ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +1d
assessed
54
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
64.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0430
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0015
actual -0.0165
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.004485 | 0.004479 | -0.14% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00452 | 0.004513 | -0.16% | 0.004485 | -0.77% | 0.0048 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004406 | +0.03% | 0.00452 | +2.61% | 0.0337 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004433 | -0.05% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0023 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004826 | -0.40% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0858 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004866 | -0.38% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0006 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004984 | -0.62% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0210 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004595 | -0.01% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0829 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004561 | +0.01% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0118 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004636 | +0.03% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0282 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004783 | -0.05% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0210 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004983 | -0.04% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0559 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005105 | -0.09% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0178 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005048 | -0.13% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0151 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005243 | -0.32% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0297 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005705 | -0.26% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0953 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005811 | +0.02% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0358 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005877 | +0.04% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0133 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005999 | +0.07% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0275 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006142 | -0.05% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0086 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005959 | -0.02% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0328 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005917 | +0.03% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0043 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006216 | -0.07% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0383 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006306 | -0.07% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0144 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006429 | -0.09% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0171 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006518 | -0.03% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0215 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006416 | +0.02% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0164 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006406 | +0.01% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0042 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006519 | -0.01% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0202 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006234 | +0.06% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0449 | ✓ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006833 | +0.04% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.1094 | ✗ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006863 | +0.05% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0085 | ✗ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006785 | -0.22% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0855 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.007006 | -0.20% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0309 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.00691 | -0.22% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006804 | -0.38% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0400 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006716 | -0.50% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0141 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007825 | -1.75% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1552 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005875 | -0.16% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3380 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006116 | -0.14% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0563 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006315 | -0.17% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006621 | -0.21% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0465 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006922 | -0.26% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0510 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007034 | -0.23% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0091 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007958 | -0.28% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1190 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007994 | -0.20% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0064 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007933 | -0.15% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0252 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008183 | -0.15% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008282 | -0.09% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.0083 | -0.00% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0186 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.00925 | -0.22% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1583 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009749 | -0.16% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0492 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010547 | -0.07% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0621 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010733 | -0.06% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0282 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011052 | +0.02% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0214 | ✗ | 1.00 |