CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s9

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

61.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0904

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0280

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002231	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002228	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002167	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.00225	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002319	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002316	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002284	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002414	-1.44%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0752	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002451	-1.56%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0832	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002398	-1.53%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0917	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002444	-1.55%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0605	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002408	-1.45%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0146	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002454	-1.74%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0386	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002322	-0.90%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0075	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002402	-1.20%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0300	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002463	-1.43%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0252	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.00256	-1.69%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0262	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.00254	-1.57%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0062	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002531	-1.52%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0245	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002504	-1.33%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0095	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002526	-1.44%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0560	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.0026	-1.79%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0653	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002663	-1.99%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0751	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002673	-2.13%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0402	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.00273	-2.17%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0684	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002689	-1.96%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0470	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002659	-1.77%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0492	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002631	-1.62%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0291	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002681	-1.81%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0075	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002736	-1.86%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0077	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002738	-1.72%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0157	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.00262	-1.17%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0444	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002797	-1.85%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0370	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002667	-1.11%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0026	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002579	-0.19%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0063	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002498	+0.27%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0451	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002578	-0.04%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0211	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002851	-1.35%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0499	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002869	-1.10%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0943	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.00299	-1.59%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0607	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002899	-1.14%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0843	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002937	-1.23%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1275	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.00297	-1.59%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1694	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002861	-1.14%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0946	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002825	-1.03%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0256	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002785	-0.83%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0525	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002816	-1.03%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0845	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002645	-0.61%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1114	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002639	-0.66%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1347	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002645	-1.28%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1278	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002718	-1.44%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0583	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002726	-1.55%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0439	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002569	-2.36%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0789	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002813	-2.35%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0067	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002897	-2.20%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0903	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002872	-1.56%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0811	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002708	-1.89%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0057	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002955	-2.70%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0659	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002788	-2.35%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0056	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002418	-2.47%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0844	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002564	-2.77%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.1130	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002751	-2.87%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0746	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002505	-5.22%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1687	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002359	-7.18%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0258	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002547	-7.95%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002816	-9.62%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.1893	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002474	-7.93%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2103	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002556	-8.64%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.1698	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002354	-7.43%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0333	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002212	-6.64%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0375	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002098	-5.90%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.1030	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.00207	-5.88%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2721	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.00195	-5.10%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4598	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001869	-4.33%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3943	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001846	-4.37%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4452	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001904	-5.35%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.3195	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.00177	-3.75%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.3048	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001769	-3.86%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2497	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001839	-4.55%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1875	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001813	-4.17%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1184	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001815	-4.34%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0527	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.00184	-4.65%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001783	-4.16%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0883	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001736	-5.49%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0649	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.