ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s9

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0624

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0091

actual -0.0072

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.314418	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.33993	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.314883	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.310836	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.318214	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.304934	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.318105	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.291105	-1.52%	0.31945	+8.07%	0.0747	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.305699	-1.70%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1307	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.315189	-1.96%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0144	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.319119	-2.19%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0154	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.318201	-2.45%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0423	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.287703	-2.21%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0904	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.300245	-2.39%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0696	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.290248	-2.54%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0458	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.312103	-2.82%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0336	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.304346	-3.01%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1158	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.313802	-3.28%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0809	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.296417	-3.20%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1231	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.31446	-3.39%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0372	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.317765	-3.55%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0148	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.319352	-3.64%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0656	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.322856	-3.88%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0334	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.311354	-3.78%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0266	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.317737	-4.04%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0099	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.31477	-3.97%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0326	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.324435	-4.23%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0030	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.324732	-4.38%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0074	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.330852	-4.87%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0142	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.323809	-4.85%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0765	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.307536	-4.92%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0993	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.270013	-2.49%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1575	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.274593	-2.51%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1324	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.278936	-2.52%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1492	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.250791	-0.95%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.1969	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.247572	-0.61%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2311	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.241851	-0.08%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2025	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.265721	-1.07%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.0956	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.258197	-0.58%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0154	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.259364	-0.47%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0326	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.25463	-0.11%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0706	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.255662	-0.13%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0072	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.250458	+0.42%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0231	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.253308	+0.44%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0067	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.22523	+1.68%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.1888	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.266022	+0.54%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0197	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.262105	+1.08%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0260	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.258026	+1.66%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0175	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.268869	+2.08%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0071	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.264132	+1.37%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0700	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.255898	+1.71%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0283	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.262356	+1.53%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1763	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.250144	+1.31%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0214	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.253357	+1.06%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0027	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.257509	+0.47%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0381	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.260286	+0.65%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0008	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.26291	+0.16%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0140	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.262253	-0.06%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0262	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.266328	-0.36%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0246	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.264515	-0.82%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0680	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.266929	-1.47%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0788	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.262747	-1.78%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0182	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.239036	-1.59%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0180	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.214503	-0.46%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0859	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.19956	-0.91%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1071	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.200702	-0.94%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1120	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.202803	-1.12%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0841	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.200394	-1.04%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1223	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.204821	-1.05%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0715	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.206889	-1.01%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0325	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.213604	-1.06%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0711	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.219141	-1.11%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.1003	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.234779	-1.44%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1551	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.232651	-1.34%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0978	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.235268	-1.48%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1236	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.232149	-1.46%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0881	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.230376	-1.59%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0857	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.222329	-1.32%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0128	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.219017	-1.34%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0190	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.213417	-1.29%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1037	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.211421	-1.25%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0902	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.199903	-1.04%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1484	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.202419	-1.07%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1235	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.205343	-0.94%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1373	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.206189	-1.06%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0788	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.205213	-1.05%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0758	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.198726	-0.98%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0875	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.206569	-0.93%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0608	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.213161	-0.99%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0320	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.214231	-0.96%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0283	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.218323	-0.90%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0473	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.216446	-0.76%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0074	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.221808	-0.76%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0303	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.218201	-0.73%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0626	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.218989	-0.73%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0582	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.219542	-0.70%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0128	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.219459	-0.74%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0171	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.218429	-0.71%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0086	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.218589	-0.64%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0205	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.211883	-0.48%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0329	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.209137	-0.55%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0073	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.220083	-0.64%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0108	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.218855	-0.61%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0035	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.217687	-0.55%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0188	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.216902	-0.59%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0059	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.219947	-0.75%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0348	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.219922	-0.71%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0559	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.221423	-0.75%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0268	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.214622	-0.59%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0295	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.211718	-0.55%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0302	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.211555	-0.59%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0131	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.206834	-0.51%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0310	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.202459	-0.46%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0596	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.189941	-0.24%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0916	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.201761	-0.36%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0536	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.201948	-0.37%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0158	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.204031	-0.38%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0033	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.204349	-0.37%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0089	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.211312	-0.51%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0391	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.218633	-0.67%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0595	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.219978	-0.69%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0935	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.219597	-0.63%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0347	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.216424	-0.59%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0191	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.216375	-0.56%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0017	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.213241	-0.49%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0042	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.212499	-0.47%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0388	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.218511	-0.59%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0482	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.224022	-0.70%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0236	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.231176	-0.91%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0178	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.224709	-0.75%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0027	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.220663	-0.65%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0115	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.220647	-0.65%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0284	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.219219	-0.63%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0181	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.209707	-0.28%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0113	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.215373	-0.38%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0003	