INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s9

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,611

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2055

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0306

actual -0.0144

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.118118	-6.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.118967	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.116195	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.118392	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.116798	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.118001	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.130075	-8.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.118433	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.115679	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.112365	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.11057	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.109775	-6.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.102897	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.106525	-7.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.109309	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.106485	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.111329	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.110259	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.104902	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.102329	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.098028	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.095702	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.093791	-8.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.083243	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.083521	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.087277	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.091411	-8.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.090663	-9.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.08172	-7.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.082442	-8.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.076244	-7.75%	0.12675	+53.36%	0.5467	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.069951	-4.96%	0.1272	+72.83%	0.5826	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.07179	-5.29%	0.12365	+63.13%	0.5384	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.072003	-5.38%	0.12605	+65.64%	0.5500	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.071482	-5.94%	0.1242	+63.42%	0.5024	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.065624	-3.92%	0.1256	+83.89%	0.5966	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.064816	-3.55%	0.14145	+110.49%	0.7174	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.067245	-3.52%	0.12675	+81.85%	0.6023	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.063189	-2.41%	0.1239	+91.35%	0.6181	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.067714	-3.34%	0.12075	+72.38%	0.5402	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.067888	-3.29%	0.1177	+67.66%	0.4957	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.067511	-3.69%	0.1178	+68.05%	0.5034	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.064492	-2.36%	0.1097	+66.09%	0.4930	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.064477	-2.16%	0.11455	+73.82%	0.5440	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.065894	-2.23%	0.117	+73.59%	0.5349	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.066352	-1.77%	0.1128	+66.99%	0.4824	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.066605	-1.62%	0.1187	+75.33%	0.5238	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.062931	-0.74%	0.11765	+85.57%	0.5644	✗	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.06211	+0.42%	0.11285	+82.46%	0.5645	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.061149	-0.16%	0.11015	+79.84%	0.5133	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059709	+0.60%	0.10505	+77.00%	0.4855	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.059719	+1.56%	0.1037	+76.36%	0.5018	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.055301	+1.84%	0.10295	+89.59%	0.5548	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.058079	+1.80%	0.0897	+57.23%	0.3773	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.054786	+2.21%	0.0897	+67.35%	0.4216	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.056747	+3.84%	0.0942	+72.37%	0.4619	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.05648	+3.25%	0.09985	+82.54%	0.5140	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.055784	+3.88%	0.0999	+86.03%	0.5172	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.056922	+4.54%	0.0887	+62.90%	0.3793	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.058317	+2.67%	0.0902	+58.80%	0.3321	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.056962	+2.73%	0.08265	+49.05%	0.2552	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.059431	+2.91%	0.0736	+27.45%	0.1786	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.054832	-0.03%	0.0758	+38.20%	0.2143	✗	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.052297	-1.97%	0.0761	+42.64%	0.2078	✗	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.049501	-3.22%	0.076	+48.58%	0.2370	✗	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.049639	-3.33%	0.0683	+33.01%	0.1257	✗	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.048961	-3.81%	0.0672	+32.02%	0.0984	✗	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.049469	-3.94%	0.0697	+35.34%	0.0886	✗	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.048966	-4.36%	0.06475	+26.46%	0.0455	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.04927	-4.52%	0.07005	+35.76%	0.1178	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.048891	-4.51%	0.0702	+37.11%	0.1226	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.049759	-5.04%	0.0701	+33.78%	0.1247	