ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +7d
assessed
48
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
79.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1218
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0059
actual -0.1176
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.004485 | 0.004482 | -0.06% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00452 | 0.004509 | -0.25% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004404 | -0.02% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004421 | -0.32% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004792 | -1.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004831 | -1.11% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.00494 | -1.49% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004572 | -0.50% | 0.004485 | -2.39% | 0.0037 | ✓ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.00454 | -0.44% | 0.00452 | -0.88% | 0.0141 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004613 | -0.48% | 0.004405 | -4.96% | 0.0473 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004753 | -0.67% | 0.004435 | -7.31% | 0.0685 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.00495 | -0.70% | 0.004845 | -2.81% | 0.0348 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005066 | -0.86% | 0.004885 | -4.40% | 0.0487 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.00501 | -0.89% | 0.005015 | -0.79% | 0.0075 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005195 | -1.24% | 0.004595 | -12.64% | 0.1192 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.00566 | -1.05% | 0.00456 | -20.28% | 0.2312 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005796 | -0.24% | 0.004635 | -20.22% | 0.2451 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005867 | -0.14% | 0.004785 | -18.55% | 0.2393 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005996 | +0.02% | 0.004985 | -16.85% | 0.2094 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006121 | -0.39% | 0.00511 | -16.84% | 0.1971 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005942 | -0.30% | 0.005055 | -15.18% | 0.1794 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005906 | -0.14% | 0.00526 | -11.07% | 0.1441 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006193 | -0.44% | 0.00572 | -8.04% | 0.0819 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006285 | -0.40% | 0.00581 | -7.92% | 0.0620 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006406 | -0.45% | 0.005875 | -8.70% | 0.0667 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006506 | -0.22% | 0.005995 | -8.05% | 0.0643 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006409 | -0.10% | 0.006145 | -4.21% | 0.0392 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006398 | -0.12% | 0.00596 | -6.95% | 0.0673 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006514 | -0.10% | 0.005915 | -9.28% | 0.0925 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006231 | +0.02% | 0.00622 | -0.16% | 0.0087 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.00684 | +0.15% | 0.00631 | -7.61% | 0.1048 | ✗ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006874 | +0.20% | 0.006435 | -6.20% | 0.0951 | ✗ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006747 | -0.78% | 0.00652 | -4.12% | 0.0116 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006968 | -0.73% | 0.006415 | -8.62% | 0.0386 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006871 | -0.78% | 0.006405 | -7.51% | 0.1092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006737 | -1.36% | 0.00652 | -4.54% | 0.1329 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006658 | -1.37% | 0.00623 | -7.70% | 0.1691 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.00771 | -3.20% | 0.00683 | -14.25% | 0.2527 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005856 | -0.50% | 0.00686 | +16.57% | 0.0560 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.0061 | -0.42% | 0.0068 | +11.02% | 0.0535 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006285 | -0.63% | 0.00702 | +10.99% | 0.0604 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006584 | -0.76% | 0.006925 | +4.37% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006879 | -0.87% | 0.00683 | -1.59% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.006985 | -0.92% | 0.00675 | -4.26% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007903 | -0.96% | 0.007965 | -0.19% | 0.0450 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007949 | -0.76% | 0.005885 | -26.53% | 0.2890 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007898 | -0.60% | 0.006125 | -22.91% | 0.2091 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008138 | -0.69% | 0.006325 | -22.82% | 0.2194 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008244 | -0.56% | 0.006635 | -19.96% | 0.1856 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008277 | -0.28% | 0.00694 | -16.39% | 0.1162 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009183 | -0.94% | 0.00705 | -23.95% | 0.2768 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009692 | -0.75% | 0.00798 | -18.28% | 0.2078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010514 | -0.38% | 0.00801 | -24.11% | 0.2788 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.0107 | -0.38% | 0.007945 | -26.02% | 0.3315 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011041 | -0.08% | 0.008195 | -25.84% | 0.3183 | ✓ | 1.00 |