INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s9

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0972

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0131

actual -0.0067

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.12835	0.123953	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.1274	0.123126	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.122877	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.119495	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.121595	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.119779	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.121012	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.135131	-4.47%	0.12835	-9.26%	0.0658	✓	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.121926	-3.81%	0.1274	+0.51%	0.0273	✓	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.119407	-3.63%	0.1272	+2.66%	0.0644	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.116132	-3.82%	0.12365	+2.40%	0.0620	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.114273	-2.91%	0.12605	+7.09%	0.1103	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.114123	-3.12%	0.1242	+5.43%	0.0963	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.106956	-2.50%	0.1256	+14.49%	0.1686	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.111342	-2.80%	0.14145	+23.48%	0.2360	✗	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.114153	-2.43%	0.12675	+8.33%	0.1178	✗	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.110721	-1.84%	0.1239	+9.84%	0.1320	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.116333	-1.99%	0.12075	+1.73%	0.0691	✗	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.115498	-1.83%	0.1177	+0.04%	0.0416	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.110485	-2.10%	0.1178	+4.39%	0.0788	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.108046	-1.91%	0.1097	-0.41%	0.0309	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.103519	-1.46%	0.11455	+9.04%	0.1269	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.101739	-1.89%	0.117	+12.83%	0.1421	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.100561	-2.32%	0.1128	+9.57%	0.0999	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.088855	-0.94%	0.1187	+32.33%	0.2704	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.089252	-0.50%	0.11765	+31.16%	0.2591	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.093413	-0.83%	0.11285	+19.80%	0.1863	✗	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.098616	-1.24%	0.11015	+10.32%	0.1071	✗	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.098369	-1.53%	0.10505	+5.16%	0.0617	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.087979	-0.81%	0.1037	+16.91%	0.1716	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.089427	-0.86%	0.10295	+14.14%	0.1634	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.082234	-0.50%	0.0897	+8.53%	0.1177	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.073715	+0.16%	0.0897	+21.87%	0.1681	✓	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.075857	+0.08%	0.0942	+24.27%	0.1891	✓	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.076083	-0.02%	0.09985	+31.21%	0.2437	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.075147	-1.12%	0.0999	+31.45%	0.2062	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.068109	-0.28%	0.0887	+29.87%	0.1847	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.066959	-0.36%	0.0902	+34.23%	0.1983	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.06951	-0.27%	0.08265	+18.58%	0.0971	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.06465	-0.15%	0.0736	+13.67%	0.0910	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.069534	-0.74%	0.0758	+8.21%	0.0523	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.069596	-0.86%	0.0761	+8.40%	0.0579	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.069242	-1.22%	0.076	+8.42%	0.0948	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.065894	-0.24%	0.0683	+3.41%	0.0558	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.065788	-0.17%	0.0672	+1.97%	0.0494	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.067305	-0.14%	0.0697	+3.41%	0.0438	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.067622	+0.11%	0.06475	-4.15%	0.0088	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.067596	-0.15%	0.07005	+3.47%	0.0604	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.063723	+0.51%	0.0702	+10.73%	0.1202	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.06255	+1.13%	0.0701	+13.34%	0.1606	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.061388	+0.23%	0.06605	+7.84%	0.0626	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059625	+0.46%	0.0659	+11.04%	0.0884	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.059158	+0.61%	0.0674	+14.63%	0.1250	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.054977	+1.25%	0.06755	+24.40%	0.1755	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.057671	+1.09%	0.0677	+18.67%	0.1424	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.054417	+1.52%	0.0634	+18.28%	0.1324	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.055774	+2.06%	0.06185	+13.17%	0.0925	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.055691	