KAIA

Kaia · native · gru_s9

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,139

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

73.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1674

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0198

actual -0.0578

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.037598	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.039006	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.038114	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.038742	-6.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.040787	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.038863	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.038793	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.039195	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.041801	-10.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.040819	-9.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.045761	-11.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.048552	-14.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.050197	-17.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.034261	-7.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.035214	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.036389	-8.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.03667	-9.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.034602	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.034865	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.033603	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.034034	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.032534	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.032043	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.031117	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.031603	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.033037	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.032662	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.031235	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.030441	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.031194	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.031699	-3.05%	0.04027	+23.17%	0.3030	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.029507	-2.76%	0.041885	+38.03%	0.3203	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.029662	-2.75%	0.040865	+33.98%	0.3101	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.029194	-2.59%	0.041415	+38.19%	0.3305	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.027758	-3.62%	0.044045	+52.93%	0.3700	✗	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.027239	-2.12%	0.04206	+51.13%	0.3370	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.026642	-1.71%	0.04226	+55.91%	0.3433	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.028465	-1.74%	0.04303	+48.53%	0.3541	✗	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.028596	-2.29%	0.046865	+60.14%	0.3836	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.028578	-2.13%	0.0451	+54.45%	0.3772	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.028602	-2.22%	0.05169	+76.72%	0.4782	✗	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.026879	-1.72%	0.05665	+107.13%	0.6338	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.029606	-1.54%	0.0605	+101.20%	0.6430	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.031133	-2.13%	0.03702	+16.38%	0.1178	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.030544	-1.61%	0.0382	+23.05%	0.1522	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.031347	-0.39%	0.03959	+25.80%	0.1449	✗	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.030981	+0.36%	0.040385	+30.82%	0.1648	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.030679	+0.69%	0.03753	+23.17%	0.0909	✓	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.031137	+2.68%	0.03741	+23.36%	0.1260	✓	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.02842	+1.30%	0.03605	+28.50%	0.1172	✓	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.029376	+1.72%	0.036805	+27.44%	0.1002	✓	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.029948	+1.78%	0.034525	+17.33%	0.0612	✓	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027975	+1.51%	0.033875	+22.91%	0.0967	✓	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.02952	+2.39%	0.032585	+13.02%	0.0208	✓	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.029594	+2.24%	0.03336	+15.25%	0.0211	✓	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.032733	+3.23%	0.03517	+10.91%	0.0129	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.033211	+1.45%	0.034845	+6.45%	0.0257	✗	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.03264	+1.84%	0.033055	+3.14%	0.0716	✗	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.031984	+3.22%	0.031735	+2.42%	0.0856	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.032119	+1.80%	0.031995	+1.41%	0.1270	✗	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.032319	+1.11%	0.032695	+2.28%	0.1277	✗	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.03121	+4.00%	0.030345	+1.12%	0.0717	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.026986	+2.57%	0.0305	+15.93%	0.0032	✓	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023977	+0.34%	0.02997	+25.42%	0.0630	✓	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.021167	-1.57%	0.0288	+33.92%	0.1524	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022455	-1.88%	0.02783	+21.61%	0.0548	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.022238	-2.74%	0.027105	+18.54%	0.0173	✓	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.023043	-3.46%	0.02897	+21.37%	0.0186	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.023596	-4.20%	0.029265	+18.82%	0.0270	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.024616	-4.68%	0.0292	+13.07%	0.0149	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.02486	-5.08%	0.02925	+11.68%	0.0233	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.025406	-5.38%	0.02735	+1.86%	0.1011	