ARCSOL

? · · gru_s9

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,989

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0676

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0067

actual +0.0050

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06386	0.063047	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-21	oos	0.06335	0.062438	-1.44%	0.06386	+0.81%	0.0228	✗	-0.11
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.051362	-0.83%	0.06335	+22.32%	0.2116	✗	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.04389	-0.29%	0.05179	+17.65%	0.1680	✗	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.041225	-0.07%	0.04402	+6.70%	0.0652	✗	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.04015	+0.14%	0.041255	+2.89%	0.0287	✓	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.035687	+0.63%	0.040095	+13.06%	0.1162	✓	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.038957	+0.35%	0.035465	-8.64%	0.0956	✗	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.037208	+0.60%	0.03882	+4.96%	0.0440	✓	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.031792	+0.78%	0.036985	+17.25%	0.1490	✓	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.059604	-0.21%	0.031545	-47.19%	0.6385	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.062866	-0.15%	0.05973	-5.13%	0.0469	✓	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.061348	-0.16%	0.06296	+2.47%	0.0240	✗	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.062861	-0.18%	0.061445	-2.43%	0.0237	✓	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.060759	-0.16%	0.062975	+3.48%	0.0337	✗	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.063998	-0.08%	0.060855	-4.99%	0.0469	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.071887	-0.08%	0.06405	-10.97%	0.1132	✓	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.070329	-0.02%	0.071945	+2.27%	0.0229	✗	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.072984	-0.04%	0.070345	-3.66%	0.0362	✓	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.071078	-0.08%	0.073015	+2.64%	0.0255	✗	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.070582	-0.07%	0.071135	+0.71%	0.0076	✗	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.072203	-0.05%	0.070635	-2.22%	0.0217	✓	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.070407	-0.06%	0.07224	+2.54%	0.0251	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.072584	-0.09%	0.07045	-3.03%	0.0298	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.069896	-0.03%	0.07265	+3.90%	0.0386	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.072723	-0.04%	0.06992	-3.89%	0.0392	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.070702	+0.02%	0.07275	+2.91%	0.0286	✓	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.071749	-0.00%	0.07069	-1.48%	0.0148	✓	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.07353	-0.01%	0.07175	-2.43%	0.0246	✓	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.078442	-0.11%	0.07354	-6.35%	0.0645	✓	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.078186	-0.04%	0.07853	+0.40%	0.0037	✗	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.078096	-0.08%	0.078215	+0.07%	0.0014	✗	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.073518	-0.19%	0.07816	+6.12%	0.0697	✗	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.063798	+0.08%	0.073655	+15.55%	0.1436	✓	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.070943	-0.05%	0.063745	-10.19%	0.1065	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.070109	-0.21%	0.070975	+1.02%	0.0195	✗	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.073967	-0.34%	0.07026	-5.34%	0.0511	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.078858	-0.61%	0.07422	-6.45%	0.0599	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.072914	-0.19%	0.07934	+8.61%	0.0814	✗	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.069278	-0.15%	0.07305	+5.29%	0.0548	✗	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.073014	-0.19%	0.06938	-5.15%	0.0518	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.073752	-0.21%	0.07315	-1.03%	0.0081	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.073372	-0.24%	0.07391	+0.49%	0.0088	✗	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.071889	-0.12%	0.07355	+2.19%	0.0193	✗	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.072433	-0.12%	0.071975	-0.75%	0.0067	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.074625	-0.18%	0.07252	-3.00%	0.0300	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.071942	-0.01%	0.07476	+3.91%	0.0362	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.07398	-0.05%	0.07195	-2.79%	0.0269	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.074249	-0.04%	0.074015	-0.36%	0.0029	✓	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.071945	+0.08%	0.07428	+3.32%	0.0299	✓	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072678	-0.09%	0.07189	-1.17%	0.0012	✓	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.064874	+0.08%	0.07274	+12.22%	0.1142	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.069443	+0.08%	0.06482	-6.59%	0.0728	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.067679	+0.10%	0.06939	+2.63%	0.0262	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.070639	