8=======>

2022-09-24 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 193 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2379
192 of 193 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.2%
in alpha space · 77.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (193 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.9515.0647+0.77%14.25-4.68%0.0741✗0.871.3M2022-10-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.11880.117615-1.00%0.1071-9.85%0.1036✓0.4793k2022-10-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.03790.037037-2.28%0.0334-11.87%0.1290✓1.20529k2022-10-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0022110.00216-2.33%0.002248+1.67%0.0187✓1.011.8M2022-10-24
ZECZcashZcash55.6454.1096-2.75%51.99-6.56%0.0630✓1.081.1M2022-10-24
GITCOINGITCOIN1.81741.7671-2.77%1.56-14.16%0.1476✓1.0814k2022-10-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0374610.03637-2.91%0.03913+4.46%0.0598✗0.6224k2022-10-24
TRXTRONTron0.0599220.058143-2.97%0.06134+2.37%0.0430✗0.50129k2022-10-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062770.060905-2.97%0.06106-2.72%0.0158✓0.8626k2022-10-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,317.251,278.04-2.98%1,343.71+2.01%0.0224✓1.30536.5M2022-10-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,923.2018,349.70-3.03%19,330.41+2.15%0.0308✗1.00493.0M2022-10-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.6521.6019-3.03%1.446-12.47%0.1348✓1.5245k2022-10-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.16350.158501-3.06%0.1563-4.40%0.0203✓0.3056k2022-10-24
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.5257-3.09%4.58-1.93%0.0065✓0.86710k2022-10-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.004930.004776-3.12%0.00482-2.23%0.0054✓0.68878k2022-10-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.6627.7637-3.13%22.65-20.97%0.2383✓1.639.4M2022-10-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.010370.010035-3.23%0.0092-11.28%0.0975✓0.50173k2022-10-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5910.571897-3.23%0.532-9.98%0.0931✓0.9891k2022-10-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.04640.044881-3.27%0.0488+5.17%0.0687✗0.70219k2022-10-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.74050.716219-3.28%0.5387-27.25%0.3078✓1.08632k2022-10-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.276.0643-3.28%5.914-5.68%0.0488✓1.119.4M2022-10-24
AAVEAaveEthereum74.9472.443-3.33%85.19+13.68%0.1313✗1.445.0M2022-10-24
BTTCBTTC7.90e-77.63e-7-3.41%7.80e-7-1.27%0.0069✓0.711.7M2022-10-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.803860.776335-3.42%0.77899-3.09%0.0128✓0.7614k2022-10-24
KSMKusamaHydration41.1439.7283-3.43%34.16-16.97%0.1732✓1.04318k2022-10-24
MOVRMoonriverBase10.810410.435-3.47%10.5463-2.44%0.0092✓0.9318k2022-10-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.412.3252-3.52%2.191-9.09%0.0901✓1.442.1M2022-10-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04060.039147-3.58%0.03684-9.26%0.0786✓0.8415k2022-10-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.246020.2372-3.58%0.20387-17.13%0.1701✓0.8821k2022-10-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05530.053314-3.59%0.052-5.97%0.0523✓1.28470k2022-10-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.13010.125418-3.60%0.1175-9.68%0.0868✓1.0187k2022-10-24
FLOWFlownative1.6781.6175-3.61%1.48-11.80%0.1178✓1.361.1M2022-10-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.004970.00479-3.62%0.006228+25.31%0.2491✗0.631,5952022-10-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.7391.676-3.62%1.498-13.86%0.1380✓1.2119k2022-10-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.546.3017-3.64%5.61-14.22%0.1400✓1.1290k2022-10-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022750.021921-3.64%0.01694-25.54%0.2806✓1.079.2M2022-10-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.91690.883186-3.68%1.0562+15.19%0.1688✗0.471.9M2022-10-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.4351.4461-3.71%52.55-1.65%0.0011✓0.9515.7M2022-10-24
NANOnanopayBase0.7960.766185-3.75%0.711538-10.61%0.0932✓0.9044k2022-10-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06390.061471-3.80%–pending––0.731,0282022-10-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43690.420286-3.80%0.4242-2.91%0.0121✓1.01302k2022-10-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.6313.1111-3.81%16.96+24.43%0.2353✗1.042.1M2022-10-24
STEEMSteemnative0.22680.21816-3.81%0.2342+3.26%0.0523✗0.88543k2022-10-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0117960.011346-3.82%0.011563-1.98%0.0002✓0.88793k2022-10-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.470.452019-3.83%0.416-11.49%0.1087✓1.2163k2022-10-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11320.108864-3.83%0.1197+5.74%0.0724✗1.062.2M2022-10-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3870.372136-3.84%0.275-28.94%0.3292✓1.262,6282022-10-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5640.542338-3.84%0.524-7.09%0.0555✓0.992.5M2022-10-24