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.04994	-4.97%	0.06605	+25.69%	0.0382	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.050762	-5.47%	0.0659	+22.72%	0.0381	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.049997	-5.84%	0.0674	+26.93%	0.0671	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.048669	-4.76%	0.06755	+32.19%	0.0891	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.048272	-5.07%	0.0677	+33.14%	0.0910	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.048291	-4.66%	0.0634	+25.17%	0.0351	✓	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.047034	-4.79%	0.06185	+25.20%	0.0214	✓	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.047553	-4.51%	0.06125	+22.99%	0.0370	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.047829	-4.53%	0.05935	+18.46%	0.0006	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.048923	-4.82%	0.0588	+14.40%	0.0648	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.047083	-4.59%	0.0543	+10.03%	0.0918	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.04643	-4.07%	0.05705	+17.87%	0.0127	✓	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.046056	-4.25%	0.0536	+11.43%	0.0713	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.047177	-4.40%	0.05465	+10.74%	0.1118	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.048916	-3.90%	0.0547	+7.47%	0.1341	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.052409	-3.66%	0.0537	-1.29%	0.1755	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.053165	-4.03%	0.05445	-1.71%	0.2021	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.053073	-3.68%	0.0568	+3.09%	0.1445	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.053975	-3.27%	0.05545	-0.63%	0.1588	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.054212	-2.50%	0.05775	+3.87%	0.1200	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.054095	-1.91%	0.05485	-0.54%	0.0866	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.052823	-2.18%	0.05335	-1.20%	0.0534	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.051498	-1.63%	0.05115	-2.29%	0.0068	✓	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.051871	-1.57%	0.05135	-2.56%	0.0049	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.05179	-1.45%	0.0509	-3.14%	0.0008	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.052313	-1.30%	0.0515	-2.83%	0.0031	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.054051	-0.82%	0.0512	-6.06%	0.0250	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054624	-0.41%	0.0516	-5.93%	0.0308	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.052853	-1.02%	0.0512	-4.12%	0.0521	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.054946	-0.46%	0.0524	-5.07%	0.0438	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.055972	-0.49%	0.05255	-6.58%	0.0654	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.056644	-0.54%	0.0537	-5.71%	0.0659	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.05514	-0.65%	0.0531	-4.32%	0.0679	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054304	-0.72%	0.0511	-6.58%	0.1081	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054775	-0.41%	0.05085	-7.55%	0.0911	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.057105	-0.43%	0.05065	-11.68%	0.1304	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.057688	-0.54%	0.0494	-14.83%	0.1625	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.057947	-0.78%	0.0498	-14.73%	0.1576	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.05778	-0.89%	0.0501	-14.07%	0.1578	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.056517	-1.02%	0.0514	-9.98%	0.1149	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.056513	-1.55%	0.04935	-14.02%	0.1819	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.051748	-1.25%	0.0484	-7.63%	0.1594	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.053023	-0.98%	0.0481	-10.18%	0.1530	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051598	-0.87%	0.04935	-5.19%	0.1076	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.05208	-0.80%	0.0509	-3.05%	0.0765	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054591	-1.01%	0.0544	-1.36%	0.0787	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.05138	-0.71%	0.0554	+7.05%	0.0107	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.053028	-0.70%	0.0551	+3.18%	0.0069	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.0584	-1.35%	0.0558	-5.74%	0.0759	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.057759	-1.27%	0.0556	-4.96%	0.0647	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.055188	-0.92%	0.05515	-0.99%	0.0405	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056299	-1.14%	0.054	-5.18%	0.0540	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.05704	-1.40%	0.05235	-9.51%	0.1011	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.05853	-1.88%	0.0527	-11.65%	0.1298	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.058584	-2.03%	0.05255	-12.12%	0.1015	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.058915	-2.30%	0.053	-12.11%	0.0814	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.057476	-2.09%	0.0545	-7.16%	0.0315	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.058255	-2.42%	0.05485	-8.12%	0.0503	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.057553	-2.20%	0.0534	-9.26%	0.0453	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.058493	-2.92%	0.0552	-8.38%	0.0607	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.056759	-2.14%	0.05625	-3.02%	0.0119	✓	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.053748	-1.38%	0.05695	+4.50%	0.0222	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.055768	-2.07%	0.0555	-2.55%	0.0247	✓	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.056756	-2.31%	0.0547	-5.85%	0.0258	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.053317	-1.63%	0.055	+1.48%	0.0308	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.052511	-1.30%	0.05735	+7.80%	0.0453	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.054535	