+0.10%	0.06761	-4.19%	0.0449	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.06997	+0.11%	0.07057	+0.97%	0.0093	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.067015	+0.28%	0.06989	+4.58%	0.0387	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.071276	+0.18%	0.06683	-6.07%	0.0630	✗	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.072265	+0.13%	0.07115	-1.41%	0.0148	✗	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.070621	+0.20%	0.07217	+2.40%	0.0211	✓	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.069436	+0.20%	0.07048	+1.70%	0.0167	✓	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.066999	+0.22%	0.0693	+3.66%	0.0348	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.068276	+0.26%	0.06685	-1.84%	0.0232	✗	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.069389	+0.04%	0.0681	-1.82%	0.0116	✗	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.069012	-0.13%	0.06936	+0.38%	0.0108	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.069068	-0.42%	0.0691	-0.37%	0.0088	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.073605	-0.56%	0.06936	-6.30%	0.0591	✓	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.071459	-0.59%	0.07402	+2.98%	0.0387	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.071442	-0.60%	0.07188	+0.01%	0.0057	✓	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.076403	-0.80%	0.07187	-6.69%	0.0611	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.075078	-0.82%	0.07702	+1.74%	0.0250	✗	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.071363	-0.79%	0.0757	+5.24%	0.0590	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.065573	-0.53%	0.07193	+9.12%	0.0920	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.064253	-0.51%	0.06592	+2.07%	0.0240	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.065733	-0.71%	0.06458	-2.45%	0.0220	✓	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.062844	-0.91%	0.0662	+4.38%	0.0517	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.052286	-0.14%	0.06342	+21.12%	0.1932	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.054528	-0.28%	0.05236	-4.24%	0.0370	✓	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.051212	-0.17%	0.05468	+6.59%	0.0637	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.052884	-0.22%	0.0513	-3.21%	0.0276	✓	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.0508	-0.20%	0.053	+4.13%	0.0456	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.051209	-0.16%	0.0509	-0.76%	0.0062	✓	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.051759	-0.18%	0.05129	-1.08%	0.0053	✓	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.053331	-0.20%	0.05185	-2.98%	0.0285	✓	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.052688	-0.14%	0.05344	+1.29%	0.0044	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.053619	-0.15%	0.05276	-1.75%	0.0122	✓	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051469	-0.08%	0.0537	+4.25%	0.0427	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.053987	-0.10%	0.05151	-4.68%	0.0462	✓	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055889	-0.07%	0.05404	-3.38%	0.0411	✓	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.059965	-0.09%	0.05593	-6.81%	0.0644	✓	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.062169	-0.10%	0.06002	-3.55%	0.0342	✓	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.061429	-0.03%	0.06223	+1.27%	0.0086	✗	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.064523	+0.00%	0.06145	-4.76%	0.0536	✗	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.066612	+0.02%	0.06452	-3.12%	0.0339	✗	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.07008	-0.06%	0.0666	-5.02%	0.0452	✓	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.070627	-0.09%	0.07012	-0.81%	0.0049	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.070868	-0.09%	0.07069	-0.34%	0.0030	✓	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.073037	-0.14%	0.07093	-3.02%	0.0264	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.074619	-0.18%	0.07314	-2.15%	0.0196	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.075648	-0.19%	0.07475	-1.37%	0.0154	✓	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.080165	-0.30%	0.07579	-5.75%	0.0571	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.073993	-0.27%	0.08041	+8.38%	0.0990	✗	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.077931	-0.27%	0.07419	-5.06%	0.0589	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.078567	-0.28%	0.07814	-0.82%	0.0057	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.079226	-0.29%	0.07879	-0.84%	0.0077	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.078845	-0.32%	0.07946	+0.46%	0.0137	✗	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.080837	-0.39%	0.0791	-2.53%	0.0160	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.080653	-0.37%	0.08115	+0.25%	0.0005	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.082047	-0.38%	0.08095	-1.71%	0.0171	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.081069	-0.39%	0.08236	+1.19%	0.0177	✗	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.077794	-0.37%	0.08139	+4.24%	0.0476	✗	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.078756	-0.38%	0.07808	-1.24%	0.0058	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.082345	