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2022-09-13 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1973
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.2%
in alpha space · 87.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.00031698-11.47%0.00027827-22.28%0.1264✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.1683-10.13%1.06-18.46%0.0562✓1.0258k2022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.177392-9.63%0.1351-31.18%0.2415✓0.7730k2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.30e-7-9.54%4.93e-7-29.22%0.2107✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.380921-9.31%0.35148-16.32%0.0428✓0.93392k2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.131539-8.91%0.1342-7.06%0.0592✓0.97336k2022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.2846-8.89%1.531+8.58%0.2235✗1.1943k2022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.022619-8.40%0.024977+1.15%0.1009✗0.04471k2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.6463-8.14%4.5312-37.37%0.3715✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.8666-8.05%1.6-21.18%0.1053✓1.21227k2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.0514-8.03%3.9876-39.40%0.4105✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09211.1236-8.01%13.225+9.37%0.1879✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.316942-7.97%0.2499-27.44%0.2017✓0.8989k2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.015856-7.87%0.013771-19.99%0.1007✓1.001,0292022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.6389-7.86%4.46-27.12%0.2137✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.178614-7.65%0.1844-4.65%0.0690✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89712.8348-7.64%11.342-18.39%0.0734✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.475.9765-7.63%5.61-13.29%0.0438✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.8914-7.61%3.817-9.38%0.0177✓0.92245k2022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,359.83-7.58%1,248.14-15.17%0.0454✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8351.6324-7.52%54.83-1.79%0.1057✗1.138,6412022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.844488-7.50%0.847-7.23%0.0483✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.306241-7.42%0.2586-21.83%0.1247✓1.1072k2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.853145-7.37%0.836-9.23%0.0018✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.658163-7.30%0.52-26.76%0.2258✓0.2442k2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007392-7.14%0.00571-28.27%0.2138✓1.10463k2022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.3191-7.01%3.81-33.39%0.3127✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.102682-6.99%0.0666-39.67%0.4103✓0.56182k2022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.788181-6.87%0.8267-2.32%0.1072✗1.4894k2022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.815.6503-6.84%14.34-14.64%0.0647✓0.57396k2022-10-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.4698-6.83%5.141-12.43%0.0230✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.453274-6.83%0.3679-24.38%0.1760✓0.81422k2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.326126-6.82%0.319-8.86%0.0165✓0.961,1592022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.1176-6.80%3.04-31.19%0.2632✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1651-6.68%1.85-20.26%0.1328✓0.61247k2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.044704-6.67%0.0379-20.88%0.1207✓1.10177k2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.8578-6.64%2.9712-28.09%0.2347✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.617383-6.54%0.5935-10.16%0.0206✓1.49210k2022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.00581-6.53%0.00599-3.64%0.0439✓0.3330k2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000041083-6.52%0.00003711-15.56%0.0682✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.270579-6.50%0.246962-14.66%0.0521✓0.97487k2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.3057-6.46%3.7246-19.08%0.0918✓1.32118k2022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.164-6.43%1.068-14.15%0.0370✓1.22323k2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001157-6.38%0.0008937-27.71%0.2261✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.515295-6.38%0.4902-10.94%0.0256✓0.60871k2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.743-6.37%3.961-35.43%0.3489✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.3418-6.36%11.09-15.86%0.0617✓1.12925k2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4374-6.34%1.3832-9.88%0.0028✓1.02246k2022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.8344-6.34%0.9616-50.90%0.6167✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.037747-6.34%0.0342-15.14%0.0670✓0.799,5132022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.1644-6.32%1.0884-12.43%0.0236✓1.09922k2022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.4529-6.30%2.208-15.66%0.0729✓0.80523k2022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.926.1603-6.24%24.71-11.43%0.0048✓1.54159k2022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.186611-6.23%0.1711-14.02%0.0460✓1.01132k2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.6756-6.21%1.5752-11.84%0.0178✓1.1025k2022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6110.3352-6.18%108.8-7.48%0.0322✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.488221-6.11%0.439-15.58%0.0616✓1.1166k2022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.2157-6.11%6.57-24.91%0.2011✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.10103-6.11%0.0911-15.33%0.0695✓0.84188k2022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.003164-6.10%0.00306-9.20%0.0042✓0.94483k2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.101662-6.04%0.0879-18.76%0.0937✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.153037-6.02%0.13775-15.41%0.0635✓1.04271k2022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.056079-5.96%0.059662+0.04%0.1006✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