-1.56%	0.058	+4.69%	0.0265	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.057278	-2.26%	0.0584	-0.34%	0.0290	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.062829	-3.34%	0.0583	-10.31%	0.0575	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.061634	-3.55%	0.0571	-10.64%	0.0163	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.06735	-6.46%	0.0574	-20.28%	0.0842	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.068419	-7.54%	0.0524	-29.19%	0.1719	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.06421	-6.54%	0.05355	-22.05%	0.0842	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.059718	-4.91%	0.05205	-17.12%	0.0346	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.060134	-4.85%	0.0525	-16.93%	0.0376	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.063566	-5.34%	0.05515	-17.87%	0.0437	✓	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.073405	-5.59%	0.05175	-33.44%	0.2585	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.077369	-5.30%	0.0534	-34.64%	0.2937	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.077029	-5.25%	0.0592	-27.18%	0.1940	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.07855	-5.36%	0.0585	-29.52%	0.2271	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.076464	-5.48%	0.0557	-31.15%	0.2511	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.081814	-4.87%	0.05695	-33.78%	0.2980	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.08105	-4.65%	0.05785	-31.94%	0.2697	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.079174	-4.67%	0.05965	-28.18%	0.2166	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.080678	-4.30%	0.0598	-29.06%	0.2333	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.080807	-4.09%	0.0603	-28.43%	0.2220	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.08212	-3.67%	0.0587	-31.14%	0.2659	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.08565	-3.17%	0.0597	-32.50%	0.3145	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.09207	-3.03%	0.05885	-38.02%	0.3987	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.094063	-3.72%	0.06025	-38.33%	0.4017	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.099831	-4.19%	0.058	-44.34%	0.5029	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.098757	-3.18%	0.0545	-46.57%	0.5573	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.102022	-3.02%	0.05695	-45.87%	0.5454	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.105543	-4.74%	0.0581	-47.56%	0.5583	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.098828	-3.49%	0.0542	-47.07%	0.5688	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.103368	-5.99%	0.0532	-51.61%	0.6290	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.096766	-3.09%	0.0554	-44.52%	0.4479	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.089186	-1.56%	0.0586	-35.32%	0.2804	✓	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.088704	-1.44%	0.065	-27.78%	0.1751	✓	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.087114	-2.12%	0.0639	-28.20%	0.2075	✓	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.087304	-2.02%	0.072	-19.19%	0.1321	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.088686	-2.00%	0.074	-18.23%	0.1423	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.088368	-2.79%	0.0687	-24.42%	0.2260	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.088125	-3.05%	0.0628	-30.91%	0.3147	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.091419	-3.41%	0.0632	-33.23%	0.3398	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.087935	-2.67%	0.06715	-25.68%	0.2378	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.088654	-2.26%	0.07775	-14.28%	0.1019	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.087049	-2.47%	0.0817	-8.46%	0.0593	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.090053	-3.01%	0.0813	-12.44%	0.0973	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.083399	-2.00%	0.083	-2.47%	0.0118	✓	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.086461	-2.30%	0.0809	-8.59%	0.0380	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.087348	-2.84%	0.086	-4.34%	0.0280	✓	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.091382	-3.45%	0.085	-10.20%	0.0894	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.085409	-3.38%	0.08305	-6.05%	0.0598	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.090433	-3.90%	0.0843	-10.41%	0.0831	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.088057	-2.59%	0.08425	-6.80%	0.0475	✓	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.084163	-3.15%	0.08525	-1.90%	0.0183	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.080999	-2.94%	0.08845	+5.99%	0.0436	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.077699	-3.00%	0.09495	+18.54%	0.1293	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.077455	-2.82%	0.0977	+22.58%	0.1816	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.073579	-3.82%	0.1042	+36.21%	0.2404	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.079745	-3.46%	0.102	+23.49%	0.1552	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.080685	-3.60%	0.1052	+25.69%	0.1690	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.07714	-3.81%	0.1108	+38.15%	0.2685	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.078639	-4.16%	0.1024	+24.80%	0.1665	✗	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.078715	-3.89%	0.10995	+34.25%	0.2477	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.080482	-5.37%	0.09985	+17.40%	0.0720	✗	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.07618	-4.42%	0.0906	+13.68%	0.0374	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.078064	-4.68%	0.09	+9.89%	0.0052	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.078499	-4.85%	0.089	+7.88%	0.0125	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.076496	-4.80%	0.0891	+10.89%	0.0121	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.075351	-4.07%	0.0905	+15.21%	0.0616	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.072457	