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.025181	-5.65%	0.03007	+12.66%	0.0118	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.025469	-5.74%	0.03181	+17.73%	0.0437	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.02567	-5.73%	0.031045	+14.01%	0.0045	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.02561	-5.46%	0.03147	+16.17%	0.0027	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.025137	-5.85%	0.03087	+15.62%	0.0012	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.025341	-5.76%	0.03047	+13.31%	0.0145	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.025348	-5.54%	0.030325	+13.01%	0.0440	✓	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.024962	-5.20%	0.028055	+6.55%	0.0669	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.025068	-4.68%	0.02888	+9.81%	0.0438	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.024469	-4.34%	0.029425	+15.03%	0.0241	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.024123	-4.25%	0.02756	+9.39%	0.0635	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.025099	-4.40%	0.02883	+9.81%	0.0358	✓	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.024658	-4.87%	0.028945	+11.67%	0.0176	✓	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.024689	-5.37%	0.03171	+21.54%	0.0448	✓	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.02457	-4.82%	0.032735	+26.81%	0.0931	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.028787	-4.88%	0.03205	+5.90%	0.0382	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.02844	-4.63%	0.030985	+3.91%	0.0761	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.029909	-4.54%	0.03155	+0.70%	0.0988	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.030066	-3.93%	0.031965	+2.14%	0.0737	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.031115	-2.99%	0.03001	-6.44%	0.1704	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.031885	-2.88%	0.02631	-19.86%	0.2657	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.031254	-3.22%	0.023895	-26.01%	0.3148	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.0312	-3.28%	0.021505	-33.34%	0.3721	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.031895	-3.14%	0.022885	-30.50%	0.3281	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.031891	-3.38%	0.022865	-30.72%	0.3194	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.032698	-3.49%	0.02387	-29.55%	0.3050	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.032771	-3.12%	0.02463	-27.18%	0.2621	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.033104	-2.92%	0.025825	-24.27%	0.2273	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.032652	-3.75%	0.02619	-22.80%	0.2371	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.033619	-3.96%	0.02685	-23.30%	0.2219	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.033475	-3.74%	0.02669	-23.25%	0.2284	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.03351	-3.98%	0.02702	-22.58%	0.2250	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.032246	-4.06%	0.02723	-18.98%	0.1923	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.0319	-3.99%	0.02709	-18.47%	0.1992	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.032419	-4.26%	0.0267	-21.15%	0.2067	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.032554	-3.86%	0.02689	-20.58%	0.1992	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.033985	-3.64%	0.026835	-23.92%	0.2425	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.033984	-3.65%	0.02633	-25.35%	0.2603	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.033896	-4.30%	0.0263	-25.75%	0.2667	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.033249	-3.49%	0.02558	-25.75%	0.2791	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.032491	-3.44%	0.025195	-25.13%	0.2924	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.033725	-3.39%	0.026255	-24.79%	0.3346	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.033885	-3.14%	0.02592	-25.91%	0.3194	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.033248	-2.80%	0.02609	-23.72%	0.3039	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.032883	-2.54%	0.025815	-23.49%	0.2947	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.03318	-2.51%	0.030265	-11.08%	0.1656	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.032093	-2.36%	0.02982	-9.28%	0.1370	✓	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.032903	-2.12%	0.03133	-6.80%	0.0928	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.035702	-2.49%	0.031295	-14.53%	0.1634	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.036149	-2.60%	0.032075	-13.58%	0.1470	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.035	-2.00%	0.03283	-8.08%	0.1055	✓	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.035485	-1.73%	0.032295	-10.56%	0.1064	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.035572	-1.93%	0.03226	-11.06%	0.1128	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.035914	-1.08%	0.03293	-9.30%	0.1108	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.03681	-1.89%	0.033005	-12.03%	0.1023	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.03694	-2.09%	0.03388	-10.20%	0.0634	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.03681	-2.31%	0.033825	-10.23%	0.0652	✓	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.036716	-2.36%	0.0341	-9.32%	0.0650	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.03566	-1.55%	0.033925	-6.34%	0.0225	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.035437	-1.41%	0.035005	-2.62%	0.0148	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.035762	-1.21%	0.034775	-3.94%	0.0306	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.033747	-0.60%	0.0349	+2.80%	0.0013	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.035092	-0.59%	0.03361	-4.79%	0.0611	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.037271	-0.69%	0.033225	-11.47%	0.1053	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.036367	-0.23%	0.03386	-7.11%	0.0717	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.03663	-0.05%	0.03386	-7.61%	0.1195	