ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
62.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0444
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0027
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004734 | -0.85% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004389 | -0.37% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0825 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004419 | -0.37% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0055 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004813 | -0.67% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0831 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004856 | -0.59% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0027 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004977 | -0.75% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0197 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004588 | -0.16% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0844 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004554 | -0.13% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0131 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004629 | -0.13% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0267 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004777 | -0.17% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0198 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004975 | -0.20% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0544 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005099 | -0.21% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0166 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005045 | -0.20% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0157 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005246 | -0.26% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0302 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005702 | -0.31% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0948 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005798 | -0.21% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0335 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005862 | -0.23% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0107 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005979 | -0.26% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0242 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006126 | -0.32% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0060 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005944 | -0.27% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0354 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005899 | -0.26% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0072 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006199 | -0.34% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0356 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006288 | -0.36% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0115 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.00641 | -0.39% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0141 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006492 | -0.43% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0176 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006389 | -0.41% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0207 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006379 | -0.41% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0085 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006487 | -0.50% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0153 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006208 | -0.36% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0491 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006785 | -0.66% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.1024 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.00681 | -0.73% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0007 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006769 | -0.46% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0878 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.00698 | -0.58% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0271 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006887 | -0.54% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0146 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006812 | -0.27% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0411 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006728 | -0.33% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007833 | -1.65% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1563 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005897 | +0.20% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3344 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006144 | +0.30% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0607 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006346 | +0.33% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0294 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006654 | +0.28% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0513 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006956 | +0.23% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0560 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007065 | +0.21% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007981 | +0.01% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1219 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.00801 | +0.01% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007947 | +0.03% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0235 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008195 | +0.00% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0373 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008289 | -0.01% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0134 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008275 | -0.30% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009255 | -0.16% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1588 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009749 | -0.17% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0492 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010539 | -0.15% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0613 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010719 | -0.20% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011021 | -0.26% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0185 | ✓ | 1.00 |