ARCSOL

? · · gru_s9

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,989

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

46.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1805

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0255

actual +0.0305

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06386	0.061975	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-21	oos	0.06335	0.061379	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.05084	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.043732	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.041222	-0.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.040337	+0.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.036335	+2.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.039299	+1.23%	0.06386	+64.50%	0.4911	✓	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.037833	+2.29%	0.06335	+71.29%	0.5223	✓	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.032324	+2.47%	0.05179	+64.18%	0.4711	✓	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.059149	-0.97%	0.04402	-26.30%	0.2956	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.062573	-0.61%	0.041255	-34.47%	0.4128	✓	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.060983	-0.75%	0.040095	-34.75%	0.4154	✓	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.062462	-0.81%	0.035465	-43.68%	0.5633	✓	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.060354	-0.82%	0.03882	-36.21%	0.4424	✓	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.063764	-0.45%	0.036985	-42.26%	0.5409	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.071783	-0.22%	0.031545	-56.15%	0.8199	✓	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.070302	-0.06%	0.05973	-15.09%	0.1590	✓	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.072994	-0.03%	0.06296	-13.77%	0.1453	✓	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.071007	-0.18%	0.061445	-13.62%	0.1432	✓	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.070505	-0.18%	0.062975	-10.84%	0.1113	✓	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.072163	-0.11%	0.060855	-15.76%	0.1680	✓	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.070307	-0.20%	0.06405	-9.08%	0.0931	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.072462	-0.26%	0.071945	-0.97%	0.0079	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.069837	-0.12%	0.070345	+0.61%	0.0064	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.072696	-0.07%	0.073015	+0.36%	0.0042	✗	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.070749	+0.08%	0.071135	+0.63%	0.0054	✓	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.071757	+0.01%	0.070635	-1.55%	0.0157	✗	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.073549	+0.01%	0.07224	-1.77%	0.0179	✗	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.078368	-0.21%	0.07045	-10.29%	0.1068	✓	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.078324	+0.14%	0.07265	-7.12%	0.0761	✗	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.078295	+0.17%	0.06992	-10.54%	0.1142	✗	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.073314	-0.46%	0.07275	-1.23%	0.0025	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.06387	+0.20%	0.07069	+10.89%	0.1055	✓	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.070814	-0.23%	0.07175	+1.09%	0.0171	✗	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.069683	-0.82%	0.07354	+4.67%	0.0664	✗	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.073391	-1.12%	0.07853	+5.81%	0.0813	✗	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.078005	-1.68%	0.078215	-1.42%	0.0150	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.072645	-0.55%	0.07816	+7.00%	0.0824	✗	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.069069	-0.45%	0.073655	+6.16%	0.0698	✗	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.072752	-0.54%	0.063745	-12.86%	0.1259	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.073482	-0.58%	0.070975	-3.97%	0.0268	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.073105	-0.60%	0.07026	-4.47%	0.0401	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.071839	-0.19%	0.07422	+3.12%	0.0282	✗	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.07239	-0.18%	0.07934	+9.40%	0.0858	✗	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.074576	-0.25%	0.07305	-2.29%	0.0227	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.072111	+0.22%	0.06938	-3.57%	0.0449	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.074105	+0.12%	0.07315	-1.17%	0.0175	✗	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.074391	+0.15%	0.07391	-0.50%	0.0103	✗	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.072334	+0.62%	0.07355	+2.31%	0.0104	✓	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072676	-0.09%	0.071975	-1.05%	0.0072	✓	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.065072	+0.39%	0.07252	+11.88%	0.1109	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.069696	+0.44%	0.07476	+7.74%	0.0719	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.067923	+0.46%	0.07195	+6.42%	0.0613	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.070947	+0.53%	0.074015	+4.88%	0.0454	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.070303	+0.59%	0.07428	+6.28%	