GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s9

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

122

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

81.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1140

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0408

actual -0.0868

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.293793	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.293352	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.288365	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.283971	-5.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.28645	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.284394	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.291459	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.288637	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.304479	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.306652	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.314924	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.32397	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.331848	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.328405	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.307767	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.313684	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.320812	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.322465	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.317046	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.32034	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.321583	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.314173	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.317198	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.314827	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.31251	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.325752	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.33905	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.345342	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.351727	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.340907	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.352071	-0.11%	0.3105	-11.90%	0.1261	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.358671	-0.05%	0.3103	-13.53%	0.1449	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.362825	-3.17%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1732	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.333966	-2.02%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.1074	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.331569	-2.54%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.0934	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.339874	-5.72%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1395	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.292987	-3.11%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0268	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.294023	-3.15%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0038	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.29321	-1.87%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0689	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.289181	-2.12%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0661	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.291666	-1.81%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.1035	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.298794	-1.76%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0867	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.283518	-1.25%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1704	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.287354	-0.41%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1569	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.301207	-0.90%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0500	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.291909	-0.10%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0855	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.297647	+0.49%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0727	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300899	+0.18%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0609	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.295359	+0.70%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0370	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.297825	+2.26%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0657	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.289119	+1.13%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0797	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.282338	+1.82%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0734	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.289944	+2.20%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0734	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.287998	+2.22%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0858	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.292208	+2.71%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0654	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.290958	+2.94%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.1038	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.31623	+3.85%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0705	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.317571	+3.36%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0804	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.320332	+3.90%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0836	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.326804	+4.54%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0328	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.336084	+3.73%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0269	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.344106	+2.90%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0192	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.353498	+3.56%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0511	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.312501	+0.45%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0808	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.318102	-3.34%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0885	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.338212	-7.20%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0497	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.340895	-7.30%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1364	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.337717	-7.34%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1235	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.344437	-7.48%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1607	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.342087	-7.19%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.1683	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.362769	-7.72%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2169	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.348208	-7.39%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1514	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.344971	-7.49%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.1989	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.337953	-7.14%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.1753	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.322371	-6.57%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.0799	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.322593	-6.83%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1208	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.318248	-6.84%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.0950	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.315779	-6.75%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.0726	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.331769	-7.40%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1440	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.32396	-7.32%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1273	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.31855	-7.16%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1236	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.305816	-6.75%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1126	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.301343	-6.27%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0743	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.308381	-6.18%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.1037	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.310547	-6.15%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.0995	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.311801	-5.33%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.1096	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.331713	-5.22%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.1007	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.348315	-5.28%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1417	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.357633	-4.85%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1595	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.352666	-4.88%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1306	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.347363	-3.96%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0777	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.340856	-3.36%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0286	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.3447	-3.05%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0190	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.350783	-3.46%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.1248	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.314432	-2.92%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0491	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.307969	-2.77%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.1684	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.310065	-2.88%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.1703	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.314973	-3.03%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1448	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.322798	-2.99%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1420	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.323583	-2.80%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1287	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.322672	-2.59%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.1960	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.317361	-2.96%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1714	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.328588	-2.90%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1261	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.334803	-3.01%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.0838	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.337037	-3.05%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0249	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.336513	-3.41%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0322	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.34198	-3.82%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0040	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.359813	-4.00%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0583	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.361126	-4.08%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0064	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.365455	-4.27%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0434	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.370423	-4.46%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0758	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.366646	-4.52%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1091	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.370481	-4.71%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1387	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.374963	-5.00%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1252	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.37393	-5.26%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1069	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.373509	-5.16%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1169	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.358851	-5.14%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0108	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.357707	-5.21%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0398	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.369743	-5.35%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0325	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.37013	-5.41%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0160	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.360277	-5.41%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0122	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.369321	-5.57%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0385	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.376938	-5.75%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0512	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.38712	-5.81%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0534	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.392039	-5.96%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.1878	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.378587	-5.91%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1735	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.350638	-5.84%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.0833	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.390116	-6.00%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.1874	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.401092	-6.13%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2014	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.408628	-6.21%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2173	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.459536	-6.88%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3317	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.418954	-6.41%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2135	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.425383	-6.50%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2319	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.440673	-6.72%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2475	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.440693	-6.45%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2799	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.426303	-5.83%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2257	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.43507	-6.17%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1887	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.438907	-6.16%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1582	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.390478	-3.70%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0869	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.418321	-3.97%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.1324	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.409918	-4.69%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0444	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.453298	-5.48%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1419	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.475714	-6.54%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1209	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.416546	-6.67%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1195	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.416563	-7.66%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1750	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.439922	-7.72%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.0933	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.418521	-7.72%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1089	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.572966	-8.74%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2135	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.646078	-9.34%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.2892	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.608926	-9.16%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2032	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.583252	-8.31%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.1896	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.653304	-9.65%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3071	✓	1.00