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.037696	-0.36%	0.03527	-6.77%	0.1007	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.040027	-1.34%	0.03527	-13.06%	0.1176	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.0427	-2.31%	0.03542	-18.97%	0.1684	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.043262	-2.76%	0.03445	-22.57%	0.1642	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.046615	-3.51%	0.03365	-30.35%	0.2070	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.045384	-2.45%	0.03491	-24.97%	0.0916	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.047091	-3.04%	0.034985	-27.96%	0.1508	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.047287	-3.10%	0.034205	-29.91%	0.1730	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.047361	-2.94%	0.03374	-30.85%	0.1932	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.046428	-2.15%	0.034035	-28.27%	0.1555	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.047911	-1.71%	0.03287	-32.57%	0.2049	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.049898	-0.70%	0.033615	-33.10%	0.2156	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.05055	-1.29%	0.036615	-28.50%	0.1662	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.051241	-2.01%	0.037115	-29.02%	0.1846	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.050794	-3.08%	0.035715	-31.85%	0.2164	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.052469	-2.49%	0.03611	-32.89%	0.2292	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.050744	-1.60%	0.03627	-29.67%	0.1829	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.049138	-1.53%	0.036305	-27.24%	0.1511	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.050008	-2.01%	0.03752	-26.48%	0.1529	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.050002	-2.36%	0.03773	-26.32%	0.1567	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.046369	+1.04%	0.03768	-17.89%	0.0786	✗	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.047347	+2.20%	0.037605	-18.83%	0.0816	✗	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.0493	+3.16%	0.03622	-24.21%	0.1211	✗	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.04801	+1.47%	0.035945	-24.03%	0.1109	✗	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.048503	+2.48%	0.0362	-23.52%	0.1036	✗	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.050152	+3.35%	0.03395	-30.04%	0.1714	✗	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.051215	+3.56%	0.0353	-28.62%	0.1525	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.049079	+2.55%	0.03753	-21.58%	0.0821	✗	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.04979	+1.74%	0.03645	-25.52%	0.1325	✗	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.048289	+2.53%	0.03665	-22.19%	0.0667	✗	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.049812	+5.89%	0.03783	-19.58%	0.0246	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.049697	+5.42%	0.04057	-13.94%	0.0128	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.048364	+4.59%	0.04371	-5.47%	0.0970	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.047371	+3.95%	0.04449	-2.37%	0.0872	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.047314	+3.65%	0.04831	+5.83%	0.1144	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.046846	+2.98%	0.046525	+2.28%	0.0515	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.045851	+0.93%	0.048565	+6.90%	0.0892	✓	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.046235	+0.62%	0.0488	+6.20%	0.0841	✓	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.047612	+0.82%	0.048795	+3.32%	0.0614	✓	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.048806	+2.07%	0.04745	-0.76%	0.0113	✓	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.050086	+3.35%	0.048745	+0.58%	0.0092	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.049874	+2.15%	0.05025	+2.92%	0.0125	✓	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.049418	+2.01%	0.05121	+5.71%	0.0420	✓	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.049875	+2.68%	0.05229	+7.65%	0.0685	✓	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.049324	+3.24%	0.05241	+9.70%	0.0972	✓	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.049004	+1.33%	0.05381	+11.27%	0.0776	✓	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.049138	+0.94%	0.05157	+5.94%	0.0267	✓	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.047365	+0.52%	0.0499	+5.90%	0.0113	✓	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.049877	+1.43%	0.051035	+3.78%	0.0065	✓	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.052165	+1.28%	0.05121	-0.57%	0.0227	✗	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.048753	+1.02%	0.04589	-4.91%	0.1001	✗	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.047842	+1.01%	0.04633	-2.19%	0.0886	✗	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.047326	+0.69%	0.04779	+1.68%	0.0822	✗	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.048242	+0.45%	0.047315	-1.48%	0.0841	✗	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.046073	-1.03%	0.04733	+1.66%	0.1082	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.047358	-0.24%	0.048525	+2.22%	0.0930	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.047349	-0.44%	0.049455	+3.98%	0.0811	✓	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.046667	-1.04%	0.04786	+1.50%	0.0970	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.046325	-1.11%	0.04894	+4.47%	0.0718	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.047385	-1.15%	0.0471	-1.74%	0.1181	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.045848	-2.36%	0.04704	+0.18%	0.1535	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.045961	-2.28%	0.04714	+0.22%	0.1447	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.04612	-3.15%	0.04624	-2.90%	0.1851	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.047198	-3.79%	0.04557	-7.10%	0.2120	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.047016	-4.33%	0.04565	-7.11%	0.2092	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.046245	