0.0584	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.067672	+1.26%	0.07189	+7.57%	0.0618	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.07178	+0.89%	0.07274	+2.23%	0.0114	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.072724	+0.77%	0.06482	-10.18%	0.1168	✗	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.071165	+0.97%	0.06939	-1.55%	0.0258	✗	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.069884	+0.84%	0.06761	-2.44%	0.0332	✗	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.067406	+0.83%	0.07057	+5.56%	0.0476	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.068797	+1.02%	0.06989	+2.63%	0.0150	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.069344	-0.02%	0.06683	-3.65%	0.0273	✓	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.068559	-0.78%	0.07115	+2.97%	0.0517	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.067998	-1.96%	0.07217	+4.05%	0.0830	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.072406	-2.18%	0.07048	-4.78%	0.0056	✓	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.070267	-2.24%	0.0693	-3.59%	0.0151	✓	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.070324	-2.15%	0.06685	-6.98%	0.0240	✓	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.075105	-2.49%	0.0681	-11.58%	0.0661	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.073893	-2.39%	0.06936	-8.38%	0.0519	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.070346	-2.20%	0.0691	-3.93%	0.0038	✓	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.064822	-1.67%	0.06936	+5.22%	0.0729	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.063562	-1.58%	0.07402	+14.62%	0.1547	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.064963	-1.87%	0.07188	+8.58%	0.0918	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.062107	-2.07%	0.07187	+13.32%	0.1371	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.051997	-0.69%	0.07702	+47.10%	0.3816	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.054146	-0.98%	0.0757	+38.44%	0.3303	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.050935	-0.71%	0.07193	+40.21%	0.3386	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.052544	-0.86%	0.06592	+24.38%	0.2241	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.050513	-0.76%	0.06458	+26.88%	0.2481	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.050917	-0.73%	0.0662	+29.07%	0.2691	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.051473	-0.73%	0.06342	+22.31%	0.2196	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.052995	-0.83%	0.05236	-2.02%	0.0016	✓	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.052324	-0.83%	0.05468	+3.64%	0.0417	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.053258	-0.82%	0.0513	-4.47%	0.0341	✓	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051163	-0.67%	0.053	+2.89%	0.0363	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.053643	-0.73%	0.0509	-5.81%	0.0537	✓	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055502	-0.76%	0.05129	-8.30%	0.0873	✓	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.059564	-0.76%	0.05185	-13.61%	0.1465	✓	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.061768	-0.74%	0.05344	-14.13%	0.1508	✓	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.061077	-0.61%	0.05276	-14.14%	0.1479	✓	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.064204	-0.49%	0.0537	-16.77%	0.1890	✓	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.066295	-0.46%	0.05151	-22.66%	0.2650	✓	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.069636	-0.69%	0.05404	-22.93%	0.2604	✓	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.070099	-0.84%	0.05593	-20.88%	0.2229	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.070286	-0.91%	0.06002	-15.38%	0.1599	✓	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.07234	-1.09%	0.06223	-14.92%	0.1499	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.073836	-1.22%	0.06145	-17.79%	0.1798	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.074835	-1.26%	0.06452	-14.87%	0.1434	✓	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.079203	-1.50%	0.0666	-17.17%	0.1679	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.073024	-1.57%	0.07012	-5.49%	0.0235	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.076861	-1.64%	0.07069	-9.53%	0.0776	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.077429	-1.73%	0.07093	-9.98%	0.0808	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.078036	-1.79%	0.07314	-7.95%	0.0662	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.077619	-1.87%	0.07475	-5.50%	0.0339	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.079531	-1.99%	0.07579	-6.61%	0.0332	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.079315	-2.02%	0.08041	-0.67%	0.0222	✗	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.080647	-2.08%	0.07419	-9.92%	0.0928	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.079637	-2.15%	0.07814	-3.99%	0.0183	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.076378	-2.18%	0.07879	+0.91%	0.0344	✗	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.077289	-2.24%	0.07946	+0.51%	0.0357	✗	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.08077	-2.38%	0.0791	-4.40%	0.0129	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.081213	