ADACardanoCardano0.45110.433756-3.84%0.3574-20.77%0.2145✓0.9833.8M2022-10-24
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7945.5712-3.85%6.14+5.97%0.0686✗1.346.4M2022-10-24
ZENHorizenBase14.0913.5478-3.85%12.92-8.30%0.0735✓1.2260k2022-10-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3681.3149-3.88%1.421+3.87%0.0541✗1.1047k2022-10-24
QTUMQtumQtum2.8492.7382-3.89%2.6847-5.77%0.0418✓1.0422k2022-10-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.0691.0273-3.90%1.4201+32.84%0.3009✗1.071.2M2022-10-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04180.040161-3.92%0.0338-19.14%0.1898✓0.82121k2022-10-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.616.908-3.93%15.76-10.45%0.0987✓1.3315.3M2022-10-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum18,988.8018,241.48-3.94%19,321.50+1.75%0.0380✓0.9211k2022-10-24
XMRMoneroMonero141.98136.3851-3.94%143.32+0.94%0.0303✓0.911.3M2022-10-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4510.433167-3.95%0.45-0.22%0.0145✓1.1176k2022-10-24
OPTIMOptimism0.9190.882562-3.96%0.839-8.71%0.0837✓1.552.4M2022-10-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.061070.058645-3.97%0.05935-2.82%0.0144✓1.24754k2022-10-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5755.3533-3.98%4.949-11.23%0.0999✓1.015.1M2022-10-24
FTTFTXEthereum23.6822.7329-4.00%22.8-3.72%0.0182✓0.997.6M2022-10-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019240.018468-4.01%0.01741-9.51%0.0710✓0.57124k2022-10-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36260.347944-4.04%0.2937-19.00%0.1958✓1.2445k2022-10-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.13590.130406-4.04%0.1617+18.98%0.1936✗1.017772022-10-24
DASHDashDash41.639.9181-4.04%40.13-3.53%0.0176✓1.08233k2022-10-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.16970.162805-4.06%0.1492-12.08%0.1087✓1.0161k2022-10-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29030.278478-4.07%0.2175-25.08%0.2702✓1.0950k2022-10-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.021710.020816-4.12%0.02075-4.42%0.0208✓0.832,7972022-10-24
GTGateEthereum4.24794.0722-4.14%4.4105+3.83%0.0667✗0.61677k2022-10-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.941.8597-4.14%2.28+17.53%0.1906✗0.6259k2022-10-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08240.078985-4.14%0.0803-2.55%0.0023✓0.899,4762022-10-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.5781.5126-4.15%1.645+4.25%0.0605✗1.10378k2022-10-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.707940.678498-4.16%0.60295-14.83%0.1410✓1.08519k2022-10-24
SCSiacoinnative0.003560.003411-4.17%0.00321-9.83%0.0806✓0.9380k2022-10-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.465990.446384-4.21%0.41-12.02%0.1101✓1.1824k2022-10-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05440.052103-4.22%0.05-8.09%0.0554✓0.6772k2022-10-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0196850.018853-4.23%0.017931-8.91%0.0659✓0.7412k2022-10-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6070.581333-4.23%0.566-6.75%0.0498✓1.09166k2022-10-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0580.055547-4.23%0.067+15.52%0.1680✗0.9161k2022-10-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.30747.2199-4.23%46.563-5.57%0.0335✓0.92204k2022-10-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.19611.1453-4.25%0.8387-29.88%0.3266✓0.701.2M2022-10-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,220.837,867.24-4.30%7,627.03-7.22%0.0601✓1.363.5M2022-10-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09080.086884-4.31%0.1913+110.68%0.7729✗0.772,6232022-10-24
LSKLiskEthereum0.9485520.907317-4.35%0.95575+0.76%0.0345✓0.8230k2022-10-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.034920.033402-4.35%0.03212-8.02%0.0549✓0.741,7012022-10-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.0575.7932-4.36%4.815-20.51%0.2046✓0.923.3M2022-10-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20520.196204-4.38%0.1886-8.09%0.0593✓0.9350k2022-10-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4255.1867-4.39%4.507-16.92%0.1670✓1.256.8M2022-10-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2520.240881-4.41%0.231-8.33%0.0586✓0.79404k2022-10-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.26954.081-4.42%4.0772-4.50%0.0058✓0.23215k2022-10-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.114.4285-4.45%14.65-2.98%0.0044✓0.51280k2022-10-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.147040.140465-4.47%0.13651-7.16%0.0507✓1.04282k2022-10-24
METISMetisEthereum24.6623.5498-4.50%28.56+15.82%0.1605✗1.52120k2022-10-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.154586-4.52%0.1368-15.50%0.1452✓1.089402022-10-24
