DCR

Decred · native · gru_s9

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

64.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0976

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0280

actual +0.0156

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	13.9917	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.0801	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.8711	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.8593	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.8479	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.2055	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.5804	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.4254	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.6614	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.572	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.9683	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.0853	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.551	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.4234	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.0194	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.2672	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.3781	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.2199	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.181	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.1358	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.0969	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.2896	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.0537	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.8417	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.4366	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.2589	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	16.8358	-4.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.263	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.2173	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.5112	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.0394	-5.18%	14.773	-17.80%	0.1067	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.3607	-5.44%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1214	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.5443	-5.48%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1371	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.7165	-5.76%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1570	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	15.9129	-5.57%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1525	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.0552	-4.02%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0770	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.3759	-2.55%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0195	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.1129	-3.47%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0293	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.8383	-3.02%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0265	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.7979	-1.62%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0091	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.8107	-0.39%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0079	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.6223	+0.41%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0167	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.7209	+1.46%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0056	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.5066	+0.85%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0370	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.1824	+2.49%	18.089	+14.57%	0.0719	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.9472	+2.10%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0328	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.3	+2.57%	18.533	+16.62%	0.0749	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.8689	+2.00%	18.355	+17.98%	0.0859	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.7936	+3.49%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.1795	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.1615	+1.53%	18.255	+30.88%	0.1763	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.5392	+1.07%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1416	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.7991	+1.75%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1665	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.3064	+1.70%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1730	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.5711	+2.24%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1463	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.4534	+2.30%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1787	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.4814	+3.94%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1883	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.3736	+3.77%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1533	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.2693	+4.42%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1844	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.5389	+4.97%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1715	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.8405	+4.14%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1415	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.5568	+4.09%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1079	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.8765	+6.70%	17.302	+33.04%	0.1881	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.4854	+4.44%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2457	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	12.0248	+0.81%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2457	✓	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.3063	-3.47%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2274	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.6251	-3.75%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1265	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.4374	-4.44%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0592	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.5294	-4.22%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1422	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.4845	-4.06%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1424	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.6643	-3.92%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1114	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.7516	-4.04%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0927	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.4036	-4.48%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0298	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.2477	-4.19%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0818	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.422	-4.09%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1325	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.2971	-3.91%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0403	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.2878	-3.64%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0742	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.0553	-3.63%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0473	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.4417	-4.12%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0028	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.7369	-4.84%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1390	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.6104	-4.97%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1100	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.5574	-5.09%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0756	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.3731	-5.57%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0784	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.3611	-6.06%	14.067	+6.91%	0.0975	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.7243	-6.48%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.0892	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.0571	-5.08%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0512	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	10.9647	-5.32%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0148	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.6067	-5.15%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0567	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.1119	-4.90%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0304	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.0887	-4.25%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0244	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.1732	-3.63%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0575	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.6402	-2.95%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0219	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.1464	-2.60%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0918	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.3114	-2.28%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1172	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.3984	-2.60%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.0974	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.4052	-2.48%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0575	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.4311	-2.24%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0241	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.2975	-2.28%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0109	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.9208	-3.11%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0592	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.079	-3.13%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0618	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.2718	-3.58%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0652	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.0667	-3.57%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0010	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.8352	-2.97%	12.985	+6.46%	0.0957	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.0215	-2.06%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1464	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.9386	-1.98%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1589	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.7747	-2.16%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1479	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.7077	-2.40%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1372	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.7633	-2.26%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1369	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.9637	-2.25%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1601	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.8882	-2.30%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.1998	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.0079	-2.45%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1814	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.1706	-2.72%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1548	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.8593	-2.89%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1690	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.5941	-3.16%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1745	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.3675	-3.37%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1814	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.8907	-3.46%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0148	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.7087	-3.58%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0173	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.0595	-3.73%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0411	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.7825	-3.70%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0081	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.5353	-3.88%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0331	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.6176	-4.61%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0395	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.7547	-3.78%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0748	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.0669	-3.87%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0897	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.9791	-3.97%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.0921	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.3814	-4.14%	12.729	+7.21%	0.0966	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.1251	-4.23%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1151	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	10.984	-4.31%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1164	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.4908	-4.56%	12.584	+4.52%	0.0995	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.7894	-4.85%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1518	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.0108	-5.20%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1409	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.1256	-5.36%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1377	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.5884	-5.34%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1109	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.3948	-5.30%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0649	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.5178	-5.37%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0266	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.2571	-4.86%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0514	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.3682	-4.96%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.5907	-5.54%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0418	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.6753	-5.71%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0588	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.7072	-4.74%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0934	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.4976	-4.99%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0721	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.3609	-6.02%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0798	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.6581	-5.85%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1494	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.7572	-6.71%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1264	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.4112	-7.70%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1022	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.6953	-8.16%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0857	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.