ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s9

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0956

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0224

actual -0.0220

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.306016	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.329004	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.306115	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.302663	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.308975	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.296665	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.308774	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.283243	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.297161	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.305099	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.308479	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.30654	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.277567	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.288779	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.279047	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.299155	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.291159	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.299307	-7.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.282909	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.29906	-8.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.301648	-8.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.302508	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.304965	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.294379	-9.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.299691	-9.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.297048	-9.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.30528	-9.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.305232	-10.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.310016	-10.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.303826	-10.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.289382	-10.53%	0.31945	-1.24%	0.1592	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.25963	-6.24%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2662	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.264198	-6.20%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1838	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.268545	-6.15%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1462	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.24255	-4.21%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2219	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.239572	-3.83%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.1850	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.234058	-3.30%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2377	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.257742	-4.04%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.0951	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.250179	-3.67%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1397	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.251436	-3.52%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.1898	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.246773	-3.19%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.1992	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.247405	-3.36%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.1971	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.2428	-2.65%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1375	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.24554	-2.64%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1831	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.218471	-1.37%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2535	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.258008	-2.49%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1580	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.254555	-1.83%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1399	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.251236	-1.01%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1779	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.262549	-0.32%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1145	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.259261	-0.49%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1379	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.252232	+0.25%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1736	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.259067	+0.26%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1821	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.247697	+0.32%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2285	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.251615	+0.36%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1862	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.255863	-0.17%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1750	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.260419	+0.70%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1780	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.262792	+0.11%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1890	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.262702	+0.12%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1809	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.267348	+0.02%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1926	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.265555	-0.43%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.1391	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.267233	-1.35%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0677	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.266591	-0.34%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0000	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.240756	-0.88%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0482	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.215267	-0.11%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1482	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.196666	-2.35%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1102	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.197627	-2.45%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.0884	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.198725	-3.11%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0324	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.196589	-2.92%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1200	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.200834	-2.98%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0792	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.20303	-2.86%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0702	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.209372	-3.02%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0196	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.214625	-3.15%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0115	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.229052	-3.84%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0923	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.227542	-3.50%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0675	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.22985	-3.75%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2132	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.226955	-3.67%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0357	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.224841	-3.96%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0492	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.217739	-3.36%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0332	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.21433	-3.45%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0057	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.208852	-3.40%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0479	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.206987	-3.32%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0166	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.195988	-2.98%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0799	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.198346	-3.06%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0333	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.201884	-2.61%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0482	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.202149	-3.00%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0608	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.201175	-3.00%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0468	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.195042	-2.82%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1050	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.203082	-2.60%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.0954	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.209136	-2.86%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0593	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.210298	-2.77%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0653	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.214643	-2.57%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0815	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.213439	-2.14%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0722	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.218825	-2.09%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0205	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.21534	-2.03%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0536	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.216115	-2.03%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0705	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.216846	-1.92%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0637	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.216636	-2.02%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0403	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.215796	-1.91%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0534	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.216399	-1.64%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0206	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.210425	-1.16%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0146	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.2072	-1.47%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0244	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.218062	-1.55%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0190	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.217093	-1.41%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.0909	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.216294	-1.19%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0766	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.2154	-1.28%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0793	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.218021	-1.61%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0401	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.218455	-1.37%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0558	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.220168	-1.31%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0146	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.213891	-0.93%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0310	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.211155	-0.82%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0186	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.210917	-0.88%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0021	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.206214	-0.81%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0377	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.201633	-0.87%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0239	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.189261	-0.60%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0117	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.201069	-0.71%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0099	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.201059	-0.81%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0231	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.203121	-0.82%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0586	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.203402	-0.83%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0408	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.209868	-1.19%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0319	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.21691	-1.45%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0400	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.218424	-1.39%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0197	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.218286	-1.23%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0258	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.215132	-1.18%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0001	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.215244	-1.08%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0092	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.212137	-1.01%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0247	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.211313	-1.02%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0225	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.217181	-1.19%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0243	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.222486	-1.38%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0103	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.229146	-1.78%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0226	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.222957	-1.52%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0379	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.218833	-1.47%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0138	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.218483	-1.63%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0113	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.216873	-1.69%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0127	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.207427	-1.37%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0218	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.212471	-1.72%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0088	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.208815	-1.69%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0695	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.208928	-1.77%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0582	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.206289	-1.58%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0405	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.210704	-1.82%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0058	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.221767	-2.43%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0328	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.230214	-2.78%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0630	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.244668	-3.37%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.1129	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.260983	