-0.48%	0.07906	-4.45%	0.0358	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.082826	-0.54%	0.08274	-0.65%	0.0062	✗	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.083411	-0.58%	0.08328	-0.74%	0.0047	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.08311	-0.55%	0.0839	+0.39%	0.0022	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.08748	-0.74%	0.08357	-5.17%	0.0434	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.083588	-0.67%	0.08813	+4.73%	0.0514	✗	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.083643	-0.72%	0.08415	-0.12%	0.0058	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.083111	-0.73%	0.08425	+0.63%	0.0145	✗	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.082044	-0.71%	0.08372	+1.32%	0.0143	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.082098	-0.70%	0.08263	-0.06%	0.0003	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.083134	-0.66%	0.08268	-1.21%	0.0108	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.079688	-0.60%	0.08369	+4.39%	0.0520	✗	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.079464	-0.60%	0.08017	+0.29%	0.0045	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.078412	-0.58%	0.07994	+1.36%	0.0225	✗	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.081401	-0.69%	0.07887	-3.78%	0.0291	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.08397	-0.79%	0.08197	-3.15%	0.0308	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.073447	-0.46%	0.08464	+14.70%	0.1373	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.076859	-0.52%	0.07379	-4.49%	0.0444	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.081417	-0.66%	0.07726	-5.73%	0.0499	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.088519	-1.00%	0.08196	-8.33%	0.0711	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.087537	-1.46%	0.08941	+0.65%	0.0258	✗	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.082784	-0.85%	0.08883	+6.40%	0.0704	✗	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.08309	-1.05%	0.08349	-0.57%	0.0156	✗	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.082265	-1.02%	0.08397	+1.03%	0.0193	✗	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.08307	-1.05%	0.08311	-1.00%	0.0068	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.08267	-1.08%	0.08395	+0.45%	0.0144	✗	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.081776	-1.21%	0.08357	+0.95%	0.0285	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.080058	-1.36%	0.08278	+2.00%	0.0330	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.074521	-0.96%	0.08116	+7.87%	0.0831	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.073464	-0.98%	0.07524	+1.42%	0.0236	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.070354	-0.77%	0.07419	+4.64%	0.0534	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.07596	-0.86%	0.0709	-7.47%	0.0719	✓	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.072918	-0.70%	0.07662	+4.34%	0.0515	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.077484	-1.10%	0.07343	-6.28%	0.0530	✓	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.07386	-1.05%	0.07835	+4.97%	0.0585	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.071133	-0.83%	0.07464	+4.06%	0.0482	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.063655	-0.48%	0.07173	+12.15%	0.1203	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.064053	-0.43%	0.06396	-0.58%	0.0030	✓	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.064762	-0.40%	0.06433	-1.06%	0.0184	✓	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.06377	-0.39%	0.06502	+1.56%	0.0218	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.064204	-0.44%	0.06402	-0.73%	0.0002	✓	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.063722	-0.45%	0.06449	+0.75%	0.0226	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.063826	-0.43%	0.06401	-0.14%	0.0160	✓	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.064933	-0.49%	0.0641	-1.76%	0.0123	✓	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.064318	-0.47%	0.06525	+0.97%	0.0208	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.06555	-0.52%	0.06462	-1.93%	0.0159	✓	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.06725	-0.65%	0.06589	-2.66%	0.0246	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.061496	-0.46%	0.06769	+9.57%	0.0900	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.07304	-0.98%	0.06178	-16.24%	0.1760	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.060027	-0.39%	0.07376	+22.40%	0.1909	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.063508	-0.52%	0.06026	-5.61%	0.0418	✓	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.066757	-0.57%	0.06384	-4.92%	0.0527	✓	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.063765	-0.46%	0.06714	+4.81%	0.0444	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.062613	-0.41%	0.06406	+1.89%	0.0199	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.068186	-0.58%	0.06287	-8.33%	0.0723	✓	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.069149	-0.59%	0.06858	-1.41%	0.0059	✓	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.067058	-0.52%	0.06956	+3.19%	0.0373	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.069117	-0.45%	0.06741	-2.91%	0.0235	✓	