-2.48%	0.08115	-2.56%	0.0100	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.081765	-2.55%	0.08095	-3.52%	0.0102	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.081425	-2.57%	0.08236	-1.45%	0.0277	✗	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.085626	-2.84%	0.08139	-7.65%	0.0374	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.081832	-2.75%	0.07808	-7.21%	0.0371	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.081855	-2.84%	0.07906	-6.16%	0.0270	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.081329	-2.86%	0.08274	-1.17%	0.0227	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.08028	-2.84%	0.08328	+0.79%	0.0320	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.080321	-2.85%	0.0839	+1.48%	0.0281	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.081318	-2.83%	0.08357	-0.14%	0.0116	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.077947	-2.77%	0.08813	+9.93%	0.1062	✗	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.077713	-2.79%	0.08415	+5.27%	0.0601	✗	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.07666	-2.80%	0.08425	+6.82%	0.0793	✗	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.07953	-2.98%	0.08372	+2.13%	0.0376	✗	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.081998	-3.12%	0.08263	-2.37%	0.0075	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.071864	-2.61%	0.08268	+12.05%	0.1285	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.075195	-2.67%	0.08369	+8.32%	0.0941	✗	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.079553	-2.94%	0.08017	-2.18%	0.0034	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.086257	-3.53%	0.07994	-10.59%	0.0770	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.085153	-4.14%	0.07887	-11.21%	0.0770	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.080727	-3.31%	0.08197	-1.82%	0.0119	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.080919	-3.63%	0.08464	+0.80%	0.0601	✗	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.080118	-3.60%	0.07379	-11.21%	0.0631	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.080878	-3.66%	0.07726	-7.97%	0.0295	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.080477	-3.70%	0.08196	-1.93%	0.0282	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.0796	-3.84%	0.08941	+8.01%	0.1261	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.077957	-3.95%	0.08883	+9.45%	0.1365	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.072788	-3.26%	0.08349	+10.96%	0.1370	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.071804	-3.22%	0.08397	+13.18%	0.1534	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.068935	-2.77%	0.08311	+17.22%	0.1877	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.074324	-3.00%	0.08395	+9.57%	0.1163	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.071463	-2.68%	0.08357	+13.81%	0.1662	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.075769	-3.29%	0.08278	+5.65%	0.1455	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.072324	-3.10%	0.08116	+8.74%	0.1312	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.069778	-2.72%	0.07524	+4.89%	0.0820	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.062711	-1.95%	0.07419	+15.99%	0.1802	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.063206	-1.75%	0.0709	+10.21%	0.1437	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.063991	-1.58%	0.07662	+17.84%	0.1300	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.06298	-1.62%	0.07343	+14.70%	0.1236	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.063321	-1.81%	0.07835	+21.49%	0.1887	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.062823	-1.85%	0.07464	+16.61%	0.1536	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.062902	-1.87%	0.07173	+11.90%	0.0947	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.063933	-2.02%	0.06396	-1.98%	0.0286	✓	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.063336	-1.99%	0.06433	-0.45%	0.0069	✓	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.064454	-2.18%	0.06502	-1.32%	0.0115	✓	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.06602	-2.47%	0.06402	-5.42%	0.0346	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.060521	-2.04%	0.06449	+4.39%	0.0510	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.071359	-3.26%	0.06401	-13.22%	0.1419	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.058956	-2.16%	0.0641	+6.37%	0.0570	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.062237	-2.51%	0.06525	+2.21%	0.0363	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.065313	-2.72%	0.06462	-3.75%	0.0361	✓	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.062456	-2.50%	0.06589	+2.86%	0.0252	✓	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.061353	-2.41%	0.06769	+7.67%	0.0674	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.066615	-2.87%	0.06178	-9.92%	0.0904	✓	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.067544	-2.90%	0.07376	+6.04%	0.0823	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.06558	-2.72%	0.06026	-10.61%	0.0808	✓	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.067753	-2.42%	0.06384	-8.05%	0.0572	✓	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.068222	-2.60%	0.06714	-4.14%	0.0164	✓	