+1.81%	0.06125	+11.97%	0.1149	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.054679	+1.82%	0.05935	+10.52%	0.0951	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.055486	+1.90%	0.0588	+7.99%	0.0632	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.05749	+1.21%	0.0543	-4.40%	0.0562	✗	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.056162	+1.28%	0.05705	+2.89%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.058356	+1.05%	0.0536	-7.19%	0.0788	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.054782	-0.12%	0.05465	-0.36%	0.0997	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.052684	-1.25%	0.0547	+2.53%	0.1047	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.049923	-2.40%	0.0537	+4.99%	0.1513	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.050104	-2.43%	0.05445	+6.04%	0.1528	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.049557	-2.64%	0.0568	+11.59%	0.1149	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.050113	-2.69%	0.05545	+7.67%	0.1360	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.049731	-2.87%	0.05775	+12.79%	0.1076	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.05012	-2.87%	0.05485	+6.30%	0.0768	✓	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.049776	-2.78%	0.05335	+4.20%	0.0385	✓	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.050891	-2.88%	0.05115	-2.39%	0.0159	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.051096	-2.77%	0.05135	-2.28%	0.0055	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.051999	-3.17%	0.0509	-5.21%	0.0155	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.051266	-3.45%	0.0515	-3.01%	0.0392	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.049651	-2.84%	0.0512	+0.20%	0.0642	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.049382	-2.89%	0.0516	+1.47%	0.0590	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.04919	-2.88%	0.0512	+1.09%	0.0611	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.047955	-2.92%	0.0524	+6.07%	0.0973	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.048454	-2.70%	0.05255	+5.52%	0.0735	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.048755	-2.68%	0.0537	+7.19%	0.0736	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.050029	-2.67%	0.0531	+3.31%	0.0224	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.048117	-2.50%	0.0511	+3.55%	0.0244	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.047487	-1.89%	0.05085	+5.06%	0.0765	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.047343	-1.57%	0.05065	+5.30%	0.0551	✗	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.048635	-1.45%	0.0494	+0.10%	0.0120	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.050244	-1.29%	0.0498	-2.16%	0.0048	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.05378	-1.14%	0.0501	-7.90%	0.0398	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.054774	-1.13%	0.0514	-7.22%	0.0371	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.054507	-1.08%	0.04935	-10.44%	0.0776	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.055196	-1.08%	0.0484	-13.26%	0.1258	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.055112	-0.88%	0.0481	-13.49%	0.0997	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.054749	-0.73%	0.04935	-10.52%	0.0597	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.053443	-1.03%	0.0509	-5.74%	0.0242	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.05206	-0.55%	0.0544	+3.92%	0.0336	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.052416	-0.54%	0.0554	+5.12%	0.0636	✗	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.052241	-0.59%	0.0551	+4.85%	0.0501	✗	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.052673	-0.62%	0.0558	+5.28%	0.0366	✗	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.054199	-0.55%	0.0556	+2.02%	0.0031	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054583	-0.49%	0.05515	+0.55%	0.0147	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.053028	-0.70%	0.054	+1.12%	0.0333	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.054859	-0.62%	0.05235	-5.16%	0.0631	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.055893	-0.64%	0.0527	-6.31%	0.0761	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.056576	-0.66%	0.05255	-7.73%	0.0697	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.055135	-0.66%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0500	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054345	-0.65%	0.0545	-0.37%	0.0413	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054689	-0.57%	0.05485	-0.27%	0.0264	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.05698	-0.65%	0.0534	-6.89%	0.0342	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.057577	-0.73%	0.0552	-4.83%	0.0446	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.057915	-0.83%	0.05625	-3.68%	0.0401	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.057776	-0.90%	0.05695	-2.32%	0.0392	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.05656	-0.95%	0.0555	-2.80%	0.0453	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.05674	-1.15%	0.0547	-4.70%	0.0736	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.051945	-0.87%	0.055	