-3.56%	0.04549	-5.13%	0.1714	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.044977	-3.54%	0.04543	-2.56%	0.1153	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.043261	-3.35%	0.04595	+2.66%	0.0809	✓	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.043485	-3.25%	0.047225	+5.07%	0.0803	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.043408	-3.13%	0.047815	+6.71%	0.0753	✓	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.044726	-3.15%	0.048465	+4.95%	0.1099	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.04748	-3.16%	0.048825	-0.42%	0.1071	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.049174	-3.07%	0.048445	-4.50%	0.1072	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.049868	-3.42%	0.048575	-5.93%	0.1429	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.049416	-3.13%	0.047775	-6.35%	0.1440	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.048731	-3.09%	0.04836	-3.83%	0.1424	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.049175	-2.92%	0.04868	-3.90%	0.1199	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.050186	-2.69%	0.04712	-8.64%	0.1157	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.050269	-2.48%	0.049175	-4.61%	0.1134	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.052406	-2.31%	0.051505	-3.99%	0.1088	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.054614	-1.67%	0.04826	-13.11%	0.1430	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.055375	-1.16%	0.047365	-15.46%	0.1554	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.053841	-1.67%	0.047	-14.16%	0.1578	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.0534	-1.77%	0.048025	-11.65%	0.1591	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.053288	-1.47%	0.046555	-13.91%	0.1319	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.053913	-1.57%	0.04747	-13.34%	0.1701	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.054211	-1.61%	0.04756	-13.68%	0.1778	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.054183	-1.58%	0.047155	-14.35%	0.1701	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.049993	-1.22%	0.046845	-7.44%	0.1101	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.048636	-1.84%	0.047935	-3.25%	0.1173	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.052114	-2.21%	0.046955	-11.89%	0.1319	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.05174	-2.07%	0.047035	-10.98%	0.1108	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.053012	-1.65%	0.04762	-11.65%	0.0450	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.054106	-1.54%	0.049055	-10.73%	0.0005	✓	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.052881	-1.89%	0.049145	-8.82%	0.0467	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.054288	-1.82%	0.04795	-13.28%	0.1111	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.053926	-1.36%	0.046625	-14.72%	0.1915	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.054945	-1.09%	0.04476	-19.42%	0.2007	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.054973	-1.19%	0.044945	-19.21%	0.2032	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.055977	-1.07%	0.04481	-20.81%	0.2006	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.056567	-0.86%	0.04618	-19.07%	0.1723	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.052477	-1.07%	0.04903	-7.57%	0.1566	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.052841	-1.03%	0.05073	-4.98%	0.1618	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.054991	-0.80%	0.051635	-6.85%	0.1153	✓	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.056413	-0.87%	0.051015	-10.36%	0.1527	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.056047	-0.77%	0.050285	-10.97%	0.1059	✓	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.055472	-0.76%	0.050655	-9.37%	0.1263	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.056038	-0.91%	0.051575	-8.81%	0.1575	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.056843	-1.07%	0.05155	-10.29%	0.1417	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.05756	-1.02%	0.053645	-7.76%	0.1125	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.056597	-0.96%	0.05554	-2.81%	0.1079	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.059653	-1.98%	0.056025	-7.94%	0.1494	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.056588	-1.65%	0.054755	-4.84%	0.1021	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.05567	-1.70%	0.05436	-4.02%	0.1143	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.054516	-1.72%	0.05408	-2.51%	0.0788	✓	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.05332	-1.77%	0.054775	+0.91%	0.0045	✓	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.053983	-2.25%	0.0551	-0.23%	0.0186	✓	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.054193	-2.40%	0.055055	-0.85%	0.0215	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.053972	-2.18%	0.05061	-8.27%	0.0492	✓	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.055153	-3.09%	0.049545	-12.94%	0.0226	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.049722	-0.09%	0.05329	+7.08%	0.0192	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.055775	-3.98%	0.052835	-9.05%	0.0473	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.056284	-4.72%	0.0539	-8.75%	0.0531	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.059387	-6.27%	0.05495	-13.27%	0.0401	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.051414	-4.89%	0.0539	-0.30%	0.2154	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.052182	-5.69%	0.055295	-0.06%	0.2549	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.05397	-6.44%	0.05467	-5.23%	0.3992	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.053846	-6.65%	0.05555	-3.70%	0.3971	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.060975	-7.11%	0.055635	-15.24%	0.3666	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.067911	-8.48%	0.056585	-23.74%	0.2430	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.066281	-8.25%	0.05706	-21.02%	0.2434	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.070211	