-3.80%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1676	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.265315	-3.77%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2229	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.262165	-3.65%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1715	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.254227	-3.48%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1362	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.250761	-3.33%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.1125	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.26091	-3.40%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1474	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.274071	-3.46%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1555	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.270313	-2.87%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0673	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.276254	-3.10%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.1041	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.276249	-3.10%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1278	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.274298	-3.21%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1374	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.274442	-2.61%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1291	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.280737	-2.83%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1629	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.279353	-2.87%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1627	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.277488	-2.64%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1374	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.276803	-2.36%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.1161	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.282706	-2.28%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.1048	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.296534	-2.58%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1664	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.30084	-2.10%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1733	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.299637	-2.46%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1721	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.302881	-2.20%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1821	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.314231	-2.41%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2353	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.307077	-1.58%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1819	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.303426	-1.77%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.2115	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.303875	-1.79%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.2186	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.303168	-1.60%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.2091	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.311951	-1.25%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1659	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.314048	-1.37%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1918	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.298555	-0.75%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.1135	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.295675	-0.98%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0706	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.298652	-0.85%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0449	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.299792	-0.90%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0512	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.292443	-1.43%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0533	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.292312	-1.58%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0863	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.300168	-1.42%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1251	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.302419	-0.78%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0905	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.311193	-0.19%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0712	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.314368	-0.83%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1190	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.310816	-0.67%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0829	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.314298	-0.16%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0858	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.318649	-0.30%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0972	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.312349	-1.03%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.1116	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.312557	-1.18%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0905	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.312467	-2.17%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.1055	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.32079	-1.33%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1274	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.328121	-0.78%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1485	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.318581	-1.28%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.1185	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.312808	-1.07%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0587	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.307432	-1.24%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0516	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.304376	-0.89%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0284	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.292885	-2.66%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0217	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.308126	-2.12%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0223	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.300056	-1.78%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0312	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.293198	-2.23%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0164	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.292837	-2.65%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0160	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.292561	-2.22%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0113	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.288918	-3.47%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0136	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.286368	-3.35%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0086	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.285404	-3.74%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0531	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.276241	-3.34%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0204	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.278336	-3.39%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0207	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.284248	-3.35%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0230	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.272048	-2.63%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0172	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.267862	-2.56%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0243	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.26442	-2.39%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0494	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.273306	-2.46%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0124	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.278627	-2.54%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0047	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.283964	-2.05%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0326	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.290502	-1.39%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0211	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.288862	-1.48%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0191	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.292346	-1.37%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0260	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.280475	-1.76%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0426	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.284069	-1.47%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0461	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.28666	-0.98%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0787	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.296399	-1.04%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0409	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.312323	-0.79%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0050	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.32824	-0.29%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0278	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.334974	-0.04%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0572	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.32618	+0.02%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0585	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.316293	+0.06%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0580	✗	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.323013	-0.06%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0692	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.316954	+0.14%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0296	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.319075	+0.12%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0686	✗	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.32207	+0.05%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0879	✗	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.320352	-0.26%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0875	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.318406	-0.87%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.1181	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.317468	-0.45%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0742	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.319228	-0.21%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0831	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.316737	+0.62%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0307	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.326287	+0.80%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0774	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.330188	-0.15%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.1209	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.336677	-0.27%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1278	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.341659	-1.17%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2293	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.350464	-1.42%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2401	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.342331	-1.43%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2352	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.349763	-1.61%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.2081	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.352969	-1.93%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1916	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.312851	-1.15%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1260	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.29532	-0.60%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0705	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.293813	-0.13%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0323	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.303364	-0.24%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0529	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.304345	-0.25%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0624	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.309439	-0.44%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0925	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.318633	-0.68%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1413	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.326713	-0.79%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.1142	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.327185	-0.70%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0650	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.329695	-0.75%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0576	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.367899	-1.84%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1473	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.364033	-1.83%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1534	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.356107	-1.66%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1751	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.354649	-1.65%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1380	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.371202	-2.26%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1791	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.374899	-2.47%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1636	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.383878	-2.94%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1725	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.387784	-3.30%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1791	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.391715	-3.83%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1462	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.349821	-1.79%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1404	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.354231	-2.87%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0322	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.354151	-2.95%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0497	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.347673	-2.69%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0205	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.337406	-2.43%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1070	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.352858	-2.66%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.1022	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.378746	-2.91%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1782	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.395318	-3.23%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1484	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.411285	-3.00%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1698	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.418159	-3.14%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1435	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.412681	-3.13%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1435	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.414012	-3.38%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0668	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.419911	-3.18%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0174	