+4.96%	0.0153	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.053074	-0.89%	0.05735	+7.10%	0.0203	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051623	-0.82%	0.058	+11.43%	0.0571	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.052046	-0.86%	0.0584	+11.24%	0.0700	✗	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054574	-1.04%	0.0583	+5.71%	0.0298	✗	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051315	-0.84%	0.0571	+10.34%	0.0812	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.052914	-0.91%	0.0574	+7.49%	0.0968	✗	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.058465	-1.24%	0.0524	-11.49%	0.0548	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.057802	-1.19%	0.05355	-8.46%	0.0271	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.05514	-1.01%	0.05205	-6.55%	0.0094	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056346	-1.06%	0.0525	-7.81%	0.0149	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057166	-1.18%	0.05515	-4.67%	0.0097	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.058787	-1.45%	0.05175	-13.24%	0.0846	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.058957	-1.41%	0.0534	-10.70%	0.0529	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.059413	-1.47%	0.0592	-1.82%	0.0360	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.057888	-1.38%	0.0585	-0.34%	0.0430	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.058726	-1.63%	0.0557	-6.70%	0.0184	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.057906	-1.60%	0.05695	-3.23%	0.0139	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.058919	-2.21%	0.05785	-3.98%	0.0174	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.057097	-1.56%	0.05965	+2.84%	0.0533	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.053895	-1.11%	0.0598	+9.72%	0.0642	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.056079	-1.53%	0.0603	+5.88%	0.0211	✗	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.057356	-1.28%	0.0587	+1.03%	0.0187	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.0541	-0.19%	0.0597	+10.15%	0.0664	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.053568	+0.69%	0.05885	+10.62%	0.0455	✓	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.05583	+0.78%	0.06025	+8.75%	0.0417	✓	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.058718	+0.20%	0.058	-1.02%	0.0091	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.064686	-0.48%	0.0545	-16.15%	0.1415	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.063596	-0.48%	0.05695	-10.88%	0.0527	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.069933	-2.87%	0.0581	-19.31%	0.1318	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.07134	-3.59%	0.0542	-26.76%	0.2125	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.066976	-2.51%	0.0532	-22.56%	0.1383	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.062669	-0.21%	0.0554	-11.78%	0.0331	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.063102	-0.16%	0.0586	-7.28%	0.0060	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.066295	-1.27%	0.065	-3.20%	0.0487	✗	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.076084	-2.14%	0.0639	-17.81%	0.1254	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.080209	-1.82%	0.072	-11.87%	0.0819	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.079832	-1.81%	0.074	-8.98%	0.0607	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.081399	-1.93%	0.0687	-17.23%	0.1553	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.07934	-1.93%	0.0628	-22.37%	0.2234	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.084619	-1.61%	0.0632	-26.51%	0.2736	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.083739	-1.48%	0.06715	-21.00%	0.2067	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.081941	-1.34%	0.07775	-6.38%	0.0484	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.083265	-1.23%	0.0817	-3.08%	0.0204	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.083172	-1.28%	0.0813	-3.50%	0.0204	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.084055	-1.40%	0.083	-2.64%	0.0046	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.08712	-1.50%	0.0809	-8.54%	0.0623	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.093626	-1.39%	0.086	-9.43%	0.0755	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.095869	-1.87%	0.085	-13.00%	0.1158	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.10222	-1.90%	0.08305	-20.30%	0.1996	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.100856	-1.12%	0.0843	-17.35%	0.1714	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.104261	-0.89%	0.08425	-19.91%	0.2052	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.108945	-1.67%	0.08525	-23.06%	0.2402	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.101226	-1.15%	0.08845	-13.62%	0.1330	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.107457	-2.27%	0.09495	-13.64%	0.1255	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.098992	-0.86%	0.0977	-2.15%	0.0030	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.090259	-0.38%	0.1042	+15.01%	0.1467	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.089657	-0.38%	0.102	+13.33%	0.1147	✗	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.088487	