,484.84-5.90%7,725.27-14.33%0.0395✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.086958-5.89%0.0998+8.01%0.1785✗1.01336k2022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010351-5.89%0.009275-15.67%0.0695✓1.006682022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.065087-5.85%0.071+2.71%0.0950✗0.20354k2022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.377365-5.85%0.3093-22.83%0.1589✓0.99202k2022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.7551-5.84%1.511-18.94%0.0937✓1.39967k2022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.031706-5.83%0.02754-18.21%0.0986✓1.0532k2022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.291675-5.81%0.327+5.60%0.1401✗0.64326k2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.0858-5.75%0.978-15.10%0.0670✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.8805-5.71%2.773-9.23%0.0223✓0.39759k2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.624-5.71%7.028+0.04%0.1037✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.8296-5.68%0.7636-13.19%0.0341✓1.21899k2022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.157942-5.64%0.14863-11.20%0.0326✓0.703542022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05250.993504-5.61%0.8006-23.93%0.1566✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.330201-5.58%0.3005-14.07%0.0518✓1.06313k2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.008036-5.57%0.00533-37.37%0.3743✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001447-5.49%0.001276-16.66%0.0986✓0.676,5532022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.303822-5.47%0.29812-7.24%0.0226✓1.0333k2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.147591-5.45%0.153-1.99%0.0835✗1.189132022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.948563-5.40%0.905877-9.66%0.0150✓0.7741k2022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.127491-5.39%0.12034-10.70%0.0118✓1.14151k2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011445-5.34%0.00001039-14.06%0.0577✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2548.7623-5.31%9.399+1.57%0.1034✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.253685-5.31%0.2551-4.78%0.0453✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.249046-5.31%0.23-12.55%0.0500✓0.74534k2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.577713-5.29%0.536-12.13%0.0329✓1.04114k2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.6967-5.28%6.113-13.54%0.0466✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.7631-5.28%19.43+33.72%0.3822✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0131.2729-5.26%30.49-7.63%0.0229✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.294224-5.24%0.277-10.79%0.0203✓0.9982k2022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.868-5.24%3.097-24.13%0.2018✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.2211-5.23%8.67-10.89%0.0081✓1.33288k2022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.056398-5.23%0.05517-7.29%0.0263✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.7102-5.22%4.2295-14.90%0.1042✓0.09119k2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.28119-5.20%0.3194+7.69%0.1658✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.099244-5.17%0.1121+7.11%0.1568✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003614-5.15%0.00324-14.96%0.0715✓0.9495k2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8717.9009-5.14%15.65-17.06%0.0801✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.411754-5.13%0.38-12.44%0.0384✓1.047,9852022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.765352-5.11%0.6504-19.37%0.1180✓1.11946k2022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8924.5701-5.10%23.44-9.46%0.0069✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.118936-5.08%0.1164-7.10%0.0232✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.26e-7-5.07%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0421✓0.6915k2022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3385-5.07%1.66+17.73%0.2110✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.0756-5.07%5.03-21.41%0.1499✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2933.5015-5.07%23.01-34.80%0.3151✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.565047-5.03%0.563-5.38%0.0365✓1.00178k2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.05642-5.02%0.0671+12.96%0.2157✗1.0578k2022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.590811-5.01%0.53-14.79%0.0647✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9206-5.01%1.535-24.09%0.1760✓1.1930k2022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1232-4.97%0.732-38.07%0.3637✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.198149-4.96%0.1796-13.86%0.0616✓0.9159k2022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.034313-4.95%0.0319-11.63%0.0324✓1.0190k2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1125-4.93%1.2571+7.42%0.1662✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.5979-4.89%1.553-7.56%0.0095✓0.94627k2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.8759-4.88%2.6695-11.70%0.0338✓1.0120k2022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.156.2254-4.86%51.09-13.55%0.0568✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.040124-4.84%0.038379-8.97%0.0083✓0.9028k2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7741.6629-4.81%40.41-7.68%0.0109✓1.03312k2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.132512-4.80%0.1172-15.80%0.0835✓0.98128k2022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02230.973307-4.79%0.9674-5.37%0.0135✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.092165-4.79%0.0743-23.24%0.1867✓0.722,9132022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.362928-4.78%0.39142+2.69%0.1139✗0.9531k2022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001446-4.78%0.001497-1.45%0.0643✗0.74353k2022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005618-4.77%0.005472-7.24%0.0006✓0.641,9622022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