DCR

Decred · native · gru_s9

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

69.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0645

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0060

actual -0.0084

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	15.0969	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.5611	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.333	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.2865	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.2574	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.599	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.9829	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.9794	-1.07%	15.295	-5.31%	0.0660	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.2377	-0.78%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0947	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.188	-0.88%	14.512	-11.15%	0.1102	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.5887	-0.58%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1212	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.7868	-0.62%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1381	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.3616	-0.70%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1531	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.245	-0.77%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1355	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.9721	-0.65%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0908	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.2736	-0.45%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0881	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.4582	-0.40%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0859	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.3355	-0.11%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0686	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	18.2711	-0.14%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0615	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	18.2382	-0.09%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0240	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	18.1752	+0.02%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0155	✗	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.4086	-0.14%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0149	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	18.1207	+0.03%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0048	✗	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.8377	+0.12%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0169	✓	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.5426	+0.13%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0293	✗	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.3064	+0.18%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0036	✗	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.7501	+0.28%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0241	✓	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.2985	+0.17%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0114	✗	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.269	-0.03%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0169	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.7282	-0.00%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0074	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	18.038	+0.37%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0165	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.2644	-0.22%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0375	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.4521	-0.29%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0146	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.6477	-0.51%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0295	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.6688	-1.09%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0084	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.5792	-0.68%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0743	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.7323	-0.13%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1290	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.6675	-0.15%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0013	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.3131	-0.11%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0174	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.0865	+0.17%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0467	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.9108	+0.24%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0731	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.613	+0.35%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0783	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.5557	+0.46%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0336	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.3072	-0.30%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1326	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.8717	+0.52%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0593	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.6284	+0.18%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0158	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.8541	-0.24%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0373	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.571	+0.09%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0420	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.4173	+0.86%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1233	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.9891	+0.30%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1529	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.4007	+0.11%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1749	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.5631	+0.13%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0750	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.1318	+0.46%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1321	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.3354	+0.58%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0860	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.2023	+0.52%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0714	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.0879	+1.12%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0038	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.99	+1.00%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0164	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.8053	+1.03%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0537	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.9964	+1.05%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0430	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.3523	+0.71%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0193	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.0421	+0.41%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0015	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.1538	+1.14%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0772	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.0199	+0.54%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0658	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8905	-0.32%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0309	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.5629	-1.28%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0338	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.9233	-1.28%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0613	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.8082	-1.34%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0368	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.8839	-1.27%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0498	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.8291	-1.18%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1356	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.004	-1.12%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1527	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.1042	-1.16%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1084	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.8189	-1.28%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1092	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.6287	-1.21%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0540	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.795	-1.21%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0333	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.6455	-1.19%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0180	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.6017	-1.18%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0196	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.3602	-1.20%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0041	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.7971	-1.39%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0244	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.184	-1.50%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0065	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.0669	-1.53%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0294	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	13.0116	-1.65%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0271	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.8604	-1.85%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0408	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.8698	-2.19%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0438	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.2547	-2.58%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0503	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.4651	-1.58%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1131	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.409	-1.49%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1566	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.0577	-1.12%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1859	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5997	-0.73%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1590	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.5162	-0.56%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1523	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.5534	-0.35%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1491	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.9979	+0.04%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1306	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.5066	+0.29%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0392	✗	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.6493	+0.40%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0497	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.7605	+0.25%	11.183	-12.15%	0.1092	✗	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.7474	+0.22%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0968	✗	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.7336	+0.14%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0874	✗	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.5982	+0.11%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0860	✗	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.301	-0.26%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1230	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.4267	-0.56%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0945	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.6398	-0.90%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.1023	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.35	-1.30%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0097	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.094	-0.85%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0371	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.2342	-0.17%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1096	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.1481	-0.11%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1245	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.9892	-0.21%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1852	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.9373	-0.31%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1755	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.9705	-0.38%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2032	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.1694	-0.42%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1386	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.0936	-0.46%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.0926	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.2249	-0.53%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0074	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.4108	-0.63%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0458	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.1129	-0.62%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0339	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.869	-0.65%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0243	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.6546	-0.69%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0378	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.1962	-0.75%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0522	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11.0183	-0.79%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0460	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.385	-0.90%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0529	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.088	-0.97%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0002	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.8179	-1.30%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0087	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.9719	-1.70%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0774	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.0557	-1.09%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0318	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.3749	-1.20%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0469	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.3018	-1.15%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0377	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.7227	-1.27%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0489	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.4739	-1.23%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0318	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.3372	-1.24%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0180	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.8717	-1.40%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0808	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.1973	-1.56%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0410	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.4432	-1.79%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0420	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.5784	-1.82%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0571	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.0339	-1.70%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.8317	-1.66%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0173	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.9628	-1.72%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0305	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.6741	-1.33%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0168	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.8054	-1.31%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.0807	-1.55%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.1907	-1.54%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.2237	-0.54%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.0744	-0.23%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0438	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.9768	-1.33%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0602	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.2793	-1.56%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1467	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.4515	-2.00%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1115	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.2812	-2.13%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0964	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.6563	-2.16%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0842	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.