-0.58%	0.1052	+18.20%	0.1448	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.08859	-0.57%	0.1108	+24.35%	0.2084	✗	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.089896	-0.67%	0.1024	+13.15%	0.1147	✗	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.089833	-1.17%	0.10995	+20.96%	0.1660	✗	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.08979	-1.22%	0.09985	+9.85%	0.0517	✗	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.093339	-1.39%	0.0906	-4.28%	0.0756	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.089561	-0.87%	0.09	-0.39%	0.0202	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.090076	-0.69%	0.089	-1.87%	0.0108	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.08849	-0.85%	0.0891	-0.17%	0.0036	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.091838	-1.09%	0.0905	-2.53%	0.0225	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.084845	-0.30%	0.0909	+6.82%	0.0891	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.087964	-0.61%	0.0909	+2.71%	0.0581	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.088853	-1.16%	0.09465	+5.28%	0.0635	✗	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.093041	-1.70%	0.09035	-4.54%	0.0452	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.086786	-1.83%	0.0907	+2.60%	0.0077	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.092264	-1.95%	0.08925	-5.15%	0.0535	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.089288	-1.23%	0.09285	+2.71%	0.0353	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.084646	-2.59%	0.0851	-2.07%	0.0276	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.081121	-2.79%	0.0885	+6.05%	0.0514	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.07801	-2.61%	0.0899	+12.23%	0.1188	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.077637	-2.59%	0.09465	+18.76%	0.1830	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.07469	-2.37%	0.0884	+15.56%	0.1331	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.080226	-2.87%	0.0941	+13.92%	0.1305	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.08125	-2.93%	0.0904	+8.00%	0.0624	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.078008	-2.73%	0.0869	+8.35%	0.0711	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.079816	-2.72%	0.08345	+1.71%	0.0029	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.079684	-2.71%	0.0801	-2.20%	0.0200	✓	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.082471	-3.03%	0.0797	-6.29%	0.1010	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.077711	-2.50%	0.0765	-4.02%	0.0371	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.079908	-2.43%	0.0826	+0.85%	0.0381	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.080482	-2.45%	0.0837	+1.45%	0.0354	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.078452	-2.36%	0.0802	-0.19%	0.0392	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.077043	-1.92%	0.08205	+4.46%	0.0255	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.074149	-1.66%	0.0819	+8.62%	0.0530	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.075754	-1.62%	0.08505	+10.45%	0.0878	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.076843	-1.61%	0.0797	+2.05%	0.0039	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.078272	-1.54%	0.0819	+3.02%	0.0323	✗	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.075937	-1.25%	0.0825	+7.28%	0.0748	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.082413	-1.18%	0.08035	-3.66%	0.0016	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.08144	-0.68%	0.07855	-4.21%	0.0044	✓	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.083808	-1.17%	0.0754	-11.08%	0.0761	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.080361	-0.42%	0.077	-4.58%	0.0108	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.076163	-0.70%	0.0781	+1.83%	0.0501	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.076576	-0.55%	0.0795	+3.25%	0.0715	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.07924	-0.45%	0.0769	-3.39%	0.0233	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.081102	-0.49%	0.0834	+2.33%	0.0426	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.085098	-0.47%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0378	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.092109	-0.74%	0.0848	-8.62%	0.0409	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.089282	-0.69%	0.0807	-10.23%	0.0514	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.09108	-1.00%	0.0767	-16.63%	0.1063	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.090349	-1.26%	0.077	-15.85%	0.1290	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.083572	-1.10%	0.0796	-5.80%	0.0428	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.088015	-1.77%	0.0815	-9.04%	0.0687	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.088127	-1.53%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.0442	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.083152	-1.48%	0.0928	+9.95%	0.0579	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.080099	-1.48%	0.0899	+10.58%	0.0310	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.079818	-1.58%	0.092	+13.44%	0.0470	✗	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.082967	