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.064772	-2.70%	0.06406	-3.77%	0.0102	✓	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.066374	-3.02%	0.06287	-8.14%	0.0440	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.069421	-3.18%	0.06858	-4.35%	0.0073	✓	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.072803	-3.20%	0.06956	-7.51%	0.0411	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.072403	-3.27%	0.06741	-9.94%	0.0629	✓	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.072692	-3.30%	0.06943	-7.64%	0.0332	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.064864	-2.87%	0.07004	+4.88%	0.0817	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.076338	-3.39%	0.06657	-15.76%	0.1335	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.067088	-2.15%	0.06844	-0.18%	0.0198	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.065419	-1.94%	0.0717	+7.48%	0.0928	✗	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.063303	-1.98%	0.07521	+16.46%	0.1728	✗	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.065346	-1.78%	0.07485	+12.51%	0.1346	✗	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.063912	-1.92%	0.07517	+15.36%	0.1607	✗	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.065121	-2.25%	0.06678	+0.24%	0.0251	✗	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.06504	-2.20%	0.07902	+18.83%	0.1960	✗	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.063719	-2.53%	0.06856	+4.88%	0.0840	✗	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.066952	-2.09%	0.06671	-2.44%	0.0015	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.068447	-1.61%	0.06458	-7.17%	0.0571	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.071127	-2.24%	0.06653	-8.56%	0.0584	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.068082	-2.17%	0.06516	-6.37%	0.0345	✓	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.06856	-2.31%	0.06662	-5.07%	0.0228	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.070365	-2.42%	0.0665	-7.78%	0.0520	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.072158	-3.22%	0.06537	-12.33%	0.0966	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.074112	-3.07%	0.06838	-10.57%	0.0783	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.068976	-2.85%	0.06957	-2.01%	0.0116	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.068608	-3.29%	0.07276	+2.57%	0.0613	✗	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.058595	-2.28%	0.06959	+16.06%	0.1762	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.057254	-2.18%	0.07018	+19.90%	0.2061	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.055602	-2.33%	0.07211	+26.66%	0.2655	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.052415	-2.12%	0.07456	+39.23%	0.3542	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.053679	-2.46%	0.07646	+38.94%	0.3587	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.053258	-2.55%	0.071	+29.92%	0.2927	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.051071	-2.41%	0.07094	+35.56%	0.3325	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.05337	-2.59%	0.05996	+9.44%	0.1196	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.052361	-2.57%	0.05853	+8.91%	0.1153	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.049387	-2.49%	0.05693	+12.40%	0.1450	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.04905	-2.62%	0.05355	+6.31%	0.0925	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.050205	-2.89%	0.05503	+6.44%	0.0932	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.046283	-2.46%	0.05465	+15.17%	0.1672	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.041862	-1.89%	0.05233	+22.64%	0.2214	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.043623	-2.17%	0.05479	+22.88%	0.2240	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.045525	-2.41%	0.05374	+15.20%	0.1632	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.046261	-2.55%	0.05065	+6.70%	0.0858	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.046824	-2.71%	0.05037	+4.65%	0.0713	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.048225	-2.97%	0.0517	+4.02%	0.0670	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.047021	-2.97%	0.04745	-2.08%	0.0053	✓	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.043423	-2.71%	0.04267	-4.39%	0.0186	✓	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.039815	-2.46%	0.04459	+9.24%	0.1133	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.035516	-2.40%	0.04665	+28.19%	0.2733	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.042039	-2.22%	0.04747	+10.41%	0.1244	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.045364	-2.55%	0.04813	+3.39%	0.0681	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.047158	-2.99%	0.0497	+2.24%	0.0556	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.041336	-2.76%	0.04846	+14.00%	0.1594	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.042644	-2.97%	0.04463	+1.55%	0.0461	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.040704	-3.04%	0.04082	-2.76%	0.0018	✓	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.041207	-3.43%	0.03639	-14.72%	0.1281	✓	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.037347	-3.25%	0.042995	+11.39%	0.1369	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.033976	-2.42%	0.04655	