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.211716	-0.32%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0590	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.212116	-0.27%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0368	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.209841	+0.11%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0140	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.214745	+0.07%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0041	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.22637	-0.41%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0231	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.235472	-0.56%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0860	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.250761	-0.96%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.1003	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.267701	-1.33%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1735	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.271889	-1.38%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1740	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.26853	-1.31%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1658	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.260312	-1.17%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1139	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.256648	-1.06%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0591	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.26702	-1.14%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0552	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.280271	-1.28%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0480	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.275289	-1.08%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0321	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.28175	-1.17%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0039	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.281853	-1.14%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0151	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.280324	-1.09%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0474	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.279211	-0.92%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0444	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.285999	-1.00%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0348	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.284859	-0.95%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0032	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.282657	-0.82%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0177	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.281503	-0.70%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0157	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.287246	-0.71%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0025	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.301597	-0.92%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0360	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.304755	-0.83%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0531	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.304516	-0.87%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0393	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.307109	-0.84%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0386	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.318621	-1.05%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0764	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.309761	-0.72%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0532	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.306804	-0.68%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0398	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.307404	-0.65%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0015	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.30643	-0.54%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0050	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.314197	-0.54%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0032	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.316682	-0.54%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0194	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.300602	-0.07%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0563	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.298425	-0.06%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0212	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.301254	+0.02%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0122	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.302597	+0.03%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0091	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.296227	-0.16%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0130	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.296314	-0.23%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0237	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.303929	-0.19%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0139	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.305063	+0.09%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0318	✗	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.312745	+0.30%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0455	✗	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.31691	-0.03%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0582	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.312913	+0.00%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0394	✗	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.315318	+0.16%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0466	✗	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.319736	+0.04%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0560	✗	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.314684	-0.29%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0327	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.315105	-0.38%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0442	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.317043	-0.74%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0534	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.323495	-0.49%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0347	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.329384	-0.40%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0541	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.320808	-0.59%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0423	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.314416	-0.56%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0089	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.309342	-0.63%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0034	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.305418	-0.55%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0237	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.297819	-1.02%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0444	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.311622	-1.01%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0212	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.302779	-0.89%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0559	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.296934	-0.99%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0562	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.297416	-1.13%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0309	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.296126	-1.03%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0316	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.295192	-1.37%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0083	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.292348	-1.33%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0135	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.292218	-1.44%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0234	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.282242	-1.25%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0261	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.284442	-1.27%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0095	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.290228	-1.32%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0095	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.276622	-0.99%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0458	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.272449	-0.89%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0745	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.268805	-0.77%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0690	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.277877	-0.83%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0557	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.283413	-0.87%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0026	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.287738	-0.75%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0189	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.292912	-0.57%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0334	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.291509	-0.58%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0210	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.294798	-0.54%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0313	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.283813	-0.59%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0286	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.286827	-0.51%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0011	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.288386	-0.38%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0301	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.298336	-0.39%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0180	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.313728	-0.34%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0634	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.328368	-0.25%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0825	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.334355	-0.22%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0849	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.325384	-0.22%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0852	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.31554	-0.18%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0689	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.322392	-0.25%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.1035	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.315956	-0.17%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0479	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.318094	-0.19%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0199	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.32118	-0.22%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0107	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.320224	-0.30%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0126	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.31971	-0.46%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0443	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.317827	-0.34%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0428	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.319005	-0.28%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0137	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.314636	-0.05%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0093	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.323512	-0.06%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0083	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.329675	-0.31%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0409	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.336293	-0.39%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0418	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.343366	-0.68%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0691	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.352475	-0.85%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1035	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.344484	-0.81%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.1004	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.352017	-0.98%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1502	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.355648	-1.18%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1463	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.314739	-0.56%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0041	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.296386	-0.24%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0865	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.29382	-0.13%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1824	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.303563	-0.18%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1683	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.304646	-0.15%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1551	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.310287	-0.17%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1302	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.320082	-0.22%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.0994	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.32837	-0.28%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0026	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.328676	-0.25%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0518	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.331424	-0.23%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.1057	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.372025	-0.74%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1813	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.368356	-0.66%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1792	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.360554	-0.43%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1573	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.35922	-0.38%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1059	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.377197	-0.69%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1202	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.381441	-0.77%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1321	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.391761	-0.95%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1480	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.396927	-1.02%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0635	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.402117	-1.27%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0618	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.358124	+0.54%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0258	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.362505	-0.60%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0806	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.36241	-0.68%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1461	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.355176	-0.59%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2131	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.344978	-0.24%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2335	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.360725	-0.49%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2457	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.386645	-0.89%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2450	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.404228	-1.05%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.1986	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.419402	-1.08%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0840	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.426792	