1423.9448-4.76%3.061-26.10%0.2389✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.3859-4.75%1.407-3.30%0.0582✗1.0771k2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019232-4.75%0.01784-11.64%0.0498✓0.6312k2022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.2883-4.70%3.53-21.56%0.1718✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56649.1546-4.68%50.036-2.97%0.0520✗0.85246k2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.469982-4.67%0.426-13.59%0.0506✓1.1877k2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.7536-4.65%6.15+1.92%0.1208✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.043115-4.61%0.0333-26.33%0.2240✓0.85142k2022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.200612-4.61%0.1528-27.34%0.2425✓0.7467k2022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.254671-4.59%0.20766-22.20%0.1685✓0.8815k2022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.442451-4.58%0.3769-18.72%0.1215✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.698343-4.53%0.63573-13.09%0.0506✓1.08624k2022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.4827-4.53%1.479-4.76%0.0254✓0.6929k2022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.21e-7-4.50%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0360✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.383382-4.49%0.3269-18.56%0.1133✓1.1467k2022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14323.9572-4.49%4.3617+5.27%0.1265✗0.72696k2022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3844.3014-4.48%40.69-12.27%0.0441✓1.02363k2022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44138.9935-4.43%142.89-1.75%0.0675✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.056428-4.36%0.053-10.17%0.0144✓1.20568k2022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.442339-4.36%0.4211-8.95%0.0042✓1.12366k2022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.081106-4.36%0.082-3.30%0.0498✗0.9711k2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.285188-4.30%0.2072-30.47%0.2806✓0.9774k2022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.040895-4.29%0.03722-12.89%0.0666✓0.6814k2022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.7085-4.29%1.495-16.25%0.0684✓1.6265k2022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.047484-4.27%0.0541+9.07%0.1652✗0.86234k2022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.119012-4.25%0.1168-6.03%0.0237✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.674-4.25%6.09-12.63%0.0492✓1.05224k2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002707-4.25%0.002098-25.79%0.2184✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019218-4.24%0.01727-13.95%0.0832✓0.59173k2022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005391-4.24%0.0048-14.74%0.0896✓0.66911k2022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.02219-4.23%0.02101-9.32%0.0137✓1.022,9582022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,508.47-4.21%1,286.96-18.27%0.1061✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.810707-4.20%0.761919-9.97%0.0282✓0.8446k2022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.4348-4.18%10.1346-15.08%0.0813✓0.9821k2022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8793.7866-4.17%160.75+64.25%0.5761✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.054825-4.15%0.0499-12.76%0.0617✓0.8090k2022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.486888-4.15%0.41049-19.19%0.1184✓1.3041k2022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.034986-4.10%0.03232-11.40%0.0507✓0.712,2982022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.182041-4.09%0.141-25.71%0.2143✓1.02101k2022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.2348-4.08%12.53-15.57%0.0786✓1.2275k2022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,361.86-4.03%19,378.65-3.95%0.0411✓1.00480.9M2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1364.9293-4.02%4.551-11.39%0.0272✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9779.6543-4.00%70.96-14.48%0.0567✓1.466.2M2022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.01167-3.96%0.010334-14.96%0.0882✓0.83882k2022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6126-3.91%2.183-19.71%0.1203✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012033-3.89%0.01008-19.49%0.1522✓0.62233k2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.15865-3.85%0.1439-12.79%0.0522✓1.131,7442022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9555-3.81%1.5924-21.67%0.1627✓1.0613k2022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9256.7379-3.70%50.94-13.54%0.0633✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.794404-3.68%0.73564-10.80%0.0473✓0.7313k2022-10-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.432614-3.65%0.319-28.95%0.2579✓1.164,5592022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1019,502.19-3.63%19,353.70-4.37%0.0294✓0.9215k2022-10-13
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.208358-3.58%0.225+4.12%0.1118✗0.87527k2022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.4941-3.56%4.61-1.07%0.0591✗0.83839k2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.065512-3.52%0.06122-9.84%0.0293✓0.9625k2022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.042594-3.42%0.0344-22.00%0.1670✓1.16546k2022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.06248-3.40%0.05314-17.84%0.1262✓0.897802022-10-13
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.058662-3.33%0.060975+0.48%0.0567✗0.45123k2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.03863-3.11%0.035845-10.10%0.0530✓0.5423k2022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7638-2.55%2.79+54.14%0.4772✗0.4656k2022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.020005-2.08%0.0198-3.08%0.0310✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.133789-1.99%0.1133-17.00%0.1452✓0.5283k2022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.402+1.33%14.3-5.92%0.0427✗0.781.4M2022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.