+33.69%	0.3174	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.034903	-3.34%	0.04861	+34.62%	0.3331	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.036927	-4.01%	0.04251	+10.50%	0.1426	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.03524	-5.22%	0.04395	+18.21%	0.2207	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.037384	-5.33%	0.04198	+6.31%	0.1145	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.034538	-6.30%	0.04267	+15.76%	0.2137	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.048548	-5.42%	0.0386	-24.80%	0.2300	✓	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.039387	-5.91%	0.03482	-16.82%	0.1226	✓	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.024361	-13.46%	0.03611	+28.28%	0.3937	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.02735	-11.14%	0.03847	+24.98%	0.3413	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.025655	-16.08%	0.03718	+21.62%	0.3712	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.055597	-3.96%	0.03949	-31.78%	0.3393	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.097293	-5.74%	0.03686	-64.29%	1.0010	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.086414	-4.79%	0.05133	-43.44%	0.5497	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.085769	-5.20%	0.04186	-53.73%	0.7046	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.070811	-3.68%	0.02815	-61.71%	0.9148	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.070418	-3.77%	0.03078	-57.94%	0.8150	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.073476	-4.05%	0.03057	-60.08%	0.8801	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.074299	-4.46%	0.05789	-25.56%	0.2587	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.073844	-4.27%	0.10322	+33.81%	0.3578	✗	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.075685	-4.58%	0.09076	+14.42%	0.2099	✗	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.073369	-4.59%	0.09047	+17.65%	0.2174	✗	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.075447	-5.01%	0.07352	-7.44%	0.0138	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.077496	-5.96%	0.07318	-11.20%	0.0517	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.071341	-5.07%	0.07658	+1.90%	0.0661	✗	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.063858	-4.30%	0.07777	+16.54%	0.2011	✗	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.067654	-4.98%	0.07714	+8.34%	0.1392	✗	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.061097	-4.43%	0.07932	+24.07%	0.2687	✗	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.070877	-6.12%	0.0769	+1.85%	0.0905	✗	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.059276	-4.02%	0.07943	+28.61%	0.2899	✗	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.074463	-6.55%	0.08241	+3.43%	0.1090	✗	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.065974	-3.25%	0.07515	+10.21%	0.1253	✗	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.0604	-4.69%	0.06673	+5.30%	0.1342	✗	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.066121	-6.04%	0.0712	+1.18%	0.1127	✗	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.046005	-1.19%	0.06393	+37.31%	0.4188	✗	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.042134	+0.97%	0.0755	+80.92%	0.6385	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.043237	+0.32%	0.06176	+43.29%	0.4117	✓	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.041808	-1.42%	0.07968	+87.88%	0.7336	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.046799	-2.36%	0.06819	+42.27%	0.5280	✗	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.052669	-3.47%	0.06337	+16.15%	0.2695	✗	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.049769	-3.51%	0.07037	+36.43%	0.4161	✗	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.048203	-3.42%	0.04656	-6.71%	0.0170	✓	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.048734	-3.25%	0.04173	-17.15%	0.0978	✓	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.055614	-3.73%	0.0431	-25.39%	0.2067	✓	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.058093	-3.93%	0.04241	-29.87%	0.2954	✓	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.060013	-4.03%	0.04793	-23.35%	0.2050	✓	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.066886	-4.58%	0.05456	-22.17%	0.2029	✓	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.07655	-6.02%	0.05158	-36.67%	0.3991	✓	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.063603	-5.00%	0.04991	-25.45%	0.2073	✓	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.052523	-4.10%	0.05037	-8.03%	0.0211	✓	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.047407	-3.41%	0.05777	+17.71%	0.2517	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.049933	-3.32%	0.06047	+17.08%	0.2440	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.052743	-3.44%	0.06253	+14.48%	0.2256	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.055089	-3.62%	0.0701	+22.64%	0.3076	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.063538	-5.55%	0.08145	+21.08%	0.3213	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.047332	-3.36%	0.06695	+36.69%	0.3375	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.047201	-3.49%	0.05477	+11.98%	0.1291	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.042709	-2.93%	0.04908	+11.55%	