-3.90%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.1281	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.073702	-4.28%	0.0909	+18.05%	0.0964	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.074552	-4.54%	0.09465	+21.19%	0.1080	✗	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.075725	-4.75%	0.09035	+13.65%	0.0389	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.073392	-4.56%	0.0907	+17.95%	0.0601	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.079342	-4.87%	0.08925	+7.01%	0.0132	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.07827	-4.55%	0.09285	+13.23%	0.0975	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.080234	-5.38%	0.0851	+0.35%	0.0338	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.077316	-4.19%	0.0885	+9.67%	0.0474	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.073496	-4.18%	0.0899	+17.21%	0.0970	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.073931	-3.99%	0.09465	+22.92%	0.1619	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.076731	-3.60%	0.0884	+11.06%	0.1010	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.078738	-3.39%	0.0941	+15.46%	0.1075	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.082705	-3.27%	0.0904	+5.73%	0.0175	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.089866	-3.16%	0.0869	-6.36%	0.0482	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.08764	-2.51%	0.08345	-7.17%	0.0484	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.089014	-3.25%	0.0801	-12.93%	0.1225	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.088157	-3.65%	0.0797	-12.90%	0.1419	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.082029	-2.92%	0.0765	-9.47%	0.0673	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.086131	-3.87%	0.0826	-7.81%	0.0753	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.086221	-3.66%	0.0837	-6.48%	0.0666	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.08185	-3.02%	0.0802	-4.98%	0.0447	✓	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.07881	-3.06%	0.08205	+0.92%	0.0047	✓	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.078247	-3.52%	0.0819	+0.99%	0.0372	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.081545	-3.61%	0.08505	+0.53%	0.0196	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.083223	-4.45%	0.0797	-8.50%	0.0555	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.079236	-2.18%	0.0819	+1.11%	0.0845	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.077511	-1.76%	0.0825	+4.56%	0.1444	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.081258	-2.92%	0.08035	-4.00%	0.0123	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.078207	-2.61%	0.07855	-2.18%	0.0158	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.073296	-2.79%	0.0754	+0.00%	0.0101	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.077363	-2.87%	0.077	-3.33%	0.0010	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.078389	-3.22%	0.0781	-3.58%	0.0053	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.079085	-3.20%	0.0795	-2.69%	0.0245	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.079081	-3.26%	0.0769	-5.93%	0.0011	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.07885	-3.72%	0.0834	+1.83%	0.0272	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.082007	-4.09%	0.082	-4.09%	0.1147	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.085486	-4.75%	0.0848	-5.52%	0.0573	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.088787	-5.80%	0.0807	-14.38%	0.1444	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.093175	-7.33%	0.0767	-23.72%	0.1922	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.093523	-7.45%	0.077	-23.80%	0.2277	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.093448	-8.20%	0.0796	-21.81%	0.2316	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.101242	-10.72%	0.0815	-28.13%	0.2557	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.108921	-14.44%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2783	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.095661	-12.40%	0.0928	-15.02%	0.1061	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.068598	-3.04%	0.0899	+27.07%	0.1920	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.067447	-2.60%	0.092	+32.85%	0.2472	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.069108	-2.80%	0.0915	+28.69%	0.1960	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.068636	-2.92%	0.0845	+19.52%	0.1432	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.064471	-1.94%	0.0896	+36.27%	0.3002	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.065318	-1.85%	0.0895	+34.49%	0.3132	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.066609	-1.83%	0.0844	+24.39%	0.2421	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.069233	-2.21%	0.0813	+14.83%	0.1747	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.06797	-2.20%	0.0811	+16.69%	0.2561	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.060566	-0.95%	0.0846	+38.35%	0.2513	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.070199	-2.64%	0.0871	+20.80%	0.3080	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.07553	-3.29%	0.081	+3.71%	0.1547	✗	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.078192	-3.76%	0.0789	-2.89%	0.1126	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.078873	-3.93%	0.0837	+1.95%	0.2155	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.083285	-4.71%	0.0803	-8.12%	0.1450	✗	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.098066	-8.52%	0.0754	-29.66%	0.0269	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.084429	-4.60%	0.07965	-10.00%	0.2184	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.091499	-6.15%	0.081	-16.92%	0.2215	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.087549	-4.84%	0.0817	-11.20%	0.2551	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.085339	-4.76%	0.08175	-8.76%	0.2584	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.08472	-6.18%	0.0819	-9.30%	