XEMNEMnative0.040640.038802-4.52%0.037728-7.17%0.0489✓0.9823k2022-10-24
DIADIAEthereum0.377510.360404-4.53%0.39661+5.06%0.0756✗0.9431k2022-10-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.308950.29483-4.57%0.27708-10.32%0.0834✓1.0034k2022-10-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.31970.305074-4.58%0.3128-2.16%0.0092✓0.74157k2022-10-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.378.9412-4.58%8.69-7.26%0.0569✓1.33168k2022-10-24
STXStacksnative0.33170.316517-4.58%0.3013-9.16%0.0713✓1.03203k2022-10-24
KCSKuCoinnative8.9098.4999-4.59%9.516+6.81%0.0972✗0.741.2M2022-10-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.29990.28612-4.59%0.2795-6.80%0.0450✓1.0259k2022-10-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10060.095958-4.61%0.0796-20.87%0.2173✓1.431.9M2022-10-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124330.118555-4.65%0.12231-1.62%0.0097✓1.01110k2022-10-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.006970.006645-4.67%0.00448-35.72%0.4145✓0.962.9M2022-10-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.454.2406-4.70%3.24-27.19%0.2820✓0.601.0M2022-10-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.30e-77.91e-7-4.72%7.70e-7-7.23%0.0417✓0.7115k2022-10-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.081.029-4.72%0.987-8.61%0.0627✓0.991.1M2022-10-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2724840.259584-4.73%0.24383-10.52%0.0852✓1.06378k2022-10-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030060.028626-4.77%0.02804-6.72%0.0448✓1.1316k2022-10-24
SOLSolanaSolana33.3831.7774-4.80%28.31-15.19%0.1426✓1.2737.4M2022-10-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum12.712.0872-4.83%8.4-33.86%0.3873✓1.10773k2022-10-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9233.7334-4.83%3.026-22.87%0.2180✓0.371.3M2022-10-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.4161.3475-4.84%1.383-2.33%0.0124✓0.6426k2022-10-24
BANDBandEthereum1.191.1321-4.86%1.052-11.60%0.1002✓1.26246k2022-10-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.88760.844201-4.89%0.7354-17.15%0.1647✓1.25868k2022-10-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3499-4.94%1.69+19.01%0.2212✗0.1770k2022-10-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3980.378323-4.94%0.405+1.76%0.0471✓0.996,9542022-10-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03350.031838-4.96%0.0334-0.30%0.0270✓0.9884k2022-10-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.04140.039344-4.97%0.0331-20.05%0.1962✓1.10117k2022-10-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.92130.875491-4.97%0.8766-4.85%0.0298✓1.463.5M2022-10-24
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0107990.01026-4.99%0.01059-1.94%0.0104✓1.001,5092022-10-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.41530.394484-5.01%0.405-2.48%0.0080✓0.86392k2022-10-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.4795.2043-5.01%3.841-29.90%0.3152✓0.542.2M2022-10-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10010.095046-5.05%0.0916-8.49%0.0537✓0.79250k2022-10-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6257.2364-5.10%6.91-9.38%0.0690✓1.0719.0M2022-10-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011240.000010664-5.12%0.00000992-11.74%0.0924✓0.94683k2022-10-24
DODODODOEthereum0.12780.12125-5.13%0.1289+0.86%0.0374✓1.121.1M2022-10-24
HIVEHivenative0.50080.47511-5.13%0.4741-5.33%0.0142✓0.57772k2022-10-24
XLMStellarStellar0.118140.112061-5.15%0.110331-6.61%0.0352✓0.927.5M2022-10-24
PROPropyEthereum0.60.569027-5.16%0.49-18.33%0.1535✓0.1933k2022-10-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.27690.262559-5.18%0.2607-5.85%0.0257✓0.8788k2022-10-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27880.264335-5.19%0.2478-11.12%0.0859✓1.003.1M2022-10-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001477-5.23%0.001323-15.08%0.1226✓0.60330k2022-10-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.63620.602874-5.24%0.46-27.70%0.3012✓1.44161k2022-10-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03920.037138-5.26%0.0355-9.44%0.0629✓0.849,9472022-10-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8740.827701-5.30%0.806-7.78%0.0378✓0.532.2M2022-10-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0232.8618-5.33%3.047+0.79%0.0575✗0.24886k2022-10-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13180.124674-5.41%0.1411+7.06%0.1067✗0.80173k2022-10-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.29670.280609-5.42%0.246-17.09%0.1548✓1.0946k2022-10-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010570.00099925-5.43%0.0008199-22.40%0.2155✓0.831.3M2022-10-24
XVGVergenative0.003210.003035-5.45%0.0031-3.43%0.0020✓0.90413k2022-10-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.26110.8655-5.45%107.86-8.02%0.0529✓1.203.4M2022-10-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.163990.154997-5.48%0.17106+4.31%0.0837✗0.703402022-10-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.72981.6346-5.50%1.56-9.81%0.0712✓1.1532k2022-10-24