0.1060	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.041554	-2.80%	0.05165	+20.82%	0.1835	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.036516	-2.13%	0.05462	+46.40%	0.3721	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.031977	-1.64%	0.05716	+75.82%	0.4834	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.034694	-1.52%	0.06727	+90.95%	0.6340	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.035784	-1.50%	0.04898	+34.82%	0.3614	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.035412	-1.66%	0.04891	+35.82%	0.3345	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.035127	-1.71%	0.044	+23.11%	0.2294	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.033182	-1.65%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.2430	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.034529	-1.79%	0.03731	+6.11%	0.0343	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.034652	-1.95%	0.03251	-8.01%	0.1357	✓	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.034182	-1.97%	0.03523	+1.03%	0.0711	✓	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.036247	-2.12%	0.03633	-1.89%	0.1257	✓	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.039304	-2.40%	0.03601	-10.58%	0.1562	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.044227	-2.88%	0.03574	-21.52%	0.2655	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.042259	-2.94%	0.03374	-22.51%	0.2746	✓	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.044652	-3.29%	0.03516	-23.85%	0.2684	✓	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.04004	-2.98%	0.03534	-14.37%	0.1228	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.03891	-2.97%	0.03487	-13.04%	0.1263	✓	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.043232	-3.33%	0.03703	-17.20%	0.1301	✓	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.042856	-3.41%	0.04027	-9.24%	0.0492	✓	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.043428	-3.67%	0.04554	+1.02%	0.0566	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.040689	-3.81%	0.04354	+2.93%	0.0818	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.03861	-3.52%	0.04617	+15.37%	0.1479	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.034832	-3.24%	0.04127	+14.64%	0.1440	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.046109	-4.75%	0.0401	-17.17%	0.1325	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.038468	-3.88%	0.04472	+11.74%	0.1161	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.031233	-3.36%	0.04437	+37.28%	0.3432	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.029009	-3.59%	0.04508	+49.82%	0.4742	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.030416	-3.62%	0.0423	+34.03%	0.3678	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.03137	-3.68%	0.04002	+22.87%	0.3669	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.032517	-3.63%	0.036	+6.70%	0.2047	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.035782	-3.55%	0.04841	+30.49%	0.3857	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.037715	-3.69%	0.04002	+2.20%	0.1347	✗	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.037595	-3.75%	0.03232	-17.26%	0.1117	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.038463	-3.84%	0.03009	-24.78%	0.2632	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.038708	-3.93%	0.03156	-21.67%	0.2209	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.039003	-3.93%	0.03257	-19.78%	0.1882	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.042294	-4.18%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.2014	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.042207	-4.47%	0.0371	-16.03%	0.1538	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.040231	-4.53%	0.03916	-7.07%	0.1128	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.047765	-5.84%	0.03906	-23.00%	0.2018	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.038805	-4.56%	0.04	-1.62%	0.0582	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.042646	-5.75%	0.04029	-10.96%	0.0289	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.036389	-4.69%	0.0406	+6.34%	0.0956	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.034124	-5.05%	0.04414	+22.82%	0.2037	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.03446	-5.36%	0.04418	+21.34%	0.1705	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.032687	-5.01%	0.04214	+22.46%	0.2941	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.026163	-3.78%	0.05073	+86.58%	0.5949	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.035084	-5.81%	0.04066	+9.15%	0.0052	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.030129	-4.56%	0.04525	+43.33%	0.2704	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.027323	-3.72%	0.03818	+34.53%	0.2216	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.029468	-4.33%	0.03594	+16.69%	0.2223	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.031104	-4.73%	0.03641	+11.52%	0.2926	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.028716	-4.53%	0.03441	+14.39%	0.2733	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.028971	-4.61%	0.02719	-10.47%	0.1145	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.028059	-4.92%	0.03725	+26.23%	0.5494	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.029409	-5.10%	0.03157	