-1.93%	0.0915	+8.16%	0.0429	✗	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.084655	-2.81%	0.0845	-2.99%	0.0400	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.079599	-1.73%	0.0896	+10.62%	0.1233	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.077529	-1.74%	0.0895	+13.43%	0.1782	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.082125	-1.88%	0.0844	+0.84%	0.0014	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.078776	-1.90%	0.0813	+1.25%	0.0379	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.074152	-1.66%	0.0811	+7.56%	0.0864	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.07815	-1.88%	0.0846	+6.21%	0.0746	✗	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.079384	-2.00%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.0559	✗	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.079926	-2.17%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0408	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.079868	-2.30%	0.0789	-3.49%	0.0858	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.08002	-2.30%	0.0837	+2.20%	0.0309	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.083327	-2.54%	0.0803	-6.08%	0.1105	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.08715	-2.90%	0.0754	-15.99%	0.1125	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.091195	-3.24%	0.07965	-15.49%	0.1183	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.096682	-3.85%	0.081	-19.44%	0.1401	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.09707	-3.94%	0.0817	-19.15%	0.1814	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.097219	-4.50%	0.08175	-19.70%	0.2013	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.107095	-5.56%	0.0819	-27.78%	0.2121	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.117261	-7.89%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2486	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.101457	-7.09%	0.08975	-17.81%	0.1045	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.069435	-1.86%	0.09425	+33.22%	0.3351	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.068112	-1.64%	0.10055	+45.20%	0.4030	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.069909	-1.68%	0.10105	+42.12%	0.3551	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.069501	-1.70%	0.1018	+43.99%	0.3920	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.06548	-0.41%	0.1134	+72.47%	0.5721	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.066283	-0.40%	0.1273	+91.28%	0.6735	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.067626	-0.33%	0.1092	+60.94%	0.5044	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.070612	-0.27%	0.07075	-0.07%	0.0073	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.069629	+0.19%	0.06925	-0.36%	0.0238	✓	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.064301	+5.15%	0.0711	+16.27%	0.0366	✓	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.072143	+0.06%	0.0707	-1.94%	0.0934	✓	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.077498	-0.77%	0.06575	-15.81%	0.0408	✓	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.080314	-1.15%	0.06655	-18.09%	0.0371	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.081458	-0.78%	0.06785	-17.36%	0.0638	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.085952	-1.66%	0.0708	-18.99%	0.0206	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.10286	-4.05%	0.0695	-35.17%	0.1846	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.086845	-1.87%	0.06115	-30.90%	0.0024	✓	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.09444	-3.14%	0.0721	-26.05%	0.0432	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.089707	-2.49%	0.0781	-15.11%	0.0524	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.087381	-2.48%	0.08125	-9.32%	0.0601	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.087488	-3.11%	0.0821	-9.08%	0.0754	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.086855	-2.96%	0.0874	-2.35%	0.1567	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.079391	-2.47%	0.1072	+31.70%	0.3751	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.078404	-2.60%	0.0885	+9.94%	0.1898	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.07855	-2.78%	0.0975	+20.67%	0.2189	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.076937	-2.73%	0.092	+16.31%	0.1677	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.082527	-3.14%	0.0896	+5.16%	0.1400	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.090558	-3.46%	0.0903	-3.73%	0.0925	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.089607	-3.13%	0.0895	-3.24%	0.0788	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.093353	-2.66%	0.0814	-15.12%	0.0570	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.092146	-3.11%	0.0805	-15.35%	0.0537	✓	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.090445	-2.33%	0.0808	-12.74%	0.0112	✓	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.08801	-2.43%	0.0791	-12.31%	0.0109	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.079862	-2.49%	0.0852	+4.03%	0.0468	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.084501	-2.54%	0.0938	+8.19%	0.0678	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.087611	-1.56%	0.0925	