CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s9

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +30d

assessed

54

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

64.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1422

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0865

actual -0.0477

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002181	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002181	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002119	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002198	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002261	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002256	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002227	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002345	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002385	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002325	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002378	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002337	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002376	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002246	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.00233	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002402	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002488	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002478	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002455	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002426	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002448	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002503	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002557	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002562	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002617	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002583	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002558	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002539	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002586	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.00265	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002661	-4.46%	0.002257	-18.99%	0.1425	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002527	-4.67%	0.002253	-15.02%	0.1250	✓	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002691	-5.59%	0.002189	-23.18%	0.2095	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002578	-4.40%	0.002275	-15.64%	0.1312	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.00248	-4.01%	0.002348	-9.10%	0.0818	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002408	-3.32%	0.002345	-5.87%	0.0557	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002484	-3.68%	0.002311	-10.37%	0.1082	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002743	-5.08%	0.002449	-15.25%	0.1244	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.00276	-4.86%	0.00249	-14.19%	0.1248	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002868	-5.62%	0.002435	-19.85%	0.1777	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002792	-4.79%	0.002483	-15.35%	0.1382	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002824	-5.01%	0.002443	-17.83%	0.1660	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002859	-5.28%	0.002498	-17.25%	0.1476	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002766	-4.42%	0.002343	-19.02%	0.1757	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002738	-4.07%	0.002432	-14.80%	0.1314	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.00271	-3.50%	0.002499	-11.02%	0.0971	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002734	-3.90%	0.002604	-8.48%	0.0674	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002578	-3.14%	0.00258	-3.05%	0.0208	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002577	-3.01%	0.002571	-3.24%	0.0133	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002561	-4.39%	0.002537	-5.29%	0.0399	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002632	-4.56%	0.002563	-7.05%	0.0570	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002642	-4.56%	0.002648	-4.36%	0.0176	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002476	-5.91%	0.002717	+3.27%	0.0705	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002711	-5.89%	0.002731	-5.17%	0.0079	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002802	-5.42%	0.00279	-5.80%	0.0238	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002816	-3.48%	0.002743	-5.98%	0.0393	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002672	-3.21%	0.002707	-1.95%	0.0015	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002914	-4.07%	0.002674	-11.95%	0.1033	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.00274	-4.04%	0.00273	-4.36%	0.0215	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002352	-5.13%	0.002788	+12.44%	0.1503	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002486	-5.75%	0.002786	+5.62%	0.0895	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002686	-5.16%	0.002651	-6.39%	0.0163	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002345	-11.28%	0.00285	+7.81%	0.2134	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002136	-15.95%	0.002697	+6.10%	0.0786	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.00227	-17.95%	0.002583	-6.64%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002471	-20.69%	0.002491	-20.06%	0.1584	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002206	-17.88%	0.002579	-4.02%	0.0287	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002264	-19.07%	0.00289	+3.28%	0.0283	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002111	-16.97%	0.002902	+14.10%	0.1195	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002002	-15.51%	0.003038	+28.25%	0.2200	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.001916	-14.06%	0.002933	+31.55%	0.2289	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.001892	-14.00%	0.002973	+35.15%	0.2658	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001801	-12.37%	0.003018	+46.88%	0.3136	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001744	-10.75%	0.002894	+48.11%	0.3161	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001722	-10.81%	0.002854	+47.82%	0.3076	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001755	-12.73%	0.002809	+39.63%	0.2565	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001663	-9.54%	0.002845	+54.73%	0.3199	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001661	-9.75%	0.002662	+44.63%	0.2619	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001708	-11.31%	0.002657	+37.93%	0.2035	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.00169	-10.65%	0.002679	+41.63%	0.2633	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001689	-10.95%	0.002757	+45.33%	0.2919	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001706	-11.59%	0.002768	+43.46%	0.2596	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001664	-10.53%	0.002631	+41.44%	0.2459	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001623	-11.62%	0.00288	+56.85%	0.3841	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.