ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s9
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
80.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2991
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0325
actual -0.3160
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008105 | -2.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007237 | -1.31% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006858 | +0.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005777 | +1.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.00694 | +1.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007726 | +0.83% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008709 | +0.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008703 | +0.62% | 0.008324 | -3.77% | 0.0583 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007604 | +1.18% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0344 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008787 | +1.12% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2491 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.010985 | -1.04% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6332 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010622 | -0.36% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012363 | -1.72% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4656 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013292 | -2.26% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013629 | -2.72% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4339 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013207 | -2.53% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5350 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013592 | -2.63% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.3995 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.013927 | -2.71% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.1936 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.012796 | -4.01% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1608 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.014994 | -3.20% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1521 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.013319 | -6.44% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0588 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.012753 | -9.16% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0973 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.013425 | -8.55% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018584 | -3.16% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.020715 | -3.65% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.3935 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.022736 | -5.35% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5378 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.023145 | -6.50% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4065 | ✓ | 1.00 |