+1.87%	0.3059	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.030317	-5.50%	0.02838	-11.53%	0.2639	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.02856	-4.77%	0.0308	+2.70%	0.3289	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.027989	-4.77%	0.03265	+11.09%	0.4034	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.0269	-4.47%	0.03008	+6.82%	0.4632	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.02832	-6.10%	0.03037	+0.70%	0.3394	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.027706	-5.64%	0.02951	+0.51%	0.2389	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.023981	-4.34%	0.03099	+23.61%	0.4895	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.021698	-3.95%	0.03208	+42.01%	0.4343	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.025112	-4.95%	0.02999	+13.51%	0.2321	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.02407	-5.87%	0.02939	+14.94%	0.1617	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.022481	-5.02%	0.02816	+18.97%	0.2409	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.018565	-3.25%	0.03016	+57.17%	0.6647	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017029	-3.03%	0.02936	+67.20%	0.7859	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015718	-2.85%	0.02507	+54.94%	0.6596	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.0128	-1.54%	0.02259	+73.77%	0.7823	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.01289	-1.52%	0.02642	+101.83%	0.9027	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013413	-1.59%	0.02557	+87.60%	0.9958	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.014259	-1.87%	0.02367	+62.90%	0.7303	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.014305	-1.89%	0.01919	+31.62%	0.4106	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.015215	-2.72%	0.01756	+12.28%	0.1938	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012923	-1.58%	0.01618	+23.23%	0.2714	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.013262	-1.76%	0.013	-3.70%	0.0376	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011884	-0.72%	0.01309	+9.36%	0.0196	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012826	-1.41%	0.01363	+4.77%	0.0799	✓	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.013166	-1.31%	0.01453	+8.92%	0.0112	✓	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013254	-1.09%	0.01458	+8.81%	0.0884	✓	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013384	-0.86%	0.01564	+15.85%	0.0123	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011763	+1.84%	0.01313	+13.68%	0.0363	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011677	+1.90%	0.0135	+17.80%	0.0833	✓	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012223	+0.52%	0.01197	-1.56%	0.0834	✓	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012456	-0.51%	0.01301	+3.91%	0.1953	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013216	-1.59%	0.01334	-0.67%	0.1586	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012085	-1.83%	0.0134	+8.85%	0.3052	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011884	-0.64%	0.0135	+12.88%	0.2484	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.011193	-2.42%	0.01155	+0.70%	0.2552	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020919	-1.88%	0.01146	-46.25%	0.3225	✓	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.021921	-2.05%	0.01216	-45.67%	0.3467	✓	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019415	-1.75%	0.01252	-36.64%	0.2695	✓	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021127	-1.96%	0.01343	-37.68%	0.2597	✓	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020727	-1.91%	0.01231	-41.74%	0.3475	✓	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.022071	-2.04%	0.01196	-46.92%	0.3628	✓	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022844	-2.25%	0.01147	-50.92%	0.4917	✓	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.022678	-2.34%	0.02132	-8.18%	0.0843	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020617	-2.10%	0.02238	+6.27%	0.0134	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.020207	-2.10%	0.01976	-4.26%	0.1840	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019467	-2.18%	0.02155	+8.29%	0.1431	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.019972	-2.34%	0.02113	+3.33%	0.2303	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019867	-2.47%	0.02253	+10.60%	0.2065	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020458	-2.72%	0.02337	+11.13%	0.1980	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019761	-2.80%	0.02322	+14.22%	0.1458	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017472	-2.55%	0.02106	+17.46%	0.0196	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.016415	-2.58%	0.02064	+22.49%	0.1630	✗	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016701	-2.51%	0.0199	+16.17%	0.1246	✗	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.019044	-2.34%	0.02045	+4.87%	0.1656	✗	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019746	-2.30%	0.02037	+0.79%	0.2229	✗	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019441	-2.21%	0.02103	+5.78%	0.2679	✗	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.021645	-2.37%	0.02033	-8.30%	0.1899	✗	3.53

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.