GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s9

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

61.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0821

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0140

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.304029	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.302967	-0.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.297641	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.300047	-0.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.297449	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.303444	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.298702	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.316168	-0.84%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0286	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.315575	-0.64%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0319	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.326321	-0.95%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0836	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.332982	-0.87%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0967	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.342085	-1.13%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1322	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.338601	-1.22%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.1024	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.317568	-1.16%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0554	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.320521	-1.07%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0053	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.324488	-0.97%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0220	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.324939	-1.07%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0144	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.316668	-0.96%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0597	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.321009	-1.33%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0756	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.321861	-1.56%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0637	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.313429	-1.55%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0261	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.316587	-1.86%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0233	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.313378	-1.90%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0439	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.310357	-2.03%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0558	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.321962	-2.20%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0071	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.333796	-2.61%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0257	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.338589	-2.98%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0351	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.343163	-3.27%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0751	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.331467	-3.25%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0269	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.339225	-3.75%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0606	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.34591	-3.61%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.0879	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.355746	-5.06%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.0811	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.329338	-3.38%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0364	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.327937	-3.60%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0585	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.343382	-4.75%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0113	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.299047	-1.11%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1127	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.300548	-1.01%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1191	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.296243	-0.86%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1557	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.293731	-0.58%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2241	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.295667	-0.47%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1259	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.302192	-0.64%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.1010	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.287299	+0.07%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2278	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.289067	+0.18%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0553	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.30369	-0.09%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0131	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.293512	+0.45%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0221	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.298164	+0.66%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0076	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.302636	+0.76%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0064	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.29662	+1.13%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0413	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.296911	+1.94%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0011	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.290886	+1.74%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0142	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.283001	+2.06%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0646	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.289851	+2.17%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0044	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.287468	+2.03%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0218	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.290369	+2.06%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0290	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.287859	+1.84%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0131	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.311302	+2.23%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0690	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.312854	+1.82%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0852	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.314352	+1.96%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1217	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.318752	+1.97%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1153	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.328968	+1.53%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1548	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.338135	+1.12%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1757	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.345518	+1.22%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.1996	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310943	-0.05%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0263	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.325759	-1.02%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0403	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.3586	-1.61%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1677	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.361604	-1.67%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1659	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.358071	-1.75%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1196	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.365092	-1.94%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.1051	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.361886	-1.82%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0824	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.384632	-2.15%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2243	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.368171	-2.08%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1195	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.364648	-2.21%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0020	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.356557	-2.03%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0302	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.339588	-1.58%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0741	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.340356	-1.70%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.0930	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.335814	-1.69%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.0964	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.332819	-1.72%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1678	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.351041	-2.03%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0705	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.342146	-2.12%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0868	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.335931	-2.09%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0796	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.322102	-1.78%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0673	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.315777	-1.78%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.0900	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.322064	-2.02%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0568	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.323449	-2.25%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0464	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.322566	-2.06%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1044	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.342359	-2.18%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0206	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.358667	-2.47%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0441	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.364952	-2.90%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1052	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.359831	-2.95%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1115	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.353701	-2.21%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0725	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.344463	-2.34%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0399	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.346356	-2.59%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0485	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.35079	-3.46%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0001	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.316974	-2.14%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1472	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.310816	-1.87%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1907	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.312876	-2.00%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1692	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.318565	-1.92%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1272	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.326303	-1.94%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0790	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.325941	-2.09%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0882	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.325239	-1.81%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1121	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.322346	-1.44%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0096	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.333389	-1.48%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0493	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.340776	-1.28%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0632	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.343872	-1.09%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0575	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.345198	-0.92%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0355	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.352581	-0.84%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0527	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.372006	-0.75%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1120	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.373892	-0.69%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1381	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.37911	-0.69%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1132	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.384953	-0.71%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.1074	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.381287	-0.71%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0884	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.385922	-0.74%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0982	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.391501	-0.81%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0912	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.391498	-0.81%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0316	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.390559	-0.84%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0274	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.375414	-0.76%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0300	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.374413	-0.78%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0451	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.387378	-0.84%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0010	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.38799	-0.85%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0078	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.377584	-0.87%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0415	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.387297	-0.97%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0054	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.395676	-1.07%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0180	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.406566	-1.08%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0842	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.412029	-1.17%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.1021	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.39783	-1.12%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0326	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.368101	-1.15%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0430	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.410045	-1.19%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.1006	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.421617	-1.33%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0989	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.429358	-1.46%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0895	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.484425	-1.84%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1796	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.441496	-1.37%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0541	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.448784	-1.36%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1082	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.46541	-1.48%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2121	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.465482	-1.19%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1625	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.448658	-0.89%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.1106	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.457911	-1.25%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0994	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.461358	-1.36%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0301	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.406228	+0.18%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0399	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.435674	+0.02%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.427339	-0.64%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1041	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.47364	-1.24%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0360	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.496721	-2.41%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0153	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.432411	-3.11%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1928	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.433053	-4.00%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2273	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.459111	-3.70%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0684	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.435103	-4.07%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1852	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.599454	-4.52%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.1904	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.673551	-5.49%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.1908	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.631846	-5.74%	0.509	-24.07%	0.0873	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.601896	-5.38%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2192	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.672352	-7.01%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3539	✓	1.00