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.069693	-0.50%	0.06943	-0.87%	0.0033	✓	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.066248	-0.48%	0.07004	+5.21%	0.0561	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.068055	-0.56%	0.06657	-2.73%	0.0184	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.071259	-0.61%	0.06844	-4.55%	0.0407	✓	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.074702	-0.67%	0.0717	-4.67%	0.0400	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.074272	-0.77%	0.07521	+0.48%	0.0171	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.074577	-0.79%	0.07485	-0.43%	0.0049	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.066395	-0.58%	0.07517	+12.56%	0.1235	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.078239	-0.99%	0.06678	-15.49%	0.1598	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.068269	-0.42%	0.07902	+15.26%	0.1449	✗	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.066458	-0.38%	0.06856	+2.77%	0.0323	✗	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.064336	-0.38%	0.06671	+3.30%	0.0363	✗	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.066311	-0.33%	0.06458	-2.93%	0.0269	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.064944	-0.33%	0.06653	+2.10%	0.0242	✗	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.066322	-0.45%	0.06516	-2.19%	0.0166	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.066222	-0.42%	0.06662	+0.18%	0.0064	✗	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.065054	-0.48%	0.0665	+1.73%	0.0266	✗	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.06811	-0.39%	0.06537	-4.40%	0.0463	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.069364	-0.30%	0.06838	-1.71%	0.0183	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.072403	-0.49%	0.06957	-4.38%	0.0346	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.069265	-0.47%	0.07276	+4.56%	0.0502	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.069829	-0.50%	0.06959	-0.84%	0.0016	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.07171	-0.55%	0.07018	-2.68%	0.0224	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.073908	-0.87%	0.07211	-3.29%	0.0220	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.075775	-0.90%	0.07456	-2.48%	0.0182	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.070421	-0.82%	0.07646	+7.69%	0.0823	✗	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.070186	-1.06%	0.071	+0.08%	0.0124	✗	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.059643	-0.53%	0.07094	+18.31%	0.1743	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.058256	-0.47%	0.05996	+2.44%	0.0279	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.056619	-0.55%	0.05853	+2.81%	0.0363	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.053317	-0.44%	0.05693	+6.31%	0.0654	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.05471	-0.58%	0.05355	-2.69%	0.0199	✓	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.0543	-0.64%	0.05503	+0.70%	0.0137	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.052016	-0.60%	0.05465	+4.43%	0.0494	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.054426	-0.66%	0.05233	-4.49%	0.0406	✓	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.053392	-0.65%	0.05479	+1.95%	0.0257	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.050334	-0.62%	0.05374	+6.10%	0.0675	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.050023	-0.69%	0.05065	+0.56%	0.0137	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.051264	-0.84%	0.05037	-2.57%	0.0182	✓	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.047145	-0.64%	0.0517	+8.96%	0.0922	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.04251	-0.37%	0.04745	+11.20%	0.1076	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.044401	-0.42%	0.04267	-4.31%	0.0429	✓	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.046407	-0.52%	0.04459	-4.42%	0.0390	✓	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.047201	-0.57%	0.04665	-1.73%	0.0121	✓	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.047796	-0.69%	0.04747	-1.37%	0.0042	✓	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.0493	-0.80%	0.04813	-3.16%	0.0251	✓	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.04807	-0.81%	0.0497	+2.56%	0.0320	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.044327	-0.68%	0.04846	+8.58%	0.0897	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.040605	-0.53%	0.04463	+9.33%	0.0940	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.036261	-0.35%	0.04082	+12.17%	0.1189	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.042832	-0.38%	0.03639	-15.36%	0.1623	✓	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.046286	-0.57%	0.042995	-7.64%	0.0772	✓	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.048221	-0.80%	0.04655	-4.24%	0.0373	✓	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.042252	-0.61%	0.04861	+14.35%	0.1399	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.04363	-0.73%	0.04251	-3.28%	0.0264	✓	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.04167	-0.74%	0.04395	+4.69%	0.0529	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.042246	-0.99%	0.04198	-1.62%	0.0066	✓	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.038288	-0.81%	0.04267	