0.3193	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.084545	-5.54%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.3989	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.077829	-4.39%	0.08975	+10.26%	0.4813	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.076879	-4.50%	0.09425	+17.08%	0.5352	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.076967	-4.74%	0.10055	+24.44%	0.5993	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.075248	-4.87%	0.10105	+27.75%	0.6327	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.081156	-4.75%	0.1018	+19.48%	0.6289	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.088555	-5.59%	0.1134	+20.90%	0.6454	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.087905	-4.97%	0.1273	+37.62%	0.7647	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.091359	-4.74%	0.1092	+13.87%	0.5811	✗	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.089833	-5.54%	0.07075	-25.60%	0.1479	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.088465	-4.47%	0.06925	-25.22%	0.1824	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.085993	-4.66%	0.0711	-21.18%	0.2638	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.077799	-5.01%	0.0707	-13.68%	0.2724	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.082009	-5.41%	0.06575	-24.16%	0.1195	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.084984	-4.51%	0.06655	-25.22%	0.0708	✗	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.087165	-4.53%	0.06785	-25.68%	0.0812	✗	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.088099	-4.24%	0.0708	-23.04%	0.1502	✗	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.088719	-4.29%	0.0695	-25.03%	0.2581	✗	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.092686	-3.85%	0.06115	-36.57%	0.3696	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.094073	-3.81%	0.0721	-26.28%	0.2280	✗	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.093992	-4.29%	0.0781	-20.47%	0.1965	✗	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.092809	-3.92%	0.08125	-15.89%	0.1525	✗	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.090762	-3.75%	0.0821	-12.94%	0.2151	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.086917	-3.53%	0.0874	-3.00%	0.2465	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.084405	-3.20%	0.1072	+22.94%	0.3171	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.086321	-3.23%	0.0885	-0.78%	0.1144	✗	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.086077	-3.61%	0.0975	+9.18%	0.0787	✗	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.085427	-3.03%	0.092	+4.43%	0.0464	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.089762	-3.79%	0.0896	-3.97%	0.0116	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.096796	-6.57%	0.0903	-12.84%	0.0528	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.086754	-4.56%	0.0895	-1.54%	0.0114	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.081199	-2.99%	0.0814	-2.75%	0.0392	✓	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.081196	-2.64%	0.0805	-3.48%	0.0540	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.082066	-2.65%	0.0808	-4.15%	0.0335	✓	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.081644	-2.46%	0.0791	-5.50%	0.0243	✓	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.084382	-3.12%	0.0852	-2.18%	0.0843	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.082006	-3.07%	0.0938	+10.87%	0.0123	✓	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.074978	-2.50%	0.0925	+20.29%	0.0006	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.079548	-2.52%	0.0959	+17.52%	0.0148	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.084013	-2.54%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.0431	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.081044	-2.47%	0.0926	+11.43%	0.0939	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.082937	-2.31%	0.0902	+6.24%	0.0729	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.087131	-2.21%	0.0819	-8.08%	0.0824	✓	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.084707	-2.07%	0.0867	+0.23%	0.0102	✓	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.089145	-1.61%	0.089	-1.77%	0.0458	✗	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.092126	-1.68%	0.0913	-2.56%	0.0245	✗	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.096639	-1.79%	0.092	-6.50%	0.0128	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.092176	-1.84%	0.0927	-1.28%	0.0081	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.08884	-1.83%	0.0964	+6.52%	0.0099	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.09716	-2.06%	0.0978	-1.41%	0.0961	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.098366	-2.03%	0.0982	-2.19%	0.0504	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.100826	-1.92%	0.0966	-6.03%	0.0088	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.100449	-1.91%	0.0943	-7.91%	0.0167	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.102124	-1.80%	0.0901	-13.37%	0.0645	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.099792	-1.97%	0.0872	-14.34%	0.1666	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.113315	-2.44%	0.0892	-23.20%	0.1897	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.111934	-2.41%	0.0893	-22.14%	0.1326	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.113957	-2.60%	0.0881	-24.70%	0.1817	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.118001	-3.24%	0.0933	-23.49%	0.1474	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.107919	-2.51%	0.1036	-6.41%	0.0367	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.106108	-1.43%	0.0909	-15.56%	0.1508	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.105759	-1.80%	0.0837	-22.28%	0.2173	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.104952	-1.73%	0.0834	-21.91%	0.2459	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.103114	-1.42%	0.0843	-19.41%	0.3055	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.109338	-1.36%	0.0837	-24.49%	