AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

58.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0411

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0031

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019431	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019641	-0.26%	0.019479	-1.08%	0.0050	✓	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.02058	-0.48%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0597	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019392	-0.27%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0667	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020479	-0.33%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0610	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.022019	-0.70%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0675	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020418	-0.61%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0919	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018614	-0.18%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0905	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019336	-0.20%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0141	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018783	-0.18%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0117	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020605	-0.28%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0652	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022362	-0.48%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0895	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019897	-0.23%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1167	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019882	-0.26%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0084	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.02226	-0.33%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0911	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021682	-0.32%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0596	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022434	-0.36%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0282	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022796	-0.39%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0026	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022742	-0.40%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0170	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022687	-0.43%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0033	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022862	-0.39%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0012	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.02354	-0.43%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0432	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022446	-0.38%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0531	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021765	-0.38%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0321	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024807	-0.47%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1142	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025377	-0.53%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0186	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024662	-0.51%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0301	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023986	-0.46%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0364	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023181	-0.42%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0387	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.02448	-0.50%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0290	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023231	-0.39%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0620	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021037	-0.48%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0384	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021263	-0.50%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021482	-0.55%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020353	-0.29%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020517	-0.29%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.021228	-0.36%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0386	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020387	-0.27%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0777	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020209	-0.27%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021423	-0.68%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0497	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020435	-0.06%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0533	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.01867	+0.17%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0822	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020147	+0.13%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0553	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.02054	+0.18%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0185	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020822	+0.23%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0073	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.02066	+0.28%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0212	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020653	+0.30%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0088	✗	1.00