QNTQuantEthereum114.65108.3384-5.51%176.76+54.17%0.4705✗0.893.6M2022-10-24
XECeCashnative0.000039740.000037548-5.52%0.00003685-7.27%0.0368✓0.854.2M2022-10-24
XTZTezosTezos1.47841.3964-5.55%1.3523-8.53%0.0539✓1.02186k2022-10-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85160.804205-5.57%0.8838+3.78%0.0599✗1.6275k2022-10-24
FISStafiEthereum0.28070.265-5.59%0.3401+21.16%0.2307✗0.886202022-10-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.3982.2637-5.60%2.156-10.09%0.0661✓0.82330k2022-10-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08640.081551-5.61%0.0707-18.17%0.1545✓0.55164k2022-10-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2371.1672-5.64%1.5+21.26%0.2251✗1.2121k2022-10-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0631760.05959-5.68%0.059482-5.85%0.0206✓0.88988k2022-10-24
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0153120.014442-5.68%0.014347-6.30%0.0279✓1.001,0232022-10-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.811.707-5.69%1.56-13.81%0.1168✓1.26165k2022-10-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17520.165206-5.70%0.1902+8.56%0.1214✗0.9195k2022-10-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9173.6898-5.80%3.061-21.85%0.1991✓0.581.6M2022-10-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.337.8438-5.84%6.62-20.53%0.1823✓0.602.2M2022-10-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.181.1097-5.96%1.03-12.71%0.0973✓1.0738k2022-10-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064170.006026-6.09%0.00573-10.71%0.0559✓0.2624k2022-10-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007080.006647-6.12%0.0059-16.67%0.1439✓1.16374k2022-10-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015150.001422-6.15%0.001183-21.91%0.2010✓0.804,1352022-10-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.1731.1004-6.19%1.0413-11.23%0.0754✓0.95423k2022-10-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.324.988-6.24%3.67-31.02%0.3159✓0.431.9M2022-10-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.11.9683-6.27%1.97-6.19%0.0112✓0.57100k2022-10-24
COMPCompoundEthereum60.656.7705-6.32%49.83-17.77%0.1518✓1.006,9422022-10-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.64083.4096-6.35%2.9511-18.94%0.1597✓0.725.6M2022-10-24
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR3.6983.4595-6.45%2.917-21.12%0.1919✓1.00910k2022-10-24
AURORAAuroraEthereum1.1491.0745-6.48%0.772-32.81%0.3519✓1.0060k2022-10-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.077670.072632-6.49%0.05448-29.86%0.2923✓0.22296k2022-10-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.38530.360124-6.53%0.3148-18.30%0.1549✓0.966.4M2022-10-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.27574.9292-6.57%3.607-31.63%0.3391✓1.26100k2022-10-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9310.869245-6.63%0.942+1.18%0.0578✓1.061.4M2022-10-24
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,270.061,182.28-6.91%1,302.43+2.55%0.0730✗1.123.4M2022-10-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.63812.6942-6.92%11.649-14.58%0.1129✓1.2721.7M2022-10-24
CVXConvex FinanceEthereum4.7374.4055-7.00%5.071+7.05%0.1194✗1.00125k2022-10-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.10640.098882-7.07%0.1-6.02%0.0092✓0.96353k2022-10-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.6035-7.07%4.38-27.36%0.2595✓0.621.7M2022-10-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9063.6266-7.15%4.28+9.58%0.1437✗1.03138k2022-10-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1390.12901-7.19%0.1308-5.90%0.0064✓0.95261k2022-10-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000225730.000208704-7.54%0.00023035+2.05%0.0976✗0.054.2M2022-10-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.3810.351818-7.66%0.29288-23.13%0.2029✓0.92392k2022-10-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.93775.4798-7.71%3.9893-32.81%0.3192✓0.088.6M2022-10-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.379420.350023-7.75%0.30538-19.51%0.1494✓0.61340k2022-10-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0260130.023982-7.81%0.022323-14.19%0.0691✓-0.12480k2022-10-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.7386.2005-7.98%4.1834-37.91%0.3993✓0.2711.2M2022-10-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.686.126-8.29%5.71-14.52%0.0813✓0.511.5M2022-10-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.26530.242456-8.61%0.1927-27.37%0.2498✓0.953.1M2022-10-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.04e-74.60e-7-8.72%4.61e-7-8.39%0.0123✓0.751.2M2022-10-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain17.38415.6945-9.72%11.499-33.85%0.3185✓0.3514.5M2022-10-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.