+3.93%	0.0091	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.090152	-1.26%	0.0959	+5.04%	0.0085	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.091043	-1.04%	0.0951	+3.37%	0.0223	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.091973	-0.78%	0.0926	-0.11%	0.1107	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.095724	-0.70%	0.0902	-6.43%	0.0939	✓	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.097233	-0.58%	0.0819	-16.26%	0.1147	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.097144	-1.08%	0.0867	-11.71%	0.1000	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.095731	-0.90%	0.089	-7.87%	0.0679	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.093486	-0.86%	0.0913	-3.18%	0.0361	✓	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.089243	-0.95%	0.092	+2.11%	0.0204	✓	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.0863	-1.03%	0.0927	+6.31%	0.0121	✓	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.088227	-1.09%	0.0964	+8.07%	0.0279	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.087999	-1.46%	0.0978	+9.52%	0.0417	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.087032	-1.21%	0.0982	+11.46%	0.0410	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.091661	-1.76%	0.0966	+3.54%	0.0086	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.100064	-3.41%	0.0943	-8.98%	0.1186	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.088696	-2.42%	0.0901	-0.88%	0.0192	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.082577	-1.34%	0.0872	+4.18%	0.0570	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.082444	-1.15%	0.0892	+6.95%	0.0570	✗	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.083236	-1.26%	0.0893	+5.93%	0.1029	✗	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.082694	-1.20%	0.0881	+5.26%	0.0804	✗	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.085613	-1.71%	0.0933	+7.12%	0.0977	✗	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.083005	-1.89%	0.1036	+22.46%	0.2398	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.076096	-1.05%	0.0909	+18.21%	0.1387	✗	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.080747	-1.05%	0.0837	+2.57%	0.0042	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.085153	-1.21%	0.0834	-3.25%	0.0112	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.082239	-1.04%	0.0843	+1.44%	0.0235	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.083979	-1.08%	0.0837	-1.41%	0.0139	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.088033	-1.20%	0.0871	-2.24%	0.0325	✗	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.085552	-1.10%	0.0846	-2.20%	0.0377	✗	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.089747	-0.94%	0.0769	-15.12%	0.0049	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.092794	-0.97%	0.0816	-12.91%	0.0030	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.097372	-1.04%	0.0862	-12.40%	0.0141	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.092888	-1.08%	0.0831	-11.50%	0.0159	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.089529	-1.07%	0.0849	-6.19%	0.0034	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.09804	-1.17%	0.0891	-10.18%	0.1181	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.099254	-1.14%	0.0865	-13.84%	0.1588	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.101698	-1.07%	0.0906	-11.87%	0.1257	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.101351	-1.02%	0.0937	-8.50%	0.0465	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.102894	-1.06%	0.0984	-5.38%	0.0767	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.100601	-1.18%	0.0939	-7.76%	0.1812	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.114531	-1.39%	0.0905	-22.08%	0.2363	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.113224	-1.29%	0.0992	-13.51%	0.0935	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.115333	-1.43%	0.1004	-14.19%	0.1000	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.119782	-1.78%	0.1028	-15.70%	0.1718	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.109309	-1.26%	0.1024	-7.50%	0.1358	✓	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.106614	-0.96%	0.104	-3.39%	0.1238	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.106666	-0.96%	0.1018	-5.48%	0.0039	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.105726	-1.01%	0.11615	+8.75%	0.0034	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.103687	-0.87%	0.1147	+9.66%	0.0621	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.109489	-1.23%	0.117	+5.55%	0.0876	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.125321	-2.66%	0.12195	-5.28%	0.1496	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.118324	-0.90%	0.1107	-7.29%	0.0382	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.117881	-0.73%	0.10765	-9.35%	0.0718	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.117927	-0.73%	0.1077	-9.34%	0.0213	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.119559	-0.62%	0.1068	-11.22%	0.1028	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.124427	-0.66%	0.1046	-16.49%	0.1464	✗	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.119947	-0.50%	0.11085	-8.05%	0.1995	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.12368	