ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s9
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0976
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0043
actual -0.0397
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008293 | -0.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007329 | -0.05% | 0.008324 | +13.52% | 0.1225 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006876 | +0.26% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0878 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005745 | +0.52% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1736 | ✓ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.0069 | +0.49% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1761 | ✗ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007695 | +0.42% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1162 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.00872 | +0.23% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1216 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008677 | +0.32% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007551 | +0.47% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1546 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008729 | +0.44% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1662 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011098 | -0.02% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010674 | +0.13% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0299 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012552 | -0.22% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1678 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013542 | -0.43% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0840 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013926 | -0.60% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013486 | -0.48% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0650 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013888 | -0.51% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0222 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014238 | -0.54% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0109 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013234 | -0.72% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0579 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015391 | -0.64% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1466 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014059 | -1.23% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.1010 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.01379 | -1.78% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0164 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014434 | -1.68% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0267 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.019073 | -0.61% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2640 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021304 | -0.91% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.0925 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023623 | -1.65% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.0947 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024176 | -2.34% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 1.00 |