-0.91%	0.0207	✗	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.07936	-0.13%	0.07697	-3.13%	0.0021	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.081105	-0.15%	0.080285	-1.16%	0.0241	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.081901	-0.13%	0.080975	-1.26%	0.0650	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.081619	-0.15%	0.07936	-2.92%	0.1043	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.081091	-0.17%	0.0755	-7.05%	0.0326	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.07959	-0.07%	0.07825	-1.76%	0.0858	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.077211	+0.13%	0.078775	+2.16%	0.1004	✗	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.076148	+0.19%	0.07946	+4.55%	0.0713	✗	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.080019	+0.05%	0.08123	+1.57%	0.0768	✗	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.083147	-0.19%	0.08201	-1.55%	0.0057	✗	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.085581	-0.28%	0.081745	-4.75%	0.0647	✗	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.084501	-0.20%	0.08123	-4.07%	0.0366	✗	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.086961	-0.28%	0.07965	-8.66%	0.0591	✗	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.087665	-0.28%	0.07711	-12.29%	0.0898	✗	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.086532	-0.19%	0.076	-12.34%	0.0606	✗	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.093066	-0.26%	0.079975	-14.29%	0.1082	✗	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.097675	-0.28%	0.083305	-14.95%	0.0352	✗	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.098662	-0.27%	0.085825	-13.24%	0.0434	✗	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.103936	-0.38%	0.084675	-18.84%	0.0432	✗	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.100625	-0.23%	0.087205	-13.54%	0.0444	✗	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.100529	-0.37%	0.087915	-12.87%	0.0111	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.098596	-0.31%	0.086695	-12.34%	0.0284	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.089957	-0.06%	0.093305	+3.65%	0.0654	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.09128	+0.03%	0.097945	+7.33%	0.1084	✓	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.085475	+0.26%	0.098925	+16.03%	0.1201	✓	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.092989	+0.26%	0.104335	+12.50%	0.1246	✓	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.104337	+0.17%	0.10086	-3.16%	0.0573	✓	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.105148	+0.14%	0.1009	-3.90%	0.0827	✓	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.103765	+0.23%	0.0989	-4.47%	0.0511	✓	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.102216	+0.26%	0.090015	-11.71%	0.0142	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.107244	+0.16%	0.091255	-14.77%	0.0648	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.108369	+0.23%	0.085255	-21.15%	0.0565	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.110433	+0.15%	0.092745	-15.89%	0.0573	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.111215	+0.05%	0.104155	-6.30%	0.0043	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.108183	+0.01%	0.105	-2.94%	0.0045	✗	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.108857	-0.11%	0.103525	-5.00%	0.0267	✓	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.10823	-0.24%	0.101955	-6.03%	0.0308	✓	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.104495	-0.27%	0.107075	+2.20%	0.0148	✓	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.105329	-0.45%	0.108125	+2.19%	0.0455	✓	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.106718	-0.68%	0.110265	+2.62%	0.0232	✓	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.105521	-0.73%	0.111155	+4.57%	0.0419	✓	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.102389	-0.68%	0.108175	+4.93%	0.0176	✓	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.101517	-0.66%	0.108975	+6.63%	0.0037	✓	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.105382	-0.89%	0.108495	+2.04%	0.0020	✓	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.108949	-1.15%	0.104775	-4.94%	0.0128	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.111975	-1.31%	0.105805	-6.75%	0.0187	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.117212	-1.47%	0.10745	-9.68%	0.0134	✓	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.108944	-1.95%	0.106295	-4.33%	0.0752	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.103138	-1.98%	0.103095	-2.02%	0.0569	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.100009	-3.06%	0.102195	-0.94%	0.1278	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.137751	-1.00%	0.106325	-23.59%	0.1169	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.142162	-0.74%	0.110215	-23.04%	0.1276	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.140775	-0.89%	0.113465	-20.12%	0.1320	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.150086	-0.50%	0.118965	-21.13%	0.1435	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.148604	-0.60%	0.11111	-25.68%	0.2109	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.1497	-0.76%	0.105225	-30.24%	0.2390	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.153169	-0.84%	0.103165	-33.21%	0.3054	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.153896	-1.04%	0.139145	-10.53%	0.1111	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.153408	-1.25%	0.143215	-7.81%	0.1148	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.148825	-1.44%	0.142045	-5.93%	0.1228	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.150995	-1.55%	0.150835	-1.65%	0.1083	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.152235	-1.62%	0.149505	-3.38%	0.1401	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.149229	-1.66%	0.150845	-0.59%	0.1335	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.150633	-1.78%	0.154465	+0.72%	0.1173	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.146479	-1.92%	0.155515	+4.13%	0.0713	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.148766	-1.50%	0.155355	+2.86%	0.0200	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.148554	-1.49%	0.151005	+0.13%	0.0091	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.149043	-1.49%	0.153365	+1.37%	0.0092	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.160024	-1.45%	0.154735	-4.71%	0.0018	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.154616	-1.42%	0.151745	-3.25%	0.0589	✗	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.154535	-1.42%	0.153365	-2.16%	0.0676	✗	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.1571	-1.34%	0.14934	-6.22%	0.0520	✗	1.44
2025-09-17	oos	0.160025	0.157872	-1.35%	0.151035	-5.62%	0.0062	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.