-1.14%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0234	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.421366	-1.09%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0414	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.423616	-1.14%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0710	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.428903	-1.11%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0271	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.428422	-1.08%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0208	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.43294	-1.09%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0090	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.44358	-1.21%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0425	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.427592	-1.16%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0014	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.449432	-1.05%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0049	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.458508	-0.95%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0295	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.470361	-0.77%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0012	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.476114	-0.71%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0134	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.486886	-0.78%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0238	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.506498	-0.82%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0194	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.456277	-0.48%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0397	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.443482	-0.90%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0053	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.448476	-0.91%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0059	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.449811	-0.92%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0117	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.456298	-0.93%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0230	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.448863	-0.83%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0246	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.454965	-0.81%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0307	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.480411	-0.82%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0714	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.494703	-0.96%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0597	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.48647	-1.02%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0625	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.481591	-1.03%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0555	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.48674	-1.13%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0640	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.477991	-1.08%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0907	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.46219	-0.90%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0668	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.490097	-1.17%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0931	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.471254	-1.00%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0454	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.473198	-1.05%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0180	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.428874	-0.61%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0839	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.425897	-0.56%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1044	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.428977	-0.54%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0950	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.440154	-0.58%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0596	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.443217	-0.58%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.0974	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.462422	-0.66%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0512	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.472573	-0.72%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0235	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.491319	-0.94%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1218	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.482794	-0.88%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1074	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.449828	-0.66%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0687	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.459697	-0.69%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0592	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.452584	-0.57%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0085	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.448021	-0.55%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0049	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.4727	-0.63%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0002	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.474132	-0.56%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0745	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.478897	-0.56%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0503	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.492449	-0.56%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0246	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.511254	-0.69%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0097	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.517232	-0.70%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0544	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.520192	-0.78%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0779	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.529663	-0.89%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0730	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.521043	-0.83%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.1039	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.501083	-0.62%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0540	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.507148	-0.56%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0307	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.516418	-0.55%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0184	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.534552	-0.73%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0476	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.498273	-0.46%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0210	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.537667	-0.69%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0066	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.544164	-0.72%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0101	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.578111	-1.08%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1119	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.594902	-1.33%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1662	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.608016	-1.60%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2041	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.613236	-1.87%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.1961	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.59372	-1.72%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1367	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.605451	-2.35%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1728	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.524773	-1.14%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0583	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.451641	-0.04%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1619	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.451259	-0.03%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2112	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.470384	-0.41%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2896	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.506684	-0.73%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3044	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.498027	-0.59%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2579	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.510454	-0.69%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3210	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.516584	-0.71%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2148	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.517968	-0.68%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0275	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.562684	-0.92%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0007	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.590759	-1.05%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0600	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.614061	-1.18%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0253	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.615834	-1.12%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0160	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.633275	-1.31%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0390	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.63164	-1.40%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0829	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.634399	-1.48%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0510	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.607228	-1.31%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0399	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.633611	-1.60%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0245	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.565589	-1.05%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0710	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.556216	-0.98%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1223	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.603063	-1.10%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1538	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.621019	-1.22%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1555	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.616976	-1.24%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1431	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.62134	-1.42%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1050	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.601858	-1.17%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1687	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.597138	-0.97%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1452	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.680509	-1.38%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0738	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.727802	-1.90%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1155	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.668546	-1.51%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0369	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.672546	-1.52%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0513	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.653792	-1.46%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0091	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.607732	-1.21%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0343	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.624829	-1.21%	0.603	-4.66%	0.1019	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.656549	-1.43%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0016	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.662487	-1.58%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0272	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.615421	-1.17%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0329	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.606169	-1.05%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0521	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.618386	-1.09%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0423	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.646415	-1.27%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0031	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.666858	-1.37%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0145	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.689082	-1.43%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0331	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.695241	-1.58%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0604	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.610196	-1.04%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0698	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.581337	-0.90%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1483	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.677553	-0.61%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.0973	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.708056	-0.62%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0799	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.698751	-0.84%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0703	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.73087	-0.70%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0695	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.70848	-0.79%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.0988	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.71426	-1.00%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0039	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.724363	-1.15%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0967	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.735129	-1.43%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0886	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.716524	-1.58%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0623	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.675878	-1.59%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0484	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.681634	-1.64%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0564	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.69737	-1.71%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1340	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.683667	-1.62%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1285	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.671755	-1.59%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0931	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.683973	-1.60%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0828	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.724572	-1.74%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0731	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.703335	-1.73%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0547	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.734593	-1.67%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0837	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.771901	-1.59%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0355	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.792166	-1.52%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0389	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.789866	-1.49%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0536	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.801571	-1.41%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0187	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.766815	-1.44%	0.7374	-5.22%	0.0080	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.