-9.86%	0.053045	-31.90%	0.1925	✗	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.081661	-14.35%	0.05339	-44.00%	0.0434	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.064816	-10.20%	0.055435	-23.20%	0.2539	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.050089	-4.25%	0.05691	+8.79%	0.5235	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.050213	-4.13%	0.05648	+7.84%	0.5110	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.048404	-4.15%	0.055895	+10.68%	0.5405	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.052203	-4.28%	0.056555	+3.69%	0.5537	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.05281	-4.57%	0.05746	+3.83%	0.5497	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.056542	-4.55%	0.058155	-1.83%	0.4800	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.056824	-4.79%	0.057145	-4.25%	0.4669	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.05746	-4.95%	0.06086	+0.68%	0.5000	✗	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.060591	-4.60%	0.05754	-9.40%	0.4293	✗	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.061473	-4.81%	0.056635	-12.30%	0.4363	✗	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.057375	-5.47%	0.05547	-8.61%	0.4020	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.059884	-5.88%	0.05428	-14.69%	0.3000	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.06015	-5.88%	0.055225	-13.59%	0.2810	✗	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.061773	-6.03%	0.055525	-15.53%	0.2590	✗	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.062475	-6.62%	0.055175	-17.53%	0.2643	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.063303	-5.84%	0.05691	-15.35%	0.3435	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.065383	-6.81%	0.049765	-29.07%	0.4274	✗	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.063871	-4.85%	0.05809	-13.47%	0.3426	✗	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.058886	-5.51%	0.05907	-5.22%	0.3303	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.056358	-4.27%	0.06336	+7.63%	0.3581	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.056067	-4.36%	0.05406	-7.78%	0.2306	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.054451	-3.70%	0.05533	-2.14%	0.2203	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.05335	-3.50%	0.057685	+4.34%	0.1445	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.054128	-3.29%	0.057685	+3.06%	0.1388	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.053756	-3.13%	0.06564	+18.29%	0.1614	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.054798	-3.05%	0.0742	+31.28%	0.2801	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.056135	-3.08%	0.072245	+24.73%	0.2441	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.054408	-2.22%	0.07789	+39.98%	0.3724	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.054407	-2.02%	0.09534	+71.69%	0.5259	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.056936	-1.52%	0.07218	+24.85%	0.2031	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.057524	-1.51%	0.05231	-10.44%	0.1312	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.05896	-1.41%	0.052375	-12.42%	0.1327	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.058663	-1.19%	0.0505	-14.94%	0.1440	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.059287	-1.33%	0.05454	-9.23%	0.1576	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.059444	-1.18%	0.05534	-8.00%	0.1681	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.05454	-1.42%	0.05924	+7.08%	0.0834	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.062194	-1.09%	0.05968	-5.09%	0.1987	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.070329	-1.13%	0.06045	-15.02%	0.2783	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.070298	-1.38%	0.06351	-10.90%	0.2758	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.072761	-1.49%	0.06458	-12.56%	0.2386	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.074957	-1.35%	0.060695	-20.12%	0.2267	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.073935	-1.06%	0.063625	-14.86%	0.1601	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.075951	-0.68%	0.06391	-16.42%	0.1363	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.075767	-0.48%	0.065735	-13.65%	0.1165	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.078492	-0.63%	0.066905	-15.30%	0.1321	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.077499	-0.67%	0.06723	-13.83%	0.1526	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.07754	-0.96%	0.07016	-10.38%	0.1548	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.077347	-0.91%	0.06713	-14.00%	0.2187	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.076368	-0.78%	0.06232	-19.03%	0.2398	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.079706	-0.72%	0.05887	-26.67%	0.2778	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.080527	-0.55%	0.05862	-27.61%	0.2585	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.078951	-0.52%	0.05654	-28.76%	0.2895	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.075163	-0.45%	0.055285	-26.77%	0.3297	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.078011	-0.31%	0.05597	-28.47%	0.2956	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.078563	-0.27%	0.05549	-29.56%	0.2789	✓	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.079319	-0.18%	0.05652	-28.87%	0.2831	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.081062	-0.21%	0.05792	-28.70%	0.2716	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.081952	-0.07%	0.055645	-32.15%	0.3281	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.081428	-0.39%	0.05553	-32.07%	0.3798	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.080874	-0.44%	0.057815	-28.83%	0.3229	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.079272	-0.47%	0.058405	-26.67%	0.3177	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.076868	-0.31%	0.059805	-22.44%	0.3279	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.075806	-0.26%	0.05937	-21.88%	0.3150	✓	