+10.54%	0.1074	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.034648	-0.49%	0.0386	+10.86%	0.1089	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.035862	-0.69%	0.03482	-3.57%	0.0301	✓	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.038135	-0.87%	0.03611	-6.13%	0.0551	✓	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.036824	-0.96%	0.03847	+3.47%	0.0426	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.039111	-0.96%	0.03718	-5.85%	0.0517	✓	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.036427	-1.17%	0.03949	+7.14%	0.0865	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.050449	-1.72%	0.03686	-28.19%	0.3146	✓	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.041177	-1.63%	0.05133	+22.62%	0.2296	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.027566	-2.07%	0.04186	+48.70%	0.4174	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.03028	-1.62%	0.02815	-8.54%	0.0729	✓	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.029815	-2.47%	0.03078	+0.69%	0.0318	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.057522	-0.64%	0.03057	-47.19%	0.6325	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.100771	-2.37%	0.05789	-43.92%	0.5823	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.089217	-1.70%	0.10322	+13.73%	0.1498	✗	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.0886	-2.07%	0.09076	+0.32%	0.0449	✗	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.072857	-0.90%	0.09047	+23.05%	0.2191	✗	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.072504	-0.92%	0.07352	+0.46%	0.0141	✗	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.075744	-1.09%	0.07318	-4.44%	0.0406	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.076686	-1.39%	0.07658	-1.53%	0.0046	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.076205	-1.21%	0.07777	+0.82%	0.0273	✗	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.078212	-1.40%	0.07714	-2.75%	0.0047	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.075842	-1.38%	0.07932	+3.15%	0.0444	✗	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.078134	-1.63%	0.0769	-3.19%	0.0094	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.080447	-2.38%	0.07943	-3.62%	0.0192	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.073803	-1.79%	0.08241	+9.66%	0.0943	✗	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.0659	-1.24%	0.07515	+12.62%	0.1367	✗	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.070034	-1.64%	0.06673	-6.28%	0.0376	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.063114	-1.28%	0.0712	+11.37%	0.1285	✗	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.073638	-2.47%	0.06393	-15.32%	0.1403	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.060979	-1.26%	0.0755	+22.25%	0.2084	✗	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.077398	-2.86%	0.06176	-22.49%	0.2200	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.067081	-1.63%	0.07968	+16.85%	0.1614	✗	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.0621	-2.00%	0.06819	+7.61%	0.1544	✗	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.06845	-2.73%	0.06337	-9.95%	0.0625	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.046358	-0.43%	0.07037	+51.14%	0.4477	✗	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.041788	+0.14%	0.04656	+11.57%	0.0941	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.043091	-0.02%	0.04173	-3.18%	0.0223	✓	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.042273	-0.32%	0.0431	+1.63%	0.0532	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.04766	-0.56%	0.04241	-11.52%	0.1143	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.05413	-0.79%	0.04793	-12.15%	0.0990	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.051194	-0.75%	0.05456	+5.78%	0.0635	✗	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.04956	-0.70%	0.05158	+3.35%	0.0356	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.050038	-0.66%	0.04991	-0.91%	0.0119	✓	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.0573	-0.81%	0.05037	-12.81%	0.1178	✓	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.059926	-0.90%	0.05777	-4.47%	0.0353	✓	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.061938	-0.95%	0.06047	-3.29%	0.0240	✓	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.069148	-1.36%	0.06253	-10.80%	0.1010	✓	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.079402	-2.51%	0.0701	-13.93%	0.1302	✓	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.065826	-1.68%	0.08145	+21.66%	0.2476	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.054215	-1.01%	0.06695	+22.24%	0.2202	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.048739	-0.69%	0.05477	+11.59%	0.1296	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.051275	-0.73%	0.04908	-4.98%	0.0404	✓	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.054172	-0.82%	0.05165	-5.44%	0.0469	✓	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.056576	-1.02%	0.05462	-4.44%	0.0236	✓	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.065653	-2.40%	0.05716	-15.03%	0.1540	✓	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.048517	-0.95%	0.06727	+37.34%	0.2990	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.048368	-1.11%	0.04898	+0.14%	0.0103	✓	