AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 141
Track record at +30d
assessed
17
of 47 predictions shown
direction hit
76.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0539
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0452
actual -0.0629
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.019479 | 0.018832 | -3.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.019053 | -3.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.019815 | -4.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018761 | -3.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.019699 | -4.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.020976 | -5.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.019551 | -4.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.017949 | -3.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.018669 | -3.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.018096 | -3.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.019832 | -4.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.021319 | -5.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.019076 | -4.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.018997 | -4.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.021203 | -5.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.020761 | -4.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.021405 | -4.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.021727 | -5.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.021599 | -5.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.02149 | -5.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.021725 | -5.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.02225 | -5.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.021323 | -5.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.020702 | -5.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.023428 | -6.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.023878 | -6.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.023271 | -6.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.022792 | -5.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.022147 | -4.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.023456 | -4.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.022535 | -3.38% | 0.019479 | -16.48% | 0.0997 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.019907 | -5.82% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0325 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.020131 | -5.80% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0194 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.020312 | -5.96% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0575 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.019136 | -6.26% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.019299 | -6.21% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0709 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.019923 | -6.49% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0523 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.019327 | -5.45% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.0783 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.019163 | -5.43% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0678 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.020207 | -6.32% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1276 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.01945 | -4.88% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.017767 | -4.67% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1549 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019415 | -3.51% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.019967 | -2.61% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0422 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020456 | -1.53% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0363 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.020525 | -0.38% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.02056 | -0.15% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0193 | ✗ | 1.00 |