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.079437	-0.67%	0.060085	-24.87%	0.3141	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.082556	-0.90%	0.060155	-27.79%	0.2496	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.084897	-1.08%	0.055325	-35.54%	0.2792	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.083731	-1.11%	0.06288	-25.74%	0.1681	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.086139	-1.22%	0.071135	-18.43%	0.0661	✓	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.086854	-1.21%	0.07128	-18.92%	0.0161	✓	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.085763	-1.08%	0.07386	-14.80%	0.0239	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.092507	-0.86%	0.07598	-18.57%	0.0146	✓	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.097242	-0.72%	0.07473	-23.70%	0.0450	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.098346	-0.59%	0.07647	-22.70%	0.0617	✓	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.103827	-0.49%	0.07613	-27.03%	0.0609	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.100536	-0.32%	0.07899	-21.68%	0.0253	✓	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.100184	-0.71%	0.07802	-22.68%	0.0323	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.098463	-0.44%	0.07829	-20.84%	0.0062	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.089804	-0.23%	0.078055	-13.29%	0.0784	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.091332	+0.08%	0.07697	-15.65%	0.0920	✓	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.085638	+0.45%	0.080285	-5.83%	0.1029	✓	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.093625	+0.95%	0.080975	-12.69%	0.0822	✓	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.105138	+0.94%	0.07936	-23.81%	0.0396	✓	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.105874	+0.83%	0.0755	-28.10%	0.0741	✓	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.104742	+1.18%	0.07825	-24.41%	0.0320	✓	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.10317	+1.19%	0.078775	-22.74%	0.0268	✓	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.108197	+1.05%	0.07946	-25.79%	0.0114	✓	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.109735	+1.49%	0.08123	-24.87%	0.0636	✓	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.111827	+1.42%	0.08201	-25.62%	0.0883	✓	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.112414	+1.13%	0.081745	-26.46%	0.1476	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.10909	+0.85%	0.08123	-24.91%	0.1146	✓	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.109377	+0.37%	0.07965	-26.91%	0.1121	✓	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.108338	-0.14%	0.07711	-28.93%	0.1187	✗	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.104223	-0.53%	0.076	-27.46%	0.0939	✗	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.104745	-1.00%	0.079975	-24.41%	0.1229	✗	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.105801	-1.54%	0.083305	-22.47%	0.0992	✗	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.104346	-1.83%	0.085825	-19.26%	0.0842	✗	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.101113	-1.92%	0.084675	-17.87%	0.0930	✗	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.100201	-1.95%	0.087205	-14.67%	0.0782	✗	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.103594	-2.57%	0.087915	-17.31%	0.0557	✗	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.106882	-3.02%	0.086695	-21.34%	0.0705	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.10983	-3.20%	0.093305	-17.77%	0.0616	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.114868	-3.44%	0.097945	-17.67%	0.0629	✗	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.106094	-4.51%	0.098925	-10.97%	0.1234	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.100018	-4.95%	0.104335	-0.85%	0.1199	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.096175	-6.78%	0.10086	-2.23%	0.1837	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.135642	-2.52%	0.1009	-27.49%	0.0860	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.140707	-1.75%	0.0989	-30.94%	0.1424	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.138824	-2.27%	0.090015	-36.63%	0.2200	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.149225	-1.07%	0.091255	-39.50%	0.2853	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.147493	-1.35%	0.085255	-42.98%	0.3267	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.148056	-1.85%	0.092745	-38.52%	0.3104	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.151347	-2.02%	0.104155	-32.57%	0.2591	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.151504	-2.58%	0.105	-32.48%	0.2618	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.150387	-3.20%	0.103525	-33.36%	0.2784	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.145064	-3.93%	0.101955	-32.48%	0.2893	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.146977	-4.17%	0.107075	-30.18%	0.2690	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.147847	-4.45%	0.108125	-30.12%	0.3209	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.144706	-4.64%	0.110265	-27.34%	0.3234	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.145819	-4.92%	0.111155	-27.52%	0.3280	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.141599	-5.18%	0.108175	-27.56%	0.3002	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.144515	-4.32%	0.108975	-27.85%	0.2538	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.144217	-4.37%	0.108495	-28.06%	0.2606	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.144691	-4.36%	0.104775	-30.75%	0.2595	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.155421	-4.29%	0.105805	-34.84%	0.3036	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.150359	-4.13%	0.10745	-31.49%	0.2700	✓	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.150248	-4.15%	0.106295	-32.19%	0.2577	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.152937	-3.96%	0.103095	-35.26%	0.2675	✓	1.44
2025-09-17	oos	0.160025	0.153621	-4.00%	0.102195	-36.14%	0.2822	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.