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.043627	-0.85%	0.04891	+11.16%	0.1108	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.042389	-0.84%	0.044	+2.92%	0.0383	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.037115	-0.52%	0.04275	+14.58%	0.1449	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.032418	-0.28%	0.03731	+14.76%	0.1450	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.035144	-0.24%	0.03251	-7.72%	0.0357	✓	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.03624	-0.25%	0.03523	-3.03%	0.0257	✓	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.035898	-0.31%	0.03633	+0.89%	0.0317	✓	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.035621	-0.33%	0.03601	+0.76%	0.0059	✓	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.03364	-0.30%	0.03574	+5.93%	0.0487	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.035043	-0.33%	0.03374	-4.04%	0.0610	✓	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.035209	-0.37%	0.03516	-0.51%	0.0253	✓	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.034753	-0.33%	0.03534	+1.35%	0.0344	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.036885	-0.39%	0.03487	-5.83%	0.0813	✓	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.040065	-0.51%	0.03703	-8.05%	0.0639	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.045217	-0.71%	0.04027	-11.57%	0.1172	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.043222	-0.73%	0.04554	+4.59%	0.0426	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.045753	-0.90%	0.04354	-5.70%	0.0519	✓	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.040984	-0.69%	0.04617	+11.87%	0.1275	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.039831	-0.67%	0.04127	+2.92%	0.0324	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.044343	-0.84%	0.0401	-10.33%	0.0813	✓	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.043981	-0.88%	0.04472	+0.79%	0.0181	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.044616	-1.03%	0.04437	-1.57%	0.0111	✓	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.041802	-1.18%	0.04508	+6.57%	0.0714	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.03963	-0.97%	0.0423	+5.70%	0.0180	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.035705	-0.82%	0.04002	+11.17%	0.1280	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.047536	-1.81%	0.036	-25.64%	0.2500	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.039526	-1.23%	0.04841	+20.96%	0.1795	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.032051	-0.83%	0.04002	+23.82%	0.2522	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.029855	-0.78%	0.03232	+7.41%	0.1153	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.031315	-0.77%	0.03009	-4.66%	0.0395	✓	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.032329	-0.74%	0.03156	-3.10%	0.0143	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.033495	-0.73%	0.03257	-3.47%	0.0366	✓	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.036819	-0.76%	0.03374	-9.06%	0.0763	✓	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.038828	-0.85%	0.0371	-5.26%	0.0805	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.038725	-0.86%	0.03916	+0.26%	0.0068	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.039633	-0.92%	0.03906	-2.35%	0.0349	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.039906	-0.95%	0.04	-0.72%	0.0038	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.040223	-0.93%	0.04029	-0.76%	0.0510	✗	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.043641	-1.13%	0.0406	-8.02%	0.0486	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.043601	-1.31%	0.04414	-0.09%	0.0260	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.041576	-1.34%	0.04418	+4.84%	0.0376	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.049531	-2.36%	0.04214	-16.93%	0.0863	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.040101	-1.37%	0.05073	+24.77%	0.2433	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.044214	-2.29%	0.04066	-10.14%	0.0825	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.037624	-1.46%	0.04525	+18.52%	0.1920	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.035318	-1.73%	0.03818	+6.23%	0.0625	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.035692	-1.97%	0.03594	-1.29%	0.0549	✓	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.033826	-1.70%	0.03641	+5.81%	0.0925	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.026956	-0.86%	0.03441	+26.55%	0.2163	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.036356	-2.40%	0.02719	-27.01%	0.3408	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.031075	-1.57%	0.03725	+17.99%	0.1906	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.028106	-0.96%	0.03157	+11.24%	0.1522	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.030438	-1.18%	0.02838	-7.86%	0.0506	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.032181	-1.44%	0.0308	-5.67%	0.0095	✓	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.029691	-1.29%	0.03265	+8.54%	0.0759	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.029972	-1.31%	0.03008	-0.95%	0.0524	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.029038	-1.60%	0.03037	+2.91%	0.0765	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.030455	-1.73%	0.02951	-4.78%	0.0560	