AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

60.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0605

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0150

actual -0.0063

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019222	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019433	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020317	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019179	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020228	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021674	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020126	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018407	-1.29%	0.019479	+4.46%	0.0401	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019121	-1.31%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0318	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018571	-1.31%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1061	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020357	-1.48%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0238	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022035	-1.94%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0488	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019638	-1.53%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1356	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019598	-1.68%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0413	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021915	-1.88%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1406	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021361	-1.79%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0653	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.02207	-1.98%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1064	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022408	-2.08%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0442	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022337	-2.17%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0306	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022254	-2.33%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0832	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022453	-2.18%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0763	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023094	-2.32%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0295	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022048	-2.15%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0400	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021376	-2.16%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0202	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024333	-2.37%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0870	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.024867	-2.53%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0894	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024189	-2.42%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0647	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.02358	-2.15%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0324	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.022822	-1.96%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0451	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024121	-1.96%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0380	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.022962	-1.55%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020642	-2.34%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1486	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.020869	-2.35%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1625	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021083	-2.39%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1229	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020015	-1.95%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0855	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020196	-1.84%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0394	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020892	-1.94%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0321	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020136	-1.50%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0447	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020013	-1.23%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021138	-2.00%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0392	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020325	-0.60%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0144	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018666	+0.16%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.0919	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020166	+0.23%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0478	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020636	+0.65%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0691	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.021006	+1.11%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0155	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.02093	+1.59%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0127	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020959	+1.78%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0614	✓	1.00