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.419573	-3.12%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0245	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.423871	-3.16%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0081	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.433421	-3.47%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0266	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.417783	-3.43%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0390	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.44077	-2.96%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.0889	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.450648	-2.65%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.0918	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.46417	-2.07%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0516	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.470695	-1.84%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0604	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.481242	-1.93%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1427	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.50176	-1.75%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1229	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.453788	-1.03%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2149	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.436566	-2.44%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.1930	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.441289	-2.50%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.1988	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.442393	-2.56%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1781	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.448706	-2.58%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2162	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.442343	-2.27%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2627	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.448464	-2.23%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2668	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.47408	-2.13%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2765	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.487514	-2.40%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0618	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.478694	-2.61%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0022	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.473885	-2.61%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0814	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.478522	-2.80%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.1017	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.470268	-2.68%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0888	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.455783	-2.28%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.1004	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.482771	-2.65%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.1045	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.465108	-2.29%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1248	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.467228	-2.29%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.0985	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.425258	-1.45%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0051	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.422312	-1.40%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0259	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.42543	-1.36%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0100	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.436378	-1.43%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0359	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.439224	-1.48%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0345	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.458067	-1.60%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0322	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.467825	-1.72%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0732	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.485075	-2.20%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1298	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.476967	-2.08%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.1132	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.444593	-1.81%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0794	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.454311	-1.86%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0831	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.448226	-1.53%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0243	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.44326	-1.61%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0155	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.467642	-1.69%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1256	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.469963	-1.43%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0629	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.47463	-1.45%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0564	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.488736	-1.31%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0414	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.506255	-1.66%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0717	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.512308	-1.65%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0991	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.514258	-1.92%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.1238	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.523024	-2.13%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1265	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.51465	-2.05%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.0993	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.496213	-1.58%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0424	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.503386	-1.30%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0109	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.513052	-1.20%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0124	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.529322	-1.70%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0499	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.493583	-1.40%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0770	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.532088	-1.72%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0385	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.538328	-1.78%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0629	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.569397	-2.57%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1257	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.584388	-3.07%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2468	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.595154	-3.68%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2780	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.597645	-4.36%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3236	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.579713	-4.04%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2585	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.587795	-5.19%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.2873	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.51374	-3.21%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1636	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.444889	-1.53%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0082	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.444197	-1.60%	0.496	+9.88%	0.0804	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.463157	-1.94%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1081	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.497772	-2.47%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0329	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.489047	-2.39%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0458	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.501194	-2.49%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0118	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.507315	-2.50%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0373	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.508465	-2.50%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0416	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.552129	-2.78%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0073	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.579093	-3.00%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0003	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.60119	-3.25%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0282	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.604034	-3.01%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0637	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.619367	-3.48%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0221	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.61656	-3.75%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0345	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.618885	-3.88%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0707	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.59282	-3.65%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0841	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.617179	-4.15%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0410	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.553211	-3.22%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0675	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.545739	-2.84%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1728	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.591461	-3.01%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2289	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.608009	-3.29%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2195	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.604005	-3.31%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2185	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.607188	-3.67%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.1991	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.589775	-3.16%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3259	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.587069	-2.64%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.4020	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.665804	-3.51%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3264	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.709001	-4.43%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3408	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.652468	-3.88%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3187	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.656303	-3.89%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3539	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.638273	-3.80%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2526	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.594138	-3.42%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.1060	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.610648	-3.45%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0612	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.640974	-3.77%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0052	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.644996	-4.18%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0222	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.600459	-3.57%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0619	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.591384	-3.46%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0549	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.603619	-3.45%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0503	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.631049	-3.61%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0597	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.65121	-3.68%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0639	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.673555	-3.65%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0817	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.678535	-3.94%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.0918	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.596	-3.34%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1110	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.569476	-2.92%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2423	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.673193	-1.25%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2129	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.704483	-1.13%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.1721	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.691621	-1.86%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1462	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.728262	-1.05%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1415	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.70397	-1.42%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.0740	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.706718	-2.05%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0312	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.715434	-2.37%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0140	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.722344	-3.15%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0049	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.701641	-3.62%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0007	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.658914	-4.06%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0307	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.66411	-4.17%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0273	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.677938	-4.45%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1275	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.663694	-4.49%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0263	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.651824	-4.51%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0579	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.663376	-4.56%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0170	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.703876	-4.55%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0047	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.682806	-4.60%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0005	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.714109	-4.42%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0662	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.75223	-4.10%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0620	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.772908	-3.92%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0704	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.771155	-3.82%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0275	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.784433	-3.51%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0778	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.749977	-3.60%	0.6126	-21.26%	0.0469	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.