-0.30%	0.12875	+3.79%	0.4376	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.126268	-0.18%	0.1194	-5.61%	0.2451	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.123381	+0.02%	0.11875	-3.73%	0.2586	✓	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.132532	+0.02%	0.1188	-10.34%	0.2959	✓	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.13142	-0.29%	0.1203	-8.73%	0.2198	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.131212	+0.12%	0.12525	-4.43%	0.1551	✓	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.133239	+0.14%	0.12055	-9.39%	0.1585	✓	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.117326	+0.67%	0.12405	+6.44%	0.1034	✓	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.120117	+0.77%	0.1265	+6.12%	0.1144	✓	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.117041	+0.98%	0.12335	+6.43%	0.0090	✓	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.123393	+0.85%	0.1325	+8.30%	0.0877	✓	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.138733	+0.75%	0.1318	-4.28%	0.1141	✓	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.137861	+0.92%	0.13105	-4.06%	0.1733	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.135969	+0.98%	0.13305	-1.19%	0.1604	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.138471	+1.04%	0.11655	-14.96%	0.0357	✓	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.156217	+0.82%	0.1192	-23.07%	0.0922	✗	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.160291	+0.84%	0.1159	-27.08%	0.0078	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.163847	+0.77%	0.12235	-24.75%	0.0794	✗	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.174915	+0.50%	0.1377	-20.88%	0.1284	✗	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.171373	+0.63%	0.1366	-19.79%	0.1807	✗	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.173329	+0.63%	0.13465	-21.83%	0.2097	✗	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.167679	+0.80%	0.13705	-17.61%	0.1493	✗	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.16153	+1.15%	0.15495	-2.97%	0.1129	✗	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.169185	+0.98%	0.15895	-5.13%	0.1930	✗	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.181646	+0.50%	0.1626	-10.04%	0.2099	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.182193	+0.74%	0.17405	-3.76%	0.2098	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.177272	+1.18%	0.1703	-2.80%	0.1671	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.176031	+1.66%	0.17225	-0.52%	0.1522	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.179706	+1.33%	0.16635	-6.20%	0.1320	✗	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.186009	+0.79%	0.1597	-13.47%	0.0594	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.196386	+0.12%	0.16755	-14.58%	0.0245	✗	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.208953	-0.66%	0.18075	-14.07%	0.0139	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.191865	-0.87%	0.18085	-6.56%	0.1193	✗	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.174892	+0.40%	0.1752	+0.57%	0.1036	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.192683	-0.83%	0.17315	-10.89%	0.0773	✗	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.301605	-2.06%	0.17735	-42.41%	0.2591	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.315428	-2.07%	0.18455	-42.70%	0.2914	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.305569	-2.19%	0.19615	-37.21%	0.2515	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.331227	-2.29%	0.21035	-37.95%	0.2423	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.313071	-2.29%	0.19355	-39.59%	0.2923	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.318305	-2.18%	0.1742	-46.47%	0.3316	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.32882	-2.30%	0.1943	-42.27%	0.3112	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.330401	-3.42%	0.30795	-9.98%	0.0950	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.315424	-2.62%	0.3221	-0.56%	0.0854	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.304434	-2.10%	0.3124	+0.47%	0.1512	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.30528	-2.19%	0.339	+8.62%	0.1532	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.312997	-2.20%	0.3204	+0.11%	0.2714	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.301617	-2.06%	0.3254	+5.67%	0.2643	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.306418	-1.99%	0.33655	+7.64%	0.2423	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.293229	-1.91%	0.3421	+14.43%	0.1569	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.317063	-2.32%	0.3239	-0.22%	0.1236	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.310389	-2.27%	0.31095	-2.09%	0.0558	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.318491	-2.23%	0.3121	-4.19%	0.0648	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.353092	-2.41%	0.32005	-11.54%	0.0147	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.359903	-2.39%	0.30795	-16.48%	0.0085	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.362567	-2.50%	0.31265	-15.92%	0.0145	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.384982	-2.89%	0.29895	-24.59%	0.0350	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.