ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s9
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +1d
assessed
27
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
59.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0993
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0023
actual -0.0341
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.009037 | 0.008904 | -1.47% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008983 | 0.008848 | -1.50% | 0.009037 | +0.60% | 0.0244 | ✗ | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007317 | -0.20% | 0.008983 | +22.51% | 0.2265 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006883 | +0.36% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0867 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005772 | +1.00% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1689 | ✓ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006921 | +0.79% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1791 | ✗ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007708 | +0.59% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1180 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008714 | +0.16% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1209 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008677 | +0.31% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007553 | +0.51% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1543 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008729 | +0.45% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1663 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011047 | -0.48% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010627 | -0.31% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0343 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.01251 | -0.55% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1645 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013507 | -0.68% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0815 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013913 | -0.69% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013482 | -0.50% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0652 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013897 | -0.45% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014262 | -0.37% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013266 | -0.48% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0555 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015423 | -0.44% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1486 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014178 | -0.40% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.0925 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013979 | -0.44% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014633 | -0.32% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0404 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.019137 | -0.28% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2673 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021418 | -0.38% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.0978 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023849 | -0.71% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.1042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024485 | -1.09% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0230 | ✓ | 1.00 |