✓	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.031419	-2.06%	0.03099	-3.40%	0.1097	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.029542	-1.49%	0.03208	+6.97%	0.1307	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.028951	-1.49%	0.02999	+2.04%	0.0676	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.027756	-1.43%	0.02939	+4.37%	0.1284	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.029358	-2.66%	0.02816	-6.63%	0.0727	✓	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.028704	-2.23%	0.03016	+2.72%	0.0106	✓	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.024701	-1.47%	0.02936	+17.11%	0.1983	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.022313	-1.23%	0.02507	+10.98%	0.0660	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.025914	-1.91%	0.02259	-14.50%	0.0740	✓	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.024903	-2.61%	0.02642	+3.32%	0.0002	✓	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.023136	-2.26%	0.02557	+8.03%	0.2410	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.018961	-1.19%	0.02367	+23.35%	0.3430	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017362	-1.13%	0.01919	+9.28%	0.0857	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.016001	-1.10%	0.01756	+8.53%	0.0782	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012959	-0.32%	0.01618	+24.46%	0.1854	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.01305	-0.30%	0.013	-0.69%	0.0468	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013581	-0.36%	0.01309	-3.96%	0.0478	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.014453	-0.53%	0.01363	-6.19%	0.0246	✓	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.014497	-0.57%	0.01453	-0.34%	0.0155	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.015475	-1.06%	0.01458	-6.78%	0.1478	✓	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.013076	-0.41%	0.01564	+19.12%	0.1597	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.013426	-0.55%	0.01313	-2.74%	0.0514	✓	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011953	-0.15%	0.0135	+12.78%	0.0420	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012941	-0.53%	0.01197	-7.99%	0.0533	✓	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.013283	-0.43%	0.01301	-2.47%	0.0499	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013342	-0.43%	0.01334	-0.45%	0.0604	✓	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013438	-0.46%	0.0134	-0.74%	0.0507	✓	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011594	+0.38%	0.0135	+16.88%	0.1280	✓	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011506	+0.40%	0.01155	+0.79%	0.0606	✓	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012171	+0.09%	0.01146	-5.76%	0.0240	✓	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012506	-0.11%	0.01216	-2.88%	0.0442	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013384	-0.34%	0.01252	-6.78%	0.0025	✓	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012271	-0.32%	0.01343	+9.10%	0.0840	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011949	-0.09%	0.01231	+2.93%	0.1112	✓	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.011428	-0.37%	0.01196	+4.27%	0.1201	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.021251	-0.32%	0.01147	-46.20%	0.4402	✓	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.022289	-0.41%	0.02132	-4.74%	0.0144	✓	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019712	-0.24%	0.02238	+13.26%	0.0890	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021482	-0.31%	0.01976	-8.31%	0.0172	✓	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.02107	-0.28%	0.02155	+1.99%	0.0011	✓	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.022445	-0.38%	0.02113	-6.21%	0.0819	✓	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.023256	-0.49%	0.02253	-3.59%	0.0346	✓	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.023091	-0.56%	0.02337	+0.65%	0.0229	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020974	-0.41%	0.02322	+10.26%	0.0613	✗	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.020548	-0.44%	0.02106	+2.03%	0.0779	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019818	-0.41%	0.02064	+3.72%	0.0480	✗	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.020348	-0.50%	0.0199	-2.69%	0.0793	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.020255	-0.57%	0.02045	+0.39%	0.0588	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020882	-0.70%	0.02037	-3.14%	0.0244	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.020174	-0.77%	0.02103	+3.44%	0.0231	✗	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017842	-0.49%	0.02033	+13.39%	0.2721	✗	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.016773	-0.45%	0.01793	+6.41%	0.0237	✗	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.017057	-0.42%	0.01685	-1.63%	0.0104	✗	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.019416	-0.43%	0.01713	-12.15%	0.0476	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.020124	-0.42%	0.0195	-3.51%	0.0170	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019803	-0.39%	0.02021	+1.66%	0.0184	✗	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.022057	-0.51%	0.01988	-10.33%	0.0606	✓	3.53

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.