0.3626	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.124933	-2.96%	0.0871	-32.35%	0.4072	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.117555	-1.55%	0.0846	-29.15%	0.2313	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.116973	-1.50%	0.0769	-35.24%	0.2002	✓	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.116986	-1.53%	0.0816	-31.31%	0.1862	✓	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.11835	-1.62%	0.0862	-28.35%	0.1329	✓	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.122952	-1.83%	0.0831	-33.65%	0.1255	✓	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.118605	-1.61%	0.0849	-29.57%	0.1508	✓	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.121907	-1.73%	0.0891	-28.17%	0.0349	✓	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.124377	-1.68%	0.0865	-31.62%	0.0250	✓	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.121448	-1.54%	0.0906	-26.55%	0.0154	✓	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.13067	-1.38%	0.0937	-29.28%	0.0747	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.1293	-1.90%	0.0984	-25.34%	0.0817	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.128764	-1.74%	0.0939	-28.35%	0.0412	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.130614	-1.83%	0.0905	-31.98%	0.0208	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.114545	-1.72%	0.0992	-14.89%	0.2173	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.117846	-1.14%	0.1004	-15.77%	0.2746	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.11459	-1.13%	0.1028	-11.30%	0.1711	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.12151	-0.69%	0.1024	-16.31%	0.2273	✗	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.137689	-0.01%	0.104	-24.47%	0.3014	✗	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.137131	+0.39%	0.1018	-25.48%	0.4468	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.134931	+0.21%	0.11615	-13.74%	0.4450	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.137461	+0.30%	0.1147	-16.31%	0.3656	✓	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.155378	+0.28%	0.117	-24.49%	0.3068	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.160514	+0.98%	0.12195	-23.28%	0.3849	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.164145	+0.95%	0.1107	-31.92%	0.3285	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.174923	+0.50%	0.10765	-38.15%	0.3581	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.17057	+0.16%	0.1077	-36.76%	0.2842	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.172386	+0.08%	0.1068	-38.00%	0.3023	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.166684	+0.20%	0.1046	-37.12%	0.3656	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.160061	+0.23%	0.11085	-30.59%	0.3770	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.167286	-0.16%	0.12875	-23.16%	0.4532	✗	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.179575	-0.65%	0.1194	-33.94%	0.1921	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.179225	-0.90%	0.11875	-34.34%	0.0771	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.173713	-0.85%	0.1188	-32.19%	0.0937	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.171467	-0.97%	0.1203	-30.52%	0.0254	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.174849	-1.41%	0.12525	-29.38%	0.0540	✗	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.180764	-2.05%	0.12055	-34.68%	0.0975	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.191277	-2.48%	0.12405	-36.76%	0.0328	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.203651	-3.18%	0.1265	-39.86%	0.0802	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.184355	-4.75%	0.12335	-36.27%	0.0562	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.161127	-7.50%	0.1325	-23.94%	0.0579	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.179452	-7.64%	0.1318	-32.17%	0.0726	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.296562	-3.70%	0.13105	-57.44%	0.4150	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.31008	-3.73%	0.13305	-58.69%	0.4412	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.29993	-3.99%	0.11655	-62.69%	0.4564	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.32482	-4.18%	0.1192	-64.84%	0.5106	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.307426	-4.05%	0.1159	-63.83%	0.4523	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.313221	-3.74%	0.12235	-62.40%	0.5640	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.322861	-4.07%	0.1377	-59.08%	0.5779	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.322971	-5.59%	0.1366	-60.07%	0.6097	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.309945	-4.31%	0.13465	-58.43%	0.6143	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.299173	-3.79%	0.13705	-55.93%	0.6334	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.300328	-3.77%	0.15495	-50.35%	0.5468	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.307335	-3.97%	0.15895	-50.34%	0.6787	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.296671	-3.66%	0.1626	-47.20%	0.7229	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.301554	-3.55%	0.17405	-44.33%	0.6832	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.288173	-3.60%	0.1703	-43.03%	0.5994	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.312394	-3.76%	0.17225	-46.93%	0.5303	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.305701	-3.75%	0.16635	-47.62%	0.5541	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.313671	-3.71%	0.1597	-50.97%	0.5298	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.347775	-3.88%	0.16755	-53.69%	0.5395	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.353685	-4.07%	0.18075	-50.98%	0.5315	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.355328	-4.44%	0.18085	-51.36%	0.4842	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.375286	-5.34%	0.1752	-55.81%	0.4923	✓	3.05
2025-09-17	oos	0.3719	0.355457	-4.42%	0.17315	-53.44%	0.4432	✓	3.07

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.