GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s9

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

56.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0336

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.306482	-0.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.305148	-0.18%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0061	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.299685	-0.15%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0212	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301941	-0.15%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0060	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.299271	-0.13%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0107	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.305169	-0.14%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0183	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.300098	-0.12%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0179	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.318274	-0.18%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0574	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.317219	-0.12%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0046	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328816	-0.19%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0344	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.335284	-0.18%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0180	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.345092	-0.26%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0271	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341801	-0.29%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0121	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.320464	-0.26%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0674	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.323243	-0.23%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0061	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.32696	-0.21%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0096	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327673	-0.24%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0000	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319086	-0.21%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0291	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324368	-0.30%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0149	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325761	-0.36%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0013	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.31723	-0.35%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0303	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.32113	-0.46%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0092	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318069	-0.43%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0142	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315282	-0.48%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0131	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.327437	-0.54%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0329	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.340317	-0.71%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0332	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.345863	-0.90%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0091	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.350901	-1.08%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0054	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.338534	-1.19%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0468	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.346289	-1.75%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0111	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.352775	-1.69%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0009	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.366141	-2.28%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0259	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.33636	-1.32%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1080	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.335036	-1.52%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0168	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.353022	-2.07%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0492	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.30181	-0.20%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1771	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.303048	-0.18%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0044	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.298307	-0.17%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0294	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.295184	-0.09%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0059	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296828	-0.07%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0027	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303621	-0.17%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0221	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.287216	+0.04%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0541	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288668	+0.04%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0029	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303862	-0.03%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0510	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.292467	+0.09%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0415	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296542	+0.12%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0089	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300741	+0.13%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0176	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293868	+0.19%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0208	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.292093	+0.29%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0148	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286648	+0.26%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0084	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.278135	+0.30%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0281	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284573	+0.31%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0178	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282527	+0.28%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0014	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285231	+0.26%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0105	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.28323	+0.21%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0033	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.30524	+0.24%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0708	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.307821	+0.19%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0144	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308947	+0.21%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0071	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.313255	+0.21%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0147	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324559	+0.17%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0407	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334811	+0.12%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0345	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341761	+0.12%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0185	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310983	-0.04%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0892	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.32855	-0.17%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0474	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.363383	-0.29%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1050	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.366572	-0.32%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0061	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.363234	-0.33%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0100	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.370666	-0.44%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0167	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.367203	-0.38%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0137	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.39094	-0.55%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0582	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.374057	-0.52%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0496	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.370621	-0.61%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0146	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.362079	-0.51%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0300	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.344058	-0.29%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0578	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.345147	-0.32%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0002	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.340534	-0.31%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0166	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.337571	-0.32%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0109	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356629	-0.47%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0512	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.347767	-0.51%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0291	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.341423	-0.49%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0228	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326906	-0.32%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0484	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.320595	-0.28%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0220	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.327526	-0.36%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0185	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.329518	-0.42%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0006	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.328235	-0.34%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0073	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.348539	-0.42%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0567	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.365735	-0.55%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0442	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.372975	-0.76%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0126	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.367591	-0.85%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0214	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.359992	-0.47%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0293	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350892	-0.51%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0312	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353244	-0.65%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0007	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.359204	-1.14%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0099	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.322779	-0.35%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1195	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315901	-0.27%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0256	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.318333	-0.29%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0051	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323884	-0.28%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0135	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.331666	-0.33%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0208	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.331533	-0.41%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0028	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.330356	-0.27%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0074	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.326499	-0.17%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0189	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.337709	-0.20%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0351	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.34458	-0.18%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0182	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.347111	-0.16%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0062	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.348006	-0.11%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0010	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.355161	-0.11%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0174	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.37444	-0.10%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0544	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.376159	-0.09%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0053	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.381388	-0.09%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0119	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.387297	-0.10%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0133	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.383622	-0.10%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0120	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.388382	-0.11%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0088	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.39419	-0.13%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0103	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.394243	-0.12%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0049	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.393345	-0.13%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0007	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.377986	-0.08%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0434	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.377045	-0.08%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0018	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.390218	-0.11%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0337	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.390864	-0.11%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0004	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.380513	-0.10%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0244	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.390536	-0.14%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0303	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.399224	-0.18%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0251	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.410197	-0.20%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0231	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.415964	-0.22%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0152	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.40164	-0.18%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0403	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371931	-0.13%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0819	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.414225	-0.19%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1184	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.426315	-0.23%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0361	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.434523	-0.27%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0220	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.491021	-0.50%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1161	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.446494	-0.26%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0805	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.453721	-0.27%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0274	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.470881	-0.32%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0340	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.469913	-0.25%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.452189	-0.11%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0449	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.46266	-0.22%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.46639	-0.28%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.406364	+0.21%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1011	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.43625	+0.15%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0701	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.430268	+0.04%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0568	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.478311	-0.27%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1026	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.505404	-0.71%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0123	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.444088	-0.50%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2039	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.448177	-0.65%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0270	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.473587	-0.66%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0460	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.450685	-0.63%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0507	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.618922	-1.42%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3089	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.699407	-1.86%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.0971	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.656424	-2.08%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.1023